Dynamics of the Earth System In REcovery ('DESIRE')
Lead Research Organisation:
University of Bristol
Department Name: Geographical Sciences
Abstract
As we are doing now, at times in the distant geological past, there were massive releases of greenhouse gases such as CO2 to the atmosphere. In the rock record we find evidence for a warming of climate and change in rainfall patterns. How does the Earth recover from being put into this 'greenhouse' state? The obvious way of cooling climate is to remove the CO2 that has been added and to bury it in a form that will not quickly leak back to the atmosphere. By some complicated geochemical and biological trickery, the Earth can turn rocks such as granite into chalks and limestones, which contains carbon atoms bound tightly to calcium, locking up carbon for millions and millions of years (the carbon in the white cliffs of Dover has been safely stored there for over 65 millions years!). Another way to bury carbon is as organic matter and the Earth system has a really fascinating mechanism for preserving this carbon involving the gas given off by rotten eggs - hydrogen sulphide. This can react with organic matter to form new molecules that are more resistant to being broken down by bacteria. The process is a bit like making car tires (which appear highly resistant to decay judging by how many seem to lie strewn across our cities and countryside). So what conditions in the ocean lead to the most preservation and hence burial of organic matter, and what impact on atmospheric CO2 and climate does preserving organic matter with rotten eggs really have? Computer models are great tools and can help answer this. How we understand and represent the Earth's climate system in computer models, while still far from perfect, is progressively improving. Mostly the climate system involves physics, and despite what most students may conclude from school: physics is easy. More difficult to understand is chemistry and biology, particularly when it occurs in smelly (sulphidic) mud sitting at the bottom of the ocean. Yet this is important to understand, because if bacteria were to use up all the oxygen at the ocean floor, they would suddenly find it much harder to break down all the dead 'bodies' of the microscopic plants (phytoplankton) that live and grow in the sunlight at the ocean surface and sink down to depth when they die. I will therefore develop a computer model of chemical reactions to represent how hydrogen sulphide can turn the organic matter from phytoplankton into a much more resistant form in the sediments. Using this model I can firstly better understand the conditions that might produce the perfect rocks for producing oil (and gas). Together with a global carbon cycle and climate model, I will also utilize the geological record to help understand what is possible and how important the different modes of recovery are, and will investigate and compare the burial of these dead bodies in sulphidic mud during two past global warming events: Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum ('PETM') ~55 million years ago (Ma) and the Ocean Anoxic Events ('OAEs') of the early Jurassic (ca. 183 Ma - the Toarcian OAE). From all this, I expect to be able to understand better how increases in the amount of carbon being buried helps the Earth system recover from greenhouse climates and test whether the Earth system might have a special emergency mechanism - if climate gets too warm and oxygen starts to run out in the ocean - the production of hydrogen sulphide as oxygen starts to run out in the ocean and increased burial or organic matter.
People |
ORCID iD |
Sandra Arndt (Principal Investigator) |
Publications
Arndt S
(2013)
Quantifying the degradation of organic matter in marine sediments: A review and synthesis
in Earth-Science Reviews
Foster LC
(2013)
Surviving rapid climate change in the deep sea during the Paleogene hyperthermals.
in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America
Regnier P
(2014)
Modelling Estuarine Biogeochemical Dynamics: From the Local to the Global Scale
in Aquatic Geochemistry
Regnier P
(2013)
Anthropogenic perturbation of the carbon fluxes from land to ocean
in Nature Geoscience
Ridgwell A
(2015)
Biogeochemistry of Marine Dissolved Organic Matter
Volta C
(2016)
Linking biogeochemistry to hydro-geometrical variability in tidal estuaries: a generic modeling approach
in Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Wadham JL
(2012)
Potential methane reservoirs beneath Antarctica.
in Nature
Description | The funded research has led to the following discoveries/developments: 1) Development of a range of benthic modules for system scale biogeochemical/Earth System models: Most existing global biogeochemical models do not include an explicit description of biogeochemical processes in marine sediments, which represent not only the largest carbon reservoir and the only longterm carbon sink within the Earth system, but also constitute our most important climate archive. Therefore, the current lack of such benthic modules seriously limits our ability to understand and predict the past, present and future response of the Earth system to climate change. The research conducted in the framework of this grant has led to the development of two, mechanistic, yet numerically efficient benthic modules that are currently being coupled to the Earth System Model GENIE and the coupled estuarine model C-GEM. In addition, these modules are generating a wide interest in the wider reserach community and have opend new research partnerships such as my recent contribution to a succesful EU ITN proposal. The moduls will be made available to the entire community through a website that is currently being developed. 2) Identifying the factors that control organic matter degradation in marine sediments The funded research indicates that organic matter sources and transport pathways (age) play a key role in controlling the reactivity of organic matter in marine sediments. I am currently exploring this newly discovered qunatitative link a more detail through comprehensive biomarker analysis and reaction-transport modeling. For this purpose, I established a number of new collaborations with the AWI (Germany), the IOW (Germany), The University of Cardiff (UK) and Newcastle (UK) to obtain sediment material and porewater data from a number of different oceanic regions. Ultimately I hope to establish the first quantitative framework that would allow to constrain organic matter reactivity in data-poor areas (e.g. the geological past, the future). 3) Quantifying hydrocarbon reservoirs The funded research allowed to estimate the potential size of the methane reservoir below Antarctica through a combination of reaction-transport modeling and publish laboratory measurements. The work opened up a new research line focusing on the quantification of subglacial biogeochemical processes and their impacts on global biogeochemical cycles. 4) Quantifying the role of organic matter sulfurization as a climate cooling mechanism This work is still in progress, due to technical challenges. However, preliminary results indicate that the decrease of organic matter reactivity by the formation of sulfur double bonds in a sulfidic ocean increases carbon burial and exerts an important effect on the biogeochemical cycling and global climate. Results show that this process can act as a trigger for climate cooling in the recovery phase of extreme events, but the jury is still out on the question if it the feedback alone is powerful enough to drive the climate out of an extreme event. |
Exploitation Route | Biogeochemical Modelers will use the newly developed and openly available modeling tools (C-GEM, benthic modules) Earth System Modelers will use the newly developed benthic modelling tools and approaches. The (petroleum) industry will benefit from the improved understanding of the controls on organic matter preservation and burial in marine sediments and hence on petroleum source rock formation. |
Sectors | Communities and Social Services/Policy,Energy,Environment |
Description | The developed benthic modeling tools are currently being implemented into two system-scale biogeochemcial models. In addition, a newly funded ITN ESR position will make use of the developed approach and result in a wide dissemination. The newly developed C-GEM model is currently being used to quantify carbon budgets along the NE coast of the US and the European Coast. How much should scientists be held to account, and how much responsibility do we all have to act on the information they provide us with? Researchers working on everything from theoretical chemistry, to geology, to psychology, discuss what it means to be a scientist in the 21st century, and what it takes to survive the emotional rollercoaster that sees them tackle frustration and failure before critical acclaim. A summary of my research and career, as well as a series of short films about working in science |
First Year Of Impact | 2012 |
Sector | Education,Energy,Environment |
Impact Types | Economic,Policy & public services |
Description | Biogeochemical Modelling |
Geographic Reach | Local/Municipal/Regional |
Policy Influence Type | Influenced training of practitioners or researchers |
Description | Introduction to Earth System Modelling |
Geographic Reach | National |
Policy Influence Type | Influenced training of practitioners or researchers |
Title | ANN benthic module |
Description | Numerically efficient benthic module that can be coupled to global-scale models |
Type Of Material | Computer model/algorithm |
Provided To Others? | No |
Impact | na |
Title | Analytical benthic model |
Description | Numerically efficient benthic biogeochemical model that can be coupled to global biogeochemical model/ Earth system model |
Type Of Material | Computer model/algorithm |
Year Produced | 2013 |
Provided To Others? | Yes |
Impact | -presentations -publication in prep -website -new collaborations, including succesful ITN proposal |
Title | C-GEM |
Description | Generic coupled estuarine hydrodynamic- biogeochemical model for the use on the global scale |
Type Of Material | Computer model/algorithm |
Year Produced | 2013 |
Provided To Others? | Yes |
Impact | na |
Title | Global data set organic matter reactivities |
Description | Global collection of model-derived organic matter reactivities and related environmental factors |
Type Of Material | Database/Collection of data |
Year Produced | 2013 |
Provided To Others? | Yes |
Impact | - invited talk to Gordon Research conference - PhD studentship -new collaborations |
Description | EU ITN: Carbon Cascades from land to ocean C-CASCADES |
Organisation | ETH Zurich |
Country | Switzerland |
Sector | Academic/University |
PI Contribution | - proposal preparation - proposed work builds on models developed in the project |
Collaborator Contribution | - proposal preparation - secondment |
Impact | Funded ITN grant (1.5 ECR positions) |
Start Year | 2014 |
Description | EU ITN: Carbon Cascades from land to ocean C-CASCADES |
Organisation | Max Planck Society |
Department | Max Planck Institute for Meterology |
Country | Germany |
Sector | Charity/Non Profit |
PI Contribution | - proposal preparation - proposed work builds on models developed in the project |
Collaborator Contribution | - proposal preparation - secondment |
Impact | Funded ITN grant (1.5 ECR positions) |
Start Year | 2014 |
Description | EU ITN: Carbon Cascades from land to ocean C-CASCADES |
Organisation | University Libre Bruxelles (Université Libre de Bruxelles ULB) |
Country | Belgium |
Sector | Academic/University |
PI Contribution | - proposal preparation - proposed work builds on models developed in the project |
Collaborator Contribution | - proposal preparation - secondment |
Impact | Funded ITN grant (1.5 ECR positions) |
Start Year | 2014 |
Description | Future of Science |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | video sparked discussions and information requests na |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2012 |
Description | Research&Future Impact Case studies |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A magazine, newsletter or online publication |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | sparked discussion na |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2012 |