Uncertainty, Probability, Models And Climate Change
Lead Research Organisation:
NATIONAL OCEANOGRAPHY CENTRE
Department Name: NERC Strategic Research Division
Abstract
One of the big problems in modelling future climates is uncertainty. This is a particularly a problem for low probability events such as rapid climate changes. We will be holding a number of international workshops to look at these problems. These will bring leading scientists from around the world to discuss these issues with their British colleagues and with users of climate predictions. Two of our meetingss will be longer 'research playgrounds' where we will be able to work for short intensive periods with our international colleagues.
Publications
Urban N
(2010)
A comparison of Latin hypercube and grid ensemble designs for the multivariate emulation of an Earth system model
in Computers & Geosciences
Wilkinson R
(2010)
Large-Scale Inverse Problems and Quantification of Uncertainty
| Description | The project was a series of workshops to bring the climate and statistics communities closer together. This objective was achieved |
| Exploitation Route | The collaboration between statisticians and climate scientists is now much more relevant than before |
| Sectors | Environment |
| Description | As a series of workshops we did not have findings as such |
| First Year Of Impact | 2011 |
| Sector | Environment |
| Impact Types | Cultural,Societal,Policy & public services |