South Asian Precipitation: A Seamless Assessment: SAPRISE
Lead Research Organisation:
UNIVERSITY OF EXETER
Department Name: Engineering Computer Science and Maths
Abstract
The Indian summer monsoon provides about 80% of annual rainfall to around a billion people in South Asia. Variations in its timing, intensity and duration have a dramatic impact on society. The weather and climate in the South Asian region is influenced by the weather and climate in the Indian and remote ocean basins via what are known as teleconnections (remote connections). Teleconnections emerge from phenomena such as El Nino - a kind of gigantic ocean weather system that occurs every 2-8 years in the tropical Pacific. Tiny aerosol particles are also key component of the South Asian atmosphere due to the prevalence of cooking fires over the Indo-Gangetic Plain and dust blown from local and remote deserts.
It remains a considerable challenge to predict seasonal, decadal and longer-term changes in the South Asian monsoon. This proposal brings together UK and Indian scientists to make progress in understanding what affects the South Asian monsoon on different time scales. Key tools are new climate models that simulate the interactions between the different teleconnections and aerosols and new observations, especially those from satellites. The ultimate goal of the project is to improve predictive capability and to therefore potentially improve the lives of those people affected by monsoon rains.
It remains a considerable challenge to predict seasonal, decadal and longer-term changes in the South Asian monsoon. This proposal brings together UK and Indian scientists to make progress in understanding what affects the South Asian monsoon on different time scales. Key tools are new climate models that simulate the interactions between the different teleconnections and aerosols and new observations, especially those from satellites. The ultimate goal of the project is to improve predictive capability and to therefore potentially improve the lives of those people affected by monsoon rains.
Planned Impact
The main strategy to increase the impact of the work will be to feed information to bodies that have direct links to the relevant impact community, whether that is the wider scientific community, policy makers, or the public. The following activities are proposed.
1. Wider scientific community: We will publish papers, attend meetings and organise sessions at the Asia Oceania Geophysical Society, and the European Geophysical Union towards the end of the project to publicise the findings. We will also engage with the CLIVAR Pacific, CLIVAR Indian Ocean and CLIVAR Asian-Australian Monsoon panels (see academic beneficiaries).
2. Policy makers: The Met Office Hadley Centre, a leading partner in the project, has strong links to the UK government (it is largely funded by them) and provides regular briefing material for ministers. We will also provide updates on the project for the Ministry of Earth Sciences in India.
3. General public: During key points e.g. in the workshops and publication of papers we will produce press releases for the UK and Indian media to engage journalists (i.e. the professionals) in communicating the results of the project to the general public, as well as engaging with popular science outlets such as NERC's Planet Earth magazine and use social networking sites such as Facebook, Twitter and Youtube.
1. Wider scientific community: We will publish papers, attend meetings and organise sessions at the Asia Oceania Geophysical Society, and the European Geophysical Union towards the end of the project to publicise the findings. We will also engage with the CLIVAR Pacific, CLIVAR Indian Ocean and CLIVAR Asian-Australian Monsoon panels (see academic beneficiaries).
2. Policy makers: The Met Office Hadley Centre, a leading partner in the project, has strong links to the UK government (it is largely funded by them) and provides regular briefing material for ministers. We will also provide updates on the project for the Ministry of Earth Sciences in India.
3. General public: During key points e.g. in the workshops and publication of papers we will produce press releases for the UK and Indian media to engage journalists (i.e. the professionals) in communicating the results of the project to the general public, as well as engaging with popular science outlets such as NERC's Planet Earth magazine and use social networking sites such as Facebook, Twitter and Youtube.
Organisations
People |
ORCID iD |
Matthew Collins (Principal Investigator) |
Publications
Hunt K
(2016)
On the Structure and Dynamics of Indian Monsoon Depressions
in Monthly Weather Review
Prakash S
(2015)
Comparing two high-resolution gauge-adjusted multisatellite rainfall products over India for the southwest monsoon period Comparing gauge-adjusted multisatellite rainfall products over India
in Meteorological Applications
Momin I
(2015)
Comparison of TMPA-3B42 Versions 6 and 7 Precipitation Products with Gauge-Based Data over India for the Southwest Monsoon Period
in Journal of Hydrometeorology
Bhaskaran B
(2012)
Regional climate model applications on sub-regional scales over the Indian monsoon region: The role of domain size on downscaling uncertainty
in Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
MITRA A
(2013)
Gridded daily Indian monsoon rainfall for 14 seasons: Merged TRMM and IMD gauge analyzed values
in Journal of Earth System Science
Ferrett S
(2017)
Understanding Bias in the Evaporative Damping of El Niño-Southern Oscillation Events in CMIP5 Models
in Journal of Climate
Li H
(2016)
A New Understanding of El Niño's Impact over East Asia: Dominance of the ENSO Combination Mode
in Journal of Climate
Turner A
(2016)
Local and Remote Impacts of Aerosol Species on Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall in a GCM
in Journal of Climate
Prakash S
(2016)
Assessment of TRMM-based TMPA-3B42 and GSMaP precipitation products over India for the peak southwest monsoon season ASSESSMENT OF TMPA AND GSMAP PRECIPITATION PRODUCTS OVER INDIA
in International Journal of Climatology
Roy I
(2016)
ENSO teleconnections to the Indian summer monsoon in observations and models
in International Journal of Climatology
Description | We have investigated observations and models of the S. Asian monsoon system. |
Exploitation Route | Too early to say |
Sectors | Environment |
URL | https://www.bgs.ac.uk/changingwatercycle/saprise.html |