MISTRAL: Multi-scale Infrastructure Systems Analytics

Lead Research Organisation: University of Oxford
Department Name: Environmental Change Institute SoGE

Abstract

National infrastructure provides essential services to a modern economy: energy, transport, digital communications, water supply, flood protection, and waste water / solid waste collection, treatment and disposal. The OECD estimates that globally US$53 trillion of infrastructure investment will be needed by 2030. The UK's National Infrastructure Plan set out over £460 billion of investment in the next decade, but is not yet known what effect that investment will have on the quality and reliability of national infrastructure services, the size of the economy, the resilience of society or its impacts upon the environment. Such a gap in knowledge exists because of the sheer complexity of infrastructure networks and their interactions with people and the environment. That means that there is too much guesswork, and too many untested assumptions in the planning, appraisal and design of infrastructure, from European energy networks to local drainage systems.

Our vision is for infrastructure decisions to be guided by systems analysis. When this vision is realised, decision makers will have access to, and visualisation of, information that tells them how all infrastructure systems are performing. They will have models that help to pinpoint vulnerabilities and quantify the risks of failure. They will be able to perform 'what-if' analysis of proposed investments and explore the effects of future uncertainties, such as population growth, new technologies and climate change.

The UK Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC) is a consortium of seven UK universities, led by the University of Oxford, which has developed unique capability in infrastructure systems analysis, modelling and decision making. Thanks to an EPSRC Programme Grant (2011-2015) the ITRC has developed and demonstrated the world's first family of national infrastructure system models (NISMOD) for analysis and long-term planning of interdependent infrastructure systems. The research is already beng used by utility companies, engineering consultants, the Institution of Civil Engineers and many parts of the UK government, to analyse risks and inform billions of pounds worth of better infrastructure decisions. Infrastructure UK is now using NISMOD to analyse the National Infrastructure Plan.

The aim of MISTRAL is to develop and demonstrate a highly integrated analytics capability to inform strategic infrastructure decision making across scales, from local to global. MISTRAL will thereby radically extend infrastructure systems analysis capability:
- Downscale: from ITRC's pioneering representation of national networks to the UK's 25.7 million households and 5.2 million businesses, representing the infrastructure services they demand and the multi-scale networks through which these services are delivered.
- Upscale: from the national perspective to incorporate global interconnections via telecommunications, transport and energy networks.
- Across-scale: to other national settings outside the UK, where infrastructure needs are greatest and where systems analysis represents a huge business opportunity for UK engineering firms.
These research challenges urgently need to be tackled because infrastructure systems are interconnected across scales and prolific technological innovation is now occurring that will exploit, or may threaten, that interconnectedness. MISTRAL will push the frontiers of system research in order to quantify these opportunities and risks, providing the evidence needed to plan, invest in and design modern, sustainable and resilient infrastructure services.

Five years ago, proposing theory, methodology and network models that stretched from the household to the globe, and from the UK to different national contexts would not have been credible. Now the opportunity for multi-scale modelling is coming into sight, and ITRC, perhaps uniquely, has the capacity and ambition to take on that challenge in the MISTRAL programme.

Planned Impact

The aim of MISTRAL is to develop and demonstrate the next generation of models, methods and tools that are needed to inform strategic infrastructure system decision making across scales from local to global. The decision makers who are responsible for strategic infrastructure planning, investment and design, work in government departments, regulators, utility companies and their consultants. This includes organisations like Infrastructure UK, Department for Transport, DECC, the Committee on Climate Change, Ofcom, the Environment Agency, RWE, BP, Shell, National Grid, Network Rail, Thames Water, SITA, CH2M, KPMG, JBA and Volterra, who are all partners in MISTRAL.

MISTRAL is intended to provide decision makers with insights that hitherto have not been available to inform crucial questions: How will infrastructure systems perform in the context of major future changes like population growth, technological change and climate change? What would be the benefits of investing in new infrastructure capacity or of endeavouring to manage demand for infrastructure services? Where are the most vulnerable points in infrastructure networks? How much is it worth investing to reduce the risk of catastrophic failure? We are answering some of these questions already, based on ITRC's first Programme Grant; for example identifying critical points in the transport network following the disruptive weather in the winter of 2013/14; and analysing the benefits of the £460billion of investments in the National Infrastructure Plan. MISTRAL will extend our analytical capability across different scales of decision making, thereby also helping to inform decision makers in devolved administrations and local authorities. With increasing devolution of decision making powers, organisations like the Greater London Authority, Transport for London, Newcastle City Council and Transport for Greater Manchester are taking increasing responsibility for infrastructure planning. We aim to have MISTRAL's infastructure system analytics being used and informing decisions by governments, utilities and regulators at a range of scales in the UK.

MISTRAL looks upscale to understand the interdependencies between UK infrastructure systems, the EU and the world. This is of particular importance in the energy, transport, telecommunications and waste sectors. Global infrastructure networks are also of great interest to the European Investment Bank and other international investors, OECD and insurers such as Willis and Zurich Re. We will work with UK knowledge-based businesses, such as Arup and Atkins, to strengthen comparative advantage in the global infrastructure market. We aim for MISTRAL's capabilities to be used in infrastructure planning, design and analysis around the world. By working in countries like China and the UAE, where huge sums are being invested in infrastructure, we will seek to inform infrastructure decisions and demonstrate how infrastructure systems could be steered towards more sustainable outcomes. By working with the UN's infrastructure organisation, UNOPS, we intend to improve post-disaster and post-conflict infrastructure planning.

Technologies companies like Microsoft, Siemens and Improbable Worlds also want to be involved in MISTRAL because of the new datasets we will assemble, the new analytical methods we will develop and the glimpses that the research might provide of the future. We for MISTRAL's national infrastructure database to become a shared national resource, and a focal point for research and industrial collaboration.

Ultimately, consumers of infrastructure services will benefit from infrastructure systems that are more efficient, reliable, resilient and affordable. We will dedicate effort to communicating the benefits of engineering systems research, so that members of the public can engage in on an informed basis in important infrastructure decisions.

Organisations

 
Description We are just over one year into the MISTRAL research programme. We can report the following progress and research findings:

1. National infrastructure system model (NISMOD) development and application
• NISMOD was used to support analysis for National Needs Assessment conducted by the Institution of Civil Engineers in 2016
• Ongoing collaboration with National Infrastructure Commission in support of National Infrastructure Assessment
• 'Fast track' development of NISMOD2.0 for early April 2017 milestone.
• Main developments in NISMOD2.0:
Population:
• New household-level microsimulation model
Housing:
• Building characterisation for all UK buildings
Energy:
• Local 'energy hub' model.
• Better treatment of intermittency and demand response
• Higher spatial resolution national/continental model
Transport:
• Higher resolution multi-modal model
Digital Communication:
• Geospatial analysis of digital connectivity and roll-out (fixed, mobile, satellite)
• Input to NIC 5G study
Water:
• Integration of WATHNET national model used for the Water UK 'national framework' study.
• Incorporation of energy use and waste water treatment
Urban drainage:
• High resolution of simulation of urban flooding and investment in sewer networks
Flooding:
• Work with EA to update and integrate the Long Term Investment Strategy model
Solid waste:
• Higher resolution model of waste arising, transportation, treatment and disposal
Decision analysis:
• Uncertainties, trade-offs and optimisation

2. Analysis of infrastructure network resilience:
• Pinpointing key vulnerabilities in transport networks (Lloyds Science of Risk Prize 2016)
• Regional economic impacts of infrastructure network failure
• Climate adaptation and interdependencies methodology and analysis for HS2
• Climate resilient infrastructure investment appraisal for World Bank and Asian Development Bank

3. Econometric analysis of the relationship between infrastructure and regional economic growth

4. Development of a spatial Agent-Based Model of housing and infrastructure

5. Development of an international version of the NISMOD system, comprising of a 'process' for national infrastructure assessment and a computer based 'platform' to support infrastructure assessment.
• We have conducted a 'Fast Track' infrastructure assessment in the West Bank and Gaza for the UN and the Palestinian Authority.
• We are exploring other applications, including with the National Agenda for the Future of Syria and with the UN in Curacao.
Exploitation Route Our methodologies, datasets and tools are already being taken forwards for national infrastructure assessment in the UK (e.g. by the National Infrastructure Commission) and internationally by the UN.
Sectors Construction,Digital/Communication/Information Technologies (including Software),Energy,Environment,Financial Services, and Management Consultancy,Security and Diplomacy,Transport

 
Description • NISMOD was used to support analysis for National Needs Assessment conducted by the Institution of Civil Engineers in 2016 • Ongoing collaboration with National Infrastructure Commission in support of National Infrastructure Assessment • Pinpointing key vulnerabilities in transport networks (Lloyds Science of Risk Prize 2016) • Climate adaptation and interdependencies methodology and analysis for HS2 • Climate resilient infrastructure investment appraisal for World Bank and Asian Development Bank • We have conducted a 'Fast Track' infrastructure assessment in the West Bank and Gaza for the UN and the Palestinian Authority and have developed a geospatial platform to inform infrastructure decision making in Palestine. This method has also been applied in Curacao, with engagement at ministerial level. A Fast Track analysis is under way in St Lucia
First Year Of Impact 2016
Sector Construction,Digital/Communication/Information Technologies (including Software),Energy,Environment,Financial Services, and Management Consultancy,Transport
Impact Types Societal,Economic,Policy & public services

 
Description A Cooper (Policy & Engagement Director), S Varma (Policy Advisor), and S Hayes (Senior Economic Adviser) of the NIC met with J Hall of the ITRC on 17/11/2017 to discuss the Digital Twin Pilot Project Scoping
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact A Cooper (Policy & Engagement Director), S Varma (Policy Advisor), and S Hayes (Senior Economic Adviser) of the NIC met with J Hall of the ITRC on 17/11/2017 to discuss the Digital Twin Pilot Project Scoping
 
Description A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue - The NIC met with the ITRC on 03/07/2017 to discuss: energy; transport; water, climate, next phase of modelling and other issues
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact Andrea Silberman, Bianca Letti and Jack Large of the NIC met with Jim Hall, Matt Ives and Dan Adshead of the ITRC on 03/07/2017 to discuss ? Energy: New model runs; fuel price sensitivity analysis ?  Transport: Congestion metric; impact of a sensitivity analysis on car costs, GVA, fares ?  Water: Climate change update, abstraction reform, PCC reductions ?  Other: Asset maintenance, baselines (Jim Hall), next phase of modelling
 
Description A member of the NIC met Simon Blainey and John Preston of the ITRC on 11/07/2017 to discuss the modelling results produced by NIC using NISMOD and DfT models
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact A member of the NIC met Simon Blainey and John Preston of the ITRC on 11/07/2017 to discuss the modelling results produced by NIC using NISMOD and DfT models
 
Description A member of the NIC met with A Stringfellow from the ITRC on 28/02/2017 to hold a solid waste workshop.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact Consideration of future infrastructure with respect to solid waste.
 
Description A member of the NIC met with D Cleevely of the ITRC during June 2017 to discuss ?  Digital Communications
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact A member of the NIC met with D Cleevely of the ITRC during June 2017 to discuss ?  Digital Communications
 
Description A member of the NIC met with Modassar Chaudry from the ITRC 26 April 2017 to give advice on modelling some key parameters for the imminent NIC scenarios
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact A member of the National Infrastructure Commission met with Modassar Chaudry from the ITRC 26 April 2017 to give advice on modelling some key parameters for the imminent NIC scenarios
 
Description A member of the NIC met with W Powrie, K Roberts, Geoff Watson, and A Stringfellow on 16/06/2016 to discuss continued on-line engagement with NIC.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact A member of the NIC met with W Powrie, K Roberts, Geoff Watson, and A Stringfellow on 16/06/2016 to discuss continued on-line engagement with NIC.
 
Description A member of the NIC received assistance from G Watson and K Roberts of the ITRC during September 2017 with reference to solid waste.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact A member of the NIC received assistance from G Watson and K Roberts of the ITRC during September 2017 with reference to solid waste.
 
Description A member of the National Infrastructure Commission met with Ralitsa Hiteva from the ITRC on 27/01/2017 to discuss NIC staff training on infrastructure
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Membership of a guideline committee
Impact A member of the National Infrastructure Commission met with Ralitsa Hiteva from the ITRC on 27/01/2017 to discuss NIC staff training on infrastructure
 
Description A member of the National Infrastructure Commission met with Ralitsa Hiteva on 31/01/2017 to discuss urban transport
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Membership of a guideline committee
Impact A member of the National Infrastructure Commission met with Ralitsa Hiteva on 31/01/2017 to discuss urban transport
 
Description A second Impact Accelerator Award (IAA) to be funded by EPSRC to provide ITRC's national infrastructure assessment capabilities to the newly-formed National Infrastructure Commission (NIC)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact In October of 2017 the NIC produced their Interim National Infrastructure Assessment which featured assessments of future demands for infrastructure services based on modelling outputs from ITRC's NISMOD tool. This collaboration will continue until the end of June 2018 culminating in the release of the NIC's full National Infrastructure Assessment. ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s: Hall J; ITRC/MistralRresearchers External participant/s: The Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC)
URL https://www.nic.org.uk/publications/congestion-capacity-carbon-priorities-for-national-infrastructur...
 
Description Alexa Bruce (Environment Lead) of the NIC met with Jim Hall of the ITRC on 25/01/2018 to request Mistral's perspective on the NIC's approach to risk management (as against the costs of such) to establish the level of drought resilience. A Peer Review Roundtable was set-up.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact Alexa Bruce (Environment Lead) of the NIC met with Jim Hall of the ITRC to request Mistral's perspective on the NIC's approach to risk management (as against the costs of such) to establish the level of drought resilience. A Peer Review Roundtable was set-up.
 
Description Andrea Silberman, Bianca Letti, and J Large of the NIC met with S Blainey and Matt Ives of the ITRC on 25/05/2017 to discuss ?  Meeting with Department of Transport modellers ?  Updates on energy and waste model runs
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact Andrea Silberman, Bianca Letti, and J Large of the NIC met with S Blainey and Matt Ives of the ITRC on 25/05/2017 to discuss ?  Meeting with Department of Transport modellers - questions relating to the working of NISMOD transport and DfT models. ?  Updates on energy and waste model runs
 
Description Andrea Silberman, Bianca Letti, and Jack Large from the NIC met with S Barr and C Robson from the ITRC during May 2017 to discuss the incorporation of NIC scenarios within the current NISMOD system.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact Andrea Silberman, Bianca Letti, and Jack Large from the NIC met with S Barr and C Robson from the ITRC during May 2017 to discuss the incorporation of NIC scenarios within the current NISMOD system.
 
Description Announcement of MISTRAL: Multi-scale Infrastructure Systems Analytics - led by Professor Jim Hall, University of Oxford EP/N017064/1 (26/02/2016)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact MISTRAL: Multi-scale Infrastructure Systems Analytics - led by Professor Jim Hall, University of Oxford EP/N017064/1 - which builds on previous EPSRC investment in the UK Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC), a consortium of seven UK universities, led by Oxford, which has developed unique capability in infrastructure systems analysis, modelling and decision making. ITRC's vision is for infrastructure decisions to be guided by systems analysis. When this vision is realised, decision makers will have access to, and visualisation of, information that tells them how all infrastructure systems are performing. They will have models that help to pinpoint vulnerabilities and quantify the risks of failure. They will be able to perform 'what-if' analysis of proposed investments and explore the effects of future uncertainties, such as population growth, new technologies and climate change. Five years ago, proposing theory, methodology and network models that stretched from the household to the globe, and from the UK to different national contexts would not have been credible. Now the opportunity for multi-scale modelling is coming into sight, and ITRC, perhaps uniquely, has the capacity and ambition to take on that challenge in the MISTRAL programme. Internal participant: Hall J External funding body: Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC)
URL https://www.epsrc.ac.uk/newsevents/news/systemsanalysis/
 
Description Anticipating disruption: At the nexus of technology and infrastructure. Roundtable review by KPMG (30/11/2017)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact A roundtable discussion addressing the questions: - In which infrastructure sectors do you expect to see the greatest technological disruption? - How can infrastructure and government leaders prepare for disruption? - Will technology allow less developed nations to `leap frog' the centuries of investments made in the mature markets. ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s: Hall J External participant/s: Dr. Rick Geddes, Professor, Department of Policy Analysis and Management, Cornell University Darran Anderson, Director of Strategy and Innovation, Texas Department of Transportation Shashi Verma, Chief Technology Officer, Transport for London James Stewart; Vice Chair responsible for Industrial Strategy, Geo-politics and Brexit, KPMG Emily Dann; Senior Marketing Manager, Global Infrastructure, KPMG Global Resource Centre
URL https://home.kpmg.com/xx/en/home/insights/2017/11/anticipating-disruption-technology-and-infrastruct...
 
Description Bianca Letti and J Large of the NIC met with Matt Ives on 15/05/2017 to discuss ?  Transport: issues related to demand growth, elasticity, sensitivity testing; model changes for rail electrification ?  Updates on energy and waste model runs ? Updates to exchange rates and fuel price scenarios ?  NIC recommendations for reporting tool
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact Bianca Letti and Jack Large of the NIC met with Matt Ives on 15/05/2017 to discuss ?  Transport: issues related to demand growth, elasticity, sensitivity testing; model changes for rail electrification ?  Updates on energy and waste model runs ? Updates to exchange rates and fuel price scenarios ?  NIC recommendations for reporting tool
 
Description Bianca Letti from the NIC met Dan Adshead, Matt Ives, and Will Usher from the ITRC on 10/11/2016 to discuss a broad catch up on ITRC/NIC work & NIC technology scenarios."
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact Bianca Letti from the NIC met Dan Adshead, Matt Ives, and Will Usher from the ITRC on 10/11/2016 to discuss ? a broad catch up on ITRC/NIC work ? NIC technology scenarios.
 
Description COASTAL ADAPTATION SEMINAR 2016, Singapore, 27 May 2016
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact Coastal Adaptation Study International Panel of Experts (CASIPE) 2016 Singapore Session: The Future of National Infrastructure. Seminar to present the aims of the ITRC and Mistral projects. To develop and demonstrate a new generation of simulation models and tools to inform the analysis, planning and design of national infrastructure. To additionally introduce The Future of National Infrastructure Systems-of-Systems Approach. Speaker: Prof. Robert Nicholls University of Southampton, United Kingdom Coastal Adaptation study Influenced the resulting conference report: Building and Construction Authority Annual Report 2015/16 Internal participant/s: Nicholls R External participant/s: Kees d'Angremond; Prof. (Distinguished Diplomate, Emeritus Professor, Consultant, Zevenhoven, Netherlands) Gerald E Galloway, Jr.; PE PhD. (Glenn L Martin Institute Professor of Engineering, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering and an Affiliate Professor, School of Public Policy, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland, USA.) Warren Day; Warren Day Consulting) Vladan Babovic, Assoc. Prof. (Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, National University of Singapore) Calvin Chung (Engineer at Reclamation, Singapore) Natarajan Senthil Kumar (Executive Project Manager, Coastal Protection Department, Built Environment Technology Centre, Building and Construction Authority, Singapore) V Sundar, Prof Indian Institute of technology Madras Department of Ocean Engineering
URL https://www.bca.gov.sg/AboutUs/BCA_Annual_Report/BCA%20AR%202015-16_v19-lr.pdf
 
Description CambsNotspotter hackathon seeking solutions to Cambridge's mobile connectivity issues (18/11/2017)
Geographic Reach Local/Municipal/Regional 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a advisory committee
Impact Outcome: Pitch 1 - mobile phone app to aid navigation via areas of known strong data connectivity Pitch 2 - Incorporate fibre broadband and small localised wifi routers into new transport routes on greenways Pitch 3 - using available data, major existing transport routes were identified as having poor data connectivity, leading to the proposal that focus should be given to adding connectivity infrastructure to those routes ? Link: http://www.cambridgeahead.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/CambsNotspotterHack-Briefing-Pack-revised-Nov-2017.pdf ? Link: http://www.cambridgeahead.co.uk/hackathon2017/ ? Link: http://cambridgehack.com/better-mobile-hack/ Internal participants Oughton E Frias Z External participants Bob Driver, CEO, Cambridge Wireless (Judge) Tim Winchcomb, Technology Strategy Consultant, Cambridge Consultants Sam Massey, Senior Analyst, Cambridge Consultants Laura Trevail, Affiliate Context Strategist, TravelSpirit Steve Unger, Group Director and Board Member, Ofcom (Judge) Emma Fletcher, MD, SmithsonHill Gabrielle Hibberd, Cofinitive (Event Organiser) Dominic Bowles, CambridgeHack (Event Organiser)
URL http://www.cambridgeahead.co.uk/hackathon2017/
 
Description Changing Commutes and the Changing Future of Urban Transport (11/09/2017 - 12/09/2017)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact This seminar investigates how working spaces and places in cities are changing and what this means for urban systems in terms of infrastructure, urban design and planning. Key questions to be examined include: - How diverse are the working spaces and places of workers in cities? - How are working spaces transformed into workplaces? - Where is formal/informal/precarious work undertaken; in what urban sites and places, and what spaces do these create? - Are new hybrid places emerging in cities? How regulated/formalized are these? - How do we have to rethink 'the journey to work', formal vs. informal work(spaces), private vs. public spaces and corporate vs. social spaces in cities? The seminar is interdisciplinary and international in nature with speakers from geography, architecture, planning, economics, management, sociology and engineering presenting new research findings and theoretical insights into changing working patterns in Russia, Italy, Spain, Greece, Germany, the Netherlands and the UK. ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s: Blainey SP External participant/s: International Infrastructure Experts/Policy Makers
URL https://www.southampton.ac.uk/geography/news/events/2017/09/changingworkplaces.page
 
Description Cyber Infrastructure Meeting (proposed) (29/09/2017)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC)/(Multi-scale InfraSTRucture systems AnaLytics) MISTRAL investigation of the suitability of working with The National Cyber Security Centre (NCSC, part of GCHQ), the University of Cambridge Judge Business School, and Lockheed Martin. They have approached ITRC wanting to collaborate with our projects MISTRAL/Data and Analytics Facility for National Infrastructure (DAFNI). This is a fact-finding meeting.
 
Description Data exchanges between ITRC/Mistral and Network Rail
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a advisory committee
Impact ITRC/Mistral requested the following information from Network Rail as part of the collaboration between both groups: • Shapefile of rail network (including number of tracks on each link and station locations) • Maximum speeds for line sections - linked to shapefile of network • Any data on route capacity (e.g. signal spacings?) - linked to network shapefile data • Any data on current crowding levels by service/route • Timetable data including both passenger and freight services (CIF format is fine) • OD flow data for passengers (LENNON or similar) plus associated routing data (MOIRA?) if available • Fault management system (FMS) data - or any aggregated data analysis of that • Interdependent asset locations mapping, e.g. locations of utility systems - shapefile or excel with coordinates information Plus: • Network Rail's climate change adaptation strategy, which you mentioned in the meeting. • Plans made for additional meetings in a few week's time. • Also possibly to discuss interactions with the Cabinet Office's Resilience Direct work. ITRC/Mistral researchers: Blainey SP; Pant R; Hall JW Network Rail researchers: Lisa Constable, Weather Resilience and Climate Change Adaptation Strategy Manager, Network Rail Caroline Lowe, Advanced Data Analytics, Network Rail Christopher Wynne-Cowlin, Support Services Manager, Network rail
URL http://www.itrc.org.uk/rail-network-vulnerabilities/#.WqKqqGrFJaQ
 
Description Designing a road traffic model for the cross-sectoral analysis of future national infrastructure', 5th International Symposium for Next Generation Infrastructure, London (11-13/09/2017)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact The International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI) meeting in 2017 brought together a global community of infrastructure academics, policy and industry professionals. The event aimed to share progress, knowledge and new thinking, and a number of ITRC-MISTRAL's researchers presented their work. A presentation describing NISMOD v1 (2011 - 2015) - the first family of models to analyse the long-term performance, plans, and risks and vulnerabilities of the national infrastructure under future uncertainty. Included, amongst many other factors: - Integration of capacity, demand and risk modelling frameworks - System model with packages of policy interventions - Global connectivity: integration with international demand/supply nodes at model boundaries - Risk and resilience ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s: Lovric M; Blainey S; Preston JM External participant/s: 5th International Symposium for Next Generation Infrastructure
URL http://www.itrc.org.uk/designing-a-road-traffic-model-for-the-cross-sectoral-analysis-of-future-nati...
 
Description Disaster Resilient Infrastructure Conference, New Delhi, India (15/01/2018 to 16/01/2018)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact A slide presentation: Infrastructure development challenges. Themes covered included opportunities being created through the emergence of newly available global infrastructure network datasets, the role of infrastructure development as a key to addressing many of the sustainable development goals (SDG's), and infrastructure vulnerability assessment methodology, examples being China and New Zealand. The next step will be the development of an evidence based infrastructure assessment framework (EBIDF). ? Outputs & outcomes: Dr Raghav Pant provided a slide presentation 'Infrastructure development challenges' to conference for Technical Session 1 (TS-1 Contd.) Transport and Energy sectors. Chair : Mr Aromar Revi , Director -Indian Institute for Human Settlements, Coordinating Lead, Author of the 2018 IPCC Special Report on Global Warming Co-Chair : Ms Susanne Ursula Krings, National Expert, Federal Office of Civil Protection and Disaster Assistance (BBK), Germany ? Link: http://ndma.gov.in/iwdri/ppts/15jan/TS-1/2/IWDRI2018_TS1_Pant_Oxford%20UK.pdf ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s: Hall J External participant/s: National Disaster Management Authority in India Kamal Kishore; Member, National Disaster Management Authority Supriya Krishnan; Member, National Disaster Management Authority
URL http://ndma.gov.in/iwdri/programme.html
 
Description Disaster Resilient Infrastructure, National Disaster Management Authority in India (15/01/2018 to 16/01/2018)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact ? Outputs & outcomes: Email from Prof Hall to Kamal Kishore (Member, National Disaster Management Authority) describing the ITRC/Mistral research on developing methodology to analyse vulnerabilities within transport networks. Some insights into ITRC's interactions with national government provided by attachment of 'Strategic analysis of the future of national infrastructure' (https://www.icevirtuallibrary.com/doi/abs/10.1680/jcien.16.00018). In addition ITRC's influence in the recent Vision and Priorities (https://www.nic.org.uk/our-work/national-infrastructure-assessment/) document published by the National Infrastructure Commission and in the Institution of Civil Engineer's National Needs Assessment(https://www.ice.org.uk/news-and-insight/policy/national-needs-assessment-a-vision-for-uk-infrastr). The first phase of ITRC's research is all documented in the book 'The Future of National Infrastructure' (ISBN 9781107066021).
URL http://ndma.gov.in/iwdri/programme.html
 
Description Disaster Resilient Infrastructure, National Disaster Management Authority in India (15/01/2018 to 16/01/2018)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact A slide presentation: 'Managing risks in key infrastructure sectors' Infrastrucure failures using disruptions to UK infrastructure and lessons learnt. Analyising the risks of infrastructure failure, mapping and modelling interdependencies are considered leading to the economic benefit of alternative adaptations, progress with adaptation, ASC assessment of progress with adaptation, and the risk management cycle of - Assessing risks - Appraising responses - Implementing responses - Monitoring responses and return to assessing risks ? Outputs & outcomes: Prof Jim Hall provided a slide presentation 'Managing risks in key infrastructure sectors' to conference Technical Session 1 (TS1) 'Managing risks in key infrastructure sectors' subsection: 'Disaster Control Infrastructure'. Chair : Mr Kenichi Yokoyama, Country Director- India, Asian Development Bank Co-Chair : Mr Chatchawal Simaskul, Plan and Policy Analyst, Ministry of Transport, Thailand ? Link: Conference programme: http://ndma.gov.in/iwdri/programme.html Conference programme ? Link: Prof Hall's presentation: http://ndma.gov.in/iwdri/ppts/15jan/TS-1/1/IWDRI2018_TS1_Hall_Oxford%20UK.pdf
URL http://ndma.gov.in/iwdri/programme.html
 
Description Discussion on 11/04/2017 with NIC members with reference to Energy modelling issues and questions: storage, distributed generation, assets
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact D Schneemann, Bianca Letti, and Jack Large of the NIC met with Dan Adshead, and Matt Ives of the ITRC on 11/04/2017 to discuss ? Energy modelling issues and questions: storage, distributed generation, assets Information also disseminated to Odifreddi F; Energy Policy Advisor National Infrastructure Commission
 
Description Evidence based infrastructure assessment framework (EBIDF) workshop including ITRC's presentation of 'NISMOD-Int - a Strategy Development Framework' (29/06/2017) (United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS)).
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact The meeting introduced various aspects of Urban, Transport and Traffic Planning. The article was broadcast on the local tv-station fully in the local language (link : https://youtu.be/sMlSuns1VnM). Scott Thacker (the United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS)) gave the presentation describing 'NISMOD-Int - a Strategy Development Framework'. Jade Leung, one of the ITRC's research team, has been working with UNOPS to develop a fast-track analysis of the infrastructure needs of the small island state of Curaçao, in the Caribbean, by the end of 2017. Curaçao's economy is likely to host greater numbers of tourists in the near future - the demand from extra visitors will exert significant pressure on national infrastructure systems, and, as a small island state, the risks associated with rising sea-levels need to be investigated. Jade Leung will be piloting a new element of NISMOD-Int - a Strategy Development Framework. This will develop some standard themes and approaches for decision-makers to support them as they apply NISMOD-Int data to creating practical, workable responses to future infrastructure challenges. External participants: ? Ciaretta Gianella Gianiza Profas, National Project Coordinator, Curaçao ? Zita Jesus-Leito, Minister di VVRP ? Sherwin Josepha, Servisio Di Obra Públiko Internal participants: - Thacker S - Leung J - Fuldauer L
URL http://www.itrc.org.uk/fast-track-analysis-for-curacao/#.WqgUkmrFIdU
 
Description External Stakeholder engagement: Department of Transport, International Transport Analysis Conference (ITAC) (25/11/2016)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact Simon Blainey will attend the International Transport Analysis Conference at Department of Transport (DfT) on 25 November 2016. Conference objectives: - Connect; bring together researchers, analysts, policy makers, and other parties to tackle joint research and policy problems - Build a knowledge network; greater collaboration and research sharing across academia, sector experts, researchers and government analysts - Co-operate; collaborative working opportunities such as placements and secondments Internal participant/s Blainey SP External Participant/s Department of Transport, International Transport Analysis Conference (ITAC)
 
Description External Stakeholder: Department of Transport: Assessing Single Point Criticalities to Interdependent Infrastructure Networks at the National Scale (24/02/2016)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Gave evidence to a government review
Impact This was an end of project presentation, so the specific outcomes were to discuss the findings of the project with the DfT to assist decisions made. Attendees: Andrew Murray CEng FIMechE; Accomplished Engineering & Operations Director, Network Rail Tony Sawh; Stakeholder Manager, Network Rail Tracy Catling; Aviation Strategy and Contingencies, Department of Transport Simon Lancaster; Strategy Co-ordination and Programmes (SCP) Sharon Sottin; SCP Chris Watts; Deputy Director, National Security, Department of Transport Robert Boscott; Transport Security and Operation Centre, Department of Transport
 
Description Fast Track Analysis for National Infrastructure. UNOPS presents road map on building sustainable and robust infrastructure to officials from the Government of the State of Palestine.
Geographic Reach Asia 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact Mr. Al Hasayneh added: "We have to unite all the efforts to come up with an effective and innovative plan to challenges such as population growth, and climate change." EBIDF presents a comprehensive road map to the way Governments and practitioners think about and plan for infrastructure.
URL https://www.unops.org/english/News/announcements/Pages/Fast-Track-Analysis-for-National-Infrastructu...
 
Description Fifth Green Growth Knowledge Platform (GGKP) Annual Conference: SUSTAINABLE INFRASTRUCTURE. Hosted by the World Bank, Washington DC, USA 27-29 November 2017
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact Infrastructure-understood to include water supply and sanitation, flood protection, roads and transport, energy and telecommunications-has major implications for a variety of development outcomes, at the household level (health, education and social mobility), at the firm level (productivity, industrial development), and at the global level (climate change, energy, forests, biodiversity, pollution). Ensuring affordable and reliable access remains a major challenge in developing countries, but one that is further complicated by both a changing climate and changing climate policies. The balancing act across the three dimensions of sustainability - social, economic, and environmental - is increasingly central to the infrastructure challenge, even as the world appears to have made little progress in solving the infrastructure finance gap. These issues can and have been addressed from different scientific perspectives, including many different disciplines and methods. However, despite a clear move of the academic community towards interdisciplinary projects, researchers working on specific aspects of the infrastructure agenda are not systematically interacting with each other. The Fifth Green Growth Knowledge Platform (GGKP) Annual Conference will be hosted by the World Bank on the topic of sustainable infrastructure, to stimulate research on these issues and foster interdisciplinary dialogue where relevant. This conference aims at taking stock of recent advances and research challenges. To do so, we plan to gather the best researchers in the field, both from the academic world and from more policy-oriented backgrounds, to exchange ideas and insights in a two-day conference organized at the World Bank. Attending for ITRC: Prof Jim Hall
URL http://www.greengrowthknowledge.org/news/call-papers-fifth-ggkp-annual-conference-sustainable-infras...
 
Description Future research meetings to discuss NIC engagement elements: transport model, new strategies; additional issues with water & solid waste models (21/03/2017)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact Andrea Silberman, Bianca Letti, and Jack Large from the NIC met with Dan Adshead and Matt Ives from the ITRC on 21/03/2017 to discuss ? transport model, new strategies ? additional issues with water & solid waste models
 
Description Future research meetings to discuss NIC engagement elements: water, wastewater and waste models (15/03/2017)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact Andrea Silberman, Bianca Letti, and J Large from the NIC met with Dan Adshead and Matt Ives on 15/03/2017 to discuss ? Water model questions ? Wastewater link to water model ? Packages & visualisation ? New solid waste strategies and separating LACW and C&I from MSW outputs
 
Description Global Challenges Research Fund (GCRF) Infrastructure for Sustainable Development Hub. Feedback request to the Inter American Development Bank (IADB) on the ITRC/Mistral proposal for the IADB to be named as a potential collaborator. November 2017
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact Communication between Prof Jim Hall and Mr Hendrik Meller (Advisor for Sustainable Infrastructure and Climate Change in Latin America and the Caribbean in the Environmental Safeguards Unit of the Inter-American Development Bank(IADB)) to propose a meeting in Washington (USA) to discuss a proposal for the IADB to become a collaborator for the Global Challenges Research Fund (GCRF) Infrastructure for Sustainable Development Hub. ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s: Hall J External participant/s: Hendrik Meller, Advisor for Sustainable Infrastructure and Climate Change in Latin America and the Caribbean in the Environmental Safeguards Unit, Inter-American Development Bank Graham George Watkins, Principal Environmental Specialist, Inter-American Development Bank Tomas Sebastian Serebrisky, Principal Economic Advisor, Inter-American Development Bank Maria Cecilia Ramirez Bello, Infrastructure specialist, Inter-American Development Bank Giovanni Leo Frisari, Climate Change Economist, Inter-American Development Bank
URL http://www.rcuk.ac.uk/funding/gcrf/interdisciplinary-research-hubs-to-address-intractable-challenges...
 
Description Government Office for Science Foresight Project - Future of Mobility (November 2016)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Gave evidence to a government review
Impact The Government Office for Science, led by the Government Chief Scientific Advisor, Sir Mark Walport, is starting a Foresight project on the Future of Mobility. We are very keen to speak with you to get your thoughts on this high profile project that will bring together the latest academic research to impact on future policy in government. The latest academic research is vital to help shape future policy making in the cross-cutting area of Mobility. Foresight projects last about 12 months and previous futures projects have included Population Ageing, Cities and Manufacturing (for more information please follow https://www.foresight.gov.uk). A key element of this work on transport will be to analyse the existing scientific landscape, using the best available data, to build a robust evidence base on how transport demands and provision could look in 2040. In particular, a detailed investigation into the status quo, current trends and identification of drivers of change will be conducted. Social, demographic, economic and technological trends will be considered to develop a set of transport futures, projecting 25/30 years into the future. The project will also work with policymakers to consider what this evidence base means for policy development in their area. Infrastructure systems is an area that we are very keen to explore and having identified yourself as an expert in this field, I would be very interested to see if this is an area where you can help. We are especially keen to find out more about the work of the Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium. ITRC Mistral participant/s: John Preston and Simon Blainey External participant/s: Dr Jon Keating, Foresight Project Research Officer, Government Office for Science (Go-Science) Jones Rebecca, Team Leader, Demography and Ageing, Government Office for Science (Go-Science)
URL https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/foresight-projects
 
Description Guidance to the report by the Global Risks 2017 Advisory Board.
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Citation in other policy documents
Impact Instigation of collaboration across multiple interconnected systems, countries, areas of expertise, and stakeholder groups with the aim of having a greater societal impact. It is hoped that The Global Risks Report 2017 and the subsequent deliberations at the World Economic Forum's Annual Meeting 2017 will contribute to a debate about pragmatic solutions.
URL http://www3.weforum.org/docs/GRR17_Report_web.pdf
 
Description Infrastructure assessments, comparison of modelling approaches by the Greater London Authority (21/08/2017)
Geographic Reach Local/Municipal/Regional 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact From Jeremy Skinner, Head of Economic Growth, Greater London Authority: Both James Stewart at KPMG and Professor Brian Collins at UCL have mentioned some of the work that you'd been doing with the National Infrastructure Commission and I wanted to get in touch to understand a bit more about the approach you are taking. I lead the team in London that produced the 2050 London infrastructure plan in 2014 and subsequent updates for which more information can be found here. But more specifically, we have been working with an SME (small and medium-sized enterprise) called Greenwood Strategic Advisors to develop a system dynamics based approach to modelling policy and investment decisions in the capital, an approach which the same firm is deploying for Boston and Frankfurt. I thought I'd get in touch to see if there were any resonances with the work that you have been doing work, an overview of which would be much appreciated in any case. Response from Professor Jim Hall: The approach that we have developed, which is discussed in our book The Future of National Infrastructure, is a combination of: 1. Systems modelling of infrastructure networks: energy, transport, digital, water, waste, flood risk management 2. Decision analysis to explore the implications of future scenarios (e.g. population growth, climate change) and sequence policies and investments going into the future. The first phase of our ITRC research programme focussed at a national scale, and developed the NISMOD model, which is now being used by the National Infrastructure Commission for the National Infrastructure Assessment. We also used NISMOD to inform the National Needs Assessment led by Sir John Armitt. A short paper on that work is attached. The current phase of our programme is called MISTRAL and is operating at multiple spatial scales, including the city scale, as well as exploring opportunities to transfer the technologies globally. I've interacted with the GLA in a number of different contexts over the years, including in relation to adaptation to climate change, water and flooding. I'd be happy to follow up with a telephone conversation or meeting next time I'm in London to explore potential connections with the GLA. Appended Document: Jim W. Hall, Scott Thacker, Matt C. Ives, Yue Cao, Strategic analysis of the future of national infrastructure. Civil Engineering Volume 170 Issue CE1 pp 39-47 Internal participant: Hall J External participants: Jeremy Skinner, Head of Economic Growth, Greater London Authority Madalina Ursu, Infrastructure and Competitiveness Policy Officer in Economic and Business Policy, Greater London Authority Oscar Watkins, Policy and Project Officer - Economic Growth, Greater London Authority Molly Strauss, Senior Policy and Programme Officer, Greater London Authority Matthew Daley, Greater London Authority
 
Description Initiative on Climate Change policy and Governance (ICCG) Lecture Series on Disaster Risk Reduction. Webinar by Dr Elco Koks (19/12/2017)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact Outputs & outcomes: The ICCG has investigated the Hot Topic of 2017 "Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR)" seeking knowledge from webinars, publications, and from the Best Climate Practices contest. The ICCG closes 2017 by launching a new video lecture series on DRR. The lecture series features international experts who address the theme in a simple and accessible way, providing definitions, case studies, and examples of solutions and best practices. ITRC were represented by Dr Elco Kok's webinar on extreme weather events. ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s: Koks E External participant/s: Alessandra Mazzai; Information and Communication Officer, Initiative on Climate Change policy and Governance (ICCG)
URL http://www.iccgov.org/iccg-videolezioni-sul-tema-riduzione-del-rischio-disastri-naturali-drr/
 
Description Institution of Civil Engineers (ICE) Northern Infrastructure Strategy
Geographic Reach Local/Municipal/Regional 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact Improvements in: 1. Population projections 2. Economic projections, based on the Cambridge Econometrics multi-sectoral model of the UK economy 3. Demand projections for infrastructure services from each of our infrastructure models
URL https://www.greatermanchester-ca.gov.uk/info/20001/transport/50/transport_for_greater_manchester_tra...
 
Description Launch of the National Needs Assessment, 18/10/2016, which sets out a vision for how infrastructure delivers economic growth, thriving communities and embraces technology to deliver a low carbon future. It is a blueprint for the National Infrastructure Commission's long term infrastructure assessment.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact Launched on 18/10/2016, the National Needs Assessment sets out a vision for how infrastructure delivers economic growth, thriving communities and embraces technology to deliver a low carbon future. It is a blueprint for the National Infrastructure Commission's long term infrastructure assessment. It has examined what the UK is likely to need from its infrastructure in the coming decades - set against uncertainties such as climate change, population growth, global energy prices and economic change. It has also looked at the way in which infrastructure networks relate to, and depend on, one another and how this will impact on the performance of the networks in the future. [...] The primary source for evidence for the NNA comes from the Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium led by Professor Jim Hall at Oxford University. Their modelling provides a framework for analysing the relationships between and among infrastructure networks. They have established a series of scenarios which set out the main demand drivers on infrastructure - population growth, climate change, technology, economic trends. https://www.ice.org.uk/getattachment/news-and-insight/policy/national-needs-assessment-a-vision-for-uk-infrastr/National-Needs-Assessment-PDF-(1).pdf.aspx https://www.ice.org.uk/ICEDevelopmentWebPortal/media/Documents/Media/Policy/3150-ICE-Summary-digital.pdf Stakeholder contact for this engagement activity: Andrew Westcott; Head of Policy and Public Affairs, Institution of Civil Engineers
URL https://www.ice.org.uk/news-and-insight/policy/national-needs-assessment-a-vision-for-uk-infrastr
 
Description Launch of the interim report of the National Infrastructure Assessment by the National Infrastructure Commission
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a advisory committee
Impact ITRC/MISTRAL has a long-term collaboration with the UK National Infrastructure Commission, as it provides a unique analytical framework to assess interdependent performance of different infrsatructure sectores in the present and in the future, based on possible future demographic, economic, technological and environment scenarios. Once a parliament the NIC will publish a National Infrastructure Assessment (NIA). The NIA will analyse the UK's long-term economic infrastructure needs, outline a strategic vision over the next 30 years and set out recommendations for how identified needs should be met. In October 2017 they published an interim National Infrastructure Assessment which examines seven key areas, and sets out the vision and priorities for helping meet the country's needs up to 2050. Those seven areas are: Building a digital society Connected, liveable city-regions Infrastructure to support housing Eliminating carbon emissions from energy and waste A revolution in road transport Reducing the risk of drought and flooding Financing and funding infrastructure in efficient ways
URL https://www.nic.org.uk/our-work/national-infrastructure-assessment/
 
Description Lord Adonis of the NIC invited the ITRC to respond (by 12/01/2018) to the document: 'Congestion, Capacity and Carbon: Priorities for National Infrastructure - Executive Summary'
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact Lord Adonis of the NIC invited the ITRC, on 13/12/2017, to respond by email to the document by 12/01/2018: 'Congestion, Capacity and Carbon: Priorities for National Infrastructure - Executive Summary'
 
Description MISTRAL Launch Event (23/05/2016)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact On Monday 23 May 2016 at the Institution of Civil Engineers (ICE), London, over one hundred high profile government and industry stakeholders gathered to celebrate the launch of the ITRC's exciting new MISTRAL: Multi-scale InfraSTRucture systems AnaLytics programme and recently published book, The Future of National Infrastructure: A System-of-Systems Approach. The ITRC was delighted to welcome keynote speaker Lord Adonis, chair of the National Infrastructure Commission, and Keith Clarke, ICE Vice president, who also spoke. ? Link: https://vimeo.com/172135117 Internal participant/s: Hall J; ITRC Researchers External participant/s included: Lord Adonis; Chair, National Infrastructure Commission Keith Clarke; Vice Ppresident, Institution of Civil Engineers (ICE)
URL http://www.eci.ox.ac.uk/news/2016/0524-ITRCLaunch.html
 
Description Members of the NIC met with the ITRC on 28/03/2017 to discuss; the energy supply model; and model parameter/input changes to run technology scenarios
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact Doerte Schneemann, Federica Odifreddi, Bianca Letti, and Jack Large of the NIC met with Dan Adshead, Matt Ives, and Modassar Chaudry of the ITRC on 28/03/2017 to discuss ? Energy supply model ? Model parameter/input changes to run technology scenarios
 
Description Members of the NIC met with the ITRC to discuss run water, waste water and waste models 10/03/2017
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact Andrea Silberman, Bianca Letti, and Jack Large from the NIC met with Dan Adshead and Matt Ives from the ITRC to discuss ? Run water, waste water and waste models
 
Description NIC meeting for a review of infrastructure study elements 03/02/2017
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact Andrea Silberman and Bianca Letti from NIC met Dan Adshead, Matt Ives, and Will Usher from ITRC on 03/02/2017 to discuss a review of infrastructure drivers: ? modelling baselines ? economic growth scenarios ? population scenarios ? technology scenarios ? water modelling
 
Description National Infrastructure Assessment consultation
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
URL http://www.itrc.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/ITRC-response-to-NIA.pdf
 
Description Navigating complexity for next generation infrastructure: integrating governance and modelling analysis. ISNGI Conference, ICE, London. (09/09/2017 to 11/09/2017)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact ITRC/Mistral contributed to this conference. Conference overview: Next generation infrastructure (NGI) systems need to be conceived, designed and created, operated, maintained, regulated and governed with sustainability and resilience to system problems as core objectives. Furthermore, a similar approach is needed for the management and maintenance of existing infrastructure systems, which provide the context from which the NGI needs to grow; i.e., we need to develop and complement and/or progressively replace our existing infrastructure systems. ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s: Lovric M; Watson J; Hiteva R External participant/s: ISNGI Conference 2017
URL http://isngi.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/Katherine-Lovell.pdf
 
Description Participation in The United Nations Conference on Housing and Sustainable Urban Development (Habitat III) held from 17 to 20 October 2016 in Quito, Ecuador. Networking event: How Can Urban Infrastructure be Resilient for Generations to Come
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact Member States of the General Assembly, in Resolution 67/216 , decided that the objectives of the Conference are to secure renewed political commitment for sustainable urban development, assess accomplishments to date, address poverty and identify and address new and emerging challenges. The conference will result in a concise, focused, forward-looking and action-oriented outcome document. Panellists include Dr Scott Thacker United Nations Office For Project Services (UNOPS) Session's Partner organizations: European Commission Oxford University United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP)
URL https://habitat3.org/programme/how-can-urban-infrastructure-be-resilient-for-generations-to-come/
 
Description Participation in The United Nations Conference on Housing and Sustainable Urban Development (Habitat III) held from 17 to 20 October 2016 in Quito, Ecuador. Special session (Issue Paper 18 ): Urban Infrastructures and Basic Services, including Energy
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact This century will see a substantial majority of the world's population living in urban centers. The Habitat III Conference therefore had, as its mission, the adoption of a New Urban Agenda-an action-oriented document which will set global standards of achievement in sustainable urban development, rethinking the way we build, manage, and live in cities through drawing together cooperation with committed partners, relevant stakeholders, and urban actors at all levels of government as well as the private sector. Setting the scene: Summary of Issue Paper 18 and why infrastructure and basic services must be placed at the centre of urban development Moderator, Ms. Grete Faremo, Under-Secretary-General and Executive Director, United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) Dr Scott Thacker discussant for this session of National Infrastructure Systems MODel International (NISMOD-Int) work at summit.
URL https://www.oecd.org/gov/Monda-17-Special-Session-on-Urban-Infrastructure-and-Basic-Services-includi...
 
Description Policy, Operational Research, and Public Policy. The Future of National Infrastructure (Presented by Scott Thacker and Jim Hall)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact To follow
 
Description Present a seminar for the Society for Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact Defence & Security Analysis Division of the Defence Science and Technology Laboratory in Fareham "We are trying to build relationships with academia and expose our staff to alternative ways of thinking. To this end, I was wondering if you would be willing to give a lunch-time talk on how you tackle deep uncertainty in your work on climate & environmental risks? This would also be a good opportunity to discuss the next DMDU conference that you will be hosting at Oxford and the level of support/involvement that Dstl might provide. Contact at DSTL: Mike Larner, Systems Thinking & Consulting, Defence & Security Analysis Division Robert Solly; Division Head, Defence & Security Analysis, Defence Science and Technology Laboratory, UK Government Attendee: Prof J. Hall
URL http://www.theorsociety.com/Pages/Conferences/OR58/OR58.aspx
 
Description Presentation at conference: 20th EURO Working Group on Transportation : A conceptual design for a national transport model with cross-sectoral interdependencies (04-06/09/2017)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact This paper presents issues, trade-offs and challenges encountered while developing a UK national transport model as part of a large interdisciplinary project, ITRC MISTRAL. The Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC) is a consortium of seven leading UK universities focusing on analysis of national infrastructure systems using a system-of-systems approach. In this paper, we describe a multi-modal multi-scale national transport model being developed by ITRC which includes passenger and freight transport via highways, railways, airports, seaports and local transit networks. The model predicts future demand for each mode on individual flows using an elasticity-based simulation approach. ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s: Lovric M; Blainey S; Preston JM External participant/s: International Transport Experts/Policy makers
URL https://eprints.soton.ac.uk/417159/1/EWGT_LovricEtAl.pdf
 
Description Presentation on Operational Research and Public Policy Design at the Operational Research Society's annual conference, Portsmouth University, from 6-8 September 2016. J Hall; S Thacker
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact 06/09/2016 : 12:00 : Room-DS2.14 Code: OR58A2931 The Future of National Infrastructure Dr Scott Thacker and Prof Jim Hall (University of Oxford) Infrastructure forms the economic backbone of modern society. It is a key determinant of economic competitiveness, social well-being and environmental sustainability. Yet infrastructure systems (energy, transport, water, waste and digital communications), in multiple contexts globally, face a range of serious challenges. There have been many calls for a more strategic, long-term approach to national infrastructure in the UK and elsewhere around the world. Whilst appealing in principle, in practice developing a national infrastructure strategy poses major challenges of complexity and uncertainty. The UK Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC) has set out a systematic methodology for long term analysis of the performance of national infrastructure systems, which deals with each infrastructure sector (energy, transport, digital communications, water supply, waste water and solid waste) in a consistent framework and assesses the interdependencies between infrastructure sectors. The methodology is supported with the world's first infrastructure system of systems model (NISMOD), which has been developed for long term decision analysis in interdependent infrastructure systems. Following an introduction of the ITRC and NISMOD, this presentation provides details of a number of applications of the model to the UK and beyond. In doing so, it provides examples of how system-based modelling is being used to support decision making within government and industry at a range of scales. Robert Solly; Division Head, Defence & Security Analysis, Defence Science and Technology Laboratory, UK Government
URL http://www.theorsociety.com/Pages/Conferences/OR58/OR58.aspx
 
Description Presentation to an advisory committee - The Hazard Forum. 'Risk assessment of interdependent national infrastructure network to inform resilience challenges.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a advisory committee
Impact The purpose of the lecture given at the meeting was to understand the consequences of the failure, as a group, or individually, of complex key infrastructure systems of energy, transport, water, waste and ICT. The event will provide an insight into the work of three research projects which, with other groups, are coordinating their efforts to understand these issues and to work with various stakeholders including central and local government and infrastructure operators to develop strategies.
URL https://hazardsforum.files.wordpress.com/2013/12/160614-hf-nl91_webversion_summer-2016.pdf
 
Description Presentation to the 2nd annual Aid & Development Asia Summit, Bangkok, Thailand. Dates: 21st-22nd June 2016
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact The 2nd annual Aid & Development Asia Summit, which took place in Bangkok, Thailand on 21-22 June 2016 at the United Nations Conference Centre, gathered over 275 local, regional and global humanitarian and development professionals from NGOs, UN agencies, donors, governments and the private sector with an aim to share knowledge, discover success stories or learn from failures, foster innovation and partnerships to assist the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) in South-East Asia. The 45+ expert speaker panel shared valuable insights, lead thought provoking discussions and lively exchange of views on a range of vital topics including mobile innovations, partnerships and technologies for humanitarian and development work, emergency response, humanitarian logistics, disaster resilience as well as health & WASH programmes and good practice. The opening panel of the Aid & Development Asia Summit 2016 focused on mobile innovations for humanitarian and development work. The panellists, International Organization for Migration (IOM), Asian Development Bank, UNESCAP, USAID and FHI 360, discussed the impact of mobile devices on development work and utilising mobile technology to better reach and engage communities. It was agreed that improvements in broadband connectivity can be a game-changer in Asia-Pacific, provided that infrastructure, regulatory framework to ensure access and awareness of socio-economic benefits of ICT come together.
URL http://www.aidforum.org/events/event/aid-development-asia-summit-2016
 
Description Presentation to the World Summit of Local and Regional Leaders (United Cities and Local Governments - UCLG), 5th UCLG World Congress, Bogota, Columbia. Dates: 12th-15th October 2016
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact The 2016 World Summit of Local and Regional Leaders convened 12-15 October 2016 in Bogota, Colombia, under the theme 'Local Voices far a Better World'. The World Summit, organized by United Cities and Local Governments (UCLG), hosted over 3,500 delegates from local, regional and national governments, the private sector, civil society, academia and the international community from over 110 countries. The event, which included plenaries, two permanent working platforms, workshops, policy dialogues, community forums, Learning forums and other interactive sessions, was held immediately prior to the Third UN Conference an Housing and Sustainable Urban Development (Habitat III) taking place 17-20 October 2016 in Quito, Ecuador. On 14 October 2016 the Global Task force of Local and Regional Governments (GTF), facilitated by UCLG, convened the second session of the Second World Assembly of Local and Regional Governments. The Second World Assembly adapted a statement containing key recommendations from local and regional governments far Habitat III's main outcome, the New Urban Agenda, which is intended to guide urban development policy across the world during the next two decades. In addition, UCLG bunched the 4th Global Report an local Democracy and Decentralization (GOLD IV), providing analysis, innovative examples and case studies from around the globe to support the recommendations of the Global Agenda of Local and Regional Governments for the 21st Century. Throughout the World Summit, the 5th UCLG World Congress convened and, an 15 October, the UCLG World Council elected the new UCLG President far 2016-2019, Mpho Parks Tau, Councilor of Johannesburg, South Africa, and President, South African Local Government Association. The World Council also adopted the Summit's outcome document, 'The Bogota Commitment and Action Agenda.' ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s: Thacker S External participant/s: Jon Liden; United Nations Office for Project Services, UNOPS Luke Raggatt; Digital Communications Lead, UNOPS Nicholas O'Regan; Director, Infrastructure and Project Management Group, UNOPS Trevor Sway; Senior Infrastructure Advisor & Project Manager, UNOPS Bruce McKerrow; Global Practice Leader, UNOPS Rob Jones; Head of Programme Delivery in the State of Palestine with UNOPS CPG Partnerships Copenhagen Personnel, UNOPS CPG Communications Personnel, UNOPS
URL https://www.bogota2016.uclg.org/en
 
Description Resilience in the round; Building resilience for the future (Ofwat Resilience Report, November 2017)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Citation in other policy documents
Impact A reference to the system-of-systems approach used by ITRC/Mistral The Future of National Infrastructure: A study from the Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC) set out the value of a systems based approach to making choices about future infrastructure (energy, trasnport, water, waste and ICT).. It illustrates how water and waste water services do not exist in isloation and how interconnected systems and networks can deliver better outcomes for resilience and sustainability. They can provide a conceptual framework and methodologies for modelling and evaluating systems-of-systems. This document provides water companies and others with food for thought on what resilience in the round might look like in practice. It highlights a selection of case studies from the water sector and beyond, to illustrate good practice. But the sector is still on a journey - there are, so far, few solid examples of a truly joined up approach to resilience. ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s: ITRC/Mistral Project Members External participant/s: Trevor Bishop, Director of Startegy and Planning, Ofwat, UK Government
URL https://www.ofwat.gov.uk/wp-content/uploads/2017/09/Resilience-in-the-Round-report.pdf
 
Description Response from the Chartered Institution of Civil Engineering Surveyors (ICES) to the Call for Evidence for the National Needs Assessment. Prepared in consultation with senior members of the institution.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact The Mistral project replied to the Call for Evidence for the National Needs Assessment (prepared in consultation with senior members of the institution). ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s: Jim Hall Executive group members: Sir John Armitt; Chair, President Institution of Civil Engineers Martin Baggs; former CEO Thames Water Nick Baveystock, Institution of Civil Engineers Graham Dalton, Independent John Dickie, London First Jim Hall, Oxford University & Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium Steve Holliday, former CEO National Grid Rhian Kelly, CBI Jon Lamonte, Transport for Greater Manchester Professor Lord Robert Mair, Cambridge University Robbie Owen, Pinsent Masons Richard Threlfall, KPMG Gareth Williams, Scottish Council for Development and Industry
URL https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/national-infrastructure-assessment-call-for-evidence
 
Description Review of infrastructure drivers for National Infrastructure Commission (01/12/2016)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact Bianca Letti from the NIC met with Dan Adshead, Matt Ives, and W Usher from the ITRC on 01/12/2016 to discuss a review of infrastructure drivers for NIC: technology, population, economic growth, climate change
 
Description SPRU 50th Anniversary conference, 'Transforming Innovation'. Submission of a joint written evidence to the Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy (BEIS) Committee inquiry into industrial strategy on 3 October 2016.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a advisory committee
Impact Evidence submitted by SPRU's Professor Mazzucato, and Professor Jim Watson has been cited extensively in the Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy (BEIS) Committee's First Review on industrial strategy (published 3 March 2017). Traditional approaches to industrial strategy have a sectoral or technology focus. We argue however that the best way for May's government to achieve its economic vision is through a 'mission-oriented' approach that focuses on solving important societal challenges such as; climate change, youth unemployment, obesity, ageing and inequality. Such an approach would require many different sectors to interact with each other in new ways. If used to give direction to Britain's economic growth path, this could generate innovation-led (smart) growth that is both inclusive and sustainable. Watch / Listen to a full recording of the BEIS Committee Industrial strategy meeting http://www.parliamentlive.tv/Event/Index/d5c3e7c7-62e0-41f8-953c-981289bb3ea6 ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s: Professor Jim Watson External participant/s: Professor Mazzucato, Director, UCL Institute for Innovation & Public Purpose. Chair in the Economics of Innovation and Public Value
URL http://www.sussex.ac.uk/spru/newsandevents/2016/talks/industrial-strategy
 
Description Social impact of the 'Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC)' on the Social Impact Open Repository (SIOR) (11/01/2017)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact The Social Impact Open Repository (SIOR) is an initiative born under the IMPACT-EV project funded by the 7th Framework Programme of the European Commission and coordinated by the research centre CREA-UB, University of Barcelona. The SIOR coordination team like to invite the ITRC/Mistral to be part of SIOR (further information is available at: http://sior.ub.edu/). SIOR is an open free and unique repository which gives universal visibility of the social impact of research projects not involving commercial interest. The main objective of IMPACT-EV (Impact Evaluation) is to develop a permanent system of selection, monitoring and evaluation of the various impacts of Social Sciences and the Humanities (SSH) research.
URL http://sior.ub.edu/
 
Description The Dependence of National Transportation Infrastructure on Electricity
Geographic Reach Australia 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
URL https://ir.canterbury.ac.nz/bitstream/handle/10092/12780/POSTER%20-%20Zorn_DependenceTrnsptInfstruct...
 
Description The Dependence of New Zealand's Transport Infrastructure on Electricity
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact Project to consider dependence of the wider New Zealand transportation network on electricity distribution components using 'people directly affected' as the common metric. Format: Information poster Internal participant: Thacker S External participants: ? Lea Andreae, University of Applied Sciences, Münster, Germany ? Conrad Zorn, University of Auckland ? Assoc. Prof. Asaad Shamseldin, University of Auckland Continued research into - increased infrastructure - dependencies on transport sub-networks - production of more realistic overview of fuel supply demands on certain routes
URL https://ir.canterbury.ac.nz/bitstream/handle/10092/12780/POSTER%20-%20Zorn_DependenceTrnsptInfstruct...
 
Description The Future of National Infrastructure: A System-of-Systems Approach
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact Using the concept of "system-transitions" the book identifies key decisions and system components to be tackled for reaching a sustainable mode of national infrastructure delivery and operation, and combines these findings with innovative visualisation and dissemination techniques to generate a comprehensive, innovative vision of infrastructure provision. - Develops an interdisciplinary conceptualisation of infrastructure systems, with a focus upon the mutual interdependencies between energy, transport, water, waste and ICT infrastructures. Presents concepts and methodologies for modelling, evaluation and visualisation of these complex systems of systems. - Demonstrates, though application to the challenge of infrastructure provision in Britain, how long term plans for infrastructure provision can be developed and evaluated. - Sets out a range of alternative strategies for infrastructure provision in GB and analyse their performance in a range of possible futures. It will use this evidence to develop a long-term vision for infrastructure provision in Britain - Covers a broad scope of methodologies in a comprehensive presentation: system simulation, robust decision making, risk analysis, complex adaptive systems, transition theory, complex visualisation
URL http://www.itrc.org.uk/the-future-of-national-infrastructure-a-system-of-systems-approach/#.WMZvpFWL...
 
Description The House of Commons, Treasury Select Committee, Group hearings on the Autumn Statement 2016 (13/12/2016)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Gave evidence to a government review
Impact https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/national-infrastructure-plan : Prof Jim Hall of the ITRC gave evidence to the UK Government's Autumn Select Committee as a member of a panel of experts providing evidence to the National Infrastructure Plan. This includes the Government will attract new private sector investment towards UK infrastructures meeting the needs of the economy. ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s: Hall J External participant/s: Toby Coaker; Committee Specialist, Treasury Select Committee Andrew Westcott; Head of Policy, Institute of Civil Engineers Martin Baggs; Panel member and Infrastructure Executive (previously CEO, Thames Water) Alexander Jan; Panel member and Head of Transactions, Arup Andrew Rose; Panel member and Chief Executive of the Global Infrastructure Investor Association
URL https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/571559/autumn_statement_20...
 
Description The Industrial and Infrastructure Strategy Challenge: Industrial and infrastructure strategy post Brexit: understanding the opportunities and managing the risks. 24 January, 2017 - County Hall, Westminster, London
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact The objective of this conference is to survey these policy questions, explore the new analytical methods and tools available and consider what new tools and evidence we need to develop to fully understand the opportunities and risks. The conference will discuss the implications of the Autumn statement after the initial flurry has subsided and help finalise submissions to the National Infrastructure Assessment call for evidence. Prof Jim Hall, ITRC Mistral, partook in the Government Department of the Treasury's Autumn statement, and will sit on the Technical Panel for the National Infrastructure Assessment held by the NI Commission.
URL https://www.neks.ltd/detailsconf
 
Description The NIC met with ITRC on 16/02/2017 to discuss ? Water flow scenarios/modelling ? NIC starting to use NISMOD
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact Andrea Silberman from the NIC met with Dan Adshead and Matt Ives from the ITRC on 16/02/2017 to discuss ? Water flow scenarios/modelling ? NIC starting to use NISMOD
 
Description The NIC met with ITRC on 28/04/2017 to discuss ? Model changes and outputs for transport, waste, energy strategies
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact Andrea Silberman and Bianca Letti from the NIC met with Dan Adshead and Matt Ives from the ITRC on 28/04/2017 to discuss ? Model changes and outputs for transport, waste, energy strategies
 
Description The NIC met with Jim Hall of the ITRC on 04/09/2017 to discuss Water for the next phase of the NIA, and future requirements for NIA
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact Bianca Letti and A Bruce of the NIC met with J Hall of the ITRC on 04/09/2017 to discuss ? Water: discussed options for next phase of NIA around intervention in WRMPs in December, comparing company vs regional decision making ? Discussions with Bianca Letti regarding future requirements for NIA
 
Description The NIC met with the ITRC by email on 12/06/2017 to discuss creation of a development (test) environment concerning NISMOD 1
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact A member of the NIC met with Matt Ives from the ITRC by email on 12/06/2017 to discuss: the creation of a development (test) environment for changes to NISMOD 1 avoiding disruption to the production server and the simulations being run by the NIC
 
Description The NIC met with the ITRC in the University of Southampton on 10/02/2017 to discuss Solid waste
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact Andrea Silberman, Bianca Letti, and Thomas Bousfield of the NIC met with the ITRC in the University of Southampton on 10/02/2017 to discuss Solid waste
 
Description The NIC met with the ITRC on 03/11/2017 to discuss the presentation of WATHNET; the next round of water modelling; discussions of new drought scenarios in GBWIM and WATHNET; Annex findings
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact Bianca Letti, Alexa Bruce, Andrea Silberman, and Manuela Solera-Deuchar from the NIC met with Jim Hall and Mohammad Mortazavi-Naeini from the ITRC on 03/11/2017 to discuss ? Presentation of WATHNET by Mohammad Mortazavi-Naeini ? Next round of water modelling - discussions of new drought scenarios in GBWIM and WATHNET ? Discussions around Annex findings
 
Description The NIC met with the ITRC on 06/02/2018 to discuss testing Mistral in relation to integration of NIC's independent transport projection data.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact Greg McClymont (Lead on transport and cities) from the NIC met with Nik Lomax, Andrew Smith, and Simon Blainey of the ITRC on 06/02/2018 to discuss testing Mistral in relation to integration of NIC's independent transport projection data
 
Description The NIC met with the ITRC on 08/02/2018 to raise important questions emerging from the NIA, and to plan a conference/event later in 2018 (18/04/2018, the Mistral mid-term review, and in the autumn).
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact Manuela Di Mauro (Water Lead), James Richardson (Chief Economist), Andrea Silberman (Senior Economist), Bianca Letti (Economic Advisor), and Matt Crossman (Flood Risk Management Lead) of the NIC met with Jim Hall of the ITRC on 08/02/2018 to raise important questions emerging from the NIA. Further meetings/events are planned for on 18/04/2018, the Mistral mid-term review, and for a conference in the autumn (Jim Hall to contact Pete Tyler (University Professor, Department of Land Economy, University of Cambridge) to settle on a date and location).
 
Description The NIC met with the ITRC on 17/10/2017 to discuss the NIA Phase II kick-off meeting; the next round of water/drought modelling; solid waste modelling; a summary on the NIA, NNA work, and Civil Engineers meeeting the carbon challenge
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact Bianca Letti, Alexa Bruce, Andrea Silberman, and Manuela Solera-Deuchar of the NIC met with J Hall and Matt Ives of the ITRC on 17/10/2017 to discuss ? NIA Phase II kick-off meeting ? Next round of water modelling - need for new drought scenarios in GBWIM ? Solid Waste modelling, fixing issues with multi-threading, new strategies on residual waste management - assess alternative combinations of collection and processing - Presented a summary on the NIA and NNA work as well as role of Civil Engineers in meeting the carbon challenge
 
Description The NIC met with the ITRC on 23/11/2017 to discuss; new NISMOD updates, NIC demand management, Atkins drought water scenarios
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact Bianca Letti (Economic Adviser), Michael Tran, and Manuela Solar-Deuchar (HM Treasury Representative) from the NIC met with Matt Ives of the ITRC on 23/11/2017 to discuss ? NISMOD updates to be released in v1.62 on Friday ? can NIC force demand managemet but ensure it is not used as an option otherwise ? Atkins drought water scenarios and sustainability changes updates
 
Description The NIC met with the ITRC on 30/11/2017 to discuss; a general overview and update on the research projects; geographical coverage and consistency; increase in yield versus capacity, future of other models in NISMOD
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact Bianca Letti (Economic Adviser), Michael Tran, Manuela Solar-Deuchar (HM Treasury Representative), and Andrea Silberman (Senior Economist) of the NIC met with Matt Ives of the ITRC on 30/11/2017 to discuss ? General overview of where we are, update on the research projects ? Geographical coverage and consistency (coverage of Wales and consistency of WRZ naming with Water UK) ? Increase in yield versus capacity, 2015 Start year issue ? What next, other models in NISMOD
 
Description The NIC met with the ITRC on the 23/08/2017 to discuss Energy models and training for NIC members using NISMOD
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact Andrea Silberman, Bianca Letti, A Ioannis, Alexa Bruce, and Doerte Schneemann of the NIC met with Matt Ives of the ITRC on the 23/08/2017 to discuss ? Energy: New model runs ? Energy: Discussing differences with UK TIMES outputs ? Training for Ioannis and Michael on using NISMOD
 
Description The National Infrastructure Assessment: Process and Methodology. May 2016
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact 'The National Infrastructure Assessment: Process and Methodology' consultative document giving rise to the resultant National Infrastructure Commission (NIC). The NIC will seek to draw together expertise across every relevant sector, alongside unique and independent analysis to develop an assessment of the nation's infrastructure of the highest possible standard. The ITRC/Mistral project provides information and methodologies to the NIC. Internal participant/s: ITRC Team External participant/s: Lord Adonis; Chair of the National Infrastructure Commission
URL https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/525950/National_Infrastruc...
 
Description The National Infrastructure Assessment; Process and Methodology
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
Impact https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/523947/national_infrastructure_commission_consultation_response_print.pdf
URL https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/525950/National_Infrastruc...
 
Description The techUK Communications Infrastructure Council (CIC) meeting (21/09/2017)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact ? Outputs: The CIC brings together techUK's member companies with an interest in fixed-line and wireless telecoms infrastructure, with participating companies from across the telecommunications value chain: operators/ISPs, network service providers, manufacturers and technology providers, and software suppliers. It provides the collective industry voice on improving and developing the market and on the Government policy and regulatory issues that affect it. The group is also well connected with senior Government and Ofcom decision makers who look to us for an overall independent industry perspective. This CIC will be an opportunity to present to industry the work of ITRC-MISTRAL, and discuss further the risk of infrastructure failure and the long term benefits of investments and policies to improve infrastructure systems in the UK. ? Outcomes: The Communications Infrastructure Council (CIC) thanked the ITRC group for it's presentation. The presentation sparked off some interesting discussion - and as mentioned in the meeting, the CIC hopes there will be a convenient opportunity in the future to return and update the Council on how the work is progressing. Internal participant/s Oughton E Frias Z External Participant/s Skye MacLeod, Head of Spectrum Policy Forum and Telecoms, techUK Raj Sivalingam, Executive Director, Telecoms & Spectrum, techUK
URL http://www.techuk.org/events/meeting/item/9302-techuk-communications-infrastructure-council
 
Description Towards a Multi-Scale Multi-Modal Model of Infrastructure Interdependence (30/08/2016 to 02/09/2016)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact Conference presentation. 'Towards a Multi-Scale Multi-Modal Model of Infrastructure Interdependence', RGS-IBG Annual International Conference; Theme: Nexus Thinking, London, 30 August-2 September 2016. ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s: Blainey SP; Pant R; Thacker S External participant/s: Royal Geographical Society Conference chair: Peter Jackson, University of Sheffield
URL http://www.rgs.org/WhatsOn/ConferencesAndSeminars/Annual+International+Conference/Annual+Internation...
 
Description UK Collaboratorium for Research in Infrastructure & Cities (UKCRIC) partner updates at 27/01/2017 for the UKCRIC All-Hands Meeting
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact Professor Jim Hall provided the following details for the ITRC as partner to UKCRIC for the UKCRIC All-Hands Meeting shortly after the 27th January 2017 • The ITRC-MISTRAL programme is proceeding at full speed, with a pilot Version 2.0 of NISMOD to be presented at the ITRC Assembly in April, along with pilot versions of the international version of NISMOD-Int and the NISMOD-DB database portal. • The digital communications team in ITRC are holding a workshop in Cambridge on 1 February with high level stakeholders from the digital sector. • The next workshop on Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty will be held in Oxford on 13-15 November 2017. • ITRC researchers won the Lloyds science of risk prize for their work on rail network systems analysis and wrote the infrastructure chapter in the World Economic Forum's 2017 Global Risks Report. Provided to Joanna Johnson, UKCRIC Coordination Node Manager
 
Description United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) Requirement for Infrastructure Information (23/05/2016)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Influenced training of practitioners or researchers
Impact On Monday 23 May 2016 at the Institution of Civil Engineers (ICE), London, over one hundred high profile government and industry stakeholders gathered to celebrate the launch of the ITRC's exciting new MISTRAL: Multi-scale InfraSTRucture systems AnaLytics programme and recently published book, The Future of National Infrastructure: A System-of-Systems Approach (http://www.eci.ox.ac.uk/news/2016/0524-ITRCLaunch.html). The benefits of this approach to UNOPS is portrayed in the video shown at the launch. Internal participant/s: Ives M; Hall J; Thacker S External participant/s: Nicholas O'Regan; Director, Infrastructure and Project Management Group, UNOPS Trevor Sway; Senior Infrastructure Advisor & Project Manager, UNOPS Ashika Thanki; Experienced senior humanitarian professional implementing evidence-based solutions, UNOPS
URL https://play.buto.tv/vNXbk
 
Description Valuing Infrastructure Conference - April 2017
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a national consultation
URL http://store.leeds.ac.uk/conferences-and-events/environment/earth-and-environment/valuing-infrastruc...
 
Description World Economic Forum: Insight report: How infrastructure defines our climate
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Citation in systematic reviews
Impact The development of the world's first capability to model and understand infrastructure as interdependent systems. This will enable the effective planning and delivery of infrastructure through the United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) Evidence-Based Infrastructure Development (EBID) Framework. ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s: Hall J; ITRC/Mistral Researchers External participant/s: Rob Jones, Head of Programme Delivery in the State of Palestine, UNOPS
URL https://www.unops.org/english/News/Insights/Pages/How-infrastructure-defines-our-climate.aspx
 
Description A National Scale Model of Green Infrastructure for Water Resources
Amount £98,625 (GBP)
Funding ID NE/N017714/1 
Organisation Natural Environment Research Council 
Sector Public
Country United Kingdom
Start 01/2016 
End 09/2017
 
Description Contract for small services Oxford/Research/2017/001
Amount $48,000 (USD)
Funding ID Oxford/Research/2017/001 
Organisation United Nations Office for Project Services 
Sector Public
Country United States
Start 12/2017 
End 09/2018
 
Description EPSRC Digital Catapult - Researcher in Residence programme
Amount £50,000 (GBP)
Organisation Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) 
Sector Academic/University
Country United Kingdom
Start 01/2018 
End 12/2018
 
Description EPSRC Fellowship
Amount £272,638 (GBP)
Funding ID EP/R00742X/1 
Organisation Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) 
Sector Academic/University
Country United Kingdom
Start 12/2017 
End 11/2020
 
Description EPSRC Global Challenge Research Fund Institutional Sponsorship 2016
Amount £74,593 (GBP)
Organisation Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) 
Sector Academic/University
Country United Kingdom
Start 07/2016 
End 03/2017
 
Description EPSRC Impact Acceleration Account Award
Amount £38,690 (GBP)
Funding ID EPSRC Impact Acceleration Account Award EP/R511742/1 
Organisation Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) 
Sector Academic/University
Country United Kingdom
Start 10/2017 
End 06/2018
 
Description EPSRC Value for Money Assessment
Amount £8,000,000 (GBP)
Funding ID EP/R012202/1 
Organisation Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) 
Sector Academic/University
Country United Kingdom
Start 04/2017 
End 03/2021
 
Description Multi-Hazard Resilience Estimation and Planning for Interdependent National Infrastructure Networks
Amount £172,308 (GBP)
Funding ID NE/N012917/1 
Organisation Natural Environment Research Council 
Sector Public
Country United Kingdom
Start 04/2016 
End 03/2017
 
Description NERC ERIIP
Amount £172,308 (GBP)
Funding ID NE/N012917/1 
Organisation Natural Environment Research Council 
Department NERC Catalyst Grant
Sector Public
Country United Kingdom
Start 04/2016 
End 03/2017
 
Description Piloting and developing a major programme on infrastructure systems in developing countries.
Amount £74,594 (GBP)
Organisation Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) 
Sector Academic/University
Country United Kingdom
Start 07/2016 
End 03/2017
 
Description Scoping studies for consolidating knowledge on resilience between and within critical infrastructure sectors.
Amount £27,200 (GBP)
Organisation Arup Group 
Sector Private
Country United Kingdom
Start 03/2016 
End 06/2016
 
Title September 2016 Mistral project, section 'Water, waste water and flooding'. Gully (roadside drain) network component. 
Description First stage of developing gully (roadside drain) network component complete. The gully component has been tested using a new (observed) data set of gullies in a town in Scotland derived from Robert Bertsch's EngDoc study. 
Type Of Material Database/Collection of data 
Provided To Others? No  
Impact Following the lit review of methods, a conceptual algorithm has been developed for using the new gully data set and road-centre line data to derive a synthetic sewer network. This will be developed and tested in GIS in the next 2 weeks using case study data in Scotland and Newcastle. 
 
Title September 2016 Mistral project, section 'Water, waste water and flooding': Discussions with Northumbrian Water 
Description Mistral project section: Water, waste water and flooding We are in discussion with Northumbrian Water regarding whole city model set up. 
Type Of Material Computer model/algorithm 
Year Produced 2016 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact Not available 
 
Description "Report for Institution of Civil Engineers Northern infrastructure strategy project on the demand predictions for Energy and Transport Infrastructure in the NE, NW and Yorkshire & Humber 
Organisation Institution of Civil Engineers
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Charity/Non Profit 
PI Contribution Use of the NISMOD transport model for a local (road scale) assessment of potential traffic increase.
Collaborator Contribution The Meanwood project is a joint arts/science outreach project coming out of the work of iBUILD, an EPSRC funded collaborative project, in collaboration withe ICE. The NISMOD transport model was used to inform a report for Institution of Civil Engineers Northern infrastructure strategy project on the demand predictions for Energy and Transport Infrastructure in the NE, NW and Yorkshire & Humber.
Impact The report will be circulated shortly.
Start Year 2017
 
Description "Report for Institution of Civil Engineers Northern infrastructure strategy project on the demand predictions for Energy and Transport Infrastructure in the NE, NW and Yorkshire & Humber 
Organisation University of Leeds
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Use of the NISMOD transport model for a local (road scale) assessment of potential traffic increase.
Collaborator Contribution The Meanwood project is a joint arts/science outreach project coming out of the work of iBUILD, an EPSRC funded collaborative project, in collaboration withe ICE. The NISMOD transport model was used to inform a report for Institution of Civil Engineers Northern infrastructure strategy project on the demand predictions for Energy and Transport Infrastructure in the NE, NW and Yorkshire & Humber.
Impact The report will be circulated shortly.
Start Year 2017
 
Description Conference DMDU2017: Decision making across multiple scales 
Organisation Defence Science & Technology Laboratory (DSTL)
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution DMDU2017: Decision making across multiple scales Concept We wish to explore the challenges of decision making at multiple scales and the interactions between scales. Spatial scales that we consider are: • Global: including issues of climate change mitigation, resource exploitation, finance, security etc. • National: including macro-economics, infrastructure investment, innovation, social policy, civil protection etc. • Regional and catchment scale: including water resources management, regional economic development etc. • City-scale: including adaptation to climate change, local energy systems, transportation and mobility, etc. We focus upon the most challenging decision making problems, which are characterised by deep uncertainty, and multiple actors with multiple and conflicting values. We aim to develop a programme for DMDU 2017 that combines: • Insights from the cutting edge of DMDU methodology and tools • Applications that illustrate the practice of DMDU • Theoretical reflections on the nature of DMDU • Practitioner challenges for new applications of DMDU Training day: Monday 20 November Program from last year, to be adapted: DMDU Concepts DMDU Methods and Techniques DMDU in Application 0915-0945 DMDU and overview of the day; "Who are we?" stand-up introduction exercise 0945-1045 Interactive exercise: "What is deep uncertainty and what does it mean in practice?" 1045-1100 Break 1100-1200 Generalized framework for DMDU methods: a guide for the rest of the day 1200-1300 Lunch break (attendees' own responsibility); Demo set up 1300-1500 Introductory demos and application 1500-1515 Break and set up 1515-1600 Substantive overview: "Decisionmaking under Deep Uncertainty: From Theory to Practice" [Springer Verlag, forthcoming] 1600-1700 Plenary panel and Q&A "What is in the DMDU analyst's tool kit?" Drinks reception Workshop day 1: Tuesday 21 November Welcome and introduction to the workshop Global scale keynote: climate change mitigation or geopolitics/security Panel discussion Poster session National scale keynote: Decision making for the UK national infrastructure assessment Collective discussion topic e.g. decision making for national infrastructure at multiple scales (global, national, regional, city-scale) Tools and models showcase Reception and buffet dinner in Natural History Museum Workshop day 2: Wednesday 22 November Regional and city scale parallel sessions. Depending on response, possible sessions are: • Energy policy/systems • Water resources • Regional and city scale economic development • Social policy City-scale keynote e.g. from London Climate Change Partnership, New York, or a resilient city Collective discussion on lessons/challenges from different regional and city contexts Poster session Perspectives from theory and the cutting edge: • Natures of uncertainty • Dynamic adaptation pathways: theories and methodologies • Best practices for public policy decision making • Etc. Discussion Reflections on workshop and plans for 2018 Workshop close
Collaborator Contribution DMDU2017: Decision making across multiple scales Concept We wish to explore the challenges of decision making at multiple scales and the interactions between scales. Spatial scales that we consider are: • Global: including issues of climate change mitigation, resource exploitation, finance, security etc. • National: including macro-economics, infrastructure investment, innovation, social policy, civil protection etc. • Regional and catchment scale: including water resources management, regional economic development etc. • City-scale: including adaptation to climate change, local energy systems, transportation and mobility, etc. We focus upon the most challenging decision making problems, which are characterised by deep uncertainty, and multiple actors with multiple and conflicting values. We aim to develop a programme for DMDU 2017 that combines: • Insights from the cutting edge of DMDU methodology and tools • Applications that illustrate the practice of DMDU • Theoretical reflections on the nature of DMDU • Practitioner challenges for new applications of DMDU Training day: Monday 20 November Program from last year, to be adapted: DMDU Concepts DMDU Methods and Techniques DMDU in Application 0915-0945 DMDU and overview of the day; "Who are we?" stand-up introduction exercise 0945-1045 Interactive exercise: "What is deep uncertainty and what does it mean in practice?" 1045-1100 Break 1100-1200 Generalized framework for DMDU methods: a guide for the rest of the day 1200-1300 Lunch break (attendees' own responsibility); Demo set up 1300-1500 Introductory demos and application 1500-1515 Break and set up 1515-1600 Substantive overview: "Decisionmaking under Deep Uncertainty: From Theory to Practice" [Springer Verlag, forthcoming] 1600-1700 Plenary panel and Q&A "What is in the DMDU analyst's tool kit?" Drinks reception Workshop day 1: Tuesday 21 November Welcome and introduction to the workshop Global scale keynote: climate change mitigation or geopolitics/security Panel discussion Poster session National scale keynote: Decision making for the UK national infrastructure assessment Collective discussion topic e.g. decision making for national infrastructure at multiple scales (global, national, regional, city-scale) Tools and models showcase Reception and buffet dinner in Natural History Museum Workshop day 2: Wednesday 22 November Regional and city scale parallel sessions. Depending on response, possible sessions are: • Energy policy/systems • Water resources • Regional and city scale economic development • Social policy City-scale keynote e.g. from London Climate Change Partnership, New York, or a resilient city Collective discussion on lessons/challenges from different regional and city contexts Poster session Perspectives from theory and the cutting edge: • Natures of uncertainty • Dynamic adaptation pathways: theories and methodologies • Best practices for public policy decision making • Etc. Discussion Reflections on workshop and plans for 2018 Workshop close
Impact There will a high profile international conference delivered on 13-15 November 2017
Start Year 2016
 
Description Conference DMDU2017: Decision making across multiple scales 
Organisation Rolls Royce Group Plc
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Private 
PI Contribution DMDU2017: Decision making across multiple scales Concept We wish to explore the challenges of decision making at multiple scales and the interactions between scales. Spatial scales that we consider are: • Global: including issues of climate change mitigation, resource exploitation, finance, security etc. • National: including macro-economics, infrastructure investment, innovation, social policy, civil protection etc. • Regional and catchment scale: including water resources management, regional economic development etc. • City-scale: including adaptation to climate change, local energy systems, transportation and mobility, etc. We focus upon the most challenging decision making problems, which are characterised by deep uncertainty, and multiple actors with multiple and conflicting values. We aim to develop a programme for DMDU 2017 that combines: • Insights from the cutting edge of DMDU methodology and tools • Applications that illustrate the practice of DMDU • Theoretical reflections on the nature of DMDU • Practitioner challenges for new applications of DMDU Training day: Monday 20 November Program from last year, to be adapted: DMDU Concepts DMDU Methods and Techniques DMDU in Application 0915-0945 DMDU and overview of the day; "Who are we?" stand-up introduction exercise 0945-1045 Interactive exercise: "What is deep uncertainty and what does it mean in practice?" 1045-1100 Break 1100-1200 Generalized framework for DMDU methods: a guide for the rest of the day 1200-1300 Lunch break (attendees' own responsibility); Demo set up 1300-1500 Introductory demos and application 1500-1515 Break and set up 1515-1600 Substantive overview: "Decisionmaking under Deep Uncertainty: From Theory to Practice" [Springer Verlag, forthcoming] 1600-1700 Plenary panel and Q&A "What is in the DMDU analyst's tool kit?" Drinks reception Workshop day 1: Tuesday 21 November Welcome and introduction to the workshop Global scale keynote: climate change mitigation or geopolitics/security Panel discussion Poster session National scale keynote: Decision making for the UK national infrastructure assessment Collective discussion topic e.g. decision making for national infrastructure at multiple scales (global, national, regional, city-scale) Tools and models showcase Reception and buffet dinner in Natural History Museum Workshop day 2: Wednesday 22 November Regional and city scale parallel sessions. Depending on response, possible sessions are: • Energy policy/systems • Water resources • Regional and city scale economic development • Social policy City-scale keynote e.g. from London Climate Change Partnership, New York, or a resilient city Collective discussion on lessons/challenges from different regional and city contexts Poster session Perspectives from theory and the cutting edge: • Natures of uncertainty • Dynamic adaptation pathways: theories and methodologies • Best practices for public policy decision making • Etc. Discussion Reflections on workshop and plans for 2018 Workshop close
Collaborator Contribution DMDU2017: Decision making across multiple scales Concept We wish to explore the challenges of decision making at multiple scales and the interactions between scales. Spatial scales that we consider are: • Global: including issues of climate change mitigation, resource exploitation, finance, security etc. • National: including macro-economics, infrastructure investment, innovation, social policy, civil protection etc. • Regional and catchment scale: including water resources management, regional economic development etc. • City-scale: including adaptation to climate change, local energy systems, transportation and mobility, etc. We focus upon the most challenging decision making problems, which are characterised by deep uncertainty, and multiple actors with multiple and conflicting values. We aim to develop a programme for DMDU 2017 that combines: • Insights from the cutting edge of DMDU methodology and tools • Applications that illustrate the practice of DMDU • Theoretical reflections on the nature of DMDU • Practitioner challenges for new applications of DMDU Training day: Monday 20 November Program from last year, to be adapted: DMDU Concepts DMDU Methods and Techniques DMDU in Application 0915-0945 DMDU and overview of the day; "Who are we?" stand-up introduction exercise 0945-1045 Interactive exercise: "What is deep uncertainty and what does it mean in practice?" 1045-1100 Break 1100-1200 Generalized framework for DMDU methods: a guide for the rest of the day 1200-1300 Lunch break (attendees' own responsibility); Demo set up 1300-1500 Introductory demos and application 1500-1515 Break and set up 1515-1600 Substantive overview: "Decisionmaking under Deep Uncertainty: From Theory to Practice" [Springer Verlag, forthcoming] 1600-1700 Plenary panel and Q&A "What is in the DMDU analyst's tool kit?" Drinks reception Workshop day 1: Tuesday 21 November Welcome and introduction to the workshop Global scale keynote: climate change mitigation or geopolitics/security Panel discussion Poster session National scale keynote: Decision making for the UK national infrastructure assessment Collective discussion topic e.g. decision making for national infrastructure at multiple scales (global, national, regional, city-scale) Tools and models showcase Reception and buffet dinner in Natural History Museum Workshop day 2: Wednesday 22 November Regional and city scale parallel sessions. Depending on response, possible sessions are: • Energy policy/systems • Water resources • Regional and city scale economic development • Social policy City-scale keynote e.g. from London Climate Change Partnership, New York, or a resilient city Collective discussion on lessons/challenges from different regional and city contexts Poster session Perspectives from theory and the cutting edge: • Natures of uncertainty • Dynamic adaptation pathways: theories and methodologies • Best practices for public policy decision making • Etc. Discussion Reflections on workshop and plans for 2018 Workshop close
Impact There will a high profile international conference delivered on 13-15 November 2017
Start Year 2016
 
Description Conference DMDU2017: Decision making across multiple scales 
Organisation The RAND Corporation
Country United States 
Sector Charity/Non Profit 
PI Contribution DMDU2017: Decision making across multiple scales Concept We wish to explore the challenges of decision making at multiple scales and the interactions between scales. Spatial scales that we consider are: • Global: including issues of climate change mitigation, resource exploitation, finance, security etc. • National: including macro-economics, infrastructure investment, innovation, social policy, civil protection etc. • Regional and catchment scale: including water resources management, regional economic development etc. • City-scale: including adaptation to climate change, local energy systems, transportation and mobility, etc. We focus upon the most challenging decision making problems, which are characterised by deep uncertainty, and multiple actors with multiple and conflicting values. We aim to develop a programme for DMDU 2017 that combines: • Insights from the cutting edge of DMDU methodology and tools • Applications that illustrate the practice of DMDU • Theoretical reflections on the nature of DMDU • Practitioner challenges for new applications of DMDU Training day: Monday 20 November Program from last year, to be adapted: DMDU Concepts DMDU Methods and Techniques DMDU in Application 0915-0945 DMDU and overview of the day; "Who are we?" stand-up introduction exercise 0945-1045 Interactive exercise: "What is deep uncertainty and what does it mean in practice?" 1045-1100 Break 1100-1200 Generalized framework for DMDU methods: a guide for the rest of the day 1200-1300 Lunch break (attendees' own responsibility); Demo set up 1300-1500 Introductory demos and application 1500-1515 Break and set up 1515-1600 Substantive overview: "Decisionmaking under Deep Uncertainty: From Theory to Practice" [Springer Verlag, forthcoming] 1600-1700 Plenary panel and Q&A "What is in the DMDU analyst's tool kit?" Drinks reception Workshop day 1: Tuesday 21 November Welcome and introduction to the workshop Global scale keynote: climate change mitigation or geopolitics/security Panel discussion Poster session National scale keynote: Decision making for the UK national infrastructure assessment Collective discussion topic e.g. decision making for national infrastructure at multiple scales (global, national, regional, city-scale) Tools and models showcase Reception and buffet dinner in Natural History Museum Workshop day 2: Wednesday 22 November Regional and city scale parallel sessions. Depending on response, possible sessions are: • Energy policy/systems • Water resources • Regional and city scale economic development • Social policy City-scale keynote e.g. from London Climate Change Partnership, New York, or a resilient city Collective discussion on lessons/challenges from different regional and city contexts Poster session Perspectives from theory and the cutting edge: • Natures of uncertainty • Dynamic adaptation pathways: theories and methodologies • Best practices for public policy decision making • Etc. Discussion Reflections on workshop and plans for 2018 Workshop close
Collaborator Contribution DMDU2017: Decision making across multiple scales Concept We wish to explore the challenges of decision making at multiple scales and the interactions between scales. Spatial scales that we consider are: • Global: including issues of climate change mitigation, resource exploitation, finance, security etc. • National: including macro-economics, infrastructure investment, innovation, social policy, civil protection etc. • Regional and catchment scale: including water resources management, regional economic development etc. • City-scale: including adaptation to climate change, local energy systems, transportation and mobility, etc. We focus upon the most challenging decision making problems, which are characterised by deep uncertainty, and multiple actors with multiple and conflicting values. We aim to develop a programme for DMDU 2017 that combines: • Insights from the cutting edge of DMDU methodology and tools • Applications that illustrate the practice of DMDU • Theoretical reflections on the nature of DMDU • Practitioner challenges for new applications of DMDU Training day: Monday 20 November Program from last year, to be adapted: DMDU Concepts DMDU Methods and Techniques DMDU in Application 0915-0945 DMDU and overview of the day; "Who are we?" stand-up introduction exercise 0945-1045 Interactive exercise: "What is deep uncertainty and what does it mean in practice?" 1045-1100 Break 1100-1200 Generalized framework for DMDU methods: a guide for the rest of the day 1200-1300 Lunch break (attendees' own responsibility); Demo set up 1300-1500 Introductory demos and application 1500-1515 Break and set up 1515-1600 Substantive overview: "Decisionmaking under Deep Uncertainty: From Theory to Practice" [Springer Verlag, forthcoming] 1600-1700 Plenary panel and Q&A "What is in the DMDU analyst's tool kit?" Drinks reception Workshop day 1: Tuesday 21 November Welcome and introduction to the workshop Global scale keynote: climate change mitigation or geopolitics/security Panel discussion Poster session National scale keynote: Decision making for the UK national infrastructure assessment Collective discussion topic e.g. decision making for national infrastructure at multiple scales (global, national, regional, city-scale) Tools and models showcase Reception and buffet dinner in Natural History Museum Workshop day 2: Wednesday 22 November Regional and city scale parallel sessions. Depending on response, possible sessions are: • Energy policy/systems • Water resources • Regional and city scale economic development • Social policy City-scale keynote e.g. from London Climate Change Partnership, New York, or a resilient city Collective discussion on lessons/challenges from different regional and city contexts Poster session Perspectives from theory and the cutting edge: • Natures of uncertainty • Dynamic adaptation pathways: theories and methodologies • Best practices for public policy decision making • Etc. Discussion Reflections on workshop and plans for 2018 Workshop close
Impact There will a high profile international conference delivered on 13-15 November 2017
Start Year 2016
 
Description Conference DMDU2017: Decision making across multiple scales 
Organisation World Bank Group
Country United States 
Sector Private 
PI Contribution DMDU2017: Decision making across multiple scales Concept We wish to explore the challenges of decision making at multiple scales and the interactions between scales. Spatial scales that we consider are: • Global: including issues of climate change mitigation, resource exploitation, finance, security etc. • National: including macro-economics, infrastructure investment, innovation, social policy, civil protection etc. • Regional and catchment scale: including water resources management, regional economic development etc. • City-scale: including adaptation to climate change, local energy systems, transportation and mobility, etc. We focus upon the most challenging decision making problems, which are characterised by deep uncertainty, and multiple actors with multiple and conflicting values. We aim to develop a programme for DMDU 2017 that combines: • Insights from the cutting edge of DMDU methodology and tools • Applications that illustrate the practice of DMDU • Theoretical reflections on the nature of DMDU • Practitioner challenges for new applications of DMDU Training day: Monday 20 November Program from last year, to be adapted: DMDU Concepts DMDU Methods and Techniques DMDU in Application 0915-0945 DMDU and overview of the day; "Who are we?" stand-up introduction exercise 0945-1045 Interactive exercise: "What is deep uncertainty and what does it mean in practice?" 1045-1100 Break 1100-1200 Generalized framework for DMDU methods: a guide for the rest of the day 1200-1300 Lunch break (attendees' own responsibility); Demo set up 1300-1500 Introductory demos and application 1500-1515 Break and set up 1515-1600 Substantive overview: "Decisionmaking under Deep Uncertainty: From Theory to Practice" [Springer Verlag, forthcoming] 1600-1700 Plenary panel and Q&A "What is in the DMDU analyst's tool kit?" Drinks reception Workshop day 1: Tuesday 21 November Welcome and introduction to the workshop Global scale keynote: climate change mitigation or geopolitics/security Panel discussion Poster session National scale keynote: Decision making for the UK national infrastructure assessment Collective discussion topic e.g. decision making for national infrastructure at multiple scales (global, national, regional, city-scale) Tools and models showcase Reception and buffet dinner in Natural History Museum Workshop day 2: Wednesday 22 November Regional and city scale parallel sessions. Depending on response, possible sessions are: • Energy policy/systems • Water resources • Regional and city scale economic development • Social policy City-scale keynote e.g. from London Climate Change Partnership, New York, or a resilient city Collective discussion on lessons/challenges from different regional and city contexts Poster session Perspectives from theory and the cutting edge: • Natures of uncertainty • Dynamic adaptation pathways: theories and methodologies • Best practices for public policy decision making • Etc. Discussion Reflections on workshop and plans for 2018 Workshop close
Collaborator Contribution DMDU2017: Decision making across multiple scales Concept We wish to explore the challenges of decision making at multiple scales and the interactions between scales. Spatial scales that we consider are: • Global: including issues of climate change mitigation, resource exploitation, finance, security etc. • National: including macro-economics, infrastructure investment, innovation, social policy, civil protection etc. • Regional and catchment scale: including water resources management, regional economic development etc. • City-scale: including adaptation to climate change, local energy systems, transportation and mobility, etc. We focus upon the most challenging decision making problems, which are characterised by deep uncertainty, and multiple actors with multiple and conflicting values. We aim to develop a programme for DMDU 2017 that combines: • Insights from the cutting edge of DMDU methodology and tools • Applications that illustrate the practice of DMDU • Theoretical reflections on the nature of DMDU • Practitioner challenges for new applications of DMDU Training day: Monday 20 November Program from last year, to be adapted: DMDU Concepts DMDU Methods and Techniques DMDU in Application 0915-0945 DMDU and overview of the day; "Who are we?" stand-up introduction exercise 0945-1045 Interactive exercise: "What is deep uncertainty and what does it mean in practice?" 1045-1100 Break 1100-1200 Generalized framework for DMDU methods: a guide for the rest of the day 1200-1300 Lunch break (attendees' own responsibility); Demo set up 1300-1500 Introductory demos and application 1500-1515 Break and set up 1515-1600 Substantive overview: "Decisionmaking under Deep Uncertainty: From Theory to Practice" [Springer Verlag, forthcoming] 1600-1700 Plenary panel and Q&A "What is in the DMDU analyst's tool kit?" Drinks reception Workshop day 1: Tuesday 21 November Welcome and introduction to the workshop Global scale keynote: climate change mitigation or geopolitics/security Panel discussion Poster session National scale keynote: Decision making for the UK national infrastructure assessment Collective discussion topic e.g. decision making for national infrastructure at multiple scales (global, national, regional, city-scale) Tools and models showcase Reception and buffet dinner in Natural History Museum Workshop day 2: Wednesday 22 November Regional and city scale parallel sessions. Depending on response, possible sessions are: • Energy policy/systems • Water resources • Regional and city scale economic development • Social policy City-scale keynote e.g. from London Climate Change Partnership, New York, or a resilient city Collective discussion on lessons/challenges from different regional and city contexts Poster session Perspectives from theory and the cutting edge: • Natures of uncertainty • Dynamic adaptation pathways: theories and methodologies • Best practices for public policy decision making • Etc. Discussion Reflections on workshop and plans for 2018 Workshop close
Impact There will a high profile international conference delivered on 13-15 November 2017
Start Year 2016
 
Description Consultation for a national infrastructure database, modelling, simulation and vizualisation facility ( MISTRAL/UKCRIC) 
Organisation Innovate UK
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution We are partnering with Innovate UK, STFC and OS to develop and implement a consultation process to design a national infrastructure database, modelling, simulation and vizualisation facility funded by the UKCRIC capital grant. The migration of ITRC and MISTRAL research outputs would kickstart the migration of as many as possible relevant outputs from other infrastructure research across the UK. The aim is to make the new facility become a national hub to accellerate research in infrastructure sytems to consolidate the UK's leadership in the field.
Collaborator Contribution There has been several meetings, Innovate UK is fully commited in supporting the consulation process. STFC will manage the facility and OS will provide data access to the initaive.
Impact The process is being developed with a major consultation event to be hels in June/July in London.
Start Year 2016
 
Description Consultation for a national infrastructure database, modelling, simulation and vizualisation facility ( MISTRAL/UKCRIC) 
Organisation Ordnance Survey
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution We are partnering with Innovate UK, STFC and OS to develop and implement a consultation process to design a national infrastructure database, modelling, simulation and vizualisation facility funded by the UKCRIC capital grant. The migration of ITRC and MISTRAL research outputs would kickstart the migration of as many as possible relevant outputs from other infrastructure research across the UK. The aim is to make the new facility become a national hub to accellerate research in infrastructure sytems to consolidate the UK's leadership in the field.
Collaborator Contribution There has been several meetings, Innovate UK is fully commited in supporting the consulation process. STFC will manage the facility and OS will provide data access to the initaive.
Impact The process is being developed with a major consultation event to be hels in June/July in London.
Start Year 2016
 
Description Consultation for a national infrastructure database, modelling, simulation and vizualisation facility ( MISTRAL/UKCRIC) 
Organisation Science and Technologies Facilities Council (STFC)
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution We are partnering with Innovate UK, STFC and OS to develop and implement a consultation process to design a national infrastructure database, modelling, simulation and vizualisation facility funded by the UKCRIC capital grant. The migration of ITRC and MISTRAL research outputs would kickstart the migration of as many as possible relevant outputs from other infrastructure research across the UK. The aim is to make the new facility become a national hub to accellerate research in infrastructure sytems to consolidate the UK's leadership in the field.
Collaborator Contribution There has been several meetings, Innovate UK is fully commited in supporting the consulation process. STFC will manage the facility and OS will provide data access to the initaive.
Impact The process is being developed with a major consultation event to be hels in June/July in London.
Start Year 2016
 
Description Environmental Agency Long-term Investment Scenario (LTIS) model 
Organisation Environment Agency
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution This study evaluates how the EA can improve their Long-term Investment Scenario (LTIS) model, which is basically used for flood defence investment appraisal - i.e. where and when should flood defences be invested in. We are advising on one specific area of interest in model development: 'Risks to infrastructure'
Collaborator Contribution This is a team of organisations led by consultants CH2MILL with a unique ability to respond to the challenges posed by LTIS additional analysis, in particular for this standalone analysis. The team has a deep understanding of LTIS from CH2M and Horritt Consulting, experience of working with natural processes from CEH, knowledge of the flood risk management system (including flood impacts and social science aspects) from FHRC and infrastructure system modelling from the University of Oxford. The team includes a range of perspectives, but all are able to think differently and deliver innovative solutions that consider the big picture of the problem. The partnership involved our subject experts and the LTIS Environment Agency project team.
Impact We believe that in the longer term a full range of responses could be integrated with the LTIS risk modelling, including temporary community defences, natural flood management and non-structural responses. Similarly, we can improve the LTIS modeling by directly including a wide range of impacts (and therefore benefits of investment), including the risks to infrastructure. The project involves the following disciplines: finance, policy management, social sciences, economics, enguneering, compuer sciences,
Start Year 2016
 
Description HS2 Assessment for Climate Change Resilience 
Organisation High Speed Two (HS2) Ltd
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution In April 2016 Dr Raghav Pant and Dr Scott Thacker from the Environmental Change Institute (ECI) at the School of Geography and the Environment asked the Consulting Services team at Oxford University Innovation for help with a complex collaborative project. The objective was to assess the possible impacts of climate change on interdependent systems along HS2 - the planned high-speed railway linking London, Birmingham, the East Midlands, Leeds, Sheffield and Manchester. The project was managed by JBA Consulting - a group of engineers, environmental consultants, designers and scientists who for the last 20 years have been committed to improving the natural and built environment - alongside professionals from the Met Office. Raghav and Scott's insights enabled the project to make practical, science-based judgements based on world-leading techniques established by the University of Oxford's Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium. Together, they led the development of a comprehensive methodology to assist civil engineers and designers in accounting for climate change interdependencies when designing the HS2 route. In particular, they developed and implemented methods for describing the interdependencies; created a risk-based approach for assessing the impact of climate change on HS2 interdependencies; and prescribed a methodology for categorising, assessing and prioritising any HS2 vulnerabilities arising from these interdependencies. Their work established a system-of-systems approach that provides HS2 with a holistic understanding of risk attributable to other interdependent utilities such as electricity, gas, water, etc. In a nutshell, it is a comprehensive climate change risk assessment of interdependent infrastructures, which is an intrinsic part of HS2 Ltd's commitment to creating a resilient high-speed railway network.
Collaborator Contribution They provided an analytical framework to further strengthen and validate the NISMOD suite of tools and databases for infrastructure planning being developed within the MISTRAL project.
Impact The project was managed by JBA Consulting - a group of engineers, environmental consultants, designers and scientists who for the last 20 years have been committed to improving the natural and built environment. HS2 is one of the most important UK infrastructure projects that can potentially transform the UK economy by facilitating improved capacity and connectivity between London, the Midlands and the North. By developing a guidance methodology with JBA we have been able to inform HS2 Ltd's future planning and design.
Start Year 2016
 
Description National Infrastructure Assessment for the National Infrastructure Commission 
Organisation HM Treasury
Department National Infrastructure Commission
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution Each Parliament, the National Infrastructure Commission (NIC) will deliver a study on the UK's long-term strategic infrastructure needs and produce recommendations to address those needs across the economic infrastructure sectors including transport, energy, water and wastewater, digital communications, solid waste, flood risk management as well as considering their interdependencies and interaction with the built environment. The National Infrastructure Assessment (NIA) will consist of two stages: Visions and Priorities, identifying the vision and long-term infrastructure needs to be published in mid-2017 and the National Infrastructure Assessment, a roadmap of recommendations including both on policy and infrastructure solutions to be published in mid-2018. As part of its work on the NIA, the NIC has been developing scenarios to help understand how the UK's infrastructure requirements could change in response to different assumptions about the future. These scenarios are based on available empirical evidence about past trends, and on quantitative and qualitative forecasts of changes in the economy, population and demography, climate and environment, and technology. Quantitative modelling of 'baseline' outcomes in these scenarios, and of packages of policy proposals in the most relevant scenarios, will allow an assessment of the robustness of policy options to future uncertainty. These scenarios are tested using the national infrastructure system model (NISMOD), which was developed by the UK Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium and used to inform the National Needs Assessment, as well as models used by Government departments for the water, wastewater, solid waste, transport and energy sectors. The results from the scenario analysis are intended to provide evidence on the potential challenges for each sector through identifying the likely scale of future infrastructure requirements and to support the development of infrastructure recommendations that are robust to future uncertainty. Results will be validated by sensitivity analysis of selected parameters and by analysing outputs from different models, which have been independently quality assured.
Collaborator Contribution Each Parliament, the National Infrastructure Commission (NIC) will deliver a study on the UK's long-term strategic infrastructure needs and produce recommendations to address those needs across the economic infrastructure sectors including transport, energy, water and wastewater, digital communications, solid waste, flood risk management as well as considering their interdependencies and interaction with the built environment. The National Infrastructure Assessment (NIA) will consist of two stages: Visions and Priorities, identifying the vision and long-term infrastructure needs to be published in mid-2017 and the National Infrastructure Assessment, a roadmap of recommendations including both on policy and infrastructure solutions to be published in mid-2018. As part of its work on the NIA, the NIC has been developing scenarios to help understand how the UK's infrastructure requirements could change in response to different assumptions about the future. These scenarios are based on available empirical evidence about past trends, and on quantitative and qualitative forecasts of changes in the economy, population and demography, climate and environment, and technology. Quantitative modelling of 'baseline' outcomes in these scenarios, and of packages of policy proposals in the most relevant scenarios, will allow an assessment of the robustness of policy options to future uncertainty. These scenarios are tested using the national infrastructure system model (NISMOD), which was developed by the UK Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium and used to inform the National Needs Assessment, as well as models used by Government departments for the water, wastewater, solid waste, transport and energy sectors. The results from the scenario analysis are intended to provide evidence on the potential challenges for each sector through identifying the likely scale of future infrastructure requirements and to support the development of infrastructure recommendations that are robust to future uncertainty. Results will be validated by sensitivity analysis of selected parameters and by analysing outputs from different models, which have been independently quality assured.
Impact Progress with modelling for NIA/V&P to date • NIC have analysed infrastructure 'drivers' (population and demography, economic growth and productivity, climate and the environment, technology) to identify trends which will affect future infrastructure needs and generate scenarios - working papers published online • Meetings between NIC & ITRC to discuss technology scenarios and appropriate parameters in NISMOD • ITRC have added the NIC's socio-economic scenarios (population and economic growth) in NISMOD • NIC and ITRC have analysed the water supply-demand balance across the 11-member future flow scenarios in order to determine which to use for NIC scenario analysis • NIC would like to commission Dr Michael Simpson to include new research on high and low emissions scenarios in NISMOD by end of March 2017 • NIC have started running water model with support from ITRC
Start Year 2016
 
Description National Needs Assessment 
Organisation Institution of Civil Engineers
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Charity/Non Profit 
PI Contribution National Infrastructure Commission The ITRC collaborated with Infrastructure UK (IUK), HM Treasury, to inform the work of the Major Infrastructure Tracking (MIT) team and the national infrastructure pipeline. The IUK infrastructure pipeline consists of circa 497 infrastructure projects with a budget of approximately £450 billion for the next decade for investment in energy, transport, water, waste water, and solid waste. This successful collaboration led to the ITRC being invited to provide analytics for the National Needs Assessment exercise. The NNA is a first step in the creation of the National Infrastructure Commission recently announced by the Chancellor of the Exchecker, George Osbourne, to be led by Lord Adonis. The coalition undertaking the 'National Needs Assessment' is being chaired by ICE President and National Infrastructure Commissioner Sir John Armitt, who announced its launch at his ICE presidential address in November. It includes ICE, CBI, KPMG, Pinsent Masons, University of Cambridge, University of Oxford, Graham Dalton (former Highways Agency CEO), National Grid, London First, Green Alliance, Transport for Greater Manchester, Thames Water and the Scottish Council for Development and Industry. The needs assessment will be based on evidence gathered during the nationwide consultation launched today, evidence hearings, research being undertaken by the Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium, and a vast pool of data and analysis. It will take into account factors such as climate change, population growth and technological 'game changers'. It will also review different options for meeting the UK's needs, considering affordability, public acceptability and environmental obligations. A report will be published in October 2016 setting out a vision for UK infrastructure up to 2050 and a series of interventions Government and industry will need to make to realise the vision.
Collaborator Contribution The ICE has given the ITRC the opportunity to make a clear impact on policy for the management of national infrastructure for the next decades in the UK.The National Needs Assessment sets out a vision for how infrastructure delivers economic growth, thriving communities and embraces technology to deliver a low carbon future. It is a blueprint for the National Infrastructure Commission's (NIC) long term infrastructure assessment.
Impact This is a multidisciplinary collaboration - engineering, finance, mathematics, social and economic sciences. The National Needs Assessment (NNA) was an Institution of Civil Engineers initiative to examine the UK's likely infrastructure needs in the coming decades - set against uncertainties such as climate change, population growth, global energy prices and economic change. It also looked at the way infrastructure networks relate to, and depend on, one another and how this will impact on the performance of networks in the future. We provided the primary evidence for the NNA through our modelling framework for analysing the relationships between and among infrastructure networks. Our scenarios set out the main demand drivers on infrastructure - population growth, climate change, technology, economic trends. The National Needs Assessment sets out a vision for how infrastructure delivers economic growth, thriving communities and embraces technology to deliver a low carbon future. It is a blueprint for the National Infrastructure Commission's (NIC) long term infrastructure assessment. The MISTRAL programme is now providing the analytical framework for the National Infrastructure Commission's (NIC) National Infrastructure Assessment. Main messages Housing needs: A comprehensive review of public land available for housing Housing should be considered as part of the Nationally Significant Infrastructure Planning (NSIP) regime to enable house building in the right locations. Energy needs: A plan for low carbon electricity generation capacity that ensures security of supply through to at least 2035. This should include a diverse mix of energy generation based on nuclear, renewables, gas and interconnectors The NIC should set out alternative strategies for energy security post 2035, including use of new technologies Government and Ofgem should take a more proactive role in enabling a smarter energy system to reduce the need for major new power projects A clear policy and consistent schemes for reduction of energy demand in households and businesses. Transport needs: Identify priority routes for capacity improvements on road and rail networks, including completion of HS2 Phases 1 and 2, development of the business case for extending high-speed rail to Scotland, capacity increase in the South-West and a transport corridor from East to West Support the efficient use of road space, and rapid implementation of autonomous vehicles for both freight and passenger traffic Establish and implement new ways of funding primary road infrastructure, including consideration of a road pricing system.. Increase investment in the commuter rail network and other public transport to ensure the economic development of urban centre is not constrained by overcrowding and congestion.
Start Year 2016
 
Description UNOPS and ITRC-MISTRAL Collaboration 
Organisation United Nations Office for Project Services
Country United States 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution As a key component of the research, we are developing, in collaboration with the United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS), a series of open-source analysis tools known as NISMOD-Int for the application of evidence-based decision making to developing countries. These tools will allow recipient countries to develop and assess alternative infrastructure transition strategies for meeting their future sustainable development goals. This work is currently being piloted in the occupied Palestinian territories with plans underway to extend our coverage to Africa, Asia and the Island States. Middle East infratructure NISMOD-International The current ITRC-MISTRAL research program encompasses the analysis of infrastructure systems at multiple-scales including "across scales", that is, to assess and compare infrastructure systems at a national scale in other countries around the world. Our intention therefore is to adapt and apply our ground breaking systems-of-systems infrastructure assessment capabilities to other countries and contexts including developing countries, rapidly developing city-states, and post-conflict, post-disasters contexts. Most of the world's infrastructure development is occurring outside the UK in rapidly emerging economies with the greatest infrastructure gap present in the poorest countries of the world. Infrastructure decisions being made now will lock in development pathways. In the international cases we have examined so far we have seen a wide range of planning and decision methodologies, but no long-term cross-sectoral strategic systems analysis. Given the scale of infrastructure investment required around the world, from post-disaster situations to rapidly industrialising economies, it is not surprising that ITRC has been invited to apply its approach in situations outside the UK, from Palestine to China. As a key component of this research we are developing, in collaboration with the United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS), a series of open-source analysis tools known as NISMOD-Int for the application of evidence-based decision making to developing countries. These tools will allow recipient countries to develop and assess alternative infrastructure transition strategies for meeting their future sustainable development goals. This work is currently being piloted in the occupied Palestinian territories with plans underway to extend our coverage to Africa, Asia and the Island States. A central module within the open-source analysis tools we are applying is a generic infrastructure systems assessment framework that can be applied to any of the diverse range of possible international settings. Integral to this framework will be the ability to combine the surplus of rapidly emerging global datasets, including big data from remote sensing satellites and mobile devices, with country-specific engineering insights and on-the-ground assessments gained from our UNOPS partners. By applying our methodology at a variety of scales we will enable an exploration of the many different infrastructure network configurations that might be achievable given the lock-in to infrastructure systems that have been built in recent decades and the current patterns of investment. And in post-disaster, post-conflict contexts provide the capacity for evidence-based strategies to enable affected countries to 'build back better'.
Collaborator Contribution UNOPS has developed its Evidence Based Infrastructure Development Framework (EBIDF), in partnership with the MISTRAL proogramme. This is a key strathegy for the organisation. UNOPS has recruited one of MISTRAL's senior researchers, Dr Scott Thacker, as a dedicated UNOPS/ITRC-Mistral Research Fellow, seconded at ITRC-MISTRAL in the Universitiy of Oxford.
Impact This is a multi-discplinary collaboration - engineering, social sciences, economics, mathematics , computer science, hydrology, governance, politics. The UNOPS and MISTRAL have presented plans Mufeed Al Hasayneh, Minister of Public Works and Housing of Palestine. It has also started a collaboration with the National Agenda for the Future of Syria and UNOPS for the reconstruction of Syria's infrastructure. A simlar agreement is being arranged with the island of Curacao, threatened by climate change (sea levels rising).
Start Year 2016
 
Description A Cooper (Policy & Engagement Director), S Varma (Policy Advisor), and S Hayes (Senior Economic Adviser) of the NIC met with J Hall of the ITRC on 17/11/2017 to discuss the Digital Twin Pilot Project Scoping 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact A Cooper (Policy & Engagement Director), S Varma (Policy Advisor), and S Hayes (Senior Economic Adviser) of the NIC met with J Hall of the ITRC on 17/11/2017 to discuss the Digital Twin Pilot Project Scoping
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description NERC Industry - academia brokerage event, CIRIA, London 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Industry/Business
Results and Impact MISTRAL Researcher Raghav Pant, University of Oxford gave a talk as an exemplar of Innovation success stories after receiving one of the NERC grants fo research in Resilience.


This event will provide an opportunity to find out more about the NERC five-year, £5m initiative 'Environmental Risks to Infrastructure Innovation Programme' and will facilitate networking and joint proposal development between academic and industry partners.

Application for this event is now closed. If you are interested in attending please contact samantha.mitchell@ciria.org

Background
The Environmental Risks to Infrastructure Innovation Programme (ERIIP) is a collaboration between academia and infrastructure owners, operators, policy-makers and regulators to enable the UK infrastructure sector to use environmental science to identify, quantify and manage environmental risks to UK infrastructure.

NERC are now inviting proposals for innovation projects under the third round of the Environmental Risks to Infrastructure Innovation Programme (ERIIP). Under this programme, all projects must have project partners related to UK infrastructure, e.g. infrastructure owners, operators, regulators or policy-makers. This brokerage event will run to support this requirement, and to support the development of effective partnerships between academia and the infrastructure sector.

During this event, there will be the opportunity to find out more about the specific research priorities of the Innovation Programme industry partners and their joint priorities and areas of interest.

Please note, due to high levels of interest attendance at this event must be applied for.

To apply please complete the following survey: NERC Industry - academia brokerage event

All applications must be submitted by 23rd February and applicants will be informed on whether their application has been successful by no later than 3rd March.

If you have any questions regarding the application process please contact Samantha Mitchell.

If you have any questions regarding the event programme please contact rugh@nerc.ac.uk or sirio.daleo@ciria.org

NERC ERIIP funding call
Further information on the Environmental Risks to Infrastructure Innovation Programme (ERIIP) funding call, guidance on the application process and FAQ are available here.

ERIIP members research priorities
Short presentations on the research priorities of each ERIIP members will be available by 24 February on CIRIA's and NERC's websites.

Why attend?
This event will:

facilitate discussion of industry challenges and partnering opportunities
highlight industry stakeholder issues and core themes identified by NERC
facilitate academic / industry networking and collaboration
promote the Innovation Programme Call and EOI stage
explain processes for call and EOI

Programme
09.00 Registration

09.30 Introduction & welcome
Owen Jenkins, CIRIA

09.40 NERC ERIIP introduction
Ruth Hughes / Robyn Thomas, NERC

09:55 Innovation success stories
Raghav Pant, University of Oxford
David Gunn, British Geological Survey & Colin Brett, Uniper Technologies Ltd

10:20 ERIIP members presentation

11:20 Coffee & networking

11:40 ERIIP members presentation

12.40 Networking Lunch

13:40 Industry - academic one-to-one

15:30 Afternoon break

15:45 Discussion sessions

Lightning
Space weather

16:30 Close

Who should attend?
Infrastructure operators, designers, contractors, regulators and academics.

When
15 March 2017
9.30 - 16.30 (Registration from 9.00)

Where
Prince Philip House,
3 Carlton House Terrace,
St. James's, London
SW1Y 5DG
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description 'Designing a road traffic model for the cross-sectoral analysis of future national infrastructure', 5th International Symposium for Next Generation Infrastructure, London (11-13/09/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact The International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI) meeting in 2017 brought together a global community of infrastructure academics, policy and industry professionals. The event aimed to share progress, knowledge and new thinking, and a number of ITRC-MISTRAL's researchers presented their work.
A presentation describing NISMOD v1 (2011 - 2015) - the first family of models to analyse the long-term performance, plans, and risks and vulnerabilities of the national infrastructure under future uncertainty. Included, amongst many other factors:
- Integration of capacity, demand and risk modelling frameworks
- System model with packages of policy interventions
- Global connectivity: integration with international demand/supply nodes at model boundaries
- Risk and resilience

ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s:
Lovric M; Blainey S; Preston JM

External participant/s:
5th International Symposium for Next Generation Infrastructure
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2010,2014,2017
URL http://www.itrc.org.uk/designing-a-road-traffic-model-for-the-cross-sectoral-analysis-of-future-nati...
 
Description 'Out-law' Law journal report (20/12/2017) on a six month initiative by the NIC to explore a digital twin to include the work of the ITRC/MISTRAL 
Form Of Engagement Activity A magazine, newsletter or online publication
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ? Outputs & outcomes: The 'Law Out-law' journal reported a quote from the NIC: "A six month pilot initiative should be carried out "to explore and experiment with the benefits of building a digital twin of a specific geographical area", the NIC said. The Centre for Digital-Built Britain (CDBB), Alan Turing Institute (ATI) and the UK Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC) should all have roles in the pilot, it said. A review of the pilot should be completed by October 2018 and lessons from it used to inform "any future development of larger-scale or more complex digital twins, and the most effective institutional structures to support continuing progress in this area", it said.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL https://www.out-law.com/en/articles/2017/december/uk-urged-to-build-digital-twin-of-its-infrastructu...
 
Description 01/02/2016: ITRC Mistral meeting with Department for International Development (DfID) and United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact 01/02/2016: ITRC Mistral meeting with Department for International Development (DfID) and United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS). Venue: London
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description 01/09/2016: Plans for the MISTRAL transport modelling; presentation at the Royal Geographical Society conference, London, Conference theme: Nexus Thinking 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact As part of the ITRC Mistral project's national framework for high resolution infrastructure simulation, Simon Blainey, Raghav Pant and Scott Thacker gave a presentation at the Royal Geographical Society conference on 1 September on plans for the MISTRAL transport modelling.

Conference Theme: Nexus Thinking

The three-day RGS-IBG Annual International Conference attracts over 1,600 geographers from around the world
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL http://www.rgs.org/WhatsOn/ConferencesAndSeminars/Annual+International+Conference/Annual+Internation...
 
Description 04/10/2016 & 01/11/2016: Two meetings between ITRC Mistral (Dr Matt Ives), United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS), and TheThingsNetwork 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact 04/10/2016 & 01/11/2016: Two meetings between ITRC Mistral (Dr Matt Ives), United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS), and TheThingsNetwork to look into remote data collection options for UNOPS
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description 13/07/2016: Project update with Trevor Sway and Nick O'Regan of United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS). 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Project update with Trevor Away and Nick O'Regan of UNOPS. UNOPS is experiencing delays in data gathering, DEBI data entry development and occupied Palestine territories Prime Ministers Office engagement.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description 16/02/2017: Initial meeting ITRC Oxford team, and Nick O'Regan of the United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) with reference to Curacao 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Initial meeting ITRC Oxford team, and Nick O'Regan of the United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) with reference to Curacao
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description 21/09/2016: ITRC Mistral Visiting Research Fellowship for Ms Jeonghee Jeong, Deputy Director in the Overseas Construction Policy Division at the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport (MOLIT), South Korea 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Jeonghee Jeong joined Transport Research Group (TRG) of ITRC Mistral project on 21st September 2016 for two years as a Visiting Research Fellow.
Ms Jeong is Deputy Director in the Overseas Construction Policy Division at the Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport (MOLIT), South Korea.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description 22nd SETAC Europe LCA Case Study Symposium 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Present a conference paper: Application of the Solid Waste Infrastructure Management System (SWIMS) model to support regional and national decision making.
Paper authors: Turner D., Coello J., Watson G., Stringfellow A., Ives M., Powrie W., Hall J.

A meeting (22nd Sept) has been arranged with Andrea Silberman (NIC) and Helen Jamieson (Defra) to discuss waste policy and meet the waste management modelling team at Defra

http://meetings.setac.org/frontend.php/presentation/listForPublic
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description 25/07/2016: Discussions with Nick O'Regan, United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) around long term engagement strategy with countries post engagement with the occupied Palestine territories 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact 25/07/2016: Discussions with Nick O'Regan, United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) around long term engagement strategy with countries post engagement with the occupied Palestine territories
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description A Short Review of Resilience in Interdependent Transport, Energy and Water Systems 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact A published report as part of a series on resilience
The Resilience Shift is an initiative led by Arup with support from the Lloyd's Register Foundation to address the recommendations of a Foresight review of resilience engineering.This report is based on a review of academic literature and other relevant reports and research programmes based on the topic of resilience engineering and the related topics of performance-based engineering and adaptive capacity, especially at the design and planning stages of the three interdependent infrastructure sectors of energy, water and transport. The focus has been to identify recent examples of the methodologies and implementation of resilience engineering in a range of geographic contexts, particularly where interdependencies between sectors have an impact on the methodologies or practices used.

ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s:
Pant R; ITRC Researchers Southampton University"

External participant/s:
ARUP as part of their resilience centre funded by the Lloyds Register Foundation
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://resilienceshift.org/knowledge/
 
Description A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue - Engagement with external stakeholders: (27/02/2017) Palestine Workshop 2a: Workshops with United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) and foreign national organisations 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Palestine Workshop 2a:
- Location: Ramallah, West Bank
- Date: 27/2/2017
- Attendees: Drs Ives and Thacker, UNOPS staff, Minister from Public Works and Housing, staff members from Ministry of Transport, Palestine Water Authority, Palestine Energy Authority, Ministry of Interior, PCBS
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description A member of the NIC met Simon Blainey and John Preston of the ITRC on 11/07/2017 to discuss the modelling results produced by NIC using NISMOD and DfT models 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact A member of the NIC met Simon Blainey and John Preston of the ITRC on 11/07/2017 to discuss the modelling results produced by NIC using NISMOD and DfT models
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description A member of the NIC met with A Stringfellow from the ITRC on 28/02/2017 to hold a solid waste workshop. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact A member of the NIC met with A Stringfellow from the ITRC on 28/02/2017 to hold a solid waste workshop.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description A member of the NIC met with D Cleevely of the ITRC during June 2017 to discuss ?  Digital Communications 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact A member of the NIC met with D Cleevely (Dr David Cleevely, International Telecommunications Expert) of the ITRC during June 2017 to discuss
?  Digital Communications
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description A member of the NIC met with Modassar Chaudry from the ITRC 26 April 2017 to give advice on modelling some key parameters for the imminent NIC scenarios 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact A member of the NIC met with Modassar Chaudry from the ITRC 26 April 2017 to give advice on modelling some key parameters for the imminent NIC scenarios
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description A member of the NIC met with W Powrie, K Roberts, G Watson, and A Stringfellow on 16/06/2016 to discuss continued on-line engagement with NIC. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact A member of the NIC met with W Powrie, K Roberts, Geoff Watson, and A Stringfellow on 16/06/2016 to discuss continued on-line engagement with NIC.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description A member of the NIC received assistance from G Watson and K Roberts of the ITRC during September 2017 with reference to solid waste. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact A member of the NIC received assistance from G Watson and K Roberts of the ITRC during September 2017 with reference to solid waste.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description A member of the National Infrastructure Commission met with Ralitsa Hiteva from the ITRC on 27/01/2017 to discuss NIC staff training on infrastructure 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact A member of the National Infrastructure Commission met with Ralitsa Hiteva from the ITRC on 27/01/2017 to discuss NIC staff training on infrastructure
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description A member of the National Infrastructure Commission met with Ralitsa Hiteva on 31/01/2017 to discuss urban transport 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact A member of the National Infrastructure Commission met with Ralitsa Hiteva on 31/01/2017 to discuss urban transport
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description A second Impact Accelerator Award (IAA) to be funded by EPSRC to provide ITRC's national infrastructure assessment capabilities to the newly-formed National Infrastructure Commission (NIC) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact In October of 2017 the NIC produced their Interim National Infrastructure Assessment which featured assessments of future demands for infrastructure services based on modelling outputs from ITRC's NISMOD tool. This collaboration will continue until the end of June 2018 culminating in the release of the NIC's full National Infrastructure Assessment.

ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s:
Hall J; ITRC/MistralRresearchers

External participant/s:
The Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC)
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL https://www.nic.org.uk/publications/congestion-capacity-carbon-priorities-for-national-infrastructur...
 
Description Andrea Silberman (NIC) meets with Prof Kilsby (ITRC) to discuss Waste policy. 14/09/2016 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Andrea Silberman (Senior Economist, National Infrastructure Commission) met with Prof Kilsby from the ITRC on 14/09/2016 to discuss Waste policy.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Andrea Silberman from the NIC met with Stuart Barr from ITRC on 10/11/2016 to discuss urban storm drainage modelling. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact 'Andrea Silberman from the NIC met with Stuart Barr from ITRC on 10/11/2016 to discuss urban storm drainage modelling.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Andrea Silberman, Bianca Letti, and J Large of the NIC met with S Blainey and Matt Ives of the ITRC on 25/05/2017 to discuss ?  Meeting with Department of Transport modellers ?  Updates on energy and waste model runs 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Andrea Silberman, Bianca Letti, and Jack Large of the NIC met with S Blainey and Matt Ives of the ITRC on 25/05/2017 to discuss
?  Meeting with DfT modellers - questions relating to the working of NISMOD transport and DfT models.
?  Updates on energy and waste model runs
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description Andrea Silberman, Bianca Letti, and Jack Large from the NIC met with S Barr and C Robson from the ITRC during May 2017 to discuss the incorporation of NIC scenarios within the current NISMOD system. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Andrea Silberman, Bianca Letti, and Jack Large from the NIC met with S Barr and C Robson from the ITRC during May 2017 to discuss the incorporation of NIC scenarios within the current NISMOD system.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description Announcement of MISTRAL: Multi-scale Infrastructure Systems Analytics - led by Professor Jim Hall, University of Oxford EP/N017064/1 (26/02/2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact MISTRAL: Multi-scale Infrastructure Systems Analytics - led by Professor Jim Hall, University of Oxford EP/N017064/1 - which builds on previous EPSRC investment in the UK Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC), a consortium of seven UK universities, led by Oxford, which has developed unique capability in infrastructure systems analysis, modelling and decision making. ITRC's vision is for infrastructure decisions to be guided by systems analysis. When this vision is realised, decision makers will have access to, and visualisation of, information that tells them how all infrastructure systems are performing. They will have models that help to pinpoint vulnerabilities and quantify the risks of failure. They will be able to perform 'what-if' analysis of proposed investments and explore the effects of future uncertainties, such as population growth, new technologies and climate change.

Five years ago, proposing theory, methodology and network models that stretched from the household to the globe, and from the UK to different national contexts would not have been credible. Now the opportunity for multi-scale modelling is coming into sight, and ITRC, perhaps uniquely, has the capacity and ambition to take on that challenge in the MISTRAL programme.

Internal participant: Hall J
External funding body: Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC)
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://www.epsrc.ac.uk/newsevents/news/systemsanalysis/
 
Description Anticipating disruption: At the nexus of technology and infrastructure. Roundtable review by KPMG (30/11/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A magazine, newsletter or online publication
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact A roundtable discussion addressing the questions:
- In which infrastructure sectors do you expect to see the greatest technological disruption?
- How can infrastructure and government leaders prepare for disruption?
- Will technology allow less developed nations to `leap frog' the centuries of investments made in the mature markets

ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s:
Hall J

External participant/s:
Dr. Rick Geddes, Professor, Department of Policy Analysis and Management at Cornell University
Darran Anderson, Director of Strategy and Innovation at the Texas Department of Transportation
Shashi Verma, Chief Technology Officer at Transport for London
James Stewart; Vice Chair responsible for Industrial Strategy, geo-politics and Brexit, KPMG
Emily Dann; Senior Marketing Manager, Global Infrastructure, KPMG Global Resource Centre
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL https://home.kpmg.com/xx/en/home/insights/2017/11/anticipating-disruption-technology-and-infrastruct...
 
Description Bianca Letti and J Large of the NIC met with Matt Ives on 15/05/2017 to discuss ?  Transport: issues related to demand growth, elasticity, sensitivity testing; model changes for rail electrification ?  Updates on energy and waste model runs ? Updates to exchange rates and fuel price scenarios ?  NIC recommendations for reporting tool 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Bianca Letti and J Large of the NIC met with Matt Ives on 15/05/2017 to discuss
?  Transport: issues related to demand growth, elasticity, sensitivity testing; model changes for rail electrification
?  Updates on energy and waste model runs
? Updates to exchange rates and fuel price scenarios
?  NIC recommendations for reporting tool
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description Bianca Letti from the NIC met Dan Adshead, Matt Ives, and Will Usher from the ITRC on 10/11/2016 to discuss a broad catch up on ITRC/NIC work & NIC technology scenarios. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Bianca Letti from the NIC met Dan Adshead, Matt Ives, and Will Usher from the ITRC on 10/11/2016 to discuss
? a broad catch up on ITRC/NIC work
? NIC technology scenarios.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description COASTAL ADAPTATION SEMINAR 2016, Singapore, 27 May 2016 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Coastal Adaptation Study International Panel of Experts (CASIPE) 2016 Singapore
Session: The Future of National Infrastructure. Seminar to present the aims of the ITRC and Mistral projects. To develop and demonstrate a new generation of simulation models and tools to inform the analysis, planning and design of national infrastructure. To additionally introduce The Future of National Infrastructure Systems-of-Systems Approach.
Speaker: Prof. Robert Nicholls University of Southampton, United Kingdom Coastal Adaptation study
Influenced the resulting conference report: Building and Construction Authority Annual Report 2015/16

Internal participant/s:
Nicholls R

External participant/s:
Kees d'Angremond; Prof. (Distinguished Diplomate, Emeritus Professor, Consultant, Zevenhoven, Netherlands)
Gerald E Galloway, Jr.; PE PhD. (Glenn L Martin Institute Professor of Engineering, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering and an Affiliate Professor, School of Public Policy, University of Maryland, College Park, Maryland, USA.)
Warren Day; Warren Day Consulting)
Vladan Babovic, Assoc. Prof. (Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, National University of Singapore)
Calvin Chung (Engineer at Reclamation, Singapore)
Natarajan Senthil Kumar (Executive Project Manager, Coastal Protection Department, Built Environment Technology Centre, Building and Construction Authority, Singapore)
V Sundar, Prof Indian Institute of technology Madras Department of Ocean Engineering
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://www.bca.gov.sg/AboutUs/BCA_Annual_Report/BCA%20AR%202015-16_v19-lr.pdf
 
Description CambsNotspotter hackathon seeking solutions to Cambridge's mobile connectivity issues (18/11/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Local
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Outcome:
Pitch 1 - mobile phone app to aid navigation via areas of known strong data connectivity
Pitch 2 - Incorporate fibre broadband and small localised wifi routers into new transport routes on greenways
Pitch 3 - using available data, major existing transport routes were identified as having poor data connectivity, leading to the proposal that focus should be given to adding connectivity infrastructure to those routes

? Link: http://www.cambridgeahead.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2017/08/CambsNotspotterHack-Briefing-Pack-revised-Nov-2017.pdf
? Link: http://www.cambridgeahead.co.uk/hackathon2017/
? Link: http://cambridgehack.com/better-mobile-hack/

Internal participants
Oughton E
Frias Z

External participants
Bob Driver, CEO, Cambridge Wireless (Judge)
Tim Winchcomb, Technology Strategy Consultant, Cambridge Consultants
Sam Massey, Senior Analyst, Cambridge Consultants
Laura Trevail, Affiliate Context Strategist, TravelSpirit
Steve Unger, Group Director and Board Member, Ofcom (Judge)
Emma Fletcher, MD, SmithsonHill
Gabrielle Hibberd, Cofinitive (Event Organiser)
Dominic Bowles, CambridgeHack (Event Organiser)
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://www.cambridgeahead.co.uk/hackathon2017/
 
Description Changing Commutes and the Changing Future of Urban Transport (11/09/2017 - 12/09/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact This seminar investigates how working spaces and places in cities are changing and what this means for urban systems in terms of infrastructure, urban design and planning. Key questions to be examined include:
- How diverse are the working spaces and places of workers in cities?
- How are working spaces transformed into workplaces?
- Where is formal/informal/precarious work undertaken; in what urban sites and places, and what spaces do these create?
- Are new hybrid places emerging in cities? How regulated/formalized are these?
- How do we have to rethink 'the journey to work', formal vs. informal work(spaces), private vs. public spaces and corporate vs. social spaces in cities?
The seminar is interdisciplinary and international in nature with speakers from geography, architecture, planning, economics, management, sociology and engineering presenting new research findings and theoretical insights into changing working patterns in Russia, Italy, Spain, Greece, Germany, the Netherlands and the UK.

ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s:
Blainey SP

External participant/s:
International Infrastructure Experts/Policy Makers
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL https://www.southampton.ac.uk/geography/news/events/2017/09/changingworkplaces.page
 
Description Client Group & MISTRAL meeting 3 - KPMG, London, February 2017 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact The aim of the ITRC-MISTRAL Client Group is to provide high level guidance and advocacy to ensure that:
1. The ITRC's research in the MISTRAL programme, and in particular development of NISMOD 2.0, is directed at the most important strategic questions for national infrastructure in the UK.
2. The outputs of the MISTRAL programme, and in particular development of NISMOD 2.0, are taken up as widely as possible
a. to inform strategic infrastructure investment decisions in government and industry, and also
b. to engage diverse stakeholders in informed discussion about futures and options for national infrastructure.


Membership of the Client Group:
James Angus Network Rail Head of Analysis & Forecasting
Graham Dalton Ministry of Defence Chief Executive of the Defence Infrastructure Organisation, former CEO of Highways England
John Loughhead UK Department for Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy Chief Scientific Advisor and Director General
Ronan Palmer OFWAT Director, Strategy & Planning
James Richardson NIC/HMRC Treasury Chief Economist, National Infrastructure Commission
Jean Spencer Anglian Water Director, Regulation
James Stewart KPMG Chairman, Global Infrastructure
Steve Unger OFCOM Board Member and Group Director - Strategy, International, Technology, Economists (SITE)
Nick Wildgoose Zurich Re Global Supply Chain Product Leader
Nick Winser Energy Systems Catapult Chairman, Energy Systems Catapult
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016,2017
 
Description Client Group & MISTRAL meeting 4 - May 2017, Cambridge 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact The aim of the ITRC-MISTRAL Client Group is to provide high level guidance and advocacy to ensure that:
1. The ITRC's research in the MISTRAL programme, and in particular development of NISMOD 2.0, is directed at the most important strategic questions for national infrastructure in the UK.
2. The outputs of the MISTRAL programme, and in particular development of NISMOD 2.0, are taken up as widely as possible
a. to inform strategic infrastructure investment decisions in government and industry, and also
b. to engage diverse stakeholders in informed discussion about futures and options for national infrastructure.


Membership of the Client Group:
James Angus Network Rail Head of Analysis & Forecasting
Graham Dalton Ministry of Defence Chief Executive of the Defence Infrastructure Organisation, former CEO of Highways England
John Loughhead UK Department for Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy Chief Scientific Advisor and Director General
Ronan Palmer OFWAT Director, Strategy & Planning
James Richardson NIC/HMRC Treasury Chief Economist, National Infrastructure Commission
Jean Spencer Anglian Water Director, Regulation
James Stewart KPMG Chairman, Global Infrastructure
Steve Unger OFCOM Board Member and Group Director - Strategy, International, Technology, Economists (SITE)
Nick Wildgoose Zurich Re Global Supply Chain Product Leader
Nick Winser Energy Systems Catapult Chairman, Energy Systems Catapult
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description Consultation meetings series for the National Needs Assessment (NNA) for Infrastructure - Engagement breakfast, Birmingham, 13/04/2016 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact The National Needs Assessment (NNA) was led by Sir John Armitt in his capacity as president of the Institution of Civil Engineers in 2016. The objective was to examine the UK's likely infrastructure needs in the coming decades - set against uncertainties such as climate change, population growth, global energy prices and economic change.
ITRC-MISTRAL provided the primary evidence for the NNA through our modelling framework for analysing the relationships between and among infrastructure networks, we presented our work in the consultations events.
The NNA states what needs to be done now and the decisions that need to be taken to deliver services for our infrastructure needs until 2050. It provides a blueprint for the government-backed National Infrastructure Commission's own National Infrastructure Assessment, due to be published in 2018.

50 formal responses were received during the consultation process and these have been fed into the findings and recommendations.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://www.ice.org.uk/news-and-insight/policy/national-needs-assessment-a-vision-for-uk-infrastr
 
Description Consultation meetings series for the National Needs Assessment (NNA) for Infrastructure, Northern Powerhouse Conference, Manchester, 19/04/2016 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact "The National Needs Assessment (NNA) was led by Sir John Armitt in his capacity as president of the Institution of Civil Engineers in 2016. The objective was to examine the UK's likely infrastructure needs in the coming decades - set against uncertainties such as climate change, population growth, global energy prices and economic change. ITRC-MISTRAL provided the primary evidence for the NNA through our modelling framework for analysing the relationships between and among infrastructure networks, we presented our work in the consultations events. The NNA states what needs to be done now and the decisions that need to be taken to deliver services for our infrastructure needs until 2050. It provides a blueprint for the government-backed National Infrastructure Commission's own National Infrastructure Assessment, due to be published in 2018.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://www.ice.org.uk/news-and-insight/policy/national-needs-assessment-a-vision-for-uk-infrastr
 
Description Consultation meetings series for the National Needs Assessment (NNA) for Infrastructure, Sub-sector workshop, ICE, London, 21/04/2016 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact The National Needs Assessment (NNA) was led by Sir John Armitt in his capacity as president of the Institution of Civil Engineers in 2016. The objective was to examine the UK's likely infrastructure needs in the coming decades - set against uncertainties such as climate change, population growth, global energy prices and economic change. ITRC-MISTRAL provided the primary evidence for the NNA through our modelling framework for analysing the relationships between and among infrastructure networks, we presented our work in the consultations events. The NNA states what needs to be done now and the decisions that need to be taken to deliver services for our infrastructure needs until 2050. It provides a blueprint for the government-backed National Infrastructure Commission's own National Infrastructure Assessment, due to be published in 2018.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://www.ice.org.uk/news-and-insight/policy/national-needs-assessment-a-vision-for-uk-infrastr
 
Description Consultation meetings series for the National Needs Assessment (NNA) for Infrastructure, CONSULTATION Summation Conference, KPMG, London, 27/04/2016 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact The National Needs Assessment (NNA) was led by Sir John Armitt in his capacity as president of the Institution of Civil Engineers in 2016. The objective was to examine the UK's likely infrastructure needs in the coming decades - set against uncertainties such as climate change, population growth, global energy prices and economic change. ITRC-MISTRAL provided the primary evidence for the NNA through our modelling framework for analysing the relationships between and among infrastructure networks, we presented our work in the consultations events. The NNA states what needs to be done now and the decisions that need to be taken to deliver services for our infrastructure needs until 2050. It provides a blueprint for the government-backed National Infrastructure Commission's own National Infrastructure Assessment, due to be published in 2018.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://www.ice.org.uk/news-and-insight/policy/national-needs-assessment-a-vision-for-uk-infrastr
 
Description Consultation meetings series for the National Needs Assessment (NNA) for Infrastructure, Technology & Disruptive trends, ICE, London, 14/04/2016 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact "The National Needs Assessment (NNA) was led by Sir John Armitt in his capacity as president of the Institution of Civil Engineers in 2016. The objective was to examine the UK's likely infrastructure needs in the coming decades - set against uncertainties such as climate change, population growth, global energy prices and economic change.
ITRC-MISTRAL provided the primary evidence for the NNA through our modelling framework for analysing the relationships between and among infrastructure networks, we presented our work in the consultations events.
The NNA states what needs to be done now and the decisions that need to be taken to deliver services for our infrastructure needs until 2050. It provides a blueprint for the government-backed National Infrastructure Commission's own National Infrastructure Assessment, due to be published in 2018.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://www.ice.org.uk/news-and-insight/policy/national-needs-assessment-a-vision-for-uk-infrastr
 
Description Cyber Infrastructure Meeting (proposed) (29/09/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC)/(Multi-scale InfraSTRucture systems AnaLytics) MISTRAL investigation of the suitability of working with The National Cyber Security Centre (NCSC, part of GCHQ), the University of Cambridge Judge Business School, and Lockheed Martin. They have approached ITRC wanting to collaborate with our projects MISTRAL/Data and Analytics Facility for National Infrastructure (DAFNI). This is a fact-finding meeting.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description Data exchanges between ITRC/Mistral and Network Rail (16/02/2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ITRC/Mistral requested the following information from Network Rail as part of the collaboration between both groups:
• Shapefile of rail network (including number of tracks on each link and station locations)
• Maximum speeds for line sections - linked to shapefile of network
• Any data on route capacity (e.g. signal spacings?) - linked to network shapefile data
• Any data on current crowding levels by service/route
• Timetable data including both passenger and freight services (CIF format is fine)
• OD flow data for passengers (LENNON or similar) plus associated routing data (MOIRA?) if available
• Fault management system (FMS) data - or any aggregated data analysis of that
• Interdependent asset locations mapping, e.g. locations of utility systems - shapefile or excel with coordinates information

Plus:
• Network Rail's climate change adaptation strategy, which you mentioned in the meeting.
• Plans made for additional meetings in a few week's time.
• Also possibly to discuss interactions with the Cabinet Office's Resilience Direct work.

ITRC/Mistral researchers:
Blainey SP; Pant R; Hall JW

Network Rail researchers:
Lisa Constable, Weather Resilience and Climate Change Adaptation Strategy Manager, Network Rail
Caroline Lowe, Advanced Data Analytics, Network Rail
Christopher Wynne-Cowlin, Support Services Manager, Network rail
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL http://www.itrc.org.uk/rail-network-vulnerabilities/#.WqKqqGrFJaQ
 
Description Digital Communications workshop 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact This workshop brought together 55 high profile representatives of industry, government and academic representatives to explore the key issues facing each of the digital communications subsystems, specifically fixed, mobile, wireless and satellite connectivity.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://www.itrc.org.uk/digital-communications/the-future-of-digital-communications/#.WqkvKufLddg
 
Description Disaster Resilient Infrastructure Conference, New Delhi, India (15/01/2018 to 16/01/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Email from Prof Hall to Kamal Kishore (Member, National Disaster Management Authority) describing the ITRC/Mistral research on developing methodology to analyse vulnerabilities within transport networks. Some insights into ITRC's interactions with national government provided by attachment of 'Strategic analysis of the future of national infrastructure' (https://www.icevirtuallibrary.com/doi/abs/10.1680/jcien.16.00018). In addition ITRC's influence in the recent Vision and Priorities (https://www.nic.org.uk/our-work/national-infrastructure-assessment/) document published by the National Infrastructure Commission and in the Institution of Civil Engineer's National Needs Assessment(https://www.ice.org.uk/news-and-insight/policy/national-needs-assessment-a-vision-for-uk-infrastr). The first phase of ITRC's research is all documented in the book 'The Future of National Infrastructure' (ISBN 9781107066021).

ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s:
Hall J

External participant/s:
National Disaster Management Authority in India
Kamal Kishore; Member, National Disaster Management Authority
Supriya Krishnan; Member, National Disaster Management Authority
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://ndma.gov.in/iwdri/programme.html
 
Description Disaster Resilient Infrastructure, National Disaster Management Authority in India (15/01/2018 to 16/01/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact A slide presentation: 'Managing risks in key infrastructure sectors'
Infrastrucure failures using disruptions to UK infrastructure and lessons learnt. Analyising the risks of infrastructure failure, mapping and modelling interdependencies are considered leading to the economic benefit of alternative adaptations, progress with adaptation, ASC assessment of progress with adaptation, and the risk management cycle of
- Assessing risks
- Appraising responses
- Implementing responses
- Monitoring responses and return to assessing risks
? Outputs & outcomes:
Prof Jim Hall provided a slide presentation 'Managing risks in key infrastructure sectors' to conference Technical Session 1 (TS1) 'Managing risks in key infrastructure sectors' subsection: 'Disaster Control Infrastructure'.
Chair : Mr Kenichi Yokoyama, Country Director- India, Asian Development Bank
Co-Chair : Mr Chatchawal Simaskul, Plan and Policy Analyst, Ministry of Transport, Thailand
? Link: Conference programme: http://ndma.gov.in/iwdri/programme.html Conference programme
? Link: Prof Hall's presentation: http://ndma.gov.in/iwdri/ppts/15jan/TS-1/1/IWDRI2018_TS1_Hall_Oxford%20UK.pdf
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL http://ndma.gov.in/iwdri/programme.html
 
Description Disaster Resilient Infrastructure, National Disaster Management Authority in India (15/01/2018 to 16/01/2018) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact A slide presentation: Infrastructure development challenges.
Themes covered included opportunities being created through the emergence of newly available global infrastructure network datasets, the role of infrastructure development as a key to addressing many of the sustainable development goals (SDG's), and infrastructure vulnerability assessment methodology, examples being China and New Zealand. The next step will be the development of an evidence based infrastructure assessment framework (EBIDF).
? Outputs & outcomes:
Dr Raghav Pant provided a slide presentation 'Infrastructure development challenges' to conference for Technical Session 1 (TS-1 Contd.) Transport and Energy sectors.
Chair : Mr Aromar Revi , Director -Indian Institute for Human Settlements, Coordinating Lead, Author of the 2018 IPCC Special Report on Global Warming
Co-Chair : Ms Susanne Ursula Krings, National Expert, Federal Office of Civil Protection and Disaster Assistance (BBK), Germany
? Link: http://ndma.gov.in/iwdri/ppts/15jan/TS-1/2/IWDRI2018_TS1_Pant_Oxford%20UK.pdf
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
URL http://ndma.gov.in/iwdri/programme.html
 
Description Discussion on 11/04/2017 with NIC members with reference to Energy modelling issues and questions: storage, distributed generation, assets 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Doerte Schneemann (Power Sector Lead), Bianca Letti (Economic Advisor), and Jack Large (Intern) of the NIC met with Dan Adshead, and Matt Ives of the ITRC on 11/04/2017 to discuss
? Energy modelling issues and questions: storage, distributed generation, assets
Information also disseminated to Odifreddi F; Energy Policy Advisor National Infrastructure Commission
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description Ecobuild Conference : The UK's Future Energy Mix : Presentation: Alternative pathways for meeting UK's 2050 energy needs 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Conference session addressed: What should the UK's energy mix look like by 2050?What will the split be across nuclear, renewables, CCGT, interconnection? How will other forms of generation, as well as storage, impact future energy mix? What impact will Hinkley Point C have on other forms of generation?

http://www.ecobuild.co.uk/agenda 7th March 13:30 - 14:45
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://www.ecobuild.co.uk/agenda
 
Description Engage with external group follow on event: Investigation with respect to the GB electricity network; mapping the detailed GB electricity network and initial description of the energy supply modelling design architecture 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Industry/Business
Results and Impact October 2016 Investigation with respect to the GB electricity network; mapping the detailed GB electricity network and initial description of the energy supply modelling design architecture

Work has begun on gathering data on the electricity network. Scott Thacker (Mistral) will be approached regarding the data he has available and on the detail that is required.
Lahiru Jayasuriya will be helping Modassar Chaudry in gathering the gas and electricity network data and more importantly addressing the question of the level of detail that is required for the modelling work.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Engage with external group: Investigation with respect to the GB electricity network with the National Grid, and with the Energy Group of the ECI, University of Oxford 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Study participants or study members
Results and Impact - Scott Thacker (Oxford) will be approached in early September 2016 regarding any information/data he has on the detailed GB electricity network.
- We anticipate interacting with Nick Eyre, Energy Group (ECI, University of Oxford) and his team in September/October 2016 regarding energy supply and demand modelling and data interactions.
- Engagement with National Grid (data, questions etc) will start around September/October (2016) time.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Engagement with external Stakeholders: Highway cost data discussions, with David Perestrelo, Product Manager for Data Products at RICS (Building and Infrastructure). ITRC Mistral Participant: Blainey S 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Meeting with David Perestrelo at Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors on 24 November to discuss highway cost data. ITRC/Mistral participant: Blainey S
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Engagement with external groups (April 2017): Association of American Geographers (AAG) 2017: Building blocks and values in infrastructure. 5-9 April 2017 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Conference session: 1287 Building blocks and values in infrastructure: understanding agency, normativity, directionality & change I. Embedded normativities

Author: Ralitsa Hiteva, Dr. - Social Policy Research Unit (SPRU), University of Sussex
Paper: Hidden agencies of governance: intermediaries and infrastructure
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://www.sussex.ac.uk/spru/research/major/infrastructure/call
 
Description Engagement with external groups (April 2017): Association of American Geographers (AAG) 2017: Building blocks and values in infrastructure. 5-9 April 2017 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Conference Session: 1487 Building blocks and values in infrastructure: understanding agency, normativity, directionality & change II. Analytics and interventions
Paper: Finding the Locus of Control: Politics of Scale and Directionality in Infrastructure Development
Authors: Katherine Lovell - Science Policy Research Unit (SPRU), University of Sussex; Ralitsa Hiteva - SPRU, University of Sussex
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://www.sussex.ac.uk/spru/research/major/infrastructure/call
 
Description Engagement with external stakeholders (05/09/2016): ITRC Mistral, Transport project. Meeting with Network Rail 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Engagement with external stakeholders (05/09/2016): ITRC Mistral, Transport project. Simon Blainey, James Pritchard, Raghav Pant and Jim Hall attended meeting with Network Rail on 5th September
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Engagement with external stakeholders (13/09/2016): ITRC Mistral, Transport. Simon Blainey attended MISTRAL client group meeting. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact ITRC Mistral Project 1.2: High resolution simulation of infrastructure systems. Client group meeting.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Engagement with external stakeholders (2016): Investigating network dimensions for the different geotypes with Dr Zoraida Frias, a telecommunications engineer (Assistant Professor), Technical University of Madrid 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ITRC Mistral, Digital Communications section is working with Dr Zoraida Frias, a telecommunications engineer (Assistant Professor) at the Technical University of Madrid, to work out the network dimensions for the different geotypes used in the 5G study, based on extrapolating the technical characteristics of 4G, to 5G.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Engagement with external stakeholders (21/09/2016): ITRC Mistral, Transport project. James Pritchard attended the Rail Safety and Standards Board (RSSB) Rail Carbon Tool Seminar 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact (21/09/2016): ITRC Mistral, Transport project. James Pritchard attended the Rail Safety and Standards Board (RSSB) Rail Carbon Tool Seminar. The Rail Carbon Tool ihas been developed to assist the UK rail industry with understanding what its carbon footprint is so it can go on and reduce it throughout its supply chain.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://www.rssb.co.uk/library/research-development-and-innovation/2016-09-t1009-final-report.pdf
 
Description Engagement with external stakeholders (Sept 2016): 27TH European Regional International Telecommunication Society Conference. The evolution of the north-south telecommunications divide: the role for Europe Conference Programme Cambridge, UK 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Industry/Business
Results and Impact Conference Parallel Session 3: Broadband 2
Studying the Costs of fibre deployment in fixed broadband access infrastructure: Evidence from the UK's national needs assessment

Mistral participant: E.J. Oughton
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL http://www.itseurope.org/2016/wp-content/uploads/2016/09/Programme-4-Sept-16.pdf
 
Description Engagement with external stakeholders (Sept 2016): Economics: Proposed development markers with Cambridge Econometrics (CE), and the University of Cambridge (CU) (Mistral Paper 4.2 PMC) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Study participants or study members
Results and Impact Engagement with external stakeholders (Sept 2016): Economics: Proposed development markers with Cambridge Econometrics (CE), and the University of Cambridge (CU) (Mistral Paper 4.2 PMC)


Economics: Two years beginning September 2016 through to March 2018

a) October 2016 through March 2017
i) Development of evidence base and conceptual framework
ii) Collection of data on quantity and quality of infrastructure
iii) Development of infrastructure indicators


Expected outcome: Key deliverable in March 2017 is Working Paper on conceptual framework-joint Cambridge Econometrics (CE) and the University of Cambridge (CU),

b) Nov 2016 through June 2017
i) Development of local area model on employment, Growth Value Added (GVA) and population
ii) CE milestone is delivery of GVA, employment and population data by June 2016
iii) Collection of key investment and company data;
iv) Development of spatial and infrastructure typology;

c) March 2017-through March 2018

Econometric modelling 2017.
CE milestone is delivery of model and estimation in conjunction with
CU. First run would be middle 2017 and then through rest of year.

d) Late 2017-2018
i) Preparation for major conference in Cambridge early 2018.
ii) Deliverable is paper at conference by CE and Cambridge University
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Engagement with external stakeholders - Discussion of waste policy and meet the waste management modelling team of the Department for Environment, Food & Rural Affairs (Defra). (22/09/2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact A meeting (22/09/2016) has been arranged with Andrea Silberman (National Infrastructure Commission) and Helen Jamieson Department for Environment, Food & Rural Affairs (Defra) to discuss waste policy and meet the ITRC Mistral waste management modelling team at Defra.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Engagement with external stakeholders. Meeting scheduled with Network Rail on Monday 5th September 2016 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Industry/Business
Results and Impact Meeting scheduled with Network Rail on Monday 5th September 2016.
Negotiations ongoing to schedule meeting with Department of Transport (DfT) Rail team following contact made via National Infrastructure Commission (NIC). Mistral participants: Blainey S, Pritchard J, Pant R, and Hall J
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Engagement with external stakeholders: Meeting with Martin Williams regarding collaborative work in Ghana. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Engagement with external stakeholders: Meeting with Martin Williams regarding collaborative work in Ghana. as part of Project 3.1: A general framework for national infrastructure assessment
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Engagement with external stakeholders: 'Meeting of modellers' with World Bank representatives. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact 'Meeting of modellers' with World Bank representatives. (Mistral Project 3.1: A general framework for national infrastructure assessment)
Mistral participants: Jim Hall and Matt Ives
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Engagement with external stakeholders: Contact with Edinburgh University with reference to applicability of National Infrastructure Systems MODel International (NISMOD-Int) to their work in Nigeria. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Other audiences
Results and Impact 18/08/2016 Miriam Mendes and Matt Ives (both of ITRC Mistral) spoke with Kenneth AMAESHI and Georgina JAMIESON of Edinburgh University about applicability of National Infrastructure Systems MODel International (NISMOD-Int) to their work in Nigeria.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Engagement with external stakeholders: Meeting with FCO Prosperty Fund representatives for South East Asia and Vietnam. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Meeting with FCO Prosperty Fund representatives for South East Asia and Vietnam. (Part of Mistral Project 3.1: A general framework for national infrastructure assessment)
Mistral participants: Jim Hall and Matt Ives
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Engagement with external stakeholders: Mistral researchers update of project activity for United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) in respect of occupied Palestine territories (oPt) PMO engagement 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact 18/08/2016: ITRC Mistral project update with Trevor Sway and Nick O'Regan of the United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS). They are happy with our progress. They are still experiencing delays in data gathering and occupied Palestine territories (oPt) PMO engagement.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Engagement with external stakeholders: Palestine Workshop 1: Workshops with United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) and foreign national organisations (2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Workshops with UNOPS and foreign national organisations:
Palestine Workshop 1:
- Location: Jerusalem, Israel
- Attendees: UNOPS staff
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Engagement with external stakeholders: Palestine Workshop 2a: (28/02/2017) Workshops with United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS), and foreign national and international organisations 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Palestine Workshop 2a:
- Location: East Jerusalem, Israel
- Date: 28/2/2017
- Attendees: Drs Ives and Thacker, UNOPS staff, delegates from World Bank, USAID, European Commission, DIFD, Global Affairs Canada (previously DFATD), Germany Representative Office in Ramallah, France Representative Office, The Office of the Quartet Representative, UNDP, UNEP, UNCTAD
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description Engagement with external stakeholders: Presentation of the National Infrastructure Systems MODel International (NISMOD-Int) concept along with United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) at UN Aid and Development Funding Conference in Bangkok 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact 22/06/2016: Matt Ives (ITRC Mistral) presented the National Infrastructure Systems MODel International (NISMOD-Int) concept along with United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) at UN Aid and Development Funding Conference in Bangkok, Thailand. Excellent feedback from conference.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL http://www.aidforum.org/events/event/aid-development-asia-summit-2016
 
Description Engagement with external stakeholders: Syria Workshop 1: (01-02/03/2017) UNOPS staff, delegates National Agenda for the Future of Syria, Oxford NISMOD-Int team 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Syria Workshop 1:
- Location: Oxford, UK
- Dates: 1/3/2017 - 2/3/2017
- Attendees: UNOPS staff, delegates National Agenda for the Future of Syria, Oxford National Infrastructure Systems MODel International (NISMOD-Int) team (ITRC Mistral)
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description Engagement within Mistral (Sept. 2016): Working plans regarding population micro-simulation and building modelling (Project 4.2: Simulating the inter-relationship between infrastructure and economic activity.) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Study participants or study members
Results and Impact Engagement within Mistral: Project 4.2: Simulating the inter-relationship between infrastructure and economic activity.
Meeting to discuss on their working plans regarding population micro-simulation and building modelling, as well as on the implications of these plans for Task 4.2 (first meeting within Task 4.2.1.b).
September 2016

Participants: Mark Birkin (Leeds), Stuart Barr (Newcastle), William Usher (Oxford)
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Engagement within Mistral project with respect to the National Infrastructure Systems MODel (NISMOD) (August 2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Study participants or study members
Results and Impact - Adrian Hickford begins his work on NISMOD-Int Fast Track Analysis.
- Scott Thacker begins engagement on NISMOD-Int Resilience Analysis

The ITRC Mistral team like to develop an training program for new people that can also be utilised for training of NIC staff and NISMOD-Int stakeholders.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Engagement within Mistral project: (28/10/2016) meeting regarding the software and architectural aspects of the modelling work on 28th October to be held at Cardiff University. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Engagement within Mistral project: Modassar Chaudry, Jianzhong Wu, and Meysam Qadrdan, all of Cardiff University, have arranged a meeting with William Usher and Tom Russell regarding the software and architectural aspects of the modelling work on 28th October 2016to be held at Cardiff University.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Engagement within Mistral project: Review of Fast Track and future priorities 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Study participants or study members
Results and Impact Meeting with Matt Ives, Jim Hall and Adrian Hickford to review Fast Track and future priorities (Own reference: Project 3.1: A general framework for national infrastructure assessment )
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Evidence based infrastructure assessment framework (EBIDF) workshop including ITRC's presentation of 'NISMOD-Int - a Strategy Development Framework' (29/06/2017) (United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS)). 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact The meeting introduced various aspects of Urban, Transport and Traffic Planning. The article was broadcast on the local tv-station fully in the local language (link : https://youtu.be/sMlSuns1VnM).

Scott Thacker (the United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS)) gave the presentation describing 'NISMOD-Int - a Strategy Development Framework'.
Jade Leung, one of the ITRC's research team, has been working with UNOPS to develop a fast-track analysis of the infrastructure needs of the small island state of Curaçao, in the Caribbean, by the end of 2017. Curaçao's economy is likely to host greater numbers of tourists in the near future - the demand from extra visitors will exert significant pressure on national infrastructure systems, and, as a small island state, the risks associated with rising sea-levels need to be investigated.

Jade Leung will be piloting a new element of NISMOD-Int - a Strategy Development Framework. This will develop some standard themes and approaches for decision-makers to support them as they apply NISMOD-Int data to creating practical, workable responses to future infrastructure challenges.

External participants:
? Ciaretta Gianella Gianiza Profas, National Project Coordinator, Curaçao
? Zita Jesus-Leito, Minister di VVRP
? Sherwin Josepha, Servisio Di Obra Públiko

Internal participants:
- Thacker S
- Leung J
- Fuldauer L
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://www.itrc.org.uk/fast-track-analysis-for-curacao/#.WqgUkmrFIdU
 
Description External Stakeholder Engagement: Quantifying the daily economic impact of extreme space weather due to failure in electricity transmission infrastructure: 14 October 2016 Key Note speech at European Space Weather Week 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Extreme space weather due to Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) has the potential to cause considerable disruption to the global economy by destroying the Extra High Voltage (EHV) transformers required to operate electricity transmission infrastructure. This could lead to large numbers of firms and consumers being left without electricity. Moreover, cascading failure can render other critical interdependent infrastructure systems inoperable affecting transport, digital communications, waste and water services. Yet, the direct and indirect economic costs posed by this threat remain under-researched. This is surprising given that insight into this subject is important for supporting the optimal allocation of limited resources across government and industry, especially for emergency response and mitigation planning. Moreover, these estimates can prove useful tools for stress testing the portfolio exposure of insurance companies under catastrophic scenarios as they bear the financial risk associated with business and supply chain interruption costs. In this paper a set of scenarios are developed to explore the uncertainty associated with EHV transformer damage levels in the USA. Using the World Input Output Database, the direct and indirect economic costs are estimated to provide insight into how an extreme event may affect other nations, via supply chain linkages, outside of the geographic footprint of the storm. The paper contributes to our understanding of the economic impact of extreme space weather, as well as making a number of key methodological contributions relevant for future work. The results provide evidence to support the cost-benefit analysis of further investment into space weather forecasting.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL http://www.stce.be/esww13/program/keynotes.php#K14-K1-3
 
Description External Stakeholder engagement: Department of Transport, International Transport Analysis Conference (ITAC) (25/11/2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Simon Blainey will attend the International Transport Analysis Conference at Department of Transport (DfT) on 25 November 2016.
Conference objectives:
- Connect; bring together researchers, analysts, policy makers, and other parties to tackle joint research and policy problems
- Build a knowledge network; greater collaboration and research sharing across academia, sector experts, researchers and government analysts
- Co-operate; collaborative working opportunities such as placements and secondments

Internal participant/s
Blainey SP

External Participant/s
Department of Transport, International Transport Analysis Conference (ITAC)
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description External Stakeholder: Department of Transport: Assessing Single Point Criticalities to Interdependent Infrastructure Networks at the National Scale (24/02/2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact This was an end of project presentation, so the specific outcomes were to discuss the findings of the project with the DfT. Attendees: Andrew Murray CEng FIMechE; Accomplished Engineering & Operations Director, Network Rail
Tony Sawh; Stakeholder Manager, Network Rail
Tracy Catling; Aviation Strategy and Contingencies, Department of Transport
Simon Lancaster; Strategy Co-ordination and Programmes (SCP)
Sharon Sottin; SCP
Chris Watts; Deputy Director, National Security, Department of Transport
Robert Boscott; Transport Security and Operation Centre, Department of Transport
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description External stakeholder engagement with Andrew Holt (First Secretary Economic and Political, Head of Prosperity Team, the Embassy of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and North Ireland in Vietnam) and some of his team members. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact 22/08/2016: Matt Ives (ITRC Mistral) and Rob Jones (United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS)) will have a telephone conversation with Andrew Holt (First Secretary Economic and Political, Head of Prosperity Team, the Embassy of the United Kingdom of Great Britain and North Ireland in Vietnam) and some of his team members, following on from ITRC Mistral's presentation at the UN Conference in Bangkok regarding applicability of the National Infrastructure Systems MODel International (NISMOD-Int) to their work in Southeast Asia.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description February 2016 & forward: Mistral Project Management meetings 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Monthly or bi-monthly meetings between ITRC MIstral team and Trevor Sway (United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS)) commencing February 2016 and continuing. Meetings by videoconference method.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description Future research meetings to discuss NIC engagement elements: transport model, new strategies; additional issues with water & solid waste models (21/03/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Andrea Silberman, Bianca Letti, and Jack Large from the NIC met with Dan Adshead and Matt Ives from the ITRC on 21/03/2017 to discuss
? Transport model, new strategies
? Additional issues with water & solid waste models
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description Future research meetings to discuss NIC engagement elements: water, wastewater and waste models (15/03/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Andrea Silberman (Senior Economist), Bianca Letti (Economic Adviser), and Jack Large (Intern) from the NIC met with Dan Adshead and Matt Ives on 15/03/2017 to discuss
? Water model questions
? Wastewater link to water model
? Packages & visualisation
? New solid waste strategies and separating LACW and C&I from MSW outputs
Outcome - further combined research
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description Global Challenges Research Fund (GCRF) Infrastructure for Sustainable Development Hub. Feedback request to the Inter American Development Bank (IADB) on the ITRC/Mistral proposal for the IADB to be named as a potential collaborator. November 2017 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Email between Prof Jim Hall and Mr Hendrik Meller (Advisor for Sustainable Infrastructure and Climate Change in Latin America and the Caribbean in the Environmental Safeguards Unit of the Inter-American Development Bank(IADB)) to propose a meeting in Washington (USA) to discuss a proposal for the IADB to become a collaborator for the Global Challenges Research Fund (GCRF) Infrastructure for Sustainable Development Hub.
Externals:
Hendrik Meller, (hendrikm@IADB.ORG), Advisor for Sustainable Infrastructure and Climate Change in Latin America and the Caribbean in the Environmental Safeguards Unit, Inter-American Development Bank
Graham George Watkins, (GWATKINS@iadb.org) Principal Environmental Specialist, Inter-American Development Bank
Tomas Sebastian Serebrisky, (TSEREBRISKY@iadb.org) Principal Economic Advisor , Inter-American Development Bank
Maria Cecilia Ramirez Bello, (mcramirez@IADB.ORG) Infrastructure specialist, Inter-American Development Bank
Giovanni Leo Frisari, (giovannif@IADB.ORG) Climate Change Economist, Inter-American Development Bank
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://www.rcuk.ac.uk/funding/gcrf/interdisciplinary-research-hubs-to-address-intractable-challenges...
 
Description Government Office for Science Foresight Project - Future of Mobility (November 2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact The Government Office for Science, led by the Government Chief Scientific Advisor, Sir Mark Walport, is starting a Foresight project on the Future of Mobility. We are very keen to speak with you to get your thoughts on this high profile project that will bring together the latest academic research to impact on future policy in government.

The latest academic research is vital to help shape future policy making in the cross-cutting area of Mobility. Foresight projects last about 12 months and previous futures projects have included Population Ageing, Cities and Manufacturing (for more information please follow https://www.foresight.gov.uk). A key element of this work on transport will
be to analyse the existing scientific landscape, using the best available data, to build a robust evidence base on how transport demands and provision could look in 2040. In particular, a detailed investigation into the status quo, current trends and identification of drivers of change will be conducted. Social, demographic, economic and technological trends will be considered to develop a set of transport futures, projecting 25/30 years into the future. The project will also work with policymakers to consider what this evidence base means for policy development in their area.

Infrastructure systems is an area that we are very keen to explore and having identified yourself as an expert in this field, I would be very interested to see if this is an area where you can help. We are especially keen to find out more about the work of the Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium.

ITRC Mistral participant/s: John Preston and Simon Blainey

External participant/s:
Dr Jon Keating, Foresight Project Research Officer, Government Office for Science (Go-Science)
Jones Rebecca, Team Leader, Demography and Ageing, Government Office for Science (Go-Science)
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/future-of-mobility
 
Description Guardian Newspaper Online. Live Q&A post the Habitat III conference in 2016 (Quito): How shall we plan the cities of the future? 
Form Of Engagement Activity A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Media (as a channel to the public)
Results and Impact Media event to address the following questions arising from the Habitat III conference.
What do we need to do to build the cities of the future? Join an expert panel on Thursday 24 November, 2-3.30pm GMT, to discuss.
At the end of October, after the Habitat III conference, the UN formally adopted a new plan for cities that was two years in the making. The New Urban Agenda will guide urban policy at every level for the next twenty years. So how do we start putting the vision into practice?
There are many questions around how to implement the new agenda. How do cities of the future should promote civic engagement? How can we make sure that our cities are spaces where girls and women can achieve their full potential? And as the world is rapidly ageing, how do we make sure cities are built in a way that promotes mobility and access for older people?
Join an expert panel on Thursday 24 November, from 2pm to 3.30pm GMT, to discuss these questions and more.
The expert panel included Scott Thacker, research scientist, Environmental Change Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK. Scott's research focuses on modelling the function and performance of infrastructure systems.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://www.theguardian.com/global-development-professionals-network/2016/nov/21/live-qa-how-shall-w...
 
Description Habitat 3 (United Nations): Quito, Ecuador: 17-20 October 2016 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact To co-present a session about the work of National Infrastructure Systems Model International (NISMOD-Int) at this summit, Habitat III (also known as the United Nations Conference on Housing and Sustainable Urban Development). This is global gathering, bringing together many of the world's most influential urbanists. Habitat III, so-called because it is the third in a very-occasional series of conferences on the theme (the last, Habitat II, was held in Istanbul in 1996), set forth what it calls The New Urban Agenda, meant to manage urban development for the next two decades.

ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s:
Thacker S

External participant/s:
Jon Liden; United Nations Office for Project Services, UNOPS
Luke Raggatt; Digital Communications Lead, UNOPS
Nicholas O'Regan; Director, Infrastructure and Project Management Group, UNOPS
Trevor Sway; Senior Infrastructure Advisor & Project Manager, UNOPS
Bruce McKerrow; Global Practice Leader, UNOPS
Rob Jones; Head of Programme Delivery in the State of Palestine with UNOPS
CPG Partnerships Copenhagen Personnel, UNOPS
CPG Communications Personnel, UNOPS
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL http://urbandemos.nyu.edu/dispatch-from-habitat-iii-in-quito-ecuador-october-2016/
 
Description Infrastructure assessments, comparison of modelling approaches by the Greater London Authority (21/08/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Regional
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact From Jeremy Skinner, Head of Economic Growth, Greater London Authority:
Both James Stewart at KPMG and Professor Brian Collins at UCL have mentioned some of the work that you'd been doing with the National Infrastructure Commission and I wanted to get in touch to understand a bit more about the approach you are taking.
I lead the team in London that produced the 2050 London infrastructure plan in 2014 and subsequent updates for which more information can be found here.
But more specifically, we have been working with an SME (small and medium-sized enterprise) called Greenwood Strategic Advisors to develop a system dynamics based approach to modelling policy and investment decisions in the capital, an approach which the same firm is deploying for Boston and Frankfurt. I thought I'd get in touch to see if there were any resonances with the work that you have been doing work, an overview of which would be much appreciated in any case.

Response from Professor Jim Hall:
The approach that we have developed, which is discussed in our book The Future of National Infrastructure, is a combination of:
1. Systems modelling of infrastructure networks: energy, transport, digital, water, waste, flood risk management
2. Decision analysis to explore the implications of future scenarios (e.g. population growth, climate change) and sequence policies and investments going into the future.
The first phase of our ITRC research programme focussed at a national scale, and developed the NISMOD model, which is now being used by the National Infrastructure Commission for the National Infrastructure Assessment. We also used NISMOD to inform the National Needs Assessment led by Sir John Armitt. A short paper on that work is attached.
The current phase of our programme is called MISTRAL and is operating at multiple spatial scales, including the city scale, as well as exploring opportunities to transfer the technologies globally.
I've interacted with the GLA in a number of different contexts over the years, including in relation to adaptation to climate change, water and flooding.
I'd be happy to follow up with a telephone conversation or meeting next time I'm in London to explore potential connections with the GLA.

Appended Document: Jim W. Hall, Scott Thacker, Matt C. Ives, Yue Cao, Strategic analysis of the future of national infrastructure. Civil Engineering Volume 170 Issue CE1 pp 39-47

Internal participant:
Hall J

External participants:
Jeremy Skinner, Head of Economic Growth, Greater London Authority
Madalina Ursu, Infrastructure and Competitiveness Policy Officer in Economic and Business Policy, Greater London Authority
Oscar Watkins, Policy and Project Officer - Economic Growth, Greater London Authority
Molly Strauss, Senior Policy and Programme Officer, Greater London Authority
Matthew Daley, Greater London Authority
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description Initiative on Climate Change policy and Governance (ICCG) Lecture Series on Disaster Risk Reduction. Webinar by Dr Elco Koks (19/12/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press)
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact The ICCG has investigated the Hot Topic of 2017 "Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR)" seeking knowledge from webinars, publications, and from the Best Climate Practices contest. The ICCG closes 2017 by launching a new video lecture series on DRR. The lecture series features international experts who address the theme in a simple and accessible way, providing definitions, case studies, and examples of solutions and best practices. ITRC were represented by Dr Elco Kok's webinar on extreme weather events.

ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s:
Koks E

External participant/s:
Alessandra Mazzai; Information and Communication Officer, Initiative on Climate Change policy and Governance (ICCG)
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://www.iccgov.org/iccg-videolezioni-sul-tema-riduzione-del-rischio-disastri-naturali-drr/
 
Description Institute of Resilient Infrastructure, University of Leeds, request for use of ITRC outputs with respect to their Meanwood Road project. Request not upheld due to prior agreement to provide the details for the ICE Northern Powerhouse study. (14/03/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach Regional
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact The consideration of the potential use of the ITRC transport model results (used for the ICE Northern Powerhouse study) to make inferences or assertions at a scale that the model is not actually designed to do so. David Dawson (Leeds University) to discuss the Meanwood Road project with Simon Blainey (ITRC) to ascertain whether the NISMOD transport model can be used to provide potential insights at this scale. ITRC's data were not available to the Meanwood Road project.

Internal participant/s
Barr S
Robson C
Hall J
Blainey SP

External Participant/s
Dr David Dawson, Leverhulme Early Career Research Fellow, Institute of Resilient Infrastructure
Prof.Phil Purnell, Director, Institute for Resilient Infrastructure
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description International Symposium for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI 2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Registration for the International Symposium for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI 2016) is now open. This year the Symposium is being hosted by the SMART Infrastructure Facility at the University of Wollangong, Australia. See http://isngi.org/for more details on the Event and how to register.
A GENUINE AND CO-ORDINATED GLOBAL INFRASTRUCTURE RESEARCH PROGRAM

The International Symposia for Next Generation Infrastructure is an initiative of the SMART Infrastructure Facility and our host partners University College London (UK), University of Oxford (UK), Virginia Tech (US) and Delft University of Technology (NLD). The objective of the symposia series is to commence a genuine and co-ordinated global infrastructure research program about long term infrastructure and land use planning and to provide an opportunity for the best and sharpest minds from industry, government and academia work together to create not only best practice benchmarks but new knowledge to better inform strategies for long term prosperity.
We seek to establish international and interdisciplinary research collaborations that are designed to enable exploration of the development of Next Generation Infrastructure (NGI) in the context of understanding the interactions between infrastructure, the population it serves, technology and sustainability both now and into the future.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL http://isngi.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/ISNGI-2016.pdf
 
Description James Richardson, Chief Economist of the NIC, met with Jim Watson from ITRC on 17/10/2016 to discuss a range of topics 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Chief Economist of the NIC met with Jim Watson from ITRC on 17/10/2016 to discuss a range of topics including the following within infrastructure models
? energy demand
? representation of innovation and technological change.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description January 2016: ITRC Mistral Inaugural meeting with United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) group 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact ITRC Mistral Inaugural meeting with United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) group.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Launch of the Data & Analytics Facility for National Infrastructure (DAFNI) 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact An audience of 135 representatives from government, business and academia attended the launch and initial consultation event of the Data & Analytics Facility for National Infrastructure (DAFNI), part of the UKCRIC - an £8 million, 4-year project to revolutionise how infrastructure is modelled, assessed, planned and delivered. The ITRC has been the key institutional agent shaping DAFNI, its key output, the NISMOD1 suite of long term performance planning software as well as the NISMOD Database are the seed pilots for the facility.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://www.itrc.org.uk/dafni-data-and-analytics-facility-for-national-infrastructure/dafni-launch/#....
 
Description Launch of the National Needs Assessment, 18/10/2016, which sets out a vision for how infrastructure delivers economic growth, thriving communities and embraces technology to deliver a low carbon future. It is a blueprint for the National Infrastructure Commission's long term infrastructure assessment. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Launched on 18/10/2016, the National Needs Assessment sets out a vision for how infrastructure delivers economic growth, thriving communities and embraces technology to deliver a low carbon future. It is a blueprint for the National Infrastructure Commission's long term infrastructure assessment.
It has examined what the UK is likely to need from its infrastructure in the coming decades - set against uncertainties such as climate change, population growth, global energy prices and economic change. It has also looked at the way in which infrastructure networks relate to, and depend on, one another and how this will impact on the performance of the networks in the future. [...]

The primary source for evidence for the NNA comes from the Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium led by Professor Jim Hall at Oxford University. Their modelling provides a framework for analysing the relationships between and among infrastructure networks. They have established a series of scenarios which set out the main demand drivers on infrastructure - population growth, climate change, technology, economic trends.

https://www.ice.org.uk/getattachment/news-and-insight/policy/national-needs-assessment-a-vision-for-uk-infrastr/National-Needs-Assessment-PDF-(1).pdf.aspx
https://www.ice.org.uk/ICEDevelopmentWebPortal/media/Documents/Media/Policy/3150-ICE-Summary-digital.pdf

Stakeholder contact for this engagement activity: Andrew Westcott; Head of Policy and Public Affairs, Institution of Civil Engineers
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2006
URL https://www.ice.org.uk/news-and-insight/policy/national-needs-assessment-a-vision-for-uk-infrastr
 
Description Launch of the National Needs Assessment, 18/10/2016, which sets out a vision for how infrastructure delivers economic growth, thriving communities and embraces technology to deliver a low carbon future. It is a blueprint for the National Infrastructure Commission's long term infrastructure assessment. 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Launched on 18/10/2016, the National Needs Assessment sets out a vision for how infrastructure delivers economic growth, thriving communities and embraces technology to deliver a low carbon future. It is a blueprint for the National Infrastructure Commission's long term infrastructure assessment.
It has examined what the UK is likely to need from its infrastructure in the coming decades - set against uncertainties such as climate change, population growth, global energy prices and economic change. It has also looked at the way in which infrastructure networks relate to, and depend on, one another and how this will impact on the performance of the networks in the future. [...]

The primary source for evidence for the NNA comes from the Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium led by Professor Jim Hall at Oxford University. Their modelling provides a framework for analysing the relationships between and among infrastructure networks. They have established a series of scenarios which set out the main demand drivers on infrastructure - population growth, climate change, technology, economic trends.

https://www.ice.org.uk/getattachment/news-and-insight/policy/national-needs-assessment-a-vision-for-uk-infrastr/National-Needs-Assessment-PDF-(1).pdf.aspx
https://www.ice.org.uk/ICEDevelopmentWebPortal/media/Documents/Media/Policy/3150-ICE-Summary-digital.pdf
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://www.ice.org.uk/news-and-insight/policy/national-needs-assessment-a-vision-for-uk-infrastr
 
Description Launch of the interim report of the National Infrastructure Assessment by the National Infrastructure Commission 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ITRC/MISTRAL has a long-term collaboration with the UK National Infrastructure Commission, as it provides a unique analytical framework to assess interdependent performance of different infrsatructure sectores in the present and in the future, based on possible future demographic, economic, technological and environment scenarios. Once a parliament the NIC will publish a National Infrastructure Assessment (NIA). The NIA will analyse the UK's long-term economic infrastructure needs, outline a strategic vision over the next 30 years and set out recommendations for how identified needs should be met. In October 2017 they published an interim National Infrastructure Assessment which examines seven key areas, and sets out the vision and priorities for helping meet the country's needs up to 2050. Those seven areas are:

Building a digital society
Connected, liveable city-regions
Infrastructure to support housing
Eliminating carbon emissions from energy and waste
A revolution in road transport
Reducing the risk of drought and flooding
Financing and funding infrastructure in efficient ways
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL https://www.nic.org.uk/our-work/national-infrastructure-assessment/
 
Description Lord Adonis of the NIC invited the ITRC to respond (by 12/01/2018) to the document: 'Congestion, Capacity and Carbon: Priorities for National Infrastructure - Executive Summary' 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Lord Adonis of the NIC invited the ITRC to respond (by 12/01/2018) to the document:
'Congestion, Capacity and Carbon: Priorities for National Infrastructure - Executive Summary'
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description MISTRAL Launch 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact On Monday 23 May at the Institution of Civil Engineers (ICE), London, over one hundred high profile government and industry stakeholders gathered to celebrate the launch of the ITRC's exciting new MISTRAL: Multi-scale InfraSTRucture systems AnaLytics programme and recently published book, The Future of National Infrastructure: A System-of-Systems Approach

The ITRC has been awarded £5.3 million of funding from the Engineering and Physical Science Research Council for another five years of research. The aim of the MISTRAL (Multi-scale InfraSTRucture systems AnaLytics) programme is to develop and demonstrate a highly integrated analytics capability to inform strategic infrastructure decision making across scales, from local to global. MISTRAL will thereby radically extend the ITRC's pioneering infrastructure systems analysis capability.

At the launch, Professor Jim Hall reported on the ITRC's interim results in providing the analytical framework to the National Needs Assessment (NNA) led by Sir John Armitt. The NNA aims to inform the decisions of the National Infrastructure Commission which the media has been covering closely. The ITRC was delighted to welcome keynote speaker Lord Adonis, chair of the National Infrastructure Commission, and Keith Clarke, ICE Vice president, who also spoke.

"Five years ago, when we started on the ITRC journey, proposing theory, methodology and network models that stretched from the household to the globe, and from the UK to different national contexts would not have been credible. Now, thanks to what we have achieved in ITRC, the opportunity for multi-scale modelling is coming into sight."
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL http://www.eci.ox.ac.uk/news/2016/0524-ITRCLaunch.html
 
Description MISTRAL Launch Event (23/05/2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact On Monday 23 May 2016 at the Institution of Civil Engineers (ICE), London, over one hundred high profile government and industry stakeholders gathered to celebrate the launch of the ITRC's exciting new MISTRAL: Multi-scale InfraSTRucture systems AnaLytics programme and recently published book, The Future of National Infrastructure: A System-of-Systems Approach.
The ITRC was delighted to welcome keynote speaker Lord Adonis, chair of the National Infrastructure Commission, and Keith Clarke, ICE Vice president, who also spoke.
? Link: https://vimeo.com/172135117

Internal participant/s:
Hall J; ITRC Researchers

External participant/s included:
Lord Adonis; Chair, National Infrastructure Commission
Keith Clarke; Vice Ppresident, Institution of Civil Engineers (ICE)
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL http://www.eci.ox.ac.uk/news/2016/0524-ITRCLaunch.html
 
Description Meeting on 28/04/2017 with the NIC to discuss model changes and outputs for transport, waste, energy strategies 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Andrea Silberman (Senior Economist) and Bianca Letti (Economic Adviser) from the NIC met with Dan Adshead and Matt Ives from the ITRC on 28/04/2017 to discuss
? Model changes and outputs for transport, waste, energy strategies
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description Members from the NIC met with ITRC on 14/06/2017 to discuss modelling; feedback from participants; Vision and Priorities; modelling scenarios, assumptions, and findings 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Andrea Silberman, Bianca Letti, A Bwawa, J Richardson, and Katie Black from the NIC met with Jim Hall, Matt Ives, and Dan Adshead on 14/06/2017 to discuss
?  NIC modelling results, incl. use of ITRC-NISMOD
?  a presentation by NIC with feedback from participants
?  Objectives for Vision and Priorities and approach to modelling scenarios
?  Scenario assumptions made
?  Findings from scenario modelling
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description Members of the NIC met with the ITRC on 28/03/2017 to discuss; the energy supply model; and model parameter/input changes to run technology scenarios(28/03/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Doerte Schneemann (Power Sector Lead), Federica Odifreddi (Energy Policy Advisor), Bianca Letti (Economic Advisor), and Jack Large (Intern) of the NIC met with Dan Adshead, Matt Ives, and Modassar Chaudry of the ITRC on 28/03/2017 to discuss
? Energy supply model
? Model parameter/input changes to run technology scenarios
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description Mistral Client Group KPMG Dinner 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact James Steward, KPMG head of Global Infrastructure, hosted a Mistral Client Group KPMG Dinner to discuss current progress and limplementatin of the MISTRAL Programme legacy.
Atendees:

James Stewart KPMG Chairman, Global Infrastructure
Graham Dalton Ministery of Defence Chief Executive of the Defence Infrastructure Organisation, former CEO of Highways England
James Angus Network Rail Head of Analysis & Forecasting
James Richardson NIC/HMRC Treasury Chief Economist, National Infrastructure Commission
Ronan Palmer OFWAT Director, Strategy & Planning
Nick Wildgoose Zurich Re Global Supply Chain Product Leader

MISTRAL:
Stuart Barr
Simon Blainey
Jim Hall
Miriam Mendes
Robert Nicholls
Edward Oughton
Scott Thacker
Pete Tyler
William Usher
Jim Watson
Jianzhong Wu
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description Mistral Client Group Meeting 1 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Minutes of the MISTRAL client group meeting
6 July 2016, Institution of Mechanical Engineers
Present: Graham Dalton (chair), James Stuart (KPMG), James Richardson (National Infrastructure Commission), Jean Spencer (Anglian Water), Nick Winser (Energy Systems Catapult), Nick Wildgoose (Zurich Insurance), Jonathan Day (Environment Agency),
Jim Hall (ITRC, Oxford), Stuart Barr (ITRC, Newcastle), Jainzhong Wu (ITRC, Cardiff), Ed Oughton (ITRC, Cambridge), John Preston (ITRC, Southampton), Miriam Mendes (ITRC, Oxford)
By phone:
Ronan Palmer (Ofwat), Jo Kaye (Network Rail)
Apologies:

1. Introductions and purpose of the ITRC-MISTRAL Client Group
GD welcomed participants
JH introduced the purpose of the Client Group, to provide high level guidance and advocacy to ensure that the MISTRAL programme is directed at the most important strategic questions for national infrastructure in the UK, and the outputs of the MISTRAL programme are taken up as widely as possible. JH emphasised the importance of a focussed approach to connecting the research to infrastructure owner and end-user needs. He also emphasised the importance of legacy for the MISTRAL programme. Advice is sought from the Client Group on both of these matters.
2. Briefing on the background to the ITRC research and analytical capability. Future plans for the MISTRAL programme
JH provided an overview of the achievements of the ITRC programme and
JS challenged the suggestion that the priorities for MISTRAL challenge 3 should be emerging markets and least developed countries. No developed economy has this level of capability, so there is much potential for MISTRAL in these countries.
JS questioned where affordability comes into our thinking. JH emphasised that ITRC is providing the evidence to inform trade-offs about affordability. He also noted that ITRC is analysing capital and operation costs of infrastructure but acknowledged that there are many factors that mediate between costs and user bills. JS and JR emphasised the complexity of the relationship between costs and bills.
RP asked for more specific indications of impact. He emphasised the benefits in terms of cross-cutting impacts and targeting investment. Possibilities are: reduced cost, better targeting of investment; better timing of investment; better discussion of investment. This will inform research design and help advocacy by the Client Group. JS emphasised the importance of understanding interdependencies. JH explained that modern decision analysis methodologies provide new capabilities for uncertainty and decision analysis. JD suggested that ITRC has also contributed by developing shared understanding and a common vocabulary. JS challenged what the improvements could be made to decision making around major projects like HS2 or airport capacity or Hinkley.
3. Discussion of industry needs for infrastructure systems analysis on the timescale of 2-10 years in the future
JR: There is a gap in understanding of where people live and work and how they behave. ABM is an interesting way of addressing this.
NW: The energy landscape has changed. How do you keep up with that rapidly changing landscape. JH indicated that the MISTRAL research will be dealing with more of this complexity in its new modelling. JW explained that MISTRAL will be able to look at energy interactions and interdependencies in a way that has not been achieved previously, for example in terms of interactions between electricity and gas.
GD: There is a genuine need for better planning across sectors.
JP explained that the ITRC transport modelling had gone beyond corridor modelling to look at the national system from a multi-modal perspective.
JD noted the links with the Environment Agency's Long Term Investment Scenarios, which has not yet paid much attention to interdependencies. There is potential for better treatment of cascading failure and indirect damage. There is potential also to look in a more nuanced way at demographic change.
JS: Mapping infrastructure and interdependencies is useful for resilience planning e.g. energy for water. What are the competing needs for water e.g. agriculture. Links to housing and where water demand will be - benefits of planning on a consistent basis. How to keep analysis up to date?
JK: Potential to do a better job on interdependencies. Impacts of a digital railway. Affordability plays a much greater part in decision making. Network Rail does not have control over all instruments for managing demand: JK would welcome better approaches to forecasting demand.
JR: Benefits of consistent assumptions in GDP, population etc. The analysis of resilience is useful and unique. Triangulation against other models is worthwhile. There is benefit to be had in making evidence more open and transparent. Interactions with the planning system are very important, whilst difficult to model. Intra-urban transport is very important - where does the transition lie between car-based and mass transit cities if we continue to see transport growth. Feedbacks between infrastructure investment and growth - probably not best dealt with by integrating everything into the model.
JH: Household location has come up in a number of different comments. MISTRAL will adopt a household allocation disaggregator to develop higher resolution models of where houses be located. JD: the location of the floodplain could also be a constraint. JR: actually insufficient amounts of housing are built, so household sizes may increase - may be best to exogenise the planning decision and then explore the consequences.
RP: Analysis of interdependencies is useful. How can we add richer information into interactions with customers and stakeholders? Lead-times for policy and behavioural changes and how this relates to questions about, for example, investment in advance of need: how can regulators be better informed: interdependencies across sectors and with the economy. Could really help regulators improve their game.
NW: Energy sector doesn't need another model. All models have proved to be wrong regarding the current situation in the energy sector. What's needed is the over-arching umbrella to deal with interactions and common assumptions e.g. electric cars without low carbon electricity. Need to be realistic about lead-times.
EO: Significance of interdependencies between telecoms development e.g. in relation to transport corridors.
JS: Most decision is retrospective post-justification - ITRC should aim to improve decision making at an early point. Cities are very important - need ability to model cities. This will be the best database and repository of information - need to think through what ability will be given to others to leverage off the model.
NW: interface into corporate investment decision making
4. Operation of the ITRC-MISTRAL Client Group
JH: from this discussion we will prioritise and sequence the research and development work. At the next meeting we will present a plan. We should also discuss the business model and legacy - how can we collaborate and leverage?
5. AOB
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Mistral Client Group Meeting 2 13/September/2016 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact ITRC-MISTRAL Client Group Meeting #2

Date: Tuesday 13/September/2016
Time: 09:00 - 11:00
Location: Wesley Room, 4th Floor
Queen Elisabeth II Centre http://qeiicentre.london/getting-here/
Broad Sanctuary
Westminster, London SW1P 3EE
+44 (0) 207 798 4000

Client Group attendees
1. Graham Dalton (former CEO of Highways England), Chair
2. James Angus (Head of Analysis & Forecasting, Network Rail)
3. Jonathan Day (Deputy Director, Investment & Portfolio, Environment Agency) - By phone
4. Phil Hardy-Bishop (UK Infrastructure Director, Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors)
5. Ronan Palmer (Director, Strategy & Planning, Ofwat) - By phone
6. James Richardson (Chief Economist, National Infrastructure Commission)
7. Jean Spencer (Director, Regulation Anglia Water)
8. James Stewart (Chairman Global Infrastructure, KPMG) - By phone
9. Nick Wildgoose (Global Supply Chain Product Leader, Zurich Re)
10. Nick Winser (Chairman, Energy Systems Catapult) - By phone
The venue's telephone system failed and unfortunately Jonathan Day, Ronan Palmer, James Stewart and Nick Winser were unable to join.
ITRC attendees
1. Jim Hall (University of Oxford)
2. Simon Blainey (University of Southampton)
3. Jianzhong Wu (Cardiff University)
4. Stuart Barr (Newcastle University)
5. Ed Oughton (University of Cambridge)
6. Will Usher (University of Oxford)
7. Miriam Mendes (ITRC Programme Manager)
Apologies
Steve Unger (Ofcom)
Agenda
1. Welcome
2. Minutes of last meeting
3. Overview of intended outcomes of the ITRC-MISTRAL programme
4. Business model(s) for the legacy of ITRC-MISTRAL
5. AOB and date of next meeting.

GD welcomed the meeting participants and noted the minutes of the last meeting that were circulated with the agenda.
JH explained that at the last meeting two questions were raised by the Client Group: (1) to summarise the main intended outcomes of the MISTRAL programme and (2) to begin to consider questions of legacy from the programme and how the research would be taken up in practice. The two notes that were circulated with the agenda address these two issues.
Intended outputs of the ITRC-MISTRAL programme
JH presented the first paper on the intended outcomes from the MISTRAL programme, which are summarised as:
1. A national-scale system-of-systems modelling capability for assessment of infrastructure assessment decisions
2. Models and datasets for analysis of risk, vulnerability and resilience in interdependent infrastructure networks
3. A national infrastructure database
4. A platform and process for infrastructure assessment in countries outside the UK
5. Global infrastructure network analysis
6. Modelling of the inter-relationship between infrastructure and the economy
7. Insights into the governance of interdependent infrastructure systems
NWil emphasises the significance of international supply chain connectivity and suggested possibilities to link up with new data on production sites, for example from the pharmaceutical industry.
JSp noted the significance of extreme events and the need to link between risk and vulnerability issues (outcome 2) and long term infrastructure planning (outcome 1). Further work to establish the economic impacts of extreme events would be helpful. JSp sees NISMOD/ITRC as a way to help make the business case for infrastructure in an independent way. GD suggested that the ITRC should take more account of behavioural changes: tolerance of failure is decreasing and expectations for no downtime are getting higher.
PH-B explained two of RICS's initiatives that are potentially relevant: (1) relating to floor area and land value, which may be relevant to spatial modelling and (2) international work on construction data, including construction pricing. JH agreed that a follow-up meeting would be helpful.
JR noted the importance of connectivity for a service-based economy. Work on analysis of connectivity would be helpful. The most interesting and challenging intended outcome is #6 (Modelling of the inter-relationship between infrastructure and the economy). The ABM approach is very interesting. Where people live is a function of the planning system, so we need to consider how that is going to be modelled. Locational decisions within and between urban areas and ability of people to get into the CBD of big successful cities are emerging as a challenge. The NIC's thinking on resilience is less developed, so they welcome input on that.
GD emphasizes need to take political dimensions into account in analysis of governance. JR would like to understand more about the research on governance (output 7). It was agreed that the next meeting should involve the SPRU team working on governance within MISTRAL as well as the representatives of regulators on the client group (Ronan Palmer, Steve Unger).
JR also noted that over next few years new big datasets are coming available (internet of things, car sensors, oyster cards, mobile phones etc.). SB recognised this but also observed that there are challenges with matching different datasets together and in coping with data of variable quality. EO noted particular challenges with telecommunications perspective. SB also pointed out difficulties with port date - JR suggested that HMRC might have useful data.
Security issues of data and models issues of data and models were discussed. The ITRC has already put in place security arrangements for sensitive datasets. SB indicated that whilst encryption is technically straightforward, the challenge is to manage the level of accessibility for different groups to provide the right balance of security and fitness for purpose.
Business model(s) for the legacy of ITRC-MISTRAL
JH presented the paper on business models for the legacy of ITRC-MISTRAL.
The MISTRAL programme aims:
• to have MISTRAL's national infrastructure system analytics in use and informing decisions by governments, utilities and regulators at a range of scales in the UK;
• for MISTRAL's national infrastructure database to become a shared national resource and a focal point for research and industrial collaboration;
• for MISTRAL's systems analytics to be used in infrastructure planning and design around the world;
• to be engaging a wide range of stakeholders, including the general public, in understanding infrastructure performance and choices.
Potential business models might include some combination of:
• University 'business as usual'
• Sustained funding for 'national capability'
• An open source software initiative
• A global platform
• Spin-out company or companies
JR recognised the importance of sustaining capability in national infrastructure assessment:
• The intention is to grow the NIC's capability in infrastructure assessment. NIC staff are already being trained to use NISMOD. In that sense the NIC could become a 'home' for NISMOD in the future.
• NIC could become a funder of NISMOD if the costs involved are not huge; or could buy a subscription along with other stakeholders. The NIESC economics model is an example of this type of approach.
• A global platform in collaboration with other countries could also interesting. Maybe NIC and other small number of country/partners (Australia, OECD, DfID etc.) could fund this.
• There are trade-offs between a tightly knit group arrangement versus a broader subscription arrangement.
• It is important to maintain transparency so that the model can be explained. The challenge is that with more subscribers a model may become more proprietary. We want to open this up and 'bust cartels': transparency is therefore very important.
WU indicated that there needed to be clarity on what was to be offered: a model (code) or a service? There needed to be mechanisms to keep the capability together and provide updates.
NWil: There is business in being a source of information to corporations that are concerned on business continuity. Utilities and insurers are prepared to pay for information. Think of how different decision makers are looking into the problem.
SB emphasised the importance of developing a mechanism that ensures that the university partners stayed engaged. GD also asked what the ongoing research interest would be, as this is important for keeping the university partners engaged. It is important to maintain capability and not be overly dependent on government.
Actions:
1. MM to collect possible business models from other fields. What are the organisational arrangements and how is capability maintained?
2. At the next meeting we can revisit the discussion of business models and test some options.
Next meeting
James Stewart has offered to host a dinner at KPMG, which would be an opportunity to revisit the discussion about business models. Date be confirmed: suggest in January.
The next formal Client Group meeting will be on the first day of the ITRC-MISTRAL Assembly in Cambridge on the afternoon of 4 April 2017 followed by dinner in Churchill College.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description NIC meeting for a review of infrastructure study elements 03/02/2017 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Andrea Silberman (Senior Economist) and Bianca Letti (Economic Adviser) from the NIC met Dan Adshead, Matt Ives, and Will Usher from ITRC/Mistral on 03/02/2017 to discuss a review of infrastructure drivers:
? modelling baselines
? economic growth scenarios
? population scenarios
? technology scenarios
? water modelling
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description National coupled infrastructure modelling at Oxford (02/03/2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact An invitation to attend the formal launch of the Mistral project.

External participant/s:
Robert Muir of RMS - Risk Management Solutions

Internal participant/s:
Lord S
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://www.water.ox.ac.uk/itrc-five-years-on-a-new-mistral-journey-begins/
 
Description National coupled infrastructure modelling at Oxford (24/02/2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact An invitation to attend the formal launch of the Mistral project.

External participant/s:
Dickie Whitaker of Oasis Loss Modelling Framework

Internal participant/s:
Lord S
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2008,2016
URL https://www.water.ox.ac.uk/itrc-five-years-on-a-new-mistral-journey-begins/
 
Description Navigating complexity for next generation infrastructure: integrating governance and modelling analysis. ISNGI Conference, ICE, London. (09/09/2017 to11/09/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact ITRC/Mistral contributed to this conference. Conference overview: Next generation infrastructure (NGI) systems need to be conceived, designed and created, operated, maintained, regulated and governed with sustainability and resilience to system problems as core objectives. Furthermore, a similar approach is needed for the management and maintenance of existing infrastructure systems, which provide the context from which the NGI needs to grow; i.e., we need to develop and complement and/or progressively replace our existing infrastructure systems.

ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s:
Lovric M; Watson J; Hiteva R

External participant/s:
ISNGI Conference 2017
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://isngi.org/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/Katherine-Lovell.pdf
 
Description Panel 1: Infrastructure Systems: Collective agents of Social Change: International Symposium for Next Generation Infrastructure (ISNGI 2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact 1st September 2016: "DAY 1 ISNGI - Policy Focus"
Dr Matt Ives: Chair: Panel 1: Infrastructure Systems: Collective agents of Social Change
Other panellists:
- Mr Wienke Giezeman Initiator, The Things Network
- Dr Nicola Nelson Manager, Health, Environment & Asset Science, Sydney Water
- Dr WW 'Wijnand' Veeneman
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL http://isngi.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/ISNGI-2016.pdf
 
Description Participation by presentation of paper at the RGS-IBG Annual International Conference 2016. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact The session focused on the geographies of interdependency between transport and other infrastructure networks, examining how nexus thinking can 1) enhance existing approaches to dealing with and exploiting infrastructure interdependencies, in order to realise a more efficient, equitable and sustainable use of transport infrastructure and 2) help understand and address the impacts of interdependencies on society.

http://conference.rgs.org/AC2016/231
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL http://conference.rgs.org/AC2016/231
 
Description Present a seminar for the Society for Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Defence & Security Analysis Division of the Defence Science and Technology Laboratory in Fareham "We are trying to build relationships with academia and expose our staff to alternative ways of thinking.
To this end, I was wondering if you would be willing to give a lunch-time talk on how you tackle deep uncertainty in your work on climate & environmental risks?
This would also be a good opportunity to discuss the next DMDU conference that you will be hosting at Oxford and the level of support/involvement that Dstl might provide.

Contact at DSTL: Mike Larner, Systems Thinking & Consulting, Defence & Security Analysis Division
Robert Solly; Division Head, Defence & Security Analysis, Defence Science and Technology Laboratory, UK Government
Attendee: Prof J. Hall
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://www.theorsociety.com/Pages/Conferences/OR58/OR58.aspx
 
Description Presentation at conference: 20th EURO Working Group on Transportation : A conceptual design for a national transport model with cross-sectoral interdependencies (04/09/2017 to 06/09/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact This paper presents issues, trade-offs and challenges encountered while developing a UK national transport model as part of a large interdisciplinary project, ITRC MISTRAL. The Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC) is a consortium of seven leading UK universities focusing on analysis of national infrastructure systems using a system-of-systems approach. In this paper, we describe a multi-modal multi-scale national transport model being developed by ITRC which includes passenger and freight transport via highways, railways, airports, seaports and local transit networks. The model predicts future demand for each mode on individual flows using an elasticity-based simulation approach.

ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s:
Lovric M; Blainey S; Preston JM

External participant/s:
International Transport Experts/Policy makers
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL https://eprints.soton.ac.uk/417159/1/EWGT_LovricEtAl.pdf
 
Description Presentation on Operational Research and Public Policy Design at the Operational Research Society's annual conference, Portsmouth University, from 6-8 September 2016. J Hall; S Thacker 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact 06/09/2016 : 12:00 : Room-DS2.14 Code: OR58A2931
The Future of National Infrastructure
Dr Scott Thacker and Prof Jim Hall (University of Oxford)
Infrastructure forms the economic backbone of modern society. It is a key determinant of economic competitiveness, social well-being and environmental sustainability. Yet infrastructure systems (energy, transport, water, waste and digital communications), in multiple contexts globally, face a range of serious challenges. There have been many calls for a more strategic, long-term approach to national infrastructure in the UK and elsewhere around the world. Whilst appealing in principle, in practice developing a national infrastructure strategy poses major challenges of complexity and uncertainty. The UK Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC) has set out a systematic methodology for long term analysis of the
performance of national infrastructure systems, which deals with each infrastructure sector (energy, transport, digital communications, water supply, waste water and solid waste) in a consistent framework and assesses the interdependencies between infrastructure sectors. The methodology is supported with the world's first infrastructure system of systems model (NISMOD), which has been developed for long term decision analysis in interdependent infrastructure systems. Following an introduction of the ITRC and NISMOD, this presentation provides details of a number of applications of the model to the UK and beyond. In doing so, it provides examples of how system-based modelling is being used to support decision making within government and industry at a range of scales.

External Stakeholder Representative: Robert Solly; Division Head, Defence & Security Analysis, Defence Science and Technology Laboratory, UK Government
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL http://www.theorsociety.com/Pages/Conferences/OR58/OR58.aspx
 
Description Presentation; World Summit of Local and Regional Leaders (United Cities and Local Governments - UCLG), Bogota, Columbia 12-15 October 2016 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Presentation of National Infrastructure Systems Model International (NISMOD-INT) work at Summit conference
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://www.bogota2016.uclg.org/en/programme
 
Description Project 3.1: A general framework for national infrastructure assessment; signed approval from the Palestinian Authority for further engagement with Ministry of Interior 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) has received signed approval from the Palestinian Authority for further engagement with Ministry of Interior which they now hope to utilise for other ministries.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Quoted in the press: Quantifying the daily economic impact of extreme space weather due to failure in electricity transmission infrastructure. (19/01/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A magazine, newsletter or online publication
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Reviewed and featured by the press: . Oughton, E.J., Skelton, A., Horne, R.B., Thomson, A.W.P., and Gaunt, C.T. (2017) Quantifying the daily economic impact of extreme space weather due to failure in electricity transmission infrastructure. Space Weather, 15 (1): 65-83 doi: 10.1002/2016SW001491.

http://news.agu.org/press-release/extreme-space-weather-induced-electricity-blackouts-could-cost-u-s-more-than-40-billion-daily/
http://www.jbs.cam.ac.uk/home/
http://www.cambridgenetwork.co.uk/news/severe-space-weather-could-cost-billions/
http://news.sky.com/story/blackouts-from-extreme-space-weather-could-cost-16333bn-study-10733502
https://phys.org/news/2017-01-extreme-space-weather-induced-blackouts-billion.html

Daily newspaper press:
http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/world-news/eggheads-warn-extreme-space-weather-9645134
http://www.dailystar.co.uk/news/latest-news/579759/Solar-storm-space-weather-forecast-blackouts-world-economy-meltdown-UK-US-China
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL http://www.cambridgenetwork.co.uk/news/severe-space-weather-could-cost-billions/
 
Description Report in the University of Cambridge 'Daily News Digest' (04/10/2017) highlighting the study by E Oughton and Z Frias stating that consistent broadband service rather than speed should be the key to the UK's 5G mobile technology 
Form Of Engagement Activity A magazine, newsletter or online publication
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Study by Edward Oughton (Cambridge Judge Business School) says that consistent broadband service rather than speed should be the key to the UK's 5G mobile technology. Computer Weekly. The Government should avoid setting unrealistic connectivity requirements for 5G mobile broadband, and focus instead on ensuring reliable and consistent coverage.The government is in danger of setting unrealistic speed and connectivity requirements for future 5G mobile broadband networks - especially in rural areas - and should focus instead on trying to guarantee reliable and consistent universal coverage in order for the UK to fully exploit the potential of 5G, according to a new report from the University of Cambridge's Judge Business School.

Internal participant/s
Oughton E
Frias Z

External Participant/s
Charles Goldsmith, Head of Media Relations, University of Cambridge Judge Business School
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://universityofcambridge.cmail20.com/t/ViewEmail/j/78B710B2E15AD5F42540EF23F30FEDED/A2D24B087D0C...
 
Description Research engagement with Challenge 1 researchers: Building characterisation, aggregation and scenarios 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Study participants or study members
Results and Impact September 2016 Meeting with Mark Birkin and Will Usher to develop and agree population attribution of buildings and population geodemographic data structure for NISMOD-DB2.
Also to provide a deeper engagement with other Challenge 1 researchers.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Research meeting review/forward planning at the Treasury Offices, London (13/03/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Research meeting review/forward planning at the Treasury Offices, London (13/03/2017). Focus: to review the National Infrastructure Assessment in relation to ITRC Mistral

Participants: Jim Hall, Matt Crossman, Alexa Bruce, James Richardson,
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description Research meetings to discuss NIC engagement elements: Run water, wastewater and waste models (10/03/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Andrea Silberman (Senior Economist), Bianca Letti (Economic Adviser), and Jack Large (Intern) from the NIC met with Dan Adshead and Matt Ives from the ITRC to dicuss
? Run water, wastewater and waste models
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description Researcher review of NIC Technology Scenarios 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Study participants or study members
Results and Impact Review of ITRC/National Infrastructure Commission Technology Scenarios. 10 November 2016
Participants: Bianca Letti, Matt Ives, Will Usher, Daniel Adshead
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description Researcher review team meeting 16/02/2017 to discuss 1) Water flow scenarios/modelling 2) NIC starting to use NISMOD 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Andrea Silberman (Senior Economist) from the NIC met with Dan Adshead and Matt Ives from the ITRC on 16/02/2017 to discuss
? Water flow scenarios/modelling
? NIC starting to use NISMOD
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description Response from the Chartered Institution of Civil Engineering Surveyors (ICES) to the Call for Evidence for the National Needs Assessment. Prepared in consultation with senior members of the institution. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact The Mistral project replied to the Call for Evidence for the National Needs Assessment (prepared in consultation with senior members of the institution).

ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s:
Jim Hall

Executive group members:
Sir John Armitt; Chair, President Institution of Civil Engineers
Martin Baggs; former CEO Thames Water
Nick Baveystock, Institution of Civil Engineers
Graham Dalton, Independent
John Dickie, London First
Jim Hall, Oxford University & Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium
Steve Holliday, former CEO National Grid
Rhian Kelly, CBI
Jon Lamonte, Transport for Greater Manchester
Professor Lord Robert Mair, Cambridge University
Robbie Owen, Pinsent Masons
Richard Threlfall, KPMG
Gareth Williams, Scottish Council for Development and Industry
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/national-infrastructure-assessment-call-for-evidence
 
Description Review of infrastructure drivers for National Infrastructure Commission (01/12/2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Study participants or study members
Results and Impact Review of infrastructure drivers for National Infrastructure Commission: technology, population, economic growth, climate change (01/12/2016)

Participants: Bianca Letti, Matt Ives, Will Usher, Daniel Adshead
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description SPRU 50th Anniversary conference, 'Transforming Innovation'. Submission of a joint written evidence to the Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy (BEIS) Committee inquiry into industrial strategy on 3 October 2016. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Evidence submitted by SPRU's Professor Mazzucato, and Professor Jim Watson has been cited extensively in the Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy (BEIS) Committee's First Review on industrial strategy (published 3 March 2017).
Traditional approaches to industrial strategy have a sectoral or technology focus. We argue however that the best way for May's government to achieve its economic vision is through a 'mission-oriented' approach that focuses on solving important societal challenges such as; climate change, youth unemployment, obesity, ageing and inequality. Such an approach would require many different sectors to interact with each other in new ways. If used to give direction to Britain's economic growth path, this could generate innovation-led (smart) growth that is both inclusive and sustainable.
Watch / Listen to a full recording of the BEIS Committee Industrial strategy meeting
http://www.parliamentlive.tv/Event/Index/d5c3e7c7-62e0-41f8-953c-981289bb3ea6

ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s:
Professor Jim Watson

External participant/s:
Professor Mazzucato, Director, UCL Institute for Innovation & Public Purpose. Chair in the Economics of Innovation and Public Value
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL http://www.sussex.ac.uk/spru/newsandevents/2017/talks/beis-report
 
Description Social impact of the 'Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC)' on the Social Impact Open Repository (SIOR) (11/01/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact The Social Impact Open Repository (SIOR) is an initiative born under the IMPACT-EV project funded by the 7th Framework Programme of the European Commission and coordinated by the research centre CREA-UB, University of Barcelona. The SIOR coordination team like to invite the ITRC/Mistral to be part of SIOR (further information is available at: http://sior.ub.edu/). SIOR is an open free and unique repository which gives universal visibility of the social impact of research projects not involving commercial interest.
The main objective of IMPACT-EV (Impact Evaluation) is to develop a permanent system of selection, monitoring and evaluation of the various impacts of Social Sciences and the Humanities (SSH) research.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://sior.ub.edu/
 
Description The NIC met with the ITRC on 03/07/2017 to discuss: energy; transport; water, climate, next phase of modelling and other issues 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Andrea Silberman, Bianca Letti and Jack Large of the NIC met with Jim Hall, Matt Ives and Dan Adshead of the ITRC on 03/07/2017 to discuss
? Energy: New model runs; fuel price sensitivity analysis
?  Transport: Congestion metric; impact of a sensitivity analysis on car costs, GVA, fares
?  Water: Climate change update, abstraction reform, PCC reductions
?  Other: Asset maintenance, baselines (Jim Hall), next phase of modelling
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description The 22nd SETAC (Society of Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry) Europe LCA (Life Cycle Assessment) Case Study Symposium. Presentation of paper for session 'Application of the Solid Waste Infrastructure Management System (SWIMS) model to support regional and national decision making. (22/09/2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Solid waste management (SWM) is an essential municipal service provided by government. Given the rapid population growth and socio-economic development that is projected to occur around the world, nations must ensure that they have sufficient infrastructure capacity to maintain this vital service. There is also increasing pressure on the SWM sector to improve its environmental performance. Despite increasing budgetary pressures, SWM decision makers are being required to make important strategic and investment decisions whilst simultaneously maintaining reliable, low-cost SWM services and identifying and pursuing opportunities to reduce their environmental impact. To alleviate this burden, regional and national SWM decision makers require information and tools to help inform management, planning, and investment in their SWM systems. The Solid Waste Infrastructure Management System (SWIMS) model is a life cycle-based decision support and optimisation tool for SWM. SWIMS forms part of a system-of-systems model, known as NISMOD-LP, which was developed in the UK and enables the analysis of interdependent national infrastructure systems. SWIMS models the infrastructure capacity requirements of a given area and tracks these requirements through time. Flows of waste materials through the SWM system are simulated from the point of generation through collection, treatment, and disposal/recycling/reuse. Potential environmental and financial impacts associated with the management of these waste flows are quantified through life-cycle process modelling. The model is able to explore every possible way through which waste streams can be managed within the system, both now and in the future, and of optimising waste management and investment based on a defined optimisation goal (e.g. minimising costs, reducing CO2e emissions, maximising materials recovery), a given a set of management constraints (e.g. restrictions on waste to landfill), and a range of possible future scenarios. SWIMS can model any area of any geographic scale and can thus be used to represent a city, region, or nation (including the cities and regions within that nation).
The purpose of this presentation is to provide a description of the SWIMS model and to highlight its novelties compared to other SWM decision support and optimisation tools. To demonstrate the value of the tool to decision makers, a case study of its application in the context of SWM at the UK regional scale will be presented.

Presenters: D.A. Turner, EMPA / Technology and Society Lab; J. Coello, Improbable; G. Watson, A. Stringfellow, University of Southampton; M. Ives, Oxford University; W. Powrie, University of Southampton; J. Hall, Oxford University
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL http://meetings.setac.org/frontend.php/presentation/listForPublic#
 
Description The Dependence of New Zealand's Transport Infrastructure on Electricity 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Project to consider dependence of the wider New Zealand transportation network on electricity distribution components using 'people directly affected' as the common metric.
Format: Information poster

Internal participant:
Thacker S

External participants:
? Lea Andreae, University of Applied Sciences, Münster, Germany
? Conrad Zorn, University of Auckland
? Assoc. Prof. Asaad Shamseldin, University of Auckland
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://ir.canterbury.ac.nz/bitstream/handle/10092/12780/POSTER%20-%20Zorn_DependenceTrnsptInfstruct...
 
Description The House of Commons, Treasury Select Committee, Group hearings on the Autumn Statement 2016 (13/12/2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Prof Jim Hall of the ITRC gave evidence to the UK Government's Autumn Select Committee as a member of a panel of experts providing evidence to the National Infrastructure Plan. This includes the Government will attract new private sector investment towards UK infrastructures meeting the needs of the economy.

ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s:
Hall J

External participant/s:
Toby Coaker; Committee Specialist, Treasury Select Committee
Andrew Westcott; Head of Policy, Institute of Civil Engineers
Martin Baggs; Panel member and Infrastructure Executive (previously CEO, Thames Water)
Alexander Jan; Panel member and Head of Transactions, Arup
Andrew Rose; Panel member and Chief Executive of the Global Infrastructure Investor Association
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/national-infrastructure-plan
 
Description The NIC met with J Hall of the ITRC on 04/09/2017 to discuss Water for the next phase of the NIA, and future requirements for NIA 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Bianca Letti and A Bruce of the NIC met with J Hall of the ITRC on 04/09/2017 to discuss
? Water: discussed options for next phase of NIA around intervention in WRMPs in December, comparing company vs regional decision making
? Discussions with Bianca Letti regarding future requirements for NIA
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description The NIC met with the ITRC on 25/01/2018 to request Mistral's perspective on the NIC's approach to risk management, and to establish the level of drought resilience. A Peer Review Roundtable was set-up. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Alexa Bruce (Environment Lead) of the NIC met with Jim Hall of the ITRC on 25/01/2018 to request Mistral's perspective on the NIC's approach to risk management (as against the costs of such) to establish the level of drought resilience. A Peer Review Roundtable was set-up.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description The NIC met with the ITRC by email on 12/06/2017 to discuss creation of a development (test) environment concerning NISMOD 1 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact A member of the NIC met with Matt Ives from the ITRC by email on 12/06/2017 to discuss:
the creation of a development (test) environment for changes to NISMOD 1 avoiding disruption to the production server and the simulations being run by the NIC
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description The NIC met with the ITRC in the University of Southampton on 10/02/2017 to discuss Solid waste 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Andrea Silberman, Bianca Letti, and Thomas Bousfield of the NIC met with the ITRC in the University of Southampton on 10/02/2017 to discuss Solid waste
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description The NIC met with the ITRC on 03/11/2017 to discuss the presentation of WATHNET; the next round of water modelling; discussions of new drought scenarios in GBWIM and WATHNET; Annex findings 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Bianca Letti, Alexa Bruce, Andrea Silberman, and Manuela Solera-Deuchar from the NIC met with Jim Hall and Mohammad Mortazavi-Naeini from the ITRC on 03/11/2017 to discuss
? Presentation of WATHNET by Mohammad Mortazavi-Naeini
? Next round of water modelling - discussions of new drought scenarios in GBWIM and WATHNET
? Discussions around Annex findings
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description The NIC met with the ITRC on 06/02/2018 to discuss testing Mistral in relation to integration of NIC's independent transport projection data. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Greg McClymont (Lead on transport and cities) from the NIC met with Nik Lomax, Andrew Smith, and Simon Blainey of the ITRC on 06/02/2018 to discuss testing Mistral in relation to integration of NIC's independent transport projection data.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description The NIC met with the ITRC on 08/02/2018 to raise important questions emerging from the NIA, and to plan a conference/event later in 2018 (18/04/2018, the Mistral mid-term review, and in the autumn). 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Manuela Di Mauro (Water Lead), James Richardson (Chief Economist), Andrea Silberman (Senior Economist), Bianca Letti (Economic Advisor), and Matt Crossman (Flood Risk Management Lead) of the NIC met with Jim Hall of the ITRC on 08/02/2018 to raise important questions emerging from the NIA. Further meetings/events are planned for on 18/04/2018, the Mistral mid-term review, and for a conference in the autumn (Jim Hall to contact Pete Tyler (University Professor, Department of Land Economy, University of Cambridge) to settle on a date and location).
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2018
 
Description The NIC met with the ITRC on 17/10/2017 to discuss the NIA Phase II kick-off meeting; the next round of water/drought modelling; solid Waste modelling; a summary on the NIA, NNA work, and Civil Engineers meeeting the carbon challenge 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact Bianca Letti, Alexa Bruce, Andrea Silberman, and Manuela Solera-Deuchar of the NIC met with J Hall and Matt Ives of the ITRC on 17/10/2017 to discuss
? NIA Phase II kick-off meeting
? Next round of water modelling - need for new drought scenarios in GBWIM
? Solid Waste modelling, fixing issues with multi-threading, new strategies on residual waste management
- assess alternative combinations of collection and processing
- Presented a summary on the NIA and NNA work as well as role of Civil Engineers in meeting the carbon challenge
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description The NIC met with the ITRC on 23/11/2017 to discuss; new NISMOD updates, NIC demand management, Atkins drought water scenarios 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Bianca Letti (Economic Adviser), Michael Tran, and Manuela Solar-Deuchar (HM Treasury Representative) from the NIC met with Matt Ives of the ITRC on 23/11/2017 to discuss
? NISMOD updates to be released in v1.62 on Friday
? can NIC force demand managemet but ensure it is not used as an option otherwise
? Atkins drought water scenarios and sustainability changes updates
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description The NIC met with the ITRC on 30/11/2017 to discuss; a general overview and update on the research projects; geographical coverage and consistency; increase in yield versus capacity, future of other models in NISMOD 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Bianca Letti (Economic Adviser), Michael Tran, Manuela Solar-Deuchar (HM Treasury Representative), and Andrea Silberman (Senior Economist) of the NIC met with Matt Ives of the ITRC on 30/11/2017 to discuss
? General overview of where we are, update on the research projects
? Geographical coverage and consistency (coverage of Wales and consistency of WRZ naming with Water UK)
? Increase in yield versus capacity, 2015 Start year issue
? What next, other models in NISMOD
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description The NIC met with the ITRC on the 23/08/2017 to discuss Energy models and training for NIC members using NISMOD 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Andrea Silberman, Bianca Letti, A Ioannis, Alexa Bruce, and Doerte Schneemann of the NIC met with Matt Ives of the ITRC on the 23/08/2017 to discuss
? Energy: New model runs
? Energy: Discussing differences with UK TIMES outputs
? Training for Ioannis and Michael on using NISMOD
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description The National Infrastructure Assessment: Process and Methodology. May 2016 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact 'The National Infrastructure Assessment: Process and Methodology' consultative document giving rise to the resultant National Infrastructure Commission (NIC). The NIC will seek to draw together expertise across every relevant sector, alongside unique and independent analysis to develop an assessment of the nation's infrastructure of the highest possible standard. The ITRC/Mistral project provides information and methodologies to the NIC.

External Stakeholder Representative: Robert Solly; Division Head, Defence & Security Analysis, Defence Science and Technology Laboratory, UK Government
External participant/s:
Lord Adonis; Chair of the National Infrastructure Commission

Internal participant/s:
Hall J; ITRC Team
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/525950/National_Infrastruc...
 
Description The Oxford International Infrastructure Consortium (OXIIC) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact The Oxford International Infrastructure Consortium (OXIIC) is an Oxford based research platform which aims to facilitate collaboration and dialogue between academia,international organisations, governments, financial institutions, and other public and private sectors on infrastructure worldwide.
It is supported by the Smith School of Enterprise and the Environment (SSEE), the Environmental Change Institute (ECI), University of Oxford and the UK Infrastructure Transition Research Consortium (ITRC-MISTRAL). The establishment of the OXIIC is in response to the "knowledge gap" in the field of infrastructure. Drawing on the long tradition of independent scholarship and academic freedom at the University of Oxford, the OXIIC has the following aspirations:

1- To offer the world-class impartial and supportive environment for dialogue and communication on infrastructure between academics, policymakers and practitioners;

2- To facilitate the exchange of knowledge, data and information on infrastructure between academics, policymakers and practitioners;

3- To work effectively with other institutions and initiatives world
wide, where such partnerships can lead to outstanding research and insights on infrastructure.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL http://www.oxiic.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/1_OXIIC-2016-Conference-Brochure__print-version-revi...
 
Description The future of digital communications 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact St Catharine's College Cambridge, 1 February 2017

Our event brought together leading players in the digital communications sector, including industry, policy and research. They considered some of the critical issues facing the digital communications sector and how best to create a model the UK's digital telecommunications infrastructure to help decision-makers in policy and industry.

We would like to thank the Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council, funders of the ITRC-MISTRAL programme, and Analysys Mason, who sponsored this event.

Fixed and satellite networks
Mobile, wireless and satellite networks
Modelling the UK's digital communications

Professor Jim Hall (University of Oxford) described the challenge of integrating digital telecommunications within ITRC-MISTRAL. Different from other infrastructure sectors, it is marked by rapid technological innovation with the demand for services co-evolving with capacity provision. It is tough to get data on networks and systems, and analysing resilience is tricky when there is a lot of redundancy in the system.

For this workshop, ITRC-MISTRAL is seeking some advice on how we should advance our modelling capability - what outputs will be most useful?

Dr Joe Butler (National Infrastructure Commission - NIC) outlined the NIC's work so far on digital communications. This is primarily an in-depth study on 5G (Connected Future), reflecting the NIC's conviction that digital is a core part of the UK's infrastructure: the glue holding the other infrastructure sectors together.

NIC recognises that there is need to create a coherent approach to public investment in digital infrastructure, and the next National Infrastructure Assessment (NIA) will include some recommendations to government. NIC is at the evidence-gathering phase for the NIA. A workshop on 23 March will be part of this (anyone interested in attending should email enquiries@nic.gsi.gov.uk by 9 March 2017).
1. Fixed and satellite networks

Professor Polina Bayvel (University College London) introduced the session by exploring the history and potential of the UK's optical fibre communications infrastructure. It still carries 99% of all data and there are still improvements that can be made to increase capacity on this network. It is also critical to the operation of all UK infrastructure.

Professor Bayvel argued that we should not use the present to predict the future, and that a new national planning model needs to incorporate present data as well as some blue sky technological options and a range of variables, including policy (which has moved slowly so far).

Ian Hawkins (Head of networks research, BT) presented the trends and changes as seen from an industry perspective and which are driving investment.

He described the changing interactions taking place over the broadband network, such as immersive content and the Internet of Things. The UK's fixed network is performing well compared to other EU countries, but more needs to be done with the existing network to meet increasing demand. BT has an ambition to put 11m customers on ultra-fast broadband by 2020, but there is an economic judgement about where to put this investment: new build, ease of access, density of business?

For the future, there is likely to be progress with network function virtualisation, to improve network resilience and adaptability. This approach has been taken up by NTT (Japan) in response to their experience of natural disasters, which in themselves make great demands on telecommunications networks. In future there will be a more software-based network, with cloud and network infrastructure converging. While this will be more agile, it also highlights the challenge of cyber-security.
1.2 Fixed and satellite networks - panel session

Dr James Allen (Analysys Mason), Andrew Ferguson (thinkbroadband), Dr Joel Grotz (SES Satellites), Robert Kenny (Communications Chambers), chaired by Professor Jon Crowcroft (University of Cambridge).

The questions ranged widely: the regulatory framework, market mechanisms to promote investment, the role of competition, international comparators, the role of satellite and dealing with customer expectations.

Main discussion points

Policy tends to drive development, but needs to be exercised with some caution. Being a prudent (technological) follower minimises the investment risk.
Competition has largely worked, but it's not clear how it can address the gaps in service that still exist. Some people still have a single, poor option, so competition hasn't worked for them.
Where there is choice for consumers, it's important that they are guided to make the right choice for their needs.
Market interventions can work to promote social as well as economic objectives
Integrating digital into other infrastructures is a good idea, but difficult to co-ordinate in practice and not always good value.
UK's digital infrastructure is good and broadly does well in international comparisons, but there are problems at the bottom end of the market.

2. Mobile, wireless and satellite networks

Professor Mischa Dohler (Kings College London) opened the discussion on mobile and wireless networks. The current capacity has increased by a factor of a million, largely driven by the move to smaller cells and network densification. More investment here would be more productive, but academic and policy interest tends to focus on the smaller improvements delivered by the physical layer.

Looking ahead, there are some inevitable trends: continuing increase in data transmission speeds, an increasing number of devices, improvement in delay. To help to respond to these changes, fibre networks need to be improved and new sharing models should be developed. There should be efforts to enhance cell density - but are there sufficient skills to install the necessary base stations? Would de-regulation of planning help? Who will be the new players in the sector in the future, and will a new regulatory framework be required?

Rupert Baines (CEO of ULTRASoC and non-Executive Director of Accelleran) gave an industry view which focused on consumers as the driver of change. The services people want, and how they are regulated, will dictate how the industry grows, not new technological development.

However there are some emerging trends: tablets and 'phones are the most popular devices, drawing on large data centres, with laptops and PCs starting becoming the niche devices. Similarly for wireless, it's either a small box or a large data centre. Spectrum is a scarce resource and isn't being allocated well, with some bands full while others are under-used.

For the future, the application of small cells could help to improve coverage in rural areas with consequent social benefits. This might also be a way to address the increasing demand for mobile connectivity on transport, especially roads and railways, with innovations such as small cells located in vehicles. Globally, while Europeans are looking to 5G networks, remember that in developing countries, most people will be using 2G for the next five years.
2.1 Mobile, wireless and satellite panel session

Colin Blackman (Camford Associates), Dr Hector Fenech (Eutelsat), Dr Zoraida Frais (Technical University of Madrid), Caroline Miller (O2), chaired by Graham Louth (Aetha Consulting).

The questions focused on improving coverage, better customer experience, network densification and provision of 5G.

Main discussion points

The business case for 5G has not yet been made. Most applications can be delivered on 3G/4G.
Improving coverage is necessary, but there seemed to be consensus that a range of solutions would need to be considered, such as: subsidies, satellite, national roaming; and better stakeholder engagement.
Densification of networks will be necessary to improve services - there are clearly a number of constraints, including planning rules and availability of sites. Satellite might be helpful where traffic is sparse.
Customers mainly want a reliable service, but it's important to understand what customers need and will pay for, and to not only be led by technology.

3. Modelling the UK's digital communications

Dr Ed Oughton (University of Cambridge) introduced the digital strand of the ITRC-MISTRAL programme. It aims to understand capacity demand as well as risk, vulnerability and resilience. The model tries to answer questions such as: what is the cost of deploying digital communications; and how will this change over time? It also aims to model infrastructure viability, behavioural deployment strategies and interdependencies with other infrastructures (e.g. insights into energy demand of the network and responding to demands from the transport network).

The research team appealed for help with access to data sources, and also for information from industry and policymakers on what they would like the model to do for them.
3.1 Modelling the UK's digital communications, panel discussion

Cristina Data (OFCOM), Neil Fleming (AIG), Noelle Godfrey (Connecting Cambridgeshire), Nick Palmer (Bellever Risk Management), chaired by Philip Guildford (University of Cambridge).

The questions related to requirements from modelling of digital infrastructure, access to data sets and understanding resilience.

Main discussion points

Useful outputs for a model would include exploring scenarios, informing future planning, how to expand connectivity, predicting future demand and growth, resilience to multiple failures and the impact of one failure on other systems. It must be applicable to a local level.
Is the model one based around risk and resilience, or one that incorporates supply/demand and policy factors? How can a digital system be resilient under both approaches?
Improved access to operators' data might be possible if they can see the benefits of the model outputs and are convinced that their data will remain confidential. Operators are reluctant to share data, and ITRC-MISTRAL is looking at crowsourced data as an alternative.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://www.itrc.org.uk/digital-communications/the-future-of-digital-communications/#.WMgld38qtdg
 
Description The techUK Communications Infrastructure Council (CIC) meeting (21/09/2017) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact ? Outputs:
The CIC brings together techUK's member companies with an interest in fixed-line and wireless telecoms infrastructure, with participating companies from across the telecommunications value chain: operators/ISPs, network service providers, manufacturers and technology providers, and software suppliers. It provides the collective industry voice on improving and developing the market and on the Government policy and regulatory issues that affect it. The group is also well connected with senior Government and Ofcom decision makers who look to us for an overall independent industry perspective.
This CIC will be an opportunity to present to industry the work of ITRC-MISTRAL, and discuss further the risk of infrastructure failure and the long term benefits of investments and policies to improve infrastructure systems in the UK.
? Outcomes:
The Communications Infrastructure Council (CIC) thanked the ITRC group for it's presentation. The presentation sparked off some interesting discussion - and as mentioned in the meeting, the CIC hopes there will be a convenient opportunity in the future to return and update the Council on how the work is progressing.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://www.techuk.org/events/meeting/item/9302-techuk-communications-infrastructure-council
 
Description Towards a Multi-Scale Multi-Modal Model of Infrastructure Interdependence (30/08/2016 to 02/09/2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Conference presentation. 'Towards a Multi-Scale Multi-Modal Model of Infrastructure Interdependence', RGS-IBG Annual International Conference; Theme: Nexus Thinking, London, 30 August-2 September 2016.

ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s:
Blainey SP; Pant R; Thacker S

External participant/s:
Royal Geographical Society
Conference chair: Peter Jackson, University of Sheffield
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL http://www.rgs.org/WhatsOn/ConferencesAndSeminars/Annual+International+Conference/Annual+Internation...
 
Description Transport (Report of 24 August 2016): Ongoing discussions with regard to detailed plans for new MISTRAL transport model 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Study participants or study members
Results and Impact Transport element of ITRC Mistral (Report of 24 August 2016)

Ongoing discussions between Simon Blainey and Raghav Pant with regard to detailed plans for new MISTRAL transport model. Raghav Pant is continuing to undertake preparatory work for this model.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
 
Description UK Collaboratorium for Research in Infrastructure & Cities (UKCRIC) partner updates at 27/01/2017 for the UKCRIC All-Hands Meeting 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Professor Jim Hall provided the following details for the ITRC as partner to UKCRIC for the UKCRIC All-Hands Meeting shortly after the 27th January 2017

• The ITRC-MISTRAL programme is proceeding at full speed, with a pilot Version 2.0 of NISMOD to be presented at the ITRC Assembly in April, along with pilot versions of the international version of NISMOD-Int and the NISMOD-DB database portal.
• The digital communications team in ITRC are holding a workshop in Cambridge on 1 February with high level stakeholders from the digital sector.
• The next workshop on Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty will be held in Oxford on 13-15 November 2017.
• ITRC researchers won the Lloyds science of risk prize for their work on rail network systems analysis and wrote the infrastructure chapter in the World Economic Forum's 2017 Global Risks Report.

Provided to Joanna Johnson, UKCRIC Coordination Node Manager
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
 
Description United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) Requirement for Infrastructure Information (23/05/2016) 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact On Monday 23 May 2016 at the Institution of Civil Engineers (ICE), London, over one hundred high profile government and industry stakeholders gathered to celebrate the launch of the ITRC's exciting new MISTRAL: Multi-scale InfraSTRucture systems AnaLytics programme and recently published book, The Future of National Infrastructure: A System-of-Systems Approach. The benefits of this approach to UNOPS is portrayed in the video: https:https://vimeo.com/172135117

Internal participant/s: Ives M; Hall J; Thacker S

External participant/s:
Nicholas O'Regan; Director, Infrastructure and Project Management Group, UNOPS
Trevor Sway; Senior Infrastructure Advisor & Project Manager, UNOPS
Ashika Thanki; Experienced senior humanitarian professional implementing evidence-based solutions, UNOPS
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL http://www.eci.ox.ac.uk/news/2016/0524-ITRCLaunch.html
 
Description United Nations Office for Project Services (UNOPS) and Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC) Researcher - Infrastructure Modelling Post specifications for advertisement 
Form Of Engagement Activity A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact ITRC, a research programme of the University of Oxford, is currently embarking on a new phase of development of the NISMOD (National Infrastructure Systems MODel) system-of-systems modelling capability. As part of its MISTRAL program, ITRC together with UNOPS, will be developing a NISMOD-International (NISMOD-Int) in order to inform decision making in regard to the future provision of infrastructure in developing, post-conflict, and post-disaster countries. To this end, UNOPS are looking to recruit a Researcher to assist in this next development of the system-of-systems modelling suite and to provide UNOPS with the capacity, to support the application of NISMOD (National Infrastructure Systems MODel).
https://www.unops.org/english/News/announcements/Pages/Fast-Track-Analysis-for-National-Infrastructure.aspx
UNOPS:
? Trevor Sway; Senior Infrastructure Advisor & Project Manager, UNOPS
? Rob Jones; Head of Programme Delivery in the State of Palestine, UNOPS
? Judeh Hussein; UNOPS Office, Jerusalem, Israel
? Lorraine Anabtawi; Human Resources and Admin Specialist at UNOPS

ITRC/Mistral:
Ives M
Mendes M
Thacker S
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://jobs.unops.org/Pages/ViewVacancy/VADetails.aspx?id=10827&media=print
 
Description Workshop ITRC-MISTRAL & Smith School for Enterprise and the Environment: Bridging the infrastructure gap: global integration and the "One Belt, One Road"initiative 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact The Oxford International Infrastructure Consortium (OXIIC) is an Oxford based research platform which aims to facilitate collaboration and dialogue between academia,international organisations, governments, financial institutions, and other public and private sectors on infrastructure worldwide. It is supported by the Smith School of Enterprise and the Environment (SSEE), the Environmental Change Institute (ECI), University of Oxford and the UK Infrastructure Transition Research Consortium (ITRC-MISTRAL).

The "One Belt One Road"(OBOR) initiative was proposed so as to jointly build the new Silk Road Economic Belt and the 21st Century Maritime Silk Road (hereinafter referred to as the 'Belt'and 'Road', respectively) for promoting economic prosperity of the countries along the Belt and Road and facilitating regional economic cooperation. Its blueprint articulates of the features of a circumnavigationroute "connecting the vibrant East Asia economic circle at one end and the developed European economic circle at the other, and encompassing countries with huge potential for economic development". The new routes will encompass over 60 countries, accounting for 60% of the world's population and a collective GDP equivalent to 33% of the world's wealth. The influence of OBOR is already evident in China's overseas investment flows, which rose 16.3% in the first 10 months of 2015 to $92.5bn with specific OBOR related investment rising 36.7% to $13.7bn.

The OXIIC Second Global Infrastructure Conference featured a series of insightful keynotes and interactive discussions from leading thinkers across academia, international organisations, government, business and the investment industry to explore the following thematic areas related to OBOR:
1) How can policy coordination for global integration and cross-
border infrastructure finance and development be enhanced? 2) How can cooperative mechanisms for the development of cross-border infrastructure and multinational business be built?
3) How can cross -border infrastructure investment for long-term sustainable growth best be fostered and safeguarded?
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL http://www.oxiic.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/1_OXIIC-2016-Conference-Brochure__print-version-revi...
 
Description Workshop: 2017 Decision-making under Deep Uncertainty (DMDU) 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Professional Practitioners
Results and Impact The ITRC hosted the '2017 international Decision-making under Deep Uncertainty (DMDU) Workshop', the 5th workshop in the series. The focus was on "dealing with deep uncertainty in decisionmaking across multiple scales", recognising the interconnections between global change, national governments and local decision-makers in today's complex and interconnected world. The conference attracted 159 participants from government, academia and business from all over the world and further established the ITRC-MISTRAL research globally
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2017
URL http://www.itrc.org.uk/society-for-decision-making-under-deep-uncertainty-annual-workshop/#.WqkuPOfL...
 
Description World Economic Forum: Insight report: How infrastructure defines our climate 
Form Of Engagement Activity A magazine, newsletter or online publication
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Policymakers/politicians
Results and Impact Short report on UNOPS web page including Note 1:
With the University of Oxford's Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium, we are developing the world's first capability to model and understand infrastructure as interdependent systems. This will enable the effective planning and delivery of infrastructure through the Evidence-Based Infrastructure Development (EBID) Framework.

ITRC/MISTRAL participant/s:
Hall J; ITRC/Mistral Researchers

External participant/s:
Rob Jones, H
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2016
URL https://www.unops.org/news-and-stories/insights/how-infrastructure-defines-our-climate