Voters and the British Political System in the Context of Brexit: the British Election Study 2019-2026
Lead Research Organisation:
University of Manchester
Department Name: Social Sciences
Abstract
The British electorate has become more volatile in recent decades. This volatile environment has allowed recent political shocks and events to bring about a period of rapid and dramatic political change. In 2015 we witnessed fragmentation of party support with the collapse of the Liberal Democrats and the rise of smaller and newer parties such as UKIP, the Greens, and the SNP. In 2017, following the Brexit vote, this was reversed, with a surge in support for the Conservatives and Labour, with many voters choosing on the basis of their attitudes towards Europe and immigration. Whatever form Brexit eventually takes, it will have huge electoral consequences and the next five years are likely to see further shifts in the electoral landscape. The British Election Study will be designed to provide a deep and theoretically informed understanding of those changes. We are proposing a study that maximizes the understanding of the immediate electoral and political consequences of Brexit - both for academic and non-academic beneficiaries.
Our proposed project will achieve this by collecting high quality survey data for the research community, a broad array of the most relevant and timely questions, and a clear dissemination and impact plan. We will also achieve this by carrying out a program of theoretically informed research linking long-term trends in electoral volatility and contemporary political events. The project will benefit from a high level of continuity with the 2014-2019 BES (and historical BES studies) in terms of methodological and theoretical approach and a substantial degree of innovation, keeping the BES at the forefront of national election studies globally.
The BES will consist of two core components: a post-election cross-sectional nationally representative sample survey of citizens; and an internet panel. The content of these surveys will be organised around the themes of accountability, representation and support for the political system. The surveys will allow users to understand and demonstrate how these key areas of democracy are affected by Brexit. The study will be designed to allow investigation of geographical and social variation in representation, accountability and system support. By maximising the extent of comparability with past studies it will also make it possible to compare voter behaviour and attitudes across successive election studies. Similarly the BES will help researchers to understand the role of national context by ensuring comparability between Britain and other countries. The inter-election panel will provide a platform for analysing the drivers of individual-level change and will include questions designed by and for the user community. Users will be able to investigate the impact of the election campaign using our daily sample of voters. We will also make it possible to link data from other sources including other surveys. We will work with the Social Science One Consortium to enable researchers to link Facebook data to BES respondents anonymously and securely which will allow users to combine BES survey responses with behavioural social media data.
We will set aside 15% of the Internet Panel as an Innovation Module (split into four parts). We will use this space for user-created modules that are relevant to both the users' research agendas and the wider user community. This survey space will also allow the BES team to trial new items and adapt items from other studies for comparability and relevance to ongoing debates in the literature.
Our custom designed BES website will provide easy access to data and stories arising from the BES. A program of consultation, events and media engagement will ensure that the study enhances public awareness and understanding of electoral politics, and assist academic and non-academic researchers in their own work.
Our proposed project will achieve this by collecting high quality survey data for the research community, a broad array of the most relevant and timely questions, and a clear dissemination and impact plan. We will also achieve this by carrying out a program of theoretically informed research linking long-term trends in electoral volatility and contemporary political events. The project will benefit from a high level of continuity with the 2014-2019 BES (and historical BES studies) in terms of methodological and theoretical approach and a substantial degree of innovation, keeping the BES at the forefront of national election studies globally.
The BES will consist of two core components: a post-election cross-sectional nationally representative sample survey of citizens; and an internet panel. The content of these surveys will be organised around the themes of accountability, representation and support for the political system. The surveys will allow users to understand and demonstrate how these key areas of democracy are affected by Brexit. The study will be designed to allow investigation of geographical and social variation in representation, accountability and system support. By maximising the extent of comparability with past studies it will also make it possible to compare voter behaviour and attitudes across successive election studies. Similarly the BES will help researchers to understand the role of national context by ensuring comparability between Britain and other countries. The inter-election panel will provide a platform for analysing the drivers of individual-level change and will include questions designed by and for the user community. Users will be able to investigate the impact of the election campaign using our daily sample of voters. We will also make it possible to link data from other sources including other surveys. We will work with the Social Science One Consortium to enable researchers to link Facebook data to BES respondents anonymously and securely which will allow users to combine BES survey responses with behavioural social media data.
We will set aside 15% of the Internet Panel as an Innovation Module (split into four parts). We will use this space for user-created modules that are relevant to both the users' research agendas and the wider user community. This survey space will also allow the BES team to trial new items and adapt items from other studies for comparability and relevance to ongoing debates in the literature.
Our custom designed BES website will provide easy access to data and stories arising from the BES. A program of consultation, events and media engagement will ensure that the study enhances public awareness and understanding of electoral politics, and assist academic and non-academic researchers in their own work.
Planned Impact
The impact of the BES has risen significantly in recent years. Building on the authority of the BES as a reliable source of non-partisan information about British elections and voters amongst non-academic audiences, the next BES will continue and enhance public and political understanding of uncertainty, volatility, and in particular the political consequences of Brexit.
Journalists benefit from BES data and analysis, providing accurate news content, background briefings, and a dataset that is used widely in print and broadcast reporting. Our events will disseminate research findings and consult on novel and timely survey questions; our website will disseminate high-impact findings; and the BES Data Playground will make more data available for journalists to use. BES investigators will continue to produce research for BBC online, ITV News, and other broadcasters, as well as print media. BES data is used throughout the night for BBC election programming and is an integral part of ITV News election coverage, with live analysis and BES-based data dissemination commentary. This is achieved - especially with ITV - by long-term planning and very close collaboration. A BES documentary is being explored currently with another broadcaster. Furthermore, by partnering with Social Science One (via the Institute for Quantitative Social Science, Harvard University), BES data linking to Facebook data, and separately with twitter data, will provide useful analysis for global social media platforms, as well as benefiting social media journalists.
Political parties and campaigning organisations benefit from BES data and analysis, informing party campaigns, the understanding of election outcomes and major changes between elections. This will be achieved by regular one-to-one meetings, events, ongoing dissemination on the BES website, and via the media. This impact also extends to government departments, especially where concerned with civic engagement and participation. Our experience of giving testimony to House of Commons and Lords Committees is very likely to be repeated in the future.
The BES will partner with the Electoral Commission to ensure rigorous understanding of electoral participation, political campaign effects and electoral processes. This informs understanding, policy and also practice, as relevant. We will also invite partnerships with other independent organisations, as we have previously with the Hansard Society and the Committee for the Protection of Standards in Public Life, and through providing insight and analysis for publications and seminars organised by a variety of think tanks. This leads to public understanding of British elections and political attitudes.
BES data plays an essential role underpinning the British polling industry which benefits from BES data in two ways. First, it informs understanding of the relationships between key variables and political choice and turnout, and the reasons for recent polling misses. Second, the BES post-election surveys play an essential behind-the-scenes role in providing the weighting targets for the industry.
Finally, it is our view that - without the BES - the public would not be served by a non-partisan, transparent, freely available, high quality survey and analysis. Information is a key part of the democratic process. BES data and analysis provides a check on political claims (e.g. one political party is supported by one group or another), whether one party is likely to breakthrough in an upcoming election. It helps people better understand whether they can and should trust opinion polls, and explains how fellow citizens have contributed to election outcomes. In the forthcoming political period, this could not be more important. In an era of political volatility and contested truths, BES data will serve public understanding and accountability as a valuable part of the political process.
Journalists benefit from BES data and analysis, providing accurate news content, background briefings, and a dataset that is used widely in print and broadcast reporting. Our events will disseminate research findings and consult on novel and timely survey questions; our website will disseminate high-impact findings; and the BES Data Playground will make more data available for journalists to use. BES investigators will continue to produce research for BBC online, ITV News, and other broadcasters, as well as print media. BES data is used throughout the night for BBC election programming and is an integral part of ITV News election coverage, with live analysis and BES-based data dissemination commentary. This is achieved - especially with ITV - by long-term planning and very close collaboration. A BES documentary is being explored currently with another broadcaster. Furthermore, by partnering with Social Science One (via the Institute for Quantitative Social Science, Harvard University), BES data linking to Facebook data, and separately with twitter data, will provide useful analysis for global social media platforms, as well as benefiting social media journalists.
Political parties and campaigning organisations benefit from BES data and analysis, informing party campaigns, the understanding of election outcomes and major changes between elections. This will be achieved by regular one-to-one meetings, events, ongoing dissemination on the BES website, and via the media. This impact also extends to government departments, especially where concerned with civic engagement and participation. Our experience of giving testimony to House of Commons and Lords Committees is very likely to be repeated in the future.
The BES will partner with the Electoral Commission to ensure rigorous understanding of electoral participation, political campaign effects and electoral processes. This informs understanding, policy and also practice, as relevant. We will also invite partnerships with other independent organisations, as we have previously with the Hansard Society and the Committee for the Protection of Standards in Public Life, and through providing insight and analysis for publications and seminars organised by a variety of think tanks. This leads to public understanding of British elections and political attitudes.
BES data plays an essential role underpinning the British polling industry which benefits from BES data in two ways. First, it informs understanding of the relationships between key variables and political choice and turnout, and the reasons for recent polling misses. Second, the BES post-election surveys play an essential behind-the-scenes role in providing the weighting targets for the industry.
Finally, it is our view that - without the BES - the public would not be served by a non-partisan, transparent, freely available, high quality survey and analysis. Information is a key part of the democratic process. BES data and analysis provides a check on political claims (e.g. one political party is supported by one group or another), whether one party is likely to breakthrough in an upcoming election. It helps people better understand whether they can and should trust opinion polls, and explains how fellow citizens have contributed to election outcomes. In the forthcoming political period, this could not be more important. In an era of political volatility and contested truths, BES data will serve public understanding and accountability as a valuable part of the political process.
Publications

De Geus R
(2021)
Attention! The meanings of attention to politics in surveys
in Electoral Studies

Evans G
(2021)
Boris Johnson to the Rescue? How the Conservatives Won the Radical-Right Vote in the 2019 General Election
in Political Studies

Evans G
(2022)
British Politics after Brexit

Fieldhouse E
(2020)
Do as I Say or Do as I Do? How Social Relationships Shape the Impact of Descriptive and Injunctive Norms of Voting
in British Journal of Political Science

Fieldhouse E
(2023)
A new electoral map? Brexit, realignment and the changing geography of party support in England
in Political Geography

Fieldhouse E
(2021)
Volatility, Realignment and Electoral Shocks: Brexit and the UK General Election of 2019
in SSRN Electronic Journal

Green J
(2021)
Who Gets What: The Economy, Relative Gains and Brexit
in British Journal of Political Science

Green J
(2022)
Published online
in Red Wall, Red Herring? Economic Insecurity and Vote Intention in Britain.

Green J
(2021)
Article
in 2019: A Critical Election? in Nicholas Allen and John Bartle., Eds. Britain at the Polls, 2019.

Green J
(2021)
The Gender Backlash in the Vote for Brexit
in Political Behavior
Description | We have created a resource covering the 2019 European Parliament elections, the 2019 General Election, local & devolved elections in 2021 and 2022; two waves tracking the impact of the COVID pandemic in June 2020 and autumn 2021; and an additional wave in autumn 2022 in alignment with the Scottish and Welsh election studies. Since 2019 we have released a further eight waves of the BES internet panel and the 2019 post-election probability sample survey. These data have generated a huge body of research in addition to the key findings from our own research described below. We have carried out analysis of data from the 2019 general election as part of a book project with Oxford University Press titled "Volatility, realignment and electoral shocks: Brexit and the UK General Election of 2019". We found that electoral volatility (vote switching) declined in 2019, with the electorate already heavily sorted by party along lines of Brexit preferences. This sorting increased moderately in 2019 and followed a sharp discontinuity in realignment after 2016. We produced detailed work on electoral realignment on the basis of social class, education, geography and age; and on the changing values underpinning those alignments and how they have been affected by Brexit both over the long run (since 1964) and since 2014 when our internet panel began. The long term analysis includes the development of a new index of alignment which is applicable across different social and demographic cleavages and in multiparty systems, while allowing for changes in the overall popularity of parties and the changing size of social groups. We show, for example, how the education cleavage has reversed over recent years (with the most educated voting Labour) while age cleavages have grown stronger. In an article forthcoming in Political Geography, we show that geographical patterns of party alignment changed abruptly after the 2016 referendum, a pattern not consistent with the gradually evolving electoral geography. These changes appear to be driven by the electoral sorting of voters on either side of the Brexit divide. That sorting is also the subject of further investigation. We have examined the cross-pressured voters in the referendum, how they have aligned (either by updating their preferences or their party choice) and how the parties have been perceived on Brexit and in left-right terms since 2019, with implications for how voters will align in the forthcoming election. Some of this research fed into the Labour Together Commission's review into the election. We showed how Labour grew weaker among Leave supporters, though this trend had begun long before 2019, preceding even the EU referendum. Labour's support fell across all social classes but the Conservatives increased their lead among working class voters which they established in 2017. Labour's potential support base - including those that did not vote Labour - was predominantly pro-remain, even in Leave-leaning areas and in 'red wall' seats. In respect to electoral competition, the Brexit party took more votes from the Conservatives than from Labour while joining the Remain alliance would not have substantially benefited Labour. Our research on Brexit party voters suggests that Brexit Party voters are primarily those voters who transitioned in and out of supporting the Conservatives (rather than Labour), and who supported UKIP in previous elections. We analysed a new European Parliament Elections panel, between 2014 and 2019, and found the demographics and motivations of UKIP (2014) and Brexit Party (2019) voters to be very similar. This also underlined the importance of leader evaluations, which has implications for post-Boris Johnson support. We have also examined the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic as a potential electoral shock, published in Parliamentary Affairs. Our analysis from the 2020 panel wave showed that attitudes towards coronavirus policies more closely resemble traditional economic political conflicts than second-dimension conflicts such as Brexit and immigration, suggesting COVID-19 is unlikely to reinforce the new Brexit divide in British politics. This focus also led to new work showing how competence evaluations have shaped party defection for the Conservatives, how those defections are not explained along Brexit lines. Despite this, our ongoing work shows that the realignment that took place since 2016 (with preceding trends underpinning it) has largely persisted. The salience of Brexit has declined, but the disproportionate losses of Leave voters by the Conservatives are largely due to the higher levels of support for the Conservatives among Leave voters in the first place. Our work has also focused on the economic crisis. We designed a novel question battery in 2018 and we re-ran those questions again in 2022. This work examines the interaction of age and education levels on economic insecurity, emanating from the generational demographic and economic shifts that unfold over time, and reveals the (economically) secure basis of the majority of Conservative voters in 2019. This provides new insight into the motivations behind the Conservative coalition, the relationship of economic and cultural values and concerns around immigration, and also shows why the subsequent cost of living crisis is so damaging for the Conservatives (Labour remains supported by more economically insecure voters). This work has been presented to MPs, at a Nuffield Foundation event, and it generated extensive media coverage. |
Exploitation Route | Our data are widely used by academics, media and political researchers to understand developments in British Politics. We have put a number of measures into place to widen access and promote usage and have received enthusiastic feedback from the research community about the quality and timeliness of our data. The BES website allows direct download of data as well as a dedicated online analysis research tool, a facility which has been comprehensively updated since 2019. Since the start of the BES 2019 award (April 2019) users have downloaded datasets over 60,000 times and have recorded over 163 new publications using the BES data (despite the publication lag). |
Sectors | Government, Democracy and Justice |
URL | https://www.britishelectionstudy.com/ |
Description | The BES is used extensively by the polling industry to help understand the polling errors in previous elections, and to improve weighting strategies. For example, Survation announced a change of methodology to include turnout weighting derived from BES validated vote data. The data are widely used by political parties and other strategists, to help understand the electorate and improve campaign targeting and to understand the outcome of elections. We submitted detailed evidence to the Labour Party for Labour Together review of the 2019 election and presented analysis to members of the Labour Parliamentary party at Westminster in March 2020. In a letter to Professor Fieldhouse, the Labour Together Review commissioners wrote that BES data "was incredibly helpful as our review aimed to understand Labour's decline in support over a longer period.Although they were hard to face, our conclusions were evidence-based and accepted across the party. We are certain that the deep respect for the work of the British Election Study from people across Labour's political sphere helped us to achieve this." Our BES work on economic insecurity has also had a large impact. It has shaped polling analysis and internal party research and targeting. It is cited by the Joseph Rowntree Foundation as showing them how to think about economic insecurity - one of their key policy themes. It was picked up as a major focus and segmenting analysis by Opinium and featured in the Labour Party conference in 2022 (in a panel by the Joseph Rowntree Foundation and the New Statesman). British Election Study data contributes to public understanding of elections. It was used in high-profile BAFTA award-nominated national television broadcasts, on the ITV 2019 general election night special, and in the ITV 'Brexit special' programme marking Britain's departure from the EU. These television programmes placed BES data in a high profile role, and followed a large number of media interviews by the Scientific Leadership Team around the election period, and subsequently.We have reached out to non-academic audiences in a variety of other ways. For example in late 2019 we jointly hosted (with UK in a Changing Europe) a large pre-election event in London for journalists and researchers presenting and discussing research from the BES. We ran a high impact book launch press conference ahead of the 2019 general election, to maximise the usefulness of the BES to that election. We organised events with high profile journalists to present BES data (with representation from Newsnight, Sky News, ITN, the Financial Times, the Economist and New Statesman), and an event in for parliamentary lobby journalists at Portcullis House in the House of Commons. We have published a series of research blogs aimed at non-academic as well as academic users on britishelectionstudy.com, distributed press releases and written op eds, providing insight and commentary, particularly around annual local and devolved elections, and regularly disseminated BES data and research findings with ITV for News at Ten. The BES is used extensively across relevant media including TV (e.g. election night programming on ITV, BBC, Politics Live, Laura Kuenssberg's Sunday political programme), national radio (e.g. the Today program, the World at One, Times Radio), print media (all national and many international newspapers, including penned op eds in the Guardian and the Financial Times) and, in influential podcasts and of course, online. According to Factiva, the British Election Study has been mentioned over 400 times in mainstream print news articles since April 2019. |
First Year Of Impact | 2019 |
Sector | Government, Democracy and Justice |
Description | Contribution to Labour Together Commission Election Review |
Geographic Reach | National |
Policy Influence Type | Contribution to a national consultation/review |
Title | 2019 British Election Study Post-Election Random Probability Survey |
Description | Version 1.0.0 of the 2019 British Election Study Post-Election Random Probability Survey. Fieldhouse, E., J. Green., G. Evans., J. Mellon, C. Prosser, R. de Geus, and J. Bailey (2021) 2019 BES Post-Election Random Probability Survey v.1.0.0 [computer file], January 2021. |
Type Of Material | Database/Collection of data |
Year Produced | 2021 |
Provided To Others? | Yes |
Impact | too soon to detect |
URL | https://www.britishelectionstudy.com/data-objects/cross-sectional-data/ |
Title | 2019 British Election Study Post-Election Random Probability Survey User Guide and Codebook |
Description | |
Type Of Material | Database/Collection of data |
Year Produced | 2021 |
Provided To Others? | Yes |
URL | https://osf.io/3y9dv/ |
Title | British Election Study Combined Wave 1-23 Internet Panel |
Description | A panel dataset including waves 1-23 of the BES Internet Panel. |
Type Of Material | Database/Collection of data |
Year Produced | 2022 |
Provided To Others? | Yes |
Impact | Impact relates more generally to the program of research using the BES by the team and also the BES user community and are covered in the impact narrative section. |
URL | https://www.britishelectionstudy.com/data-objects/panel-study-data/ |
Title | British Election Study, 2019: Internet Panel, Waves 1-20 (safeguarded version) |
Description | A safeguarded version of the combined first 20 waves of the BES internet panel with additional detail on some variables and only available via the UKDS |
Type Of Material | Database/Collection of data |
Year Produced | 2021 |
Provided To Others? | Yes |
Impact | there are various impacts both form the research team including on strategy of political parties and on polling company methodologies (described in the narrative impacts) and also impacts via research by our users (which we do not have resource to document) |
URL | https://beta.ukdataservice.ac.uk/datacatalogue/studies/study?id=8810 |
Title | British Election Study, 2019: Post-Election Random Probability Survey (UKDS safeguarded version) |
Description | A safeguarded version of the 2019 post election BES random probability sample survey conducted after the 2019 General Election. The survey was initially conducted in-person but moved to push-to-web/mail due to COVID-19 restrictions. the safeguarded version contains more detailed information on some variables. |
Type Of Material | Database/Collection of data |
Year Produced | 2021 |
Provided To Others? | Yes |
Impact | not known |
URL | https://beta.ukdataservice.ac.uk/datacatalogue/studies/study?id=8875 |
Title | Wave 18 of BES internet panel |
Description | Wave 18 of BES internet panel (rolling daily campaign sample) collected between 14/11/19 and 11/12/19 with 37,825 respondents |
Type Of Material | Database/Collection of data |
Year Produced | 2020 |
Provided To Others? | Yes |
Impact | * too early for impact |
URL | https://www.britishelectionstudy.com/data-objects/panel-study-data/ |
Title | Wave 19 of BES internet panel |
Description | Wave 19 of BES internet panel (post election wave) fielded between 13/12/19 and 23/12/19 with 32,177 respondents |
Type Of Material | Database/Collection of data |
Year Produced | 2020 |
Provided To Others? | Yes |
Impact | * too soon for impact |
URL | https://www.britishelectionstudy.com/data-objects/panel-study-data/ |
Title | Wave 20 of the 2014-2023 British Election Study Internet Panel |
Description | wave 20 of the British Election Study Internet Panel carried out in June 2020 available for download from https://www.britishelectionstudy.com/data-objects/panel-study-data/ |
Type Of Material | Database/Collection of data |
Year Produced | 2020 |
Provided To Others? | Yes |
Impact | Impact relates more generally to the program of research using the BES by the team and also the BES user community and are covered in the impact narrative section. |
URL | https://www.britishelectionstudy.com/data-objects/panel-study-data/ |
Title | Wave 21 of the 2014-2023 British Election Study Internet Panel |
Description | 21st wave of the BES internet panel with 30,000 respondents fielded in May 2021 |
Type Of Material | Database/Collection of data |
Year Produced | 2021 |
Provided To Others? | Yes |
Impact | not known |
URL | https://www.britishelectionstudy.com/data-object/wave-21-of-the-2014-2023-british-election-study-int... |
Title | Wave 21 of the 2014-2023 British Election Study Internet Panel |
Description | wave 21 of the British Election Study Internet Panel carried out in May 2021 available for download from https://www.britishelectionstudy.com/data-objects/panel-study-data/ |
Type Of Material | Database/Collection of data |
Year Produced | 2021 |
Provided To Others? | Yes |
Impact | BES data has been used in over 150 peer reviewed scientific publications since 2019.Impact relates more generally to the program of research using the BES by the team and also the BES user community and are covered in the impact narrative section. |
URL | https://www.britishelectionstudy.com/data-object/wave-21-of-the-2014-2023-british-election-study-int... |
Title | Wave 22 of the 2014-2023 British Election Study Internet Panel |
Description | wave 22 of the British Election Study Internet Panel carried out in May 2022 available for download from https://www.britishelectionstudy.com/data-objects/panel-study-data/ |
Type Of Material | Database/Collection of data |
Year Produced | 2022 |
Provided To Others? | Yes |
Impact | Impact relates more generally to the program of research using the BES by the team and also the BES user community and are covered in the impact narrative section. BES data has been used in over 150 peer reviewed scientific publications since 2019 |
URL | https://www.britishelectionstudy.com/data-object/wave-22-of-the-2014-2023-british-election-study-int... |
Title | Wave 23 of the 2014-2023 British Election Study Internet Panel |
Description | wave 23 of the British Election Study Internet Panel carried out in November 2023 available for download from https://www.britishelectionstudy.com/data-objects/panel-study-data/ |
Type Of Material | Database/Collection of data |
Year Produced | 2023 |
Provided To Others? | Yes |
Impact | Impact relates more generally to the program of research using the BES by the team and also the BES user community and are covered in the impact narrative section. BES data has been used in over 150 peer reviewed scientific publications since 2019 |
URL | https://www.britishelectionstudy.com/data-object/wave-23-of-the-2014-2023-british-election-study-int... |
Title | waves 17 of BES internet panel |
Description | Wave 17 of BES internet panel collected between 1/11/19 and 12/11/19 with 34,366 respondents |
Type Of Material | Database/Collection of data |
Year Produced | 2020 |
Provided To Others? | Yes |
Impact | * Too early for impact |
URL | https://www.britishelectionstudy.com/data-objects/panel-study-data/ |
Description | "Coalition Directed Voting for Minor Parties under First Past the Post", invited talk, UCL |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
Results and Impact | presentation, Talks and panels |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | "Realignment? How Brexit Reshaped British Voting Behaviour" American Political Science Association Annual conference panel |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Other audiences |
Results and Impact | The panel brings together four papers which address the question of whether the shifts in British voting patterns seen since Brexit - specifically the general elections of 2017 and 2019 - should be considered a realignment. The papers form part of a forthcoming book from the British Election Study team, due to published next year with Oxford University Press. The panel covers the main theoretical framework underpinning the arguments in the book, including the link between electoral shocks and realignment; and examines three of the three electoral changes that might suggest realignment: long-term changes to importance of different values dimensions for vote choice; the changing relationship between education and vote; and the changing electoral geography. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2021 |
URL | https://convention2.allacademic.com/one/apsa/apsa21/index.php?cmd=Online+Program+View+Session&select... |
Description | "The Economic Basis of Populism: New Insights into the Economic Drivers of the Brexit Vote", Conference series, The Centre for the Study of Democratic Citizenship, Montreal |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Industry/Business |
Results and Impact | presentation |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2020 |
URL | https://csdc-cecd.ca/speaker-series-jane-green/ |
Description | 152 mentions of the British Election Study in British Newspapers, September 2019-January 2020 |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Media (as a channel to the public) |
Results and Impact | Factiva search of British newspapers for "British Election Study", 1/9/2019-31/1/2020, covering the run-up and aftermath of the 2019 General Election |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019,2020 |
Description | : Panellist for a Joseph Rowntree Foundation and New Statesman fringe event - Jane Green |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
Results and Impact | Panellist for a Joseph Rowntree Foundation and New Statesman fringe event attended by around 60-70 people, discussing the electoral implications of economic insecurity and the need for Labour to support the economically insecure (using BES data). |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2022 |
Description | APSA conference: presented BES analysis at the American Political Science Association conference, Montreal, Canada - Jane Green |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
Results and Impact | APSA conference: presented BES analysis at the American Political Science Association conference, Montreal, Canada. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2022 |
Description | Analysis of the Batley and Spen by-election, BBC News - Jane Green |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Analysis of the Batley and Spen by-election, BBC News |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2021 |
Description | Annual Conference of the Elections, Public Opinion and Parties (EPOP) |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
Results and Impact | Chris Prosser - The Moral Foundations of Brexit attitudes |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | BBC News 24 |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press) |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | BBC News 24 Jon Mellon |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | BBC News reports |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press) |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | NI paper review General election 2019: What is tactical voting? General election 2019: Will this be a Brexit election? The electoral rapids of the River Dee General election 2019: Under-30s question politicians in TV debate General election 2019: What is the secret behind tactical voting? |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | BBC Politics Live - Jane Green |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press) |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Live interview - Jane Green |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | BBC Sunday Politics South East Jon Mellon |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press) |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | Regional |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | live interview |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | Bloomberg news reports |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press) |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Other audiences |
Results and Impact | What's Keeping Britain's Pollsters Awake Ahead of the Election? Herd of Pound Bulls Sees Currency's Potential Unleashed in 2020 |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | Brexit and British voters conference with UKiCE |
Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
Results and Impact | Pics: https://www.flickr.com/photos/142325304@N02/albums/72157712074226763 Videos: https://ukandeu.ac.uk/videos/ |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2020 |
URL | https://ukandeu.ac.uk/videos/ |
Description | Cabinet Consultation "Measuring the impact and consequences of attempts by non-UK actors to influence or otherwise undermine UK electoral processes", Cabinet Office |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | Local |
Primary Audience | Policymakers/politicians |
Results and Impact | Cabinet Consultation "Measuring the impact and consequences of attempts by non-UK actors to influence or otherwise undermine UK electoral processes", Cabinet Office |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | Channel 4 News Jane Green |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | pre recorded interview with Gary Gibbon |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | Channel 4 news |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | quote Jon M |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
URL | https://www.channel4.com/news/factcheck/factcheck-farage-takes-credit-for-conservative-election-win-... |
Description | Daily Mail online |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A magazine, newsletter or online publication |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Other audiences |
Results and Impact | Newspaper |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
URL | https://www.channel4.com/news/factcheck/factcheck-farage-takes-credit-for-conservative-election-win-... |
Description | Daily Telegraph online |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A magazine, newsletter or online publication |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Switching parties 'the new norm' as current electorate is named the most volatile in modern times Election wargaming: The 41 Brexit-backing seats that will become the main target of the Tory campaign The split in the Remain vote could be enough to loosen Labour's grip and hand the Conservatives a majority |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
URL | https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/10/08/switching-parties-new-norm-current-electorate-named-... |
Description | Economic insecurity report covered in the Independent, in the Evening Standard, on Sky News online, Times Radio interview, the Financial Times (Stephen Bush column) and an op-ed (by me) for the Financial Times, plus conservativehome.com and the Fabian Review - Jane Green |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Media (as a channel to the public) |
Results and Impact | Economic insecurity report covered in the Independent, in the Evening Standard, on Sky News online, Times Radio interview, the Financial Times (Stephen Bush column) and an op-ed (by me) for the Financial Times, plus conservativehome.com and the Fabian Review |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2022 |
Description | Economic insecurity work informing Opinium's research, focus, segmentation, released by Chris Curtis in the Guardian/Observer referencing - Jane Green |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
Results and Impact | Economic insecurity work informing Opinium's research, focus, segmentation, released by Chris Curtis in the Guardian/Observer referencing my work w/ Roosmarijn de Geus (Jane Green) |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2022 |
Description | Economic insecurity work used in key segmentation/target analysis and circulated/read in senior levels of both largest political parties. - Jane Green |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Policymakers/politicians |
Results and Impact | Economic insecurity work used in key segmentation/target analysis and circulated/read in senior levels of both largest political parties. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2022 |
Description | Evening Express online |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A magazine, newsletter or online publication |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | online report |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | Evening Standard Online |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A magazine, newsletter or online publication |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | https://www.standard.co.uk/comment/comment/boris-johnson-is-unifying-leave-but-he-could-still-suffer-an-election-nightmare-a4272416.html |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
URL | https://www.standard.co.uk/comment/comment/boris-johnson-is-unifying-leave-but-he-could-still-suffer... |
Description | Expert for analysis of the GE result Jane Green |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press) |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | TV- ITV |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2020 |
Description | France 24 Jon Mellon |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press) |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Jon Mellon interviewed - Panel discussion |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | Guardian Podcast - Chris Prosser |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press) |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | its the final countdown - politics weekly podcast |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | Guardian politics podcast |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Media (as a channel to the public) |
Results and Impact | Chris Prosser took part in a discussion about the 2019 election campaign. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | Huff Post UK online |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A magazine, newsletter or online publication |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | The Brexit Party Is A Threat To Boris Johnson, Not Jeremy Corbyn. Here's Why. Will Labour's 'Red Wall' Fall Because Of Brexit Or Corbyn? Or Both? Why A December Election Is A Huge Gamble For Both Johnson And Corbyn |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | ITV - Brexit Live |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press) |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Media (as a channel to the public) |
Results and Impact | https://www.pscp.tv/w/1RDGlQepgLOJL |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2020 |
URL | https://www.itv.com/news/2020-01-31/brexit-day-boris-johnson-leave-european-union/ |
Description | ITV News (20 Nov) Jane Green |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press) |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Jane interviewed by Allegra Stratton |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | ITV News Calling Peston - Jane Green |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press) |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Recorded Podcast |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
URL | https://www.itv.com/news/2019-11-04/calling-peston-the-itv-news-election-podcast-listen-and-subscrib... |
Description | ITV News Jane Green |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press) |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | jane interviewed by Allegra Stratton more undecided voters are women than men- but in a thoughtful way |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | ITV News Online |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A magazine, newsletter or online publication |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | General Election 2019: What you need to know today General Election 2019: What you need to know today Dudley North is Tory target seat No.3 - but BAME voters have little time for Boris Johnson East Anglia's first time voters grill politicians on trust, Brexit and the environment More undecided voters are women than men - but in a thoughtful way |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
URL | https://www.itv.com/news/2019-11-22/general-election-2019-what-you-need-to-know-today-on-friday-22-n... |
Description | Independent online |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A magazine, newsletter or online publication |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Boris Johnson's push for general election in danger of backfiring, new study indicates Swinson, Corbyn and the SNP have condemned us to five years of Boris' Britain, and they are not going to enjoy it General election: How voter loyalty that lasted 100 years is vanishing - making 2019 impossible to call The usual political rules are history - these are the key questions for this general election |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | Interview for Times Radio - Jane Green |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Interview for Times Radio. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2022 |
Description | Interview on BBC newsnight |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Media (as a channel to the public) |
Results and Impact | Interview on BBC newsnight about the 2019 election and the likely impact of the Brexit Party on the election. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | Interview on the Chesham and Amersham byelection, Radio 4 World at One (from 10:11 to 13:12) - Jane Green |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Interview on the Chesham and Amersham byelection, Radio 4 World at One (from 10:11 to 13:12) |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2021 |
Description | Interview on the upcoming local elections, ITV News (Meridian) Jane Green |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Interview on the upcoming local elections, ITV News (Meridian) |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2021 |
Description | Interview on the upcoming local elections, The Week in Westminster, BBC Radio 4 - Jane Green |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Interview on the upcoming local elections, The Week in Westminster, BBC Radio 4 |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2021 |
Description | Jane Green - Interview on the Unite union in the wider context of Labour's electoral challenges, News at Ten, ITV |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Interview on the Unite union in the wider context of Labour's electoral challenges, News at Ten, ITV |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2021 |
Description | Jane Green - Interview on the potential implications of political sleaze, BBC 2 Politics Live (23:19 onwards) |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Interview on BBC 2 Politics Live programme |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2021 |
URL | https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m0011gnk |
Description | Jane Green - ITV News interview about the potential electoral implications of the UK COVID-19 party scandal, |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | National TV interview |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2021 |
Description | Jane Green COP26: how green politics went mainstream, Financial Times |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | COP26: article in the Financial Times |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2021 |
URL | https://www.ft.com/content/96ba66f7-c143-4cb8-a0ed-8f238490ebc6 |
Description | Jane Green interview with Bloomberg |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | interview with Bloomberg - online news |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2021 |
URL | https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-11-27/boris-johnson-courts-edgy-mps-who-may-one-day-end... |
Description | LBC, Eddie Mair Show Chris Prosser |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press) |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | national radio show |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | Labour 'on trial' at May elections with party facing 'very difficult' contest, experts suggest, The Independent - Jane Green |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Labour 'on trial' at May elections with party facing 'very difficult' contest, experts suggest, The Independent |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2021 |
URL | https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/may-elections-labour-keir-starmer-b1834490.html |
Description | Labour conference: BBC Politics Live (television) interview, Times Radio interview, World at One interview, and ITV News (evening news) interview. - Jane Green |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Labour conference: BBC Politics Live (television) interview, Times Radio interview, World at One interview, and ITV News (evening news) interview. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2022 |
Description | May 15 (New Statesman publication) - Jon Mellon |
Form Of Engagement Activity | Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | http://may2015.com/featured/ukippers-are-likely-to-have-voted-tory-in-2010-but-labour-in-the-1990s/ |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
URL | http://may2015.com/featured/ukippers-are-likely-to-have-voted-tory-in-2010-but-labour-in-the-1990s/ |
Description | May local elections: I gave ITV News at Ten interview, Good Morning Britain interviews (two) on Friday 6th May 2022. - Jane Green |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Media (as a channel to the public) |
Results and Impact | May local elections: I gave ITV News at Ten interview, Good Morning Britain interviews (two) on Friday 6th May 2022. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2022 |
Description | Mind the Gap: Why Wealthy Voters Support Brexit (BES data), University of Essex |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | Local |
Primary Audience | Other audiences |
Results and Impact | presentation talk and panel |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | News at Ten, Interview on Chesham and Amersham byelection results, ITV - Jane Green |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | News at Ten, Interview on Chesham and Amersham byelection results, ITV |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2021 |
Description | News at Ten, Scottish and local elections, ITV - Jane Green |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | News at Ten, Scottish and local elections, ITV |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2021 |
Description | Newsnight |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press) |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Live TV |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | Nicola Sturgeon resignation: ITV News at Ten interview - Jane Green |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Nicola Sturgeon resignation: (15th Feb 2023) ITV News at Ten interview |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2022 |
Description | Op-ed The Batley and Spen by-election will reveal the depth of Labour's predicament, The Guardian Jane Green |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Op-ed The Batley and Spen by-election will reveal the depth of Labour's predicament, The Guardian |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2021 |
URL | https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/jun/23/batley-spen-byelection-labour |
Description | Panelist at the "Politics in Crisis" Series, LSE Jane Green |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press) |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Other audiences |
Results and Impact | Panel discussion on "What do the results of the British general election mean for Labour and the left?" |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2020 |
URL | http://www.lse.ac.uk/lse-player?id=4811 |
Description | Panellist for an Ipsos-MORI fringe event attended by around 100 people, discussing BES data and Labour's electoral prospects, Labour Party conference - Jane Green |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
Results and Impact | Panellist for an Ipsos-MORI fringe event attended by around 100 people, discussing BES data and Labour's electoral prospects, Labour Party conference |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2022 |
Description | Panellist on Sunday with Laura Kuenssberg, BBC 1 television - Jane Green |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Panellist on Sunday with Laura Kuenssberg, BBC 1 television 23.10.2022 |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2022 |
Description | Podcast "Electoral shocks: Voters and volatility", OppositionCast, The Centre for Opposition Studies - Jane Green |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Podcast "Electoral shocks: Voters and volatility", OppositionCast, The Centre for Opposition Studies |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2021 |
URL | https://pod.link/oppositioncast |
Description | Politics Weekly Podcast on the Batley and Spen by-election (from 16:00), The Guardian - Jane Green |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Politics Weekly Podcast on the Batley and Spen by-election (from 16:00), The Guardian |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2021 |
URL | https://pod.link/oppositioncast |
Description | Presentation (using BES data) to a group of leading journalists from ITN, Sky, Economist, New Statesman, Financial Times, BBC Newsnight, and politicians and senior civil servants. - Jane Green |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Media (as a channel to the public) |
Results and Impact | Presentation (using BES data) to a group of leading journalists from ITN, Sky, Economist, New Statesman, Financial Times, BBC Newsnight, and politicians and senior civil servants. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2022 |
Description | Programme's psephologies for GE night Jane Green |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press) |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | TV - ITV |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2020 |
URL | https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GBpXBxK1H2M |
Description | Prospect Podcast Jane Green |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press) |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Podcast Can we trust the polls |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
URL | https://www.prospectmagazine.co.uk/politics/audio-can-we-trust-the-polls-yougov-uk-election-2019 |
Description | Radio 4 PM |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press) |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | live radio interview |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | Radio 4 Today Programme 22/11/19 Live interview about Youthquake |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press) |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | interview about Youthquake on Radio 4 Today programme, using evidence from BES research |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | Radio 4 Today Programme Jane Green |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press) |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | live radio programme |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | Radio 4 WATO Jane Green |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press) |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | 28 october |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | Radio 5 Live Jon Mellon |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press) |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | live radio interview |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | Radio Wales |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press) |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | Regional |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | live radio interview |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | Red Box Podcast Jane Green Geoff Evans Chris Prosser |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press) |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Media (as a channel to the public) |
Results and Impact | x |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
URL | https://play.acast.com/s/timesredbox/2dce3945-c323-4f0a-adb1-fd8b7e80913d |
Description | Regius roundtable on Democracy in Decline, University of Essex Jane Green |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | Regional |
Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
Results and Impact | jane green talk and panel |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
URL | https://www.essex.ac.uk/events/2020/03/10/annual-regius-lecture |
Description | Reuters |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A magazine, newsletter or online publication |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Daily Briefing: Going nowhere fast A question of trust: British pollsters battle to call looming election British PM Johnson gambles on an election to decide the fate of Brexit RPT-SCENARIOS-UK's winter election: What's in it for markets? |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | Sky News online |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A magazine, newsletter or online publication |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Sky Views: This election is make or break for Boris Johnson and his Brexit dream General election 2020: Stumbling start for both main parties in the race for Number 10 General Election 2019: Volatile voters 'behaving more like consumers' Sky Views: This election is a choice between Brexit identity and party allegiance |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | State of the nation - what did we vote for?, Sensemaker Live, Tortoise Media Jane Green |
Form Of Engagement Activity | Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | State of the nation - what did we vote for?, Sensemaker Live, Tortoise Media |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2021 |
Description | Sun Online |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A magazine, newsletter or online publication |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/brexit/10089261/half-of-brits-are-now-swing-voters-and-have-no-party-loyalties/ |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
URL | https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/brexit/10089261/half-of-brits-are-now-swing-voters-and-have-no-party-l... |
Description | Talk on "Explaining Volatility in British Elections: Electoral Shocks and the Volatile Voter in Turbulent World", Stated Meeting of Governing Body Lecture, Nuffield College |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
Results and Impact | Presentation, talk and Panel |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | The BES and Scottish Politics 2019 - 2023 Sept 19 |
Form Of Engagement Activity | Participation in an activity, workshop or similar |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Professional Practitioners |
Results and Impact | part of EPOP 2019 University of Strathclyde 13/09/19 |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
URL | https://www.eventbrite.co.uk/manage/events/63435248536/basicinfo |
Description | The Guardian |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A magazine, newsletter or online publication |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Uncertainty over Brexit will make election hard to call politics live blog Brexit's legacy for England will be politics as sectarian as Northern Ireland's Johnson's desperate for a general election, but he faces an unpleasant surprise The shake-up in Corbyn's team comes at a critical moment for Labour Our voting system needs reform - not photo ID Why Labour's election reluctance goes beyond no-deal Brexit fears With such volatile voters, all poll bets are off for a snap election Even if the Tories win an election, Brexit will finish them A disgrace? Not at all: we'll miss this House of Commons Brexit weekly briefing: election result likely to catch out the pundits How Britain's elections became impossible to predict 14m UK voters live in areas held by same party since second world war 14m UK voters live in areas held by same party since second world war Britain's young people are radicalised and registered. Will this be our election? Labour lost its leavers while Tory remainers stayed loyal |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | The Guardian - Jon Mellon |
Form Of Engagement Activity | Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Other audiences |
Results and Impact | Why the polls were wrong in 2015? Expert says 'lazy Labour' may offer best explanation Liberal Democrats facing even bigger wipeout than expected Any party that fails to speak for England can forget about No 10 |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | The Herald Online |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A magazine, newsletter or online publication |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | https://www.heraldscotland.com/news/18087324.youthquake-damp-squib-will-young-people-really-swing-weeks-election/ |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
URL | https://www.heraldscotland.com/news/18087324.youthquake-damp-squib-will-young-people-really-swing-we... |
Description | The Huffington Post - Jon Melon |
Form Of Engagement Activity | Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | How Google Trends Predicted Donald Trump's Rise, and What it Means for Polling |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
URL | https://www.huffpost.com/entry/how-google-trends-predict_b_9760706 |
Description | The I online |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A magazine, newsletter or online publication |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Boris Johnson warned that his push for an early election risks backfiring Most of the election polls are probably wrong, but there isn't an effective solution This general election result will be harder to predict than ever before General election 2019 polls: There's a lot of uncertainty over who would win, so here's what we actually know |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
URL | https://inews.co.uk/opinion/columnists/general-election-2019-analysis-comment-stephen-bush-result-pr... |
Description | The Observer Online |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A magazine, newsletter or online publication |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Buckle up, Britain, it will be a rocky and twisting road to polling day With such volatile voters, all poll bets are off for a snap election |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | The Times Online |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A magazine, newsletter or online publication |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Boris Johnson's election hopes hit by rise of floating voters Nobody knows what will happen in an election. Here's why General election: Volatile swing voters mean a December poll is Boris Johnson's biggest gamble yet Nigel Farage's Brexit Party is unlikely to win seats but can wound Boris Johnson Ignoring women is a risky game for Johnson This could be my first time voting - and the idea fills me with dread Let's welcome the death of the political tribe |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | Times Red Box podcast |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Media (as a channel to the public) |
Results and Impact | Times Red Box podcast devoted to BES research and Electoral Shocks book, and the upcoming election. Featured Professor Jane Green, Professor Geoff Evans, and Dr Chris Prosser |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | Two chapters in UK in A Changing Europe Report on British Politics after Brexit: "Does social status explain post-Brexit Politics?" and "Covid-19" |
Form Of Engagement Activity | Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Report was widely circulated on social media and to traditional media organizations |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2022 |
URL | https://ukandeu.ac.uk/wp-content/uploads/2022/02/UKICE-British-Politics-after-Brexit.pdf |
Description | Washington Post - Jon Mellon |
Form Of Engagement Activity | Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | World values lost in translation No, Trump won't win votes from disaffected Democrats in the fall |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | Why the wealthy were happy to back a Leave vote gamble, The Observer - Jane Green |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | Why the wealthy were happy to back a Leave vote gamble, The Observer |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2021 |
URL | https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/feb/07/why-wealthy-happy-to-back-leave-vote-gamble |
Description | Work presented to Labour HQ and to senior leadership in Sir Keir Starmer's office. |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Policymakers/politicians |
Results and Impact | Work presented to Labour HQ and to senior leadership in Sir Keir Starmer's office. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2022 |
Description | Work presented to the Joseph Rowntree Foundation, August 2022, used widely internally as a key reference point and guide to thinking about economic insecurity. - Jane Green |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Policymakers/politicians |
Results and Impact | Work presented to the Joseph Rowntree Foundation, August 2022, used widely internally as a key reference point and guide to thinking about economic insecurity. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2022 |
Description | Workshop on using BES data, The Centre for the Study of Democratic Citizenship, Montreal |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A formal working group, expert panel or dialogue |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | National |
Primary Audience | Other audiences |
Results and Impact | workshop |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2020 |
Description | Yahoo Online |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A magazine, newsletter or online publication |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Public/other audiences |
Results and Impact | UK parties argue over election as EU mulls Brexit delay How many voters really switch parties in British elections? What the evidence tells us |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |
Description | launch of Economic Insecurity report at the Nuffield Foundation - Jane Green |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Other audiences |
Results and Impact | launch of Economic Insecurity report at the Nuffield Foundation. Around 100 people attended, either in-person or online. |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2022 |
Description | presentation EPOP |
Form Of Engagement Activity | A talk or presentation |
Part Of Official Scheme? | No |
Geographic Reach | International |
Primary Audience | Postgraduate students |
Results and Impact | 'Separating the effects of proportional representation from the effects of coalition expectations: Coalition-directed voting in a majoritarian electoral system' |
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity | 2019 |