Understanding how constraints on access to finance and under-investment impact on productivity growth in smaller firms

Lead Research Organisation: Oxford Brookes University
Department Name: Oxford Brookes Business School

Abstract

The UK has suffered from problems of under-investment and low productivity growth for a long time. This lack of investment and growth constraints how much money people are paid, how much money can be raised in taxes to pay for public services and the overall wealth of the UK population.
The UK has experienced a large increase in the number of small firms in the economy over the last fifty years. As a result, around 60% of the working population rely on the small business sector for their jobs, incomes and well-being. A big concern, that has been around since the 1930s is that small firms may struggle to access loans from banks and investment from investors. For many reasons, there is a significant gap in our current knowledge about the contribution of smaller firms to the overall performance of the UK economy and specifically how their ability to access finance influences how they contribute to productivity.
To fully understand how the 6 million small firms in the UK contribute to economic growth, this project helps researchers to understand more about small firms that are owned and managed by entrepreneurs. It explores how these entrepreneurs have personal preferences and talents that shape how their firms operate and explore potential opportunities for new investment that might lead to productivity-enhancing growth. When small firms have opportunities to invest, it then faces choices about how to fund these new investments. Many small firms have a strong dislike for external finance and choose to limit their investments to ones they can fund from their own resources. Others seek external debt, often bank loans, but are refused. Others get bank loans, but only get a fraction of the amount they requested. All of these scenarios potentially lead to an under-investment in productivity enhancing growth.
This research project traces out the whole process from the small, entrepreneurial firm, to their investment opportunities and funding choices, and then examine how, when and where this process can lead to productivity growth. The project explore the chain of events in great detail and cover the full range of investment opportunities and potential sources of finance. This includes looking at bank debt, government guaranteed loans, "Peer-2-Peer" lending, Alternative Lenders, FinTech, right through to more sophisticated equity finance. This broad overview allows the project to establish, at each step in the causal chain of events, what types of firm face the greatest barriers to progression onto the next stage which ultimately end up with new investment and productivity growth. Specific points of focus within this chain of events will be on the identification of differences by (a) regions and place, (b) firms of different sizes, (c) firm of different ages, (d) differences by industry, and (e) patterns of innovation. The project builds a nuanced picture of the problems that small firms face accessing investment capital and increasing their productivity that will give policy-makers and businesses themselves the evidence to support a mutually beneficial and co-ordinated response to address these problems that may ultimately benefit the 6 million UK small business owners and their 16.8 million employees and their families.

Publications

10 25 50
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Adwan S (2022) Non-executive employee ownership and financial reporting quality: evidence from Europe in Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting

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Brown R (2022) Innovation and borrower discouragement in SMEs in Small Business Economics

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Chen Y (2024) Interpretable machine learning for imbalanced credit scoring datasets in European Journal of Operational Research

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Cowling M (2023) The hazards of delivering a public loan guarantee scheme: An analysis of borrower and lender characteristics in International Small Business Journal: Researching Entrepreneurship

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Cowling M (2022) Dynamic Discouraged Borrowers in British Journal of Management

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Cowling M (2023) Financing small and innovative firms during COVID-19 in Economics of Innovation and New Technology

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Cowling M (2022) Predicting future default on the Covid-19 bounce back loan scheme: The £46.5 billion question in International Small Business Journal: Researching Entrepreneurship

Related Projects

Project Reference Relationship Related To Start End Award Value
ES/W010259/1 19/06/2022 02/07/2022 £1,607,341
ES/W010259/2 Transfer ES/W010259/1 03/10/2022 02/10/2025 £1,607,341
 
Description Business Finance Forecasting and Policy Modelling
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Citation in other policy documents
Impact Their research analyses the financing requirements of potential high-growth businesses in the UK. The research quantified shortfalls in providing equity finance (venture capital and growth finance) and identified regional disparities. The analysis identified an 'equity gap' in the UK economy, an under-supply of around £11bn. Moreover, there is evidence of regional disparities, businesses in the North of England and the Midlands are substantially less likely to receive equity financing than counterparts in London. The announced pension reforms are designed to increase the provision of business finance, and by addressing the equity gap, promote growth and innovation. Potential high-growth companies in the UK have a disproportionate impact on economic growth, productivity, and the innovation spillovers or disruptive technologies that have wider long-term benefits for the economy. More specifically, these businesses drive the growth and development of important new and transformative sectors (e.g., recent AI advances, clean energy, financial innovation).
URL https://business.leeds.ac.uk/research-cmrc/news/article/1101/business-school-research-featured-in-au...
 
Description Forecasting demand for loan guarantee schemes at different guarantee coverage rates
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
Impact The UK government, specifically the Department for Business and Trade, British Business Bank, and HMT now have clear evidence and guidance about what their policy options are for a new loan guarantee scheme and what the consequences of each potential option might be. This will help to alleviate credit rationing amongst the UK SME population and unlock new capital for growth and investment.
 
Description UK Pensions reform
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact The business case was put to HMT officials and is now in the implementation process as announced in the Chancellors Autumn Statement 2023. The benefits of the proposed change will be to unlock £57 billions of pounds for investment in UK unlisted companies to enable them to scale-up.
 
Description A Novel Generalised Extreme Value Gradient Boosting Decision Tree for the Class Imbalanced Problem in Credit Scoring. Presented at the Computational and Financial Econometrics 7th International conference (Berlin, 16-18 December 2023). 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Raffaella Calabrese presentation at annual conference of computational and financial econometrics society which attracted international scholars and practitioners where a new empirical model for dealing with extreme values was presented and shared.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2023
 
Description Brown, R, Cowling, M. Living on an Island: Start-Ups, Spatial Heterogeneity and Remote Entrepreneurial Ecosystems. Paper presented at the UHI Shetland Centre for Island Creativity "Conversations on the future for arts, education and enterprise in Scottish rural communities: An 2Island Perspective". (Shetland, Thursday 11th January 2024). 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Regional
Primary Audience Third sector organisations
Results and Impact The workshop sought to advance our thinking and understanding about how remote Scottish Islands could develop their local economies.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2024
 
Description Conference presentation and a session chair: Annual Meeting - European Financial Management (EFM) Association, Rome, June 2022 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact We presented our paper on: PE directors' human capital and add-on strategy Annual Meeting - European Financial Management (EFM) Association, Rome, June 2022. The presentation attracted a debate and links with academics and practitioners.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022
 
Description Invited presentation at Insula-non-profit organisation, Rab-Croatia 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Regional
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact We presented our paper on Diversity in Finance at an event organised by Insula-non-profit organisation, Rab-Croatia, August, 2023
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description Marc Cowling and Nick Wilson presented new research on Is UK Business Finance Unequally Distributed? to the Department for Business and Trade on Finance and Levelling Up 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Presented new research about unequal access to finance across UK regions which fed into DBT thinking about levelling up.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2023
 
Description Marc Cowling discussed Covid-19 business financing to University of Kent Business School: MBA 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Postgraduate students
Results and Impact Presentation to MBA students about how small firms policy helped them survive the pandemic.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2023
 
Description Marc Cowling presented new research on Covid-19 UK Loan Guarantee Schemes Effectiveness at a Institute for Government: The Treasury During the Pandemic Roundtable 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Presented evidence to a panel discussing the effectiveness of UK policy during the Covid-19 pandemic. A report was produced that summarised the findings.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2023
 
Description Marc Cowling presented new research on Regional finance for SMEs at an ERC-BEIS Longitudinal Small Business Survey Dissemination Event 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Shared new insights to an academic and policy audience on spatial aspects of SME finance
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022
 
Description Marc Cowling presented new research on green business angels at an Institute for Small Business and Entrepreneurship: Developing the Sustainable Finance Ecosystem seminar at Birmingham City University. 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Influenced policy and academic debates about the potential of business angels to boost green investment.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2023
 
Description Marc Cowling presented new research on innovation financing to Innovate UK. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Improved IUKs understanding of the current state of innovation financing and where they might expand their activities.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2023
 
Description Marc Cowling was part of the Fujitsu: Panel debate: Entrepreneurship: why the UK needs to think differently about a key driver of innovation: What can we do to get more innovation from our entrepreneurs? 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Industry/Business
Results and Impact To understand how innovation occurs and how we can get more innovation from our entrepreneurs.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2023
 
Description Presentation at: International Corporate Governance Society (ICGS) Conference on Sustainable Corporate Governance 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an open day or visit at my research institution
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact I chaired a session and presented our paper on: Private equity talent and diversity: do they matter? at the ICGS Conference on Sustainable Corporate Governance at IE University in Madrid.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description Presentation at: ZEW Conference on the Dynamics of Entrepreneurship, ZEW - Leibniz-Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung GmbH Mannheim 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact We presented our paper on Unintended effects of the broadened Bolar exemption on firm innovation outputs at ZEW Conference on the Dynamics of Entrepreneurship, ZEW - Leibniz-Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung GmbH Mannheim, October 2023. We received an excellent feedback and invitations for further research in the area.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2013
 
Description Raffaella Calabrese presented new research on How climate change and supply chains affect SME financing to the Computational and Financial Econometrics Conference in London. 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Climate change is the key issue of our time and this new research shaped the way we identify unintended consequences relating to climate change.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022
 
Description Weixi Liu presented new research on Conforming to gender stereotypes and entrepreneurs financing outcomes at the 5th Entrepreneurship Behavioural and Cognitive Approaches Conference, University of Bath School of Management 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Shared new research on gender financing outcomes
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022
 
Description Weixi Liu presented new research on The effect of collateral on small business rationing of term loans and lines of credit at the 2022 EFMA Conference, University Campus Bio Medico in Rome, Italy 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Disseminating new research findings
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022
 
Description Weixi Liu presented new research on The effect of collateral on small business rationing of term loans and lines of credit at the 2022 FMA European Conference, Emlyon Business School 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Disseminating new research findings to an international academic audience
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2022
 
Description Wilson, N, Kacer, M, Cowling, M. The Unintended Consequences of Expanding the Lender Pool on Covid-19 Loan Guarantee Schemes. Presented at the 6th Transatlantic Conference on The Ethics of Business, Trade, and Global Governance (St Andrews University, 23-24th November 2023). 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Nick Wilson presented new research on the Unintended Consequences of Expanding the Lender Pool on Covid-19 Loan Guarantee Schemes at a conference at St Andrews.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2023