📣 Help Shape the Future of UKRI's Gateway to Research (GtR)

We're improving UKRI's Gateway to Research and are seeking your input! If you would be interested in being interviewed about the improvements we're making and to have your say about how we can make GtR more user-friendly, impactful, and effective for the Research and Innovation community, please email gateway@ukri.org.

Illuminating the seismogenic zones of large, hazardous faults with seismic arrays

Lead Research Organisation: University of Edinburgh
Department Name: Sch of Geosciences

Abstract

Earth's tectonic plates move past each other at cracks in Earth's crust called faults. Faults move in diverse ways - some faults slowly creep, while others are locked until they suddenly move in catastrophic earthquakes. We now understand that faults are not discrete planes but are zones of deformation, metres to kilometres wide. Laboratory and numerical models tell us that the structure and properties of fault zones control how a fault moves, including governing the size, speed, depth and direction of earthquakes - all factors that determine how much damage results from fault motion. To understand where and how earthquakes occur, and what their rupture styles are likely to be, we therefore have to better discern fault zone structure and controls on seismogenic behaviour.

The best way to 'see' inside faults is by deploying seismic arrays above them. Advances in seismic technology and computing power now make deploying dense seismic arrays in remote areas feasible. I will use seismic arrays to investigate rarely studied but globally significant faults that offer answers to pressing questions in earthquake science. Why do some faults continuously creep whereas others slip in sudden earthquakes? Why do only a small proportion of recorded earthquakes rupture at supershear speeds, with a corresponding increase in ground shaking? How do large spatial (and temporal) temperature variations influence the rupture of faults that are co-located with active volcanoes? Addressing these questions is critical to our ability to mitigate seismic hazard and better understand the physics of faulting and earthquakes.
 
Description LeNS UK: Large N Seismology for the UK science community
Amount £647,331 (GBP)
Funding ID NE/Z503757/1 
Organisation Natural Environment Research Council 
Sector Public
Country United Kingdom
Start 08/2024 
End 09/2028
 
Description People-Centered Tsunami early Warning for the INdian coastlines (PCTWIN)
Amount £910,074 (GBP)
Funding ID NE/Z503496/1 
Organisation Natural Environment Research Council 
Sector Public
Country United Kingdom
Start 02/2024 
End 02/2028
 
Title A New 3-D crustal velocity model of Singapore 
Description A New 3-D Crustal Velocity Model of Singapore via a joint inversion of P-wave Polarization and Receiver function and H-k stacking analysis. 
Type Of Material Computer model/algorithm 
Year Produced 2025 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact Model shows near-surface structures in singapore including sediment thickness. It can be used for urban development, seismic hazard analysis and gives insight into singapore's geothermal potential. Publication that discusses model: https://doi.org/10.1785/0220240238 
URL https://zenodo.org/records/14724085
 
Title Kermadec 2021 refined earthquake catalogue and slip models 
Description Earthquake catalogue and slip models for 2021 Kermadec earthquake sequence. From Lythgoe et al, Earth and Planetary Science Letters (Accepted). The ruptures of the 2021 Mw7.4 and Mw8.1 doublet earthquake sequence in the Kermadec subduction zone are investigated and compared to the 1976 doublet that occurred at the same location. We find that although the 2021 mainshock likely re-ruptured the same asperity as the 1976 Mw7.9 event, the detailed slip distribution is different. Other ruptures in the doublets also differ in character and location. Our observations indicate the variability between large earthquakes on the same segment of the plate boundary in each earthquake cycle. This high-seismicity segment is coincident with an isolated forearc sedimentary basin, possibly formed by basal erosion related to seismogenesis, suggesting that seismic slip has persisted here for several million years. Refined up-dip aftershock and background seismicity focal mechanisms have a steeper dip angle than the slab interface, suggesting these events are located within the subducting oceanic slab, possibly forming a rougher plate interface that facilitates basal erosion. We conclude that the stress heterogeneity within this bounded seismogenic zone is long-lived and has produced a rich spectrum of earthquake ruptures. 
Type Of Material Database/Collection of data 
Year Produced 2024 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact This dataset allows other researchers to analyse the structure of the Kermadec subduction zone and the 2021 earthquakes. It allows other to reproduce the work in Lythgoe et al EPSL (2023). 
URL https://datashare.ed.ac.uk/handle/10283/8556
 
Description Collaboration with Badan Meteorologi, Klimatologi, dan Geofisika - BMKG, Indonesia 
Organisation Government of Indonesia
Department Meteorological, Climatological, and Geophysical Agency
Country Indonesia 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution Supervise PhD student Hasan Efendi - to start in April 2024.
Collaborator Contribution Contribute a PhD scholarship, joint supervision (with Dr Muzli) and seismic data.
Impact None yet
Start Year 2024
 
Description Collaboration with Earth Observatory of Singapore 
Organisation Earth Observatory of Singapore
Country Singapore 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution I am jointly supervising PhD student Win Oo regarding seismicity in the Central Myanmar Basin (we have a paper in preparation), and student Mingye Feng (paper published in 2023). I will jointly supervise a new PhD student with Lujia Feng.
Collaborator Contribution Prof Shengji Wei's team, including PhD students Win Oo and Mingye Feng, are analyzing seismic nodal array data. A new PhD student with Lujia Feng will analyse GNSS data from Andaman and Sumatra region.
Impact New PhD studentship funded by EOS. Feng, M., Wei., S., Chen, L., Umar, M., Lythgoe, K., Wang, T., Wu, Z.. (2023). Pervasive crustal volcanic mush in the highly stretched Sunda plate margin of northern Sumatra. Geophysical Research Letters, 50.
Start Year 2023
 
Description Collaboration with Purdue, on seismic daylight imaging 
Organisation Purdue University
Country United States 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Providing seismic data to analyse a postulated fault at a geothermal site and idea to develop a seismic method.
Collaborator Contribution Advice regarding data processing and analysis.
Impact Lythgoe, K., Li, Y., Wei, S., Poh, J., Tjiawi, H. (2023), Fault zone identification using seismic noise autocorrelations at a prospective geothermal site in Singapore, EAGE Near-surface Geophysics Expanded Abstracts, 1-5.
Start Year 2023
 
Description Collaboration with Syiah Kuala University, Banda Aceh, Indonesia 
Organisation Syiah Kuala University
Country Indonesia 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution I led and funded the acquisition of seismic array data in Aceh, Sumatra. I am analyzing this data to investigate characteristics of seismicity in the fault system.
Collaborator Contribution The Aceh team led by Prof Muksin Umar have followed a conventional workflow to detect earthquakes and conduct travel time tomography. One PhD student (Arif) is preparing a manuscript on seismicity, another student (Nadiatul Asra) is lead author on a submitted manuscript focusing on the secondary Pidia Jaya Fault system.
Impact Lythgoe, K., U. Muksin, Arifullah, A. Simanjuntak, and Wei, S., (2022). Striking out into the field to track slip on the Sumatran fault. Eos, 103, https://doi.org/10.1029/2022EO220140 Asra, N. Umar M., Muzli, Arifullah, Wei S., Simanjuntak A., Muchlis, Muzakir Z., Idris, Y., Jousset P., Nugraha A. D., Hendrawan Palgunadi K., Lythgoe, K.. Geometry and characteristics of the Pidia Jaya Fault System (Northern Sumatra) from refined seismicity and tomography. (In Review at Journal of Asian Earth Sciences).
Start Year 2020
 
Description Collaboration with UCL and Indian National Centre for Ocean Information Services (INCOIS) 
Organisation Indian National Centre for Ocean Information Services
Country India 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution I am leading the analysis of seismic data for seismic and tsuami hazard assessment in offshore areas surrounding India.
Collaborator Contribution INCOIS are providing seismic data and jointly conducting analysis. UCL are leading the project overall and taking the learnings from the seismic component for tsunami modelling.
Impact We are awaiting official award commencement from UKRI.
Start Year 2024
 
Description Collaboration with UCL and Indian National Centre for Ocean Information Services (INCOIS) 
Organisation University College London
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution I am leading the analysis of seismic data for seismic and tsuami hazard assessment in offshore areas surrounding India.
Collaborator Contribution INCOIS are providing seismic data and jointly conducting analysis. UCL are leading the project overall and taking the learnings from the seismic component for tsunami modelling.
Impact We are awaiting official award commencement from UKRI.
Start Year 2024
 
Description Collaboration with Victoria University of Wellington, NZ 
Organisation Victoria University of Wellington
Country New Zealand 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution I am supervising a Masters student and co-supervising a PhD student using SALSA data to image the subsurface around the Alpine Fault, NZ.
Collaborator Contribution Contributed new seismic data from the SALSA array.
Impact No outcomes yet
Start Year 2023
 
Description Dynamic Earth Careers Showcase 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Schools
Results and Impact Had a stall at the Dynamic Earth Careers Showcase representing the School of Geosciences in Edinburgh, and geophysics generally. Set up a raspberry shake to display live seismic data with audience participation. Inspired students to get involved in geophysics.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2025