New methodologies for assessing the behaviour of vehicles under real driving emissions testing regimes

Lead Research Organisation: University of Bath
Department Name: Mechanical Engineering

Abstract

Personal transportation is a major source of local pollution and it is vital that this is reduced. Over time, legislation aimed at imposing limits on vehicle emissions in laboratory experiments has failed to address the problem of emissions from vehicle when operating on the road. This has led to the recent introduction of Real Driving Emissions that include tests conducted on public roads using mobile emissions measurement devices. Firstly, this legislation simultaneously broadens the range of operating conditions over which the propulsion system needs to be compliant (altitude, temperature, fuel qualities...). Secondly, the legislation removes the detailed stipulation of the testing conditions, meaning the on-road tests will be stochastic and not repeatable. Both these aspects create significant disruption to the development and sign-off processes currently in place in the automotive industry and in particular mean that there remains significant uncertainty as to whether vehicles will fully comply with the new legislation and therefore deliver on the required levels of emissions. This project aims to create a new process making use of virtual methods to increase the robustness of vehicle development and sign-off with regards to Real Driving Emissions. The virtual approach will rely heavily on modelling and mass simulation in order to ensure the broad operating ranges are covered.

The performance of such a virtual approach will be underpinned by the accuracy of the mathematical models used within the process. Vehicle emissions formation is a complex process involving both combustion but also after treatment, meaning that current state of the art relies heavily on empirical approaches. It is expected that empirical approaches will also be needed here firstly to characterise the emissions models and subsequently to validate the findings form the virtual approach. The research challenges to be addressed by this PhD are therefore:

1. Expressing in a mathematical and structured way the broadness and seemingly randomness of on-road driving and using this to create synthetic driving cycles that cover the compete operating range covered by Real Driving Emissions legislation. This will involve data collection and literature review of real driving situations, statistical analysis of this data and the creation of new algorithms to generate synthetic cycles using techniques such as Markov chains. This will also need to be sanitised through an engineering analysis to ensure the cycles generated purely from mathematical are physically coherent. The output from this research will be a better understanding of what real driving is and a quantification and classification of different driving conditions.
2. The characterisation of vehicle emissions models that present an appropriate balance of experimental effort and predictive accuracy for undertaking the simulations of emissions over the synthetic cycles. This will require investigation into different modelling approaches (physical, semi physical and empirical) to determine the most appropriate mathematical format for the models. This will be complemented by experimental work to characterise and validate the models.
3. The experimental work in this PhD itself is not trivial, requiring the measurement of numerous vehicle characteristic in difficult conditions for measurement (emissions, road topology, vehicle states...). Therefore, a significant part of this work relates to the capture of this data and the analysis of its robustness. This will involve a physical analysis of the measurement principles and the proposal of new methods for capturing or processing raw data into the required quantities.
Outcomes will be the generation of new methodologies to improve the robustness and speed for developing and certifying new vehicles. Will ultimately lead to less expensive, cleaner vehicles being brought to market sooner which will bring associated benefits in local air quality as these veh

Publications

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Studentship Projects

Project Reference Relationship Related To Start End Student Name
EP/N509589/1 01/10/2016 30/09/2021
1942339 Studentship EP/N509589/1 01/10/2017 30/04/2021 Marios MOUZOURAS
 
Description The research and developed methodologies throughout the thesis complete a process in identifying if a vehicle is legal within the Real Driving Emission (RDE) rules. This is done by using a limited amount of data to both produce emission models and generate several artificial RDE cycles. The emission models are then applied to the generated cycles while the highest emitting generated cycles are transformed into even 'worse' cycles in terms of emissions by the alteration of the road loads to simulate different ambient conditions and the adjustment of the gear shifting strategy. This cycle can be then used inside a laboratory for calibration testing. The specific process would reduce the resources required in ensuring that a vehicle is compliant with the new RDE legislation while also reducing the carbon footprint of the process overall.
Exploitation Route This methodology can be transformed into a commercial tool which can be used in the development phase of a vehicle to test its RDE legality.
Sectors Communities and Social Services/Policy,Digital/Communication/Information Technologies (including Software),Environment,Transport,Other

 
Description Patented a tool with Horiba MIRA regarding the generation of artificial Real driving emission (RDE) cycles with a customisable driver aggressiveness and cycle characteristics including stop times, altitude profiles, gear selection strategies through the use of real driving cycle data.
First Year Of Impact 2021
Sector Other
Impact Types Economic

 
Title K-means clustering technique, Markov Chains and PID controllers 
Description Used the k means clustering technique to divide the dataset into states, which were then analysed to find the probability of moving from one state to another and generate a transition probability matrix, this was then used along with the generation of random numbers to generate random real driving cycles. The probability matrix was altered using PID controllers to alter the desired resultant cycle by replicating the decision process of a driver 
Type Of Material Computer model/algorithm 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact combining these methods together to generate artificial cycles resulted in the cycles having a maximum of 15% difference from the requested driver aggressiveness value. However in 80% of the generations the percentage difference was below 5%. 
 
Description Phd was partially funded by Horiba MIRA 
Organisation Horiba
Department HORIBA MIRA
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Private 
PI Contribution A methodology to determine a bad case scenario to which a vehicle can be tested for to pass the real driving emission test this included a coastdown tool to determine how the road load changes in different environments, a rde cycle generator to generate data from a limit amount of real driving data and incoorporated with an emission modelling to determine the worst artificial cycles
Collaborator Contribution provided a trip to collect real driving data with instrumented vehicles, mentorship, testing facilities
Impact A methodology to determine a bad case scenario to which a vehicle can be tested for to pass the real driving emission test
Start Year 2017
 
Title Power unit test generator 
Description generation of random real driving emission cycles which are customisable 
IP Reference  
Protection Patent application published
Year Protection Granted 2021
Licensed Yes
Impact can be used to expand the datasets and can be transformed into a tool which can be sold commercially
 
Description Conference in Berlin for RDE 
Form Of Engagement Activity Participation in an activity, workshop or similar
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Industry/Business
Results and Impact Conference in Berlin to expand the understanding of RDE discussing the problems and solutions to this challenge
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2020