Bayesian Deep Reinforcement Learning

Lead Research Organisation: University of Oxford


Brief description of the context of the research including potential impact
Deep reinforcement learning has become ubiquitous for learning control policies in challenging environments such as robotic control, Go-playing and autonomous driving. However, standard approaches are often sample inefficient, unstable, and use ad-hoc tricks that are not theoretically well justified. This project looks at deriving principled new objectives and algorithms for deep reinforcement learning through a Bayesian lens, and new interpretations of existing reinforcement learning algorithms.

Aims and Objectives
- Extending existing methods in the Bayesian Reinforcement Learning via meta-learning in the Bayes Adaptive MDP Framework to more complex environments.
- Studying the connection between deep reinforcement learning and probabilistic inference and using this to derive a principled objective for reinforcement learning. We aim to bring theoretical justification for existing objectives such as mean-squared Bellman error which may not appropriately reflect the geometry of the function space.
- Scaling related methodologies such as Bayesian optimisation to novel settings.

Novelty of the research methodology
- Probabilistic treatment of reinforcement learning
- Novel and newly proposed frameworks for reinforcement learning such as BAMDPs and RL as inference

Alignment to EPSRC's strategies and research areas (which EPSRC research area the project relates to) Further information on the areas can be found on
- Artificial intelligence technologies
- Robotics
- Statistics and applied probability

Any companies or collaborators involved

Planned Impact

AIMS's impact will be felt across domains of acute need within the UK. We expect AIMS to benefit: UK economic performance, through start-up creation; existing UK firms, both through research and addressing skills needs; UK health, by contributing to cancer research, and quality of life, through the delivery of autonomous vehicles; UK public understanding of and policy related to the transformational societal change engendered by autonomous systems.

Autonomous systems are acknowledged by essentially all stakeholders as important to the future UK economy. PwC claim that there is a £232 billion opportunity offered by AI to the UK economy by 2030 (10% of GDP). AIMS has an excellent track record of leadership in spinout creation, and will continue to foster the commercial projects of its students, through the provision of training in IP, licensing and entrepreneurship. With the help of Oxford Science Innovation (investment fund) and Oxford University Innovation (technology transfer office), student projects will be evaluated for commercial potential.

AIMS will also concretely contribute to UK economic competitiveness by meeting the UK's needs for experts in autonomous systems. To meet this need, AIMS will train cohorts with advanced skills that span the breadth of AI, machine learning, robotics, verification and sensor systems. The relevance of the training to the needs of industry will be ensured by the industrial partnerships at the heart of AIMS. These partnerships will also ensure that AIMS will produce research that directly targets UK industrial needs. Our partners span a wide range of UK sectors, including energy, transport, infrastructure, factory automation, finance, health, space and other extreme environments.

The autonomous systems that AIMS will enable also offer the prospect of epochal change in the UK's quality of life and health. As put by former Digital Secretary Matt Hancock, "whether it's improving travel, making banking easier or helping people live longer, AI is already revolutionising our economy and our society." AIMS will help to realise this potential through its delivery of trained experts and targeted research. In particular, two of the four Grand Challenge missions in the UK Industrial Strategy highlight the positive societal impact underpinned by autonomous systems. The "Artificial Intelligence and data" challenge has as its mission to "Use data, Artificial Intelligence and innovation to transform the prevention, early diagnosis and treatment of chronic diseases by 2030". To this mission, AIMS will contribute the outputs of its research pillar on cancer research. The "Future of mobility" challenge highlights the importance the autonomous vehicles will have in making transport "safer, cleaner and better connected." To this challenge, AIMS offers the world-leading research of its robotic systems research pillar.

AIMS will further promote the positive realisation of autonomous technologies through direct influence on policy. The world-leading academics amongst AIMS's supervisory pool are well-connected to policy formation e.g. Prof Osborne serving as a Commissioner on the Independent Commission on the Future of Work. Further, Dr Dan Mawson, Head of the Economy Unit; Economy and Strategic Analysis Team at BEIS will serve as an advisor to AIMS, ensuring bidirectional influence between policy objectives and AIMS research and training.

Broad understanding of autonomous systems is crucial in making a society robust to the transformations they will engender. AIMS will foster such understanding through its provision of opportunities for AIMS students to directly engage with the public. Given the broad societal importance of getting autonomous systems right, AIMS will deliver core training on the ethical, governance, economic and societal implications of autonomous systems.


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Studentship Projects

Project Reference Relationship Related To Start End Student Name
EP/S024050/1 30/09/2019 30/03/2028
2243850 Studentship EP/S024050/1 30/09/2019 31/12/2023 Cong Lu