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UK Emission Measurement System

Lead Research Organisation: University of Bristol
Department Name: Chemistry

Abstract

The UK government has committed through the Climate Change Act 2008 to achieving net zero greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 2050 and the Sixth Carbon Budget brings greater clarity and guidance on the pathway the UK must follow. Beneath the ambition is a highly complex societal challenge to which we are seeking definitive outcomes. An outcome we can only be confident in achieving with empirical evidence: how will we know we have progressed towards and achieved net zero balance across the UK? An outcome which can only be delivered with understanding, engagement, and action from all relevant key stakeholder groups: how do we operationalise and efficiently make accessible GHG data to enable net zero actions? The solution is a near "real-time" feedback loop, providing diagnostic and analytical insight, monitoring nationwide emissions. Whilst being agnostic of specific policies, strategies and plans, this system would enable tracking of the impacts due to policy intervention and identification of unintended consequences.

With advances in science and technology, we are now in the position to move towards a nationwide, observations-based, policy agnostic and timely assessment of GHG emissions. This new assessment complements the current emissions inventory, which typically takes 2 years to compile, and goes beyond the reporting of the Act's legal framework. An observations-based estimates of GHG emissions would provide UK government, industry and citizens with the near real time data that are needed to act with confidence in delivering net zero. The need for an emissions "live dashboard" and importance of direct measurement was referenced by Patrick Vallance, UK Government Chief Scientific Advisor in an article in The Times (10 August 2021).

The UK science community is already working in collaboration with, and for, Government to support net zero ambitions and societal transformation. Essential to the support of both is an integrated, common-use, traceable GHG Emissions Measurement System (EMS) providing regional, temporal and activity-based data to inform and monitor emissions that is run on a long-term operational basis.

Publications

10 25 50
 
Description This work aims to build a prototype "operational" greenhouse gas emissions evaluation system for the UK. Emissions estimate of a suite of greenhouse gases from the University of Bristol, the Met Office and the University of Edinburgh have been developed and inter-compared, highlighting areas of disagreement with the UK inventory. Software frameworks have been developed to produce reproducible pipelines for observation-based emissions inference. New measurement stations have been established at Jodrell Bank and Invergowrie. The results of this work have been presented to key stakeholders at DESNZ through a purpose-built dashboard.
Exploitation Route The beginnings of an operational emissions evaluation system are now in place, and could underpin a future long-term system for the UK.
Sectors Environment

Government

Democracy and Justice

 
Description Research from this project underpinned oral evidence given to the House of Lords Environment & Climate Change Committee report on methane (2024).
First Year Of Impact 2024
Sector Environment,Government, Democracy and Justice
Impact Types Policy & public services

 
Description Oral evidence to House of Lords Environment and Climate Change Select Committee inquiry on methane
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to a national consultation/review
URL https://parliamentlive.tv/event/index/cfba1e9b-1fa6-4182-86b7-2b2a52e3b18b
 
Description Massachusetts Institute of Technology 
Organisation Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Country United States 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution I collaborate closely with Prof. Ron Prinn, who is PI of the AGAGE network, at MIT, Cambridge, MA, USA.
Collaborator Contribution Access to data, model development
Impact The collaboration has so far involved several joint publications (e.g. Rigby et al., 2013; 2014) and invited visits to MIT.
Start Year 2012
 
Description Met Office 
Organisation Meteorological Office UK
Department Hadley Centre
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Expertise in inverse methods
Collaborator Contribution Exertise in atmospheric modelling
Impact Publications.
Start Year 2012
 
Title OpenGHG 
Description A toolkit for greenhouse gas data analysis 
Type Of Technology Software 
Year Produced 2022 
Open Source License? Yes  
Impact Software is being used to evaluate the UK's greenhouse gas emissions 
 
Description DEFRA F-gas international team 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Meetings with the Defra F-GAS international team to discuss global updates on F-gases
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2023,2024,2025
 
Description DESNZ Inventory Team Meetings 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Meetings with the DESNZ Inventory SICE teams to discuss emission estimates and improvements to the inventory.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2023,2024,2025