Ethnic identities and parties in Sub-Saharan Africa: A minister-level data project, 1966 to 2016

Lead Research Organisation: London School of Economics and Political Science
Department Name: Methodology

Abstract

Ethnic identity is generally considered to be an important aspect of political life, particularly in societies where the population is divided among ethnic lines. In these kinds of society, individuals often use ethnicity to draw connections to the political elite. This is often not out of an innate prejudice against individuals who do not share their ethnicity per se - rather, when elite representatives share ethnic identities with individuals and achieve positions of real political power, individuals tend to experience positive outcomes, according to a number of peer-reviewed empirical analyses. Collecting data on the ethnic identity of the political elite is thus highly important task for scholars of political science.

I intend to use this fellowship to increase public access to quality data on political elites in the context of understanding ethnic power-sharing, which relates to how elite representatives from different ethnic groups are included in, or excluded from, positions of political power such as the legislature or the cabinet. Specifically, this project studies (a) the evolution of ethnic power-sharing in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) and; (b) how political parties serve as a focal point for ethnic power-sharing in SSA. SSA, in particular, has experienced the widest variety of ethnic power-sharing configurations such as mono-ethnic rule by majorities (e.g. Mali, Zimbabwe) and minorities (e.g. South Africa, Liberia, Rwanda) and multi-ethnic coalitions (e.g. Kenya). Many scholars argue that different power-sharing configurations tend to produce different outcomes in terms of democratization and civil war, besides many other political phenomena.

This fellowship builds upon the achievements of a data set entitled WhoGov - short for "Who Governs" - I collected with doctoral colleagues that provides bibliographic information on the political elite in 177 countries over a 50-year period (between 1966 and 2016). WhoGov is currently the largest data set of its kind and offers an unparalleled opportunity for us to advance our understanding on who our political elite are. It is both publicly available and high in quality - so much so that it has been introduced in the American Political Science Review, the flagship journal of political science. This fellowship initially involves (a) extending the range of previous data collection endeavours that focus on coding the ethnic identity of the political elite in SSA countries and; (b) collecting information on the ethnic dimension on political parties. Based on this data collection, I aim to produce two high-quality journal articles that will be submitted to top journals in the field.

However, this fellowship will also be used as an opportunity to plan the future of WhoGov. The WhoGov team have been able to demonstrate unique insight into the extent to which women are represented in cabinets globally. We intend to deliver the same insights not only for ethnicity (the subject of this fellowship) but also for such as class, education, family ties and political ideology, and a whole host of other relevant characteristics. This will involve effort and willingness among scholars to engage in collaborative projects that are suitably financed by multiple research funding agencies. I thus intend to use this fellowship to develop a panel proposal that aims to bring together scholars who (a) share the interests of the WhoGov team and; (b) have access to sources of data or use cutting-edge research methods not leveraged already by the WhoGov team. By the end of the fellowship, I will thus develop a research funding proposal that aims to secure the financial future of WhoGov so that we can continue to learn new and interesting facts about our rulers.

Publications

10 25 50
 
Description This project sought to advance our access to data on the ethnic composition of cabinet members in Sub-Saharan Africa. To this end, I have created a new data set on this topic in a sample of countries (namely Burundi, Kenya, Liberia, Nigeria, Rwanda, Sierra Leone, Tanzania, South Africa and Zimbabwe). I was also instrumental in collecting Sub-Saharan African data for WhoGov 2.0, which updates the award-winning WhoGov data set to 2021. Beyond this, I have contributed valuable insights into my field, some of which have been showcased in the American Political Science Review - the most prestigious journal of my field. My APSR article (co-written with academics from Norway and the United States) demonstrates that historical experience with democracy often leads to a higher share of women in cabinet.
Exploitation Route There is clearly an appetite among scholars for comprehensive data on the ethnicity of African cabinet members and other kinds of political elite. While my project provides yearly data on 9 countries, the use of elite surveys leveraged by previous scholars would help facilitate data collection in more SSA countries.
Sectors Government

Democracy and Justice

 
Title WhoGov 2.0 
Description WhoGov provides bibliographic information, such as gender and party affiliation, on cabinet members in July every year in the period 1966-2021 in all countries with a population of more than 400,000 citizens. In total, the dataset contains data on 56,063 cabinet members in 177 countries, adding up to 8,811 country-years. WhoGov makes it possible to answer questions such as; what is the share of female cabinet members globally, which type of regime has the highest cabinet turnover, and have cabinets increased in size over time? And many others. The dataset is highly flexible and can be used to calculate countless variables of interest, including the number of female ministers, ministerial experience, cabinet turnover and cabinet size at the country-year level. 
Type Of Material Database/Collection of data 
Year Produced 2022 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact WhoGov has been quoted 62 times (as of today) in further academic research. Scholars have used WhoGov to understand a variety of topics such as female participation in government, and elite-level politics in authoritarian rule. 
URL https://politicscentre.nuffield.ox.ac.uk/whogov-dataset/
 
Description Agents of change or continuity? Modes of elite defection and authoritarian (in)stability 
Organisation University of Oxford
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution The project involved a comparative analysis of three case studies - namely Venezuela, Kenya, and Indonesia - that experienced elite defection. My role in this project was to help develop the theoretical framework, research the Kenyan and Indonesian cases and to provide graphical illustrations of the data used to support our argument.
Collaborator Contribution My partner (Doctor Maryhen Jimenez) was involved in collating the literature review, developing the theoretical framework, and researching the Venezuelan case. Dr Jimenez used elite interviews with prominent defectors from the Venezuelan government to support this.
Impact We presented the first draft of this paper at the Consortium for European Symposium on Turkey (CEST) - an organization which brought together scholars of Turkish democratisation and other experts to understand the role that a variety of actors play in challenging authoritarian rule. The conference took place in Venice.
Start Year 2022
 
Description Agents of change or continuity? Modes of elite defection and authoritarian (in)stability 
Organisation Woodrow Wilson International Centre for Scholars
Country United States 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution The project involved a comparative analysis of three case studies - namely Venezuela, Kenya, and Indonesia - that experienced elite defection. My role in this project was to help develop the theoretical framework, research the Kenyan and Indonesian cases and to provide graphical illustrations of the data used to support our argument.
Collaborator Contribution My partner (Doctor Maryhen Jimenez) was involved in collating the literature review, developing the theoretical framework, and researching the Venezuelan case. Dr Jimenez used elite interviews with prominent defectors from the Venezuelan government to support this.
Impact We presented the first draft of this paper at the Consortium for European Symposium on Turkey (CEST) - an organization which brought together scholars of Turkish democratisation and other experts to understand the role that a variety of actors play in challenging authoritarian rule. The conference took place in Venice.
Start Year 2022
 
Description Figurines and Doyennes: The Selection of Female Ministers in Autocracies and Democracies 
Organisation University of Oslo
Country Norway 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution The project consisted of a paper that quantifies the link between democracy and women's empowerment in cabinet appointments. It employs (a) a new theoretical framework that incorporates insights from the ministerial selection and political regimes literature and (b) analysis of the most comprehensive data on women's participation in cabinets, collected by Jacob Nyrup and myself.
Collaborator Contribution Jacob Nyrup originally came up with the idea and, in collaboration with me, developed the core regression analysis. Hikaru Yamagishi worked with me to develop the theory and the literature review, though Jacob helped with this also.
Impact We published a working paper on SSRN that we intend to send to the American Political Science Review, once it goes through checking.
Start Year 2021
 
Description Figurines and Doyennes: The Selection of Female Ministers in Autocracies and Democracies 
Organisation Yale University
Country United States 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution The project consisted of a paper that quantifies the link between democracy and women's empowerment in cabinet appointments. It employs (a) a new theoretical framework that incorporates insights from the ministerial selection and political regimes literature and (b) analysis of the most comprehensive data on women's participation in cabinets, collected by Jacob Nyrup and myself.
Collaborator Contribution Jacob Nyrup originally came up with the idea and, in collaboration with me, developed the core regression analysis. Hikaru Yamagishi worked with me to develop the theory and the literature review, though Jacob helped with this also.
Impact We published a working paper on SSRN that we intend to send to the American Political Science Review, once it goes through checking.
Start Year 2021
 
Title Women in cabinets - WhoGov 2.0 
Description "Women in cabinets" is an online dashboard that uses the WhoGov data set to understand country and year variation in participation of women in cabinets across the world. Users can assess the share of female cabinet members across the world, compare countries to the global average, explore country rankings, and find out what kinds of cabinet portfolios are being assigned to women. 
Type Of Technology Webtool/Application 
Year Produced 2022 
Open Source License? Yes  
Impact The dashboard has had 264 views. 
URL https://public.tableau.com/app/profile/stuart.bramwell/viz/Womenincabinets-WhoGov2_0/Womeningovernin...
 
Description Conference (Consortium for European Symposia on Turkey) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Dr Jimenez and myself presented our paper on elite defection, which we presented to a series of Turkish scholars, pro-democracy activists, and conference funding organisations. We aimed to create an overarching theoretical framework regarding when elite defection sparks democratic change in authoritarian governments. We also aimed to contribute our insights into autocracy by participating in a workshop led by a leading scholar on authoritarian politics (Professor Johannes Gerschewski).
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022
URL http://cest-turkey.org/cest-symposium-2022/