FUTURE-DRAINAGE: Ensemble climate change rainfall estimates for sustainable drainage
Lead Research Organisation:
Newcastle University
Department Name: Sch of Engineering
Abstract
The new climate projections from the UK have just been released and as part of this, next year, there will be the release of outputs from a number of very high resolution climate models across the UK. These models are able to represent the daily cycle of rainfall, and rainfall characteristics like intensity, duration and frequency of occurrence, much better than coarser resolution models that have been used previously and can therefore help us to understand how short-duration intense rainfall events and flash floods might change in the future. Here we propose to couple them, for the first time, with new, high-resolution flood models for small rapid response catchments, like Boscastle, or urban areas that suffer from flash floods. Together they will be used to update guidance for urban drainage design and methods for urban surface water flood risk assessment in the UK: priorities identified in the National Flood Resilience Review (2016) and restated in the UK Adaptation Sub-Committee's UK Climate Change Risk Assessment 2017 Synthesis Report: Appendix on Urgency Scoring Tables which identified "Risks of sewer flooding due to heavy rainfall" as an area where "more action is needed to deliver sustainable drainage systems, upgrade sewers where appropriate and tackle drivers increasing surface runoff (e.g. impermeable surfacing in urban areas)." This will include new 'uplifts' that can be applied to design storm events to represent climate change effects on storms and recommendations on the updates of existing methods and tools used to tackle surface water flooding.
FUTURE-DRAINAGE will add to the evidence-base for the UK Climate Change Risk Assessment and the National Adaptation Programme; and is aligned with the UK Government's 25 Year Environment Plan (2018), specifically the goal of reducing risk of harm from environmental hazards and of adapting to climate by improving climate resilience in the UK. The importance of revised rainfall uplifts and new guidance for UK urban drainage design and urban flood resilience is evidenced in the letters of support our project team has solicited from UK water and sewerage companies, the Scottish Environment Protection Agency and informal support from the Environment Agency who considers the work is of particular relevance to applications in surface water management and design of storm water systems. Therefore, FUTURE-DRAINAGE will deliver nationally important research outputs for uptake by government agencies and industrial sectors to improve climate change adaption and resilience in the UK.
FUTURE-DRAINAGE will add to the evidence-base for the UK Climate Change Risk Assessment and the National Adaptation Programme; and is aligned with the UK Government's 25 Year Environment Plan (2018), specifically the goal of reducing risk of harm from environmental hazards and of adapting to climate by improving climate resilience in the UK. The importance of revised rainfall uplifts and new guidance for UK urban drainage design and urban flood resilience is evidenced in the letters of support our project team has solicited from UK water and sewerage companies, the Scottish Environment Protection Agency and informal support from the Environment Agency who considers the work is of particular relevance to applications in surface water management and design of storm water systems. Therefore, FUTURE-DRAINAGE will deliver nationally important research outputs for uptake by government agencies and industrial sectors to improve climate change adaption and resilience in the UK.
Planned Impact
Building upon our strong track-record of collaborations with a wide range of stakeholders and project partners in previous NERC-funded Climate Resilience research, we have taken care to work closely with the various communities who will directly benefit from our research in building the Case for Support for this proposal. We will continuously engage with this community throughout the project.
The new UKCP18 ensemble CPM projections together with new, high-resolution flood models developed in SINATRA/TENDERLY by Co-I Liang provide an exciting and timely opportunity to update guidance for urban drainage design and guidance and methods for urban surface water flood risk assessment in the UK: priorities identified in the National Flood Resilience Review (2016) and reiterated in the UK Adaptation Sub-Committee's UK Climate Change Risk Assessment 2017 Synthesis Report: Appendix on Urgency Scoring Tables (ASC 2016) which identified "In4: Risks of sewer flooding due to heavy rainfall" as an area where "more action needed to deliver sustainable drainage systems, upgrade sewers where appropriate and tackle drivers increasing surface runoff (e.g. impermeable surfacing in urban areas)." In2 and PB5 also cover risks to infrastructure and people from surface flooding (including surface water flooding). FUTURE-DRAINAGE will add to the evidence-base for the UK Climate Change Risk Assessment and the National Adaptation Programme; and is aligned with the UK Government's 25 Year Environment Plan (2018), specifically the goal of reducing risk of harm from environmental hazards and of adapting to climate by improving climate resilience in the UK. The importance of revised rainfall uplifts and new guidance for UK urban drainage design and urban flood resilience is evidenced in the letters of support our project team has solicited from UK water and sewerage companies (WaSCs) and the offer of informal support from the Environment Agency who considers the work is of particular relevance to applications in surface water management and design of storm water systems. Therefore, FUTURE-DRAINAGE will deliver nationally important research outputs for uptake by government agencies and industrial sectors to improve climate change adaption and resilience in the UK.
The main beneficiaries of this work will be the practitioners, regulators and policymakers such as the UK water and sewerage companies (WaSCs), the Environment Agency (EA), Scottish Environment Protection Agency (SEPA), Defra, the Committee for Climate Change, and consultants in the water field . The UK WaSCs have an interest in revised rainfall uplifts to help with their investment planning cycle and have agreed to participate in the project through the reviewing of project reports to ensure benefit / applicability to UK water industry and attendance of the project start-up and final meetings. Government departments and agencies with responsibility for planning, adaptation and mitigation of urban flood risks and flooding from urban drainage systems have a direct interest in the most up-to-date projections from climate models. Providing revised rainfall uplifts from ensemble CPM projections will enable each of these users to better plan for future changes. It will benefit the EA and SEPA who are responsible for managing flood risk, forecasting and warning the public of floods but still have gaps in their understanding of how extremes of rainfall may change; the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra), with overall policy responsibility for flood and coastal erosion risk in England; the Department for Communities and Local Government (DCLG) with responsibility for coordinating UK resilience to major floods through the co-ordination of regional and local organisations and emergency planning. This work is also likely to inform the next UK Climate Change Risk Assessment and subsequent action through the National Adaptation Programme with the Committee on Climate Change.
The new UKCP18 ensemble CPM projections together with new, high-resolution flood models developed in SINATRA/TENDERLY by Co-I Liang provide an exciting and timely opportunity to update guidance for urban drainage design and guidance and methods for urban surface water flood risk assessment in the UK: priorities identified in the National Flood Resilience Review (2016) and reiterated in the UK Adaptation Sub-Committee's UK Climate Change Risk Assessment 2017 Synthesis Report: Appendix on Urgency Scoring Tables (ASC 2016) which identified "In4: Risks of sewer flooding due to heavy rainfall" as an area where "more action needed to deliver sustainable drainage systems, upgrade sewers where appropriate and tackle drivers increasing surface runoff (e.g. impermeable surfacing in urban areas)." In2 and PB5 also cover risks to infrastructure and people from surface flooding (including surface water flooding). FUTURE-DRAINAGE will add to the evidence-base for the UK Climate Change Risk Assessment and the National Adaptation Programme; and is aligned with the UK Government's 25 Year Environment Plan (2018), specifically the goal of reducing risk of harm from environmental hazards and of adapting to climate by improving climate resilience in the UK. The importance of revised rainfall uplifts and new guidance for UK urban drainage design and urban flood resilience is evidenced in the letters of support our project team has solicited from UK water and sewerage companies (WaSCs) and the offer of informal support from the Environment Agency who considers the work is of particular relevance to applications in surface water management and design of storm water systems. Therefore, FUTURE-DRAINAGE will deliver nationally important research outputs for uptake by government agencies and industrial sectors to improve climate change adaption and resilience in the UK.
The main beneficiaries of this work will be the practitioners, regulators and policymakers such as the UK water and sewerage companies (WaSCs), the Environment Agency (EA), Scottish Environment Protection Agency (SEPA), Defra, the Committee for Climate Change, and consultants in the water field . The UK WaSCs have an interest in revised rainfall uplifts to help with their investment planning cycle and have agreed to participate in the project through the reviewing of project reports to ensure benefit / applicability to UK water industry and attendance of the project start-up and final meetings. Government departments and agencies with responsibility for planning, adaptation and mitigation of urban flood risks and flooding from urban drainage systems have a direct interest in the most up-to-date projections from climate models. Providing revised rainfall uplifts from ensemble CPM projections will enable each of these users to better plan for future changes. It will benefit the EA and SEPA who are responsible for managing flood risk, forecasting and warning the public of floods but still have gaps in their understanding of how extremes of rainfall may change; the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs (Defra), with overall policy responsibility for flood and coastal erosion risk in England; the Department for Communities and Local Government (DCLG) with responsibility for coordinating UK resilience to major floods through the co-ordination of regional and local organisations and emergency planning. This work is also likely to inform the next UK Climate Change Risk Assessment and subsequent action through the National Adaptation Programme with the Committee on Climate Change.
Organisations
- Newcastle University (Lead Research Organisation)
- Meteorological Office UK (Collaboration)
- JBA Consulting (Collaboration)
- Scottish Environment Protection Agency (Collaboration, Project Partner)
- University of Bristol (Collaboration)
- Kelda Group (United Kingdom) (Project Partner)
- Southern Water (United Kingdom) (Project Partner)
- Dwr Cymru Welsh Water (United Kingdom) (Project Partner)
- United Utilities (United Kingdom) (Project Partner)
- Anglian Water Services (United Kingdom) (Project Partner)
- Thames Water (United Kingdom) (Project Partner)
- Met Office (Project Partner)
Publications
Yu J
(2020)
UKGrsHP: a UK high-resolution gauge-radar-satellite merged hourly precipitation analysis dataset.
in Climate dynamics
Wasko C
(2021)
Incorporating climate change in flood estimation guidance.
in Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences
Vosper E
(2019)
Building a UK climate impacts and risk assessment community
in Weather
Villalobos-Herrera R
(2022)
Sub-hourly resolution quality control of rain-gauge data significantly improves regional sub-daily return level estimates.
in Quarterly journal of the Royal Meteorological Society. Royal Meteorological Society (Great Britain)
Villalobos Herrera R
(2023)
Towards new design rainfall profiles for the United Kingdom
in Journal of Flood Risk Management
Pichelli E
(2021)
The first multi-model ensemble of regional climate simulations at kilometer-scale resolution part 2: historical and future simulations of precipitation
in Climate Dynamics
Orr HG
(2021)
Using high-resolution climate change information in water management: a decision-makers' perspective.
in Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences
Li X
(2020)
Global distribution of the intensity and frequency of hourly precipitation and their responses to ENSO
in Climate Dynamics
Lewis H
(2022)
Using machine learning to find cloud-base height: a didactic challenge
in Weather
Description | WE have developed a set of climate uplifts for the uk - see https://www.ncl.ac.uk/press/articles/archive/2021/07/futuredrainage/ |
Exploitation Route | This is being used to update guidance for peak rainfall intensities with climate change for the EA and SEPA |
Sectors | Environment Transport |
URL | https://artefacts.ceda.ac.uk/badc_datadocs/future-drainage/FUTURE_DRAINAGE_Guidance_for_applying_rainfall_uplifts.pdf |
Description | co-ordination meeting between Future Drainage and 3 other projects: SPF climate resilience project at the Met Office - developing Prototype Urban Climate Services in collaboration with Local Authorities (in our case Leeds City Council). iCASP project on engaging public health authorities with information to inform climate action. Regional PFR pathfinder project. Stakeholder meetings with Water Industry representatives |
First Year Of Impact | 2020 |
Sector | Environment,Transport |
Impact Types | Societal Policy & public services |
Description | British Hydrological Society President |
Geographic Reach | Europe |
Policy Influence Type | Participation in a guidance/advisory committee |
Impact | BHS president |
Description | Director of the NERC One Planet Doctoral Training Programme |
Geographic Reach | Multiple continents/international |
Policy Influence Type | Influenced training of practitioners or researchers |
Impact | ONE Planet DTP delivering a transdisclipinary training environment to train future leaders in environmental science and application connected to climate change. |
Description | External Examiner for MSc in Water Science Policy and Management, Oxford University |
Geographic Reach | National |
Policy Influence Type | Influenced training of practitioners or researchers |
Description | FUTURE-DRAINAGE outputs are have been used (i.e. SEPA, EA etc.) to update guidance on peak rainfall intensity climate uplifts for urban drainage design in Scotland and England |
Geographic Reach | National |
Policy Influence Type | Contribution to new or improved professional practice |
Impact | FUTURE-DRAINAGE outputs have been used (i.e. SEPA, EA etc.) to update guidance on peak rainfall intensity climate uplifts for urban drainage design in Scotland and England |
Description | Member of BEIS Science Expert Group |
Geographic Reach | National |
Policy Influence Type | Participation in a guidance/advisory committee |
Description | Member of Institute of Civil Engineers Flooding Community Advisory Board, UK |
Geographic Reach | National |
Policy Influence Type | Participation in a guidance/advisory committee |
Description | NERC E4 DTP External Advisory Panel, Edinburgh University - Hayley Fowler |
Geographic Reach | National |
Policy Influence Type | Influenced training of practitioners or researchers |
Description | NERC PRC Panel B Chair |
Geographic Reach | National |
Policy Influence Type | Influenced training of practitioners or researchers |
Description | cco-chair of net zero task force in Newcastle |
Geographic Reach | Local/Municipal/Regional |
Policy Influence Type | Membership of a guideline committee |
Impact | Released climate change net zero action plan in September 2020. Newcastle named a global 'climate leader' by the CDP in Nov 2020. The city is one of only four places in the UK to receive the top "A" grade from international climate research provider CDP, and one of only 88 globally. CDP scores cities across four consecutive levels which represent the steps cities move through as they progress towards environmental stewardship. The levels are: Disclosure, Awareness, Management and Leadership. Over 830 cities disclosed their climate data through CDP in 2020 and in order to score an A rating a city must have a city-wide emissions inventory, have set an emissions reduction target, published a climate action plan and have completed a climate adaptation plan to demonstrate how it will tackle climate hazards now and in the future. |
URL | https://www.newcastle.gov.uk/our-city/climate-change-newcastle/net-zero-newcastle-2030-action-plan |
Description | ACCELERATE |
Amount | £100,000 (GBP) |
Organisation | Western Power Distribution |
Sector | Private |
Country | United Kingdom |
Start | 01/2022 |
End | 12/2022 |
Description | Climate Services-NOW |
Amount | £5,000,000 (GBP) |
Organisation | Government of the UK |
Department | Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy |
Sector | Public |
Country | United Kingdom |
Start |
Description | NSFGEO-NERC: HUrricane Risk Amplification and Changing North Atlantic Natural disasters (Huracan) |
Amount | £2,366,159 (GBP) |
Funding ID | NE/W009587/1 |
Organisation | Natural Environment Research Council |
Sector | Public |
Country | United Kingdom |
Start | 03/2023 |
End | 02/2027 |
Description | PYRAMID: Platform for dYnamic, hyper-resolution, near-real time flood Risk AssessMent Integrating repurposed and novel Data sources |
Amount | £792,200 (GBP) |
Funding ID | NE/V00378X/1 |
Organisation | Natural Environment Research Council |
Sector | Public |
Country | United Kingdom |
Start | 07/2020 |
End | 08/2023 |
Description | Research Hub for Decarbonised Adaptable and Resilient Transport Infrastructures (DARe) |
Amount | £10,568,485 (GBP) |
Funding ID | EP/Y024257/1 |
Organisation | Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council (EPSRC) |
Sector | Public |
Country | United Kingdom |
Start | 08/2023 |
End | 03/2027 |
Description | STORMY-WEATHER: Plausible storm hazards in a future climate |
Amount | £353,956 (GBP) |
Funding ID | NE/V004166/1 |
Organisation | Natural Environment Research Council |
Sector | Public |
Country | United Kingdom |
Start | 07/2020 |
End | 08/2023 |
Description | UKWIR funded project to update Red-UP tool |
Amount | £3,000 (GBP) |
Organisation | UK Water Industry Research Ltd |
Sector | Charity/Non Profit |
Country | United Kingdom |
Start |
Title | New method for modelling extremes accounting for spatial dependence |
Description | Steven Chan has worked with Ben Youngman at Exeter University to develop a new method for modelling extremes accounting for spatial dependence in the data. As part of this approach a spatial model has been developed to allow all the UKCP 2.2km extremes data to be fitted at once. This has the benefit of producing much more robust estimates of high return period (i.e. very rare) events. |
Type Of Material | Improvements to research infrastructure |
Year Produced | 2020 |
Provided To Others? | No |
Impact | None yet |
Title | Dimensionless hyetographs and statistics of annual-maximum rainfall events in Great Britain, from historical rain gauge records |
Description | This dataset contains over 72,000 event hyetographs associated with rainstorms that contain Annual Maximum rainfall (AMAX) values for durations between 5-min and 24-hr for a set of ~1,300 rain gauges in Great Britain. The record length and completeness varies on a gauge-by-gauge basis, the median record length is 19 years and the processed record ends in 06/2018. Note that a rainstorm may have a different duration to the associated AMAX value, e.g., a 24-hr AMAX total may be caused by an 18.25-hr event. Further note that multiple AMAX totals may be embedded within a single rainstorm, e.g., Storm Desmond can be associated with the 2-, 3-, 6-, 12- and 24-hr AMAX totals for 2009 recorded at Honister Pass. Each hyetograph is accompanied by summary statistics corresponding to the underlying rainstorm and associated AMAX totals. This dataset enables the study of the temporal characteristics of rainfall as well as more general studies regarding the climatology of AMAX-causing events in GB. |
Type Of Material | Database/Collection of data |
Year Produced | 2023 |
Provided To Others? | Yes |
URL | https://catalogue.ceh.ac.uk/id/3d20ce5a-9115-4ad3-a55c-d51d66863757 |
Title | Extreme precipitation return level changes at 1, 3, 6, 12, 24 hours for 2050 and 2070, derived from UKCP Local Projections on a 5km grid for the FUTURE-DRAINAGE Project. |
Description | o Chan, S.C.; Dale, M.; Fowler, H.J.; Kendon, E.J. (2021): Extreme precipitation return level changes at 1, 3, 6, 12, 24 hours for 2050 and 2070, derived from UKCP Local Projections on a 5km grid for the FUTURE-DRAINAGE Project. NERC EDS Centre for Environmental Data Analysis, accessed March 2022 https://catalogue.ceda.ac.uk/uuid/18f83caf9bdf4cb4803484d8dce19eef |
Type Of Material | Database/Collection of data |
Year Produced | 2021 |
Provided To Others? | Yes |
Impact | lots of enquiries from UK water industry about how to use dataset. EA and SEPA are incorporating it into Guidance. |
URL | https://catalogue.ceda.ac.uk/uuid/18f83caf9bdf4cb4803484d8dce19eef |
Description | Collaboration with Paul Davies at UK Met office |
Organisation | Meteorological Office UK |
Country | United Kingdom |
Sector | Academic/University |
PI Contribution | Paul Davies is now a Prof of Practice at Newcastle University. We are working together on improving forecasting methods for extreme rainstorms causing flooding |
Collaborator Contribution | Improved weather forecasts |
Impact | Slingo, J., Davies, P., Fowler, H. 2021. Weather Advisory Task Force. Final Report, pp77. https://www.networkrail.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2021/03/Network-Rail-Weather-Advisory-Task-Force-Final-Report.pdf |
Start Year | 2021 |
Description | Joint position taken at Bristol University |
Organisation | University of Bristol |
Country | United Kingdom |
Sector | Academic/University |
PI Contribution | Dr Lizzie Kendon has taken up a joint position at Bristol University 1 day per week. The aim is to build collaborations that will allow us to achieve benefits for high resolution regional modelling. |
Collaborator Contribution | Benefit will be gained from their expertise, intellectual input and guidance on needs of hydrological community. |
Impact | Collaboration has only just commenced |
Start Year | 2021 |
Description | Met office |
Organisation | Meteorological Office UK |
Country | United Kingdom |
Sector | Academic/University |
PI Contribution | Post-doc Steven Chan located at Met Office working directly within Regional Climate Change team led by Lizzie Kendon |
Collaborator Contribution | Computing time, data storage, staff time for supervision etc |
Impact | Many outputs - all listed under relevant sections |
Start Year | 2011 |
Description | SEPA |
Organisation | Scottish Environment Protection Agency |
Country | United Kingdom |
Sector | Charity/Non Profit |
PI Contribution | Perks and Russell visited Mike Cranston at the Scottish Flood forecasting centre at SEPA in Perth to discuss rapid response catchments in Scotland and recent historic FFIR. |
Collaborator Contribution | TBC |
Impact | N/A |
Start Year | 2015 |
Description | collaboration with JBA |
Organisation | JBA Consulting |
Country | United Kingdom |
Sector | Private |
PI Contribution | Collaboration on new guidance for urban drainage design |
Collaborator Contribution | Collaboration on new guidance for urban drainage design |
Impact | https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsta.2019.0550 http://ftp2.ciwem.org/2019/2019-Autumn/Paper%208%20Future%20Drainage_paper%20final_updated_M%20Dale.pdf |
Start Year | 2015 |
Description | 1st RMetS Climate Forum |
Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
Results and Impact | Fowler, H.J. 2019. Water Cycle Risks talk. 1st RMetS Climate Forum, London, 4th June 2019 |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | Better Ways of Managing Surface Water Sprint, Northumbrian Water Innovation Festival 2019 |
Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Industry/Business |
Results and Impact | Better Ways of Managing Surface Water Sprint, Northumbrian Water Innovation Festival 2019 - gave talk on Global intensification in observed short-duration rainfall extremes |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | Blog post on hourly rainfall extremes |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A magazine, newsletter or online publication |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | A review of the latest science on changes in rainfall extremes for the Carbon Brief website and what this might mean for flood risk Links: https://www.carbonbrief.org/guest-post-how-hourly-rainfall-extremes-are-changing-in-a-warming-climate Outcome: the article was published to coincide with COP26. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2021 |
URL | https://www.carbonbrief.org/guest-post-how-hourly-rainfall-extremes-are-changing-in-a-warming-climat... |
Description | Breakfast Briefing on 'The rising cost of global flood risk: managing climate change impacts in practice' at Lloyds Library, London in June 2022 |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Industry/Business |
Results and Impact | Breakfast Briefing on 'The rising cost of global flood risk: managing climate change impacts in practice' at Lloyds Library, |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2022 |
Description | Briefing document on extreme rainfall and flooding |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A magazine, newsletter or online publication |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | A review of the evidence for changes in rainfall extremes and links to flooding was undertaken with a report aimed at being accessible to journalists and interested members of the public in the run up to COP26. Links: https://sciencebrief.org/topics/climate-change-science/extreme-rainfall-and-climate-change and https://sciencebrief.org/uploads/reviews/ScienceBrief_Review_RAINFALL_Jun2021.pdf Outcome: The report has been published as part of the Tyndall Centre series of Climate Briefs and was featured in The i Newspaper (https://inews.co.uk/news/climate-change-flash-flooding-cities-1037926) |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2021 |
URL | https://sciencebrief.org/topics/climate-change-science/extreme-rainfall-and-climate-change |
Description | Briefing document on global water issues |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A magazine, newsletter or online publication |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Policymakers/politicians |
Results and Impact | Contributed to a report by Sainsbury's and PwC UK on addressing global water issues Year: 2021 A review of global water issues and how they might be addressed. Links: https://www.about.sainsburys.co.uk/sustainability/plan-for-better/our-stories/2021/water%20report Outcome: the report was launched and published as part of their COP26 programme and features a series of recommendations to help address current water issues |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2021 |
URL | https://www.about.sainsburys.co.uk/sustainability/plan-for-better/our-stories/2021/water%20report |
Description | CIWEM Urban Drainage Group Conference 2019 |
Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
Results and Impact | talk - Dale, M., Fowler, H.J., Kendon, E.J. 2019. Future Drainage - UKCP18 data for more robust future rainfall change estimates. CIWEM Urban Drainage Group Conference 2019, Nottingham, 4-6th Nov 2019. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | Climate Resilience Programme Online Seminar |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
Results and Impact | 100 people attended webinar presenting method for development of new guidance for UK urban drainage design |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2020 |
Description | Climate impacts on social housing |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | Regional |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Gave verbal evidence to a social housing tenants' climate jury on social housing organised by the Northern Housing Association. Gave a presentation to the jury on the topic of the impacts of climate change, providing evidence on the scale of the potential impacts. A question session followed with the submission of further questions to which I responded. The purpose of the activity was to provide evidence to the jury to derive their own recommendations for the social housing sector. These were subsequently published in a report. Outcome: A written report was produced by the NHA providing a set of recommendations for how the sector can address the causes and consequences of climate change |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2021 |
URL | https://www.northern-consortium.org.uk/the-social-housing-tenants-climate-jury/ |
Description | Conversation article |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A magazine, newsletter or online publication |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Writing for The Conversation, Professor Hayley Fowler and Dr Colin Manning discuss why Storm Eunice is so severe - and whether violent wind storms will become more common. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2022 |
URL | https://www.ncl.ac.uk/press/articles/latest/2022/02/conversationstormeunice/ |
Description | Environmental Rights: Law, Science and Policy Symposium, |
Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Industry/Business |
Results and Impact | Fowler, H.J. 2019. talk on Climate and Water Cycle Risks. Environmental Rights: Law, Science and Policy Symposium, King's College London, 24th June 2019 |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | Expert panel discussion on Climate and Weather Risks at Met Office Climate Science Conference - Science for a resilient future (online), 11th May 2021. |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
Results and Impact | Expert panel discussion on Climate and Weather Risks at Met Office Climate Science Conference - Science for a resilient future (online), 11th May 2021. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2021 |
URL | https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/news/conferences/met-office-science-conference |
Description | FUTURE DRAINAGE workshop, London, September 2019 |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
Results and Impact | FUTURE DRAINAGE workshop, London, September 2019. Provided overview of UKCP18 data available, including 2.2km projections, to representatives from water companies. Discussed water company needs. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | GEWEX flood workshop - keynote. 22/09/23 |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Other audiences |
Results and Impact | GEWEX flood workshop - keynote. Online workshop. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2023 |
Description | Glasgow COP26 University Network Research Showcase - Glasgow, November 2021 |
Form Of Engagement Activity | Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Showcase of FUTURE-DRAINAGE in Online and live exhibition |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2021 |
URL | https://www.strath.ac.uk/workwithus/cop26/innovationshowcase/adaptadvance/climateresilientfuture-dra... |
Description | Interview for German TV programme about the 2021 German summer floods |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press) |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | TV programme will go out on German and French TV on 28th June 2022 for anniversary of the July 2021 German floods. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2022 |
Description | Interview for Sky News |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Interview of Sky News about Storm Eunice and climate change on day Storm Eunice hit |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2022 |
Description | Interview with BBC Panorama |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press) |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Interviewed for BBC Panorama programme on "Britain's wild weather" broadcast on 7th December 2020. Material presented to the Panorama team included results from Dr Steven Chan looking at hourly precipitation extremes and their future change for 3 locations of interest (Mytholmroyd, Hampton Bishop and West Hayes). |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2020 |
URL | https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m000q5zz |
Description | Invited Panelist at Panel Discussion: Net Zero: Interactions between mitigation and adaptation. EPSRC ENZ: Engineering Net Zero Showcase, University of Glasgow, 21-23rd June 2022. |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Policymakers/politicians |
Results and Impact | Invited Panelist at Panel Discussion: Net Zero: Interactions between mitigation and adaptation. EPSRC ENZ: Engineering Net Zero Showcase, University of Glasgow, 21-23rd June 2022. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2022 |
Description | Invited expert for Roundtable with Rt Hon Anne-Marie Trevelyan MP for World Environment Day, 14th July 2021. |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Invited expert for Roundtable with Rt Hon Anne-Marie Trevelyan MP for World Environment Day, 14th July 2021. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2021 |
Description | Invited expert panel member at session on Climate Services to build prosperity and inform security at Civil Service Live 2021 (online), 17th June 2021. |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Other audiences |
Results and Impact | Invited expert panel member at session on Climate Services to build prosperity and inform security at Civil Service Live 2021 (online), 17th June 2021. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2021 |
Description | Invited panel member for session on "Inclusive transition and circular economy" at the NE Green Economy Summit, 23rd June 2021. |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | Regional |
Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
Results and Impact | Invited panel member for session on "Inclusive transition and circular economy" at the NE Green Economy Summit, 23rd June 2021. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2021 |
Description | Invited panelist at WIG Webinar: Maintaining Momentum in Climate Action post-COP26: the Race to Resilience, 14th December 2021. |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Industry/Business |
Results and Impact | Invited panelist at WIG Webinar: Maintaining Momentum in Climate Action post-COP26: the Race to Resilience, 14th December 2021. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2021 |
Description | Invited panelist in Newcastle Debates: How will the North East confront the climate crisis? 5th October, 2021 |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Invited panelist in Newcastle Debates: How will the North East confront the climate crisis? 5th October, 2021 |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2021 |
Description | Invited participant in Panel discussion on "Do we need the fossil fuel industry to help in the transition towards net zero?", Newcastle public Lectures, 28th October 2021. |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Invited participant in Panel discussion on "Do we need the fossil fuel industry to help in the transition towards net zero?", Newcastle public Lectures, 28th October 2021. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2021 |
Description | Invited public lecture to Royal Society of Chemistry Lancaster and District section, 7th December 2021. |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | Regional |
Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
Results and Impact | Invited public lecture to Royal Society of Chemistry Lancaster and District section, 7th December 2021. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2021 |
Description | Invited talk at workshop on climate risks in Oslo at NORSE - May 2022 |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
Results and Impact | Talk in oslo at natural hazards workshop |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2022 |
Description | Invited to private round table for inquiry by JNSS on climate adaptation and critical national infrastructure |
Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Policymakers/politicians |
Results and Impact | Invited to private round table for inquiry by JNSS on climate adaptation and critical national infrastructure |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2021 |
Description | Keynote |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Other audiences |
Results and Impact | Fowler, H.J. 2019. Keynote: Global intensification in observed short-duration rainfall extremes. WETWeather, Gregynog, Wales, 29th April - 1st May 2019. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | Meet the EA Flood and Coastal Risk Management Team - workshop 4/12/23 |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
Results and Impact | Meet the EA Flood and Coastal Risk Management Team - workshop |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2023 |
Description | Member of panel discussion on climate action at local scales, Tyndall Assembly, September 2022 |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Postgraduate students |
Results and Impact | Tyndal panel |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2022 |
Description | Met Office Climate Data Hackathon - Exeter, March 2021 |
Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Policymakers/politicians |
Results and Impact | o Production of a 3D display model of future sea level rise and coastal flooding for Swansea, using UKCP outputs |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2021 |
URL | https://www.ukclimateresilience.org/news-events/met-office-climate-data-challenge/ |
Description | National Flood Hydrology Road Map Governance Board Meeting |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Policymakers/politicians |
Results and Impact | National Flood Hydrology Road Map Governance Board Meeting |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2023 |
Description | Newcastle Climate Summit |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | Regional |
Primary Audience | Policymakers/politicians |
Results and Impact | Talk on climate science and emergency at Newcastle Climate Summit in Feb 2020 |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2020 |
Description | Panel discussion and talk at climate resilience showcase in London by Colin Manning, March 2023 |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Other audiences |
Results and Impact | Panel discussion at climate resilience showcase including discussion of future drainage outcomes, and science from future-storms and stormy-weather |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2023 |
Description | Panel discussion on zoom organised by Just Stop Oil 25/01/24 |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Panel discussion on zoom organised by Just Stop Oil - panellists Sir Davis King, Roger Hallam from XR and myself. Public facing event to inform on climate change risks. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2024 |
Description | Presentation to Newcastle Central Labour Party |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | Local |
Primary Audience | Policymakers/politicians |
Results and Impact | Presented a talk on the potential local impacts of climate change and what sort of action is need to prepare/increase resilience. Description: A short talk on how climate change projections are obtained and what they tell us about how our local climate might change and the adaptations we might need to make. Generated a discussion particularly in relation to local policy implications for local and national government. Outcome: provided guidance for people on how the public might better be engaged in discussing this topic |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2021 |
Description | Public Talk: The extreme future of extreme weather |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | Regional |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Fowler, H.J. 2019. Public Talk: The extreme future of extreme weather. Pint of Science Festival, Newcastle, 21st May 2019. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | Royal Meteorological Society, RMETS Yorkshire Group talk |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | Regional |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Fowler, H.J. 2019. The reality of climate change: increasing extreme weather hazards. Royal Meteorological Society, RMETS Yorkshire Group, University of Leeds, 16th October 2019. public talk |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | Royal Society hooke meeting organisation |
Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Other audiences |
Results and Impact | Organised discussion meeting at the Royal Society on Intensification of sub-daily extreme rainfall and flash flood risks. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2020 |
Description | Royal Society of Chemical Industry talk |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Fowler, H.J. 2019. Public Lecture: Climate Change: Increasing Extreme Weather and Impacts on Water Resources. Royal Society of Chemical Industry, London, 26th June 2019. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | Royal Society talk |
Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
Results and Impact | Royal Society meeting where Kendon presented a talk on "Using a convection-permitting ensemble for projecting future change in precipitation extremes". This included preliminary results looking at future changes in return levels of hourly precipitation. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | SNIFFER Flood Risk Management 2021 conference |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
Results and Impact | present project findings at the SNIFFER Flood Risk Management 2021 conference in February 2021 |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2021 |
Description | Seminar at Reading University - Nov 2022 |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Postgraduate students |
Results and Impact | seminar |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2022 |
Description | Surface water flood forecasting and real-time communication symposium - workshop talk - 10/01/24 |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
Results and Impact | Surface water flood forecasting and real-time communication symposium - workshop |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2024 |
Description | Talk at National Climate Impacts meeting in Exeter 12/9/23 |
Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
Results and Impact | National Climate Impacts meeting in Exeter hosted by Exeter Uni and UKMO. Many stakeholders, consultants etc and representation from DfT. Conference. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2023 |
Description | Talk at youth climate change summit in newcastle, 5 July 2022 |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | Regional |
Primary Audience | Schools |
Results and Impact | youth climate summit organised by city council |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2022 |
Description | Talk on net zero and climate risks to NHS conference in Newcastle, June 2022 |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
Results and Impact | NHS drive to net zero - sustainability session at conference |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2022 |
Description | Talk on predicting changes in climate and hazardous weather |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Policymakers/politicians |
Results and Impact | Adapting the UK to 3C conference, October 2020. Talk by Dr Lizzie Kendon on "Modelling and predicting changes in climate and hazardous weather". Audience of 100+ including policy makers, adaptation practitioners, representatives from business and charity sectors, and researchers. The aim was to inform policy makers and the wider community about the latest science from high resolution regional climate modelling, where are the key knowledge gaps and opportunities for progress, and what can users expect in terms of new understanding over the next few years |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2020 |
Description | Talk to Climate Change Committee (Newcastle City Council) |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | Regional |
Primary Audience | Policymakers/politicians |
Results and Impact | Talk on climate science to Newcastle City Council Climate Change Committee in Jan 2020 |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2020 |
Description | invited talk at EGU 2023 |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Other audiences |
Results and Impact | invited talk |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2023 |
Description | invited talk on Sub-daily precipitation variability and extremes 11/07/23 |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
Results and Impact | Colloquium 'Global Precipitation Data Sets and their Applications - Status Quo and Way Forward' at DWD, Germany and online |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2023 |
Description | keynote Atmospheric Science Conference 2019 |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Other audiences |
Results and Impact | Fowler, H.J. 2019. Keynote: Global intensification in observed short-duration rainfall extremes. Atmospheric Science Conference 2019; Weather, Climate and Air Quality, Birmingham, 2nd - 3rd July, 2019 |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | media interest around storm eunice and sting jets |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | during storm eunice - the day of the storm and previous day I was involved in a number of press interviews (TV, radio, newspapers) |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2022 |
Description | presentation to school science club on extreme rainfall and climate change |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | Local |
Primary Audience | Schools |
Results and Impact | 27th Jan 2022 - gave talk and discussion to Corbridge Middle School science club on extreme rainfall and climate change |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2022 |
Description | visit by ICE president anusha shah -8/3/24 |
Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an open day or visit at my research institution |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
Results and Impact | Institution of Civil Engineering president anusha shah visit to newcastle uni as part of visit to NE |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2024 |