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STORMS: Strategies and Tools for Resilience of Buried Infrastructure to Meteorological Shocks

Lead Research Organisation: Centre for Ecology & Hydrology
Department Name: Hydro-climate Risks

Abstract

Buried infrastructure systems are vulnerable to meteorological shocks or extreme weather events, such as floods and droughts due to extreme precipitation, as well as extreme temperatures. Such events can lead to soil movement, thermal contraction and expansion, and sinkholes, among other problems. Despite the urgency, our society is not well prepared for the impacts of these shocks on buried infrastructure. Our understanding of where the risk is and how much it is remains poor, because existing risk assessment tools do not comprehensively consider impacts from both flood water and subsurface moisture/temperature variations. The extent to which the UK's buried infrastructure can cope with a significant weather event, or 'shock', is unclear. Such understanding is crucial for developing effective resilience strategies.

This project aims to develop a comprehensive weather-related risk assessment framework for buried infrastructure, which include cables and pipes vital to cities and urban lives. The framework will be applied to understand the potential impacts of weather events and climate change on these infrastructures. The project team will also co-develop adaptation measures with stakeholders to increase resilience to these extreme events.

The aim will be accomplished through five interrelated work packages. This includes 1) creating a broad-scale modelling methodology for hydrological conditions; 2) identifying current and future hydrological and meteorological scenarios posing risks to buried infrastructure; 3) employing advanced hydrodynamic modelling and vulnerability analysis to understand how buried pipes and cables respond to varying conditions; 4) integrating the developed models and datasets for a comprehensive risk assessment, and 5) co-developing resilience and adaptation strategies with stakeholders.

The project is expected to deliver significant societal and economic impacts. By enhancing decision-making capabilities among infrastructure operators and utility companies, the research can lead to fewer service disruptions, potential cost savings, and increased resilience of infrastructure systems in the face of meteorological shocks and climate change.

The project leverages expertise across multiple institutions, including the University of Birmingham, UK Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, and British Geological Survey, to address a critical challenge - the resilience of buried infrastructure to meteorological shocks, demonstrating excellent value for money by capitalising on significant investments in models, facilities, and national datasets. The anticipated outcome of this research program, including the tools and data that will be made available on the DAFNI platform, promises long-term value.

Publications

10 25 50
 
Title Widespread rainfall events over UK based on UKCP18 CPM projections 
Description This is a set of 36000 simulated widespread events, based on UKCP18 CPM projections, and simulated using Empirical Copula techniques. These events are characterised by having a minimum extent and a minimum point-wise return period. They are based on 3 timeslices: baseline (1980-2000), near-future (2020-2040) and far-future (2060-2080). These events are designed for use in risk modelling and as boundary conditions for hydrological and hydraulic modelling. This data is available through the DAFNI platform, as well as through the EIDC. 
Type Of Material Database/Collection of data 
Year Produced 2025 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact This data has been used to calibrate hydraulic models which estimate national risk to buried infrastructure, and is being used to analyse changes in widespread rainfall events across the UK over time, and differences in characteristics in these events. 
 
Description New relationship with utility sector 
Organisation Northumbrian Water
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Private 
PI Contribution The team has developed a comprehensive climate risk assessment framework to quantify climate risk to buried utility networks.
Collaborator Contribution The partners have engaged in the project discussions and provided their data for the project team to develop their models.
Impact New climate risk assessment model for buried infrastructure to be made available on the DAFNI platform.
Start Year 2024
 
Description New relationship with utility sector 
Organisation Thames Water Utilities Limited
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Private 
PI Contribution The team has developed a comprehensive climate risk assessment framework to quantify climate risk to buried utility networks.
Collaborator Contribution The partners have engaged in the project discussions and provided their data for the project team to develop their models.
Impact New climate risk assessment model for buried infrastructure to be made available on the DAFNI platform.
Start Year 2024
 
Description DAFNI-DINI Showcase (Data & Analytics Facility for National Infrastructure - Data Infrastructure for National Infrastructure), 12 March 2025 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact The purpose of the event was to showcase the DAFNI-DINI (Data & Analytics Facility for National Infrastructure - Data Infrastructure for National Infrastructure) projects funded by DSIT to the government, stakeholders and other project teams. The STORMS project was one of the use cases presented. Project results and government needs were discussed, and recommendations synthesised across projects with next steps identified.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2025
URL https://www.linkedin.com/posts/dafni-facility-for-national-infrastructure_dafni-dini-showcase-12-mar...
 
Description Engagement with Humber Industrial Cluster 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Industry/Business
Results and Impact The STORMS demonstrator was also showcased to the academic lead of the Humber Industrial Cluster funded through the UKRI Industrial Decarbonisation Challenge. There is significant interest in the risks to buried pipe infrastructure, particularly due to its potential for reuse in transporting hydrogen, which could play a key role in achieving industrial net-zero goals.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2024
 
Description User engagement workshop 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Industry/Business
Results and Impact The project results were presented to Cadent Gas, LUBUD and National Grid and feedback was received.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2024