The South Atlantic / Southern Ocean carbon sink: Is it significant, and is it changing over time?

Lead Research Organisation: University of East Anglia
Department Name: Environmental Sciences

Abstract

This project is designed to determine how much carbon dioxide (CO2) is absorbed by the South Atlantic and neighbouring Southern Ocean, and how important this is in the global picture. We will achieve this by measurement of atmospheric CO2 and related species at several key islands, and on a commercial ship, and by use of the atmospheric data in modelling studies to determine the uptake (amount absorbed) and whether it is changing over time. Understanding the uptake of CO2 by the oceans is essential, if we are to meet the challenge of understanding global warming by greenhouse gases. This is because, of the CO2 we produce by burning fossil fuels, only about half stays in the atmosphere and contributes to global warming. Most of the remainder is taken up by the global oceans, which, while not contributing to global warming, does contribute to the harmful acidification of the oceans. But exactly how much is taken up, in which oceans, and how this uptake might change in a warming climate is unclear. One important region with the least clarity is the South Atlantic Ocean. By determining CO2 uptake of the South Atlantic and neighbouring Southern Ocean, this project will provide new information that will improve models of the global CO2 cycle. Our work will also contribute to answering the question if Southern Ocean CO2 uptake is changing under global warming. If it is, the implications are serious, and will affect future international emissions negotiations. Although CO2 is measured in seawater in the South Atlantic (for example by British Antarctic Survey), there are virtually no measurements of CO2 in the air above the region. This is because the inhabited islands are UK-owned, and the UK does not participate in international efforts to monitor atmospheric CO2, which are coordinated by the UN's Global Atmosphere Watch programme. Measuring CO2 from the atmosphere is perhaps more important, and more revealing, than measuring from the ocean. The reason is that the atmosphere mixes much faster than the ocean, and so measurements from any given station are representative of a region covering hundreds or even thousands of square kilometres, compared to only a few square kilometres for ocean water measurements. Our measurements will assess the differences in CO2 as air blows across the ocean and CO2 is absorbed by the water. CO2 varies greatly across the planet, both by latitude and by season, just as temperature varies. Our measurements will be carried out by a mixture of continuous observations and canister sampling. Continuous measurement of CO2 will be made at Ascension Island, near the equator, and at Falkland Islands, around 50S. CO2 will also be measured by canister sampling at these and three other UK islands. In addition, O2 concentrations and the isotope 13C in CO2 will be measured from the canister samples. Measuring these additional species tells us about the non-photosynthetic CO2, both fossil-fuel emissions and ocean uptake. Finally, we will also measure CO2 and O2 continuously onboard a commercial ship travelling across the Atlantic, to complement the data from the fixed stations. To interpret our measurements, we will carry out modelling studies. Presently, models based on ocean-water measurement seem to give different answers from the models based on the sparse atmospheric data. It is possible that CO2 uptake may change as the oceans warm, but much more evidence is needed. Our modelling studies will address these problems and will provide a much better understanding of how much CO2 is being taken up into the water in the region. Our work will help improve knowledge of one of the most poorly understood parts of the global carbon budget, the Southern Ocean. Better understanding of the atmospheric side of the equation will also be very helpful to oceanographers, because the South Atlantic and neighbouring Southern Ocean are a great global weather factory, and a key turning point of the ocean circulation system.

Publications

10 25 50
publication icon
Houweling S (2012) Iconic CO2 time series at risk. in Science (New York, N.Y.)

publication icon
Keeling R (2014) Treatise on Geochemistry

publication icon
Keeling RF (2011) The atmospheric signature of carbon capture and storage. in Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences

publication icon
Manning AC (2011) Greenhouse gases in the Earth system: setting the agenda to 2030. in Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences

publication icon
Manning M (2010) Misrepresentation of the IPCC CO2 emission scenarios in Nature Geoscience

 
Description Documentation on file from NERC says 'there is no requirement for a final report' on this project.
 
Title Calibration Cylinder Filling Facility (CFF) 
Description New infrastructure for preparing and filling calibration cylinders for atmospheric measurement of greenhouse gases and related species. The facility can prepare cylinders with below and above ambient concentrations of the desired species, in dry air, at pressures of up to 300 bar. 
Type Of Material Improvements to research infrastructure 
Year Produced 2010 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact Calibration cylinders from this facility have been used to calibrate instrumentation on the FAAM BAe146, as well as used to support the research output from a wide variety of NERC and EU research projects. 
 
Title Atmospheric O2 and CO2 in-situ, automated data acquisition and control software 
Description Fully automated software to acquire measurement and diagnostic data from in-situ atmospheric O2 and CO2 measurement systems. Includes fully automated control of measurement system, including control of several hierarchical levels of instrument calibration. 
Type Of Technology Software 
Year Produced 2013 
Impact Invaluable resource for students and postdocs in our group. Modified versions of the software have also been shared with other UK university collaborators.