Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Imperial College London (GIDA) - COVID-19

Lead Research Organisation: Imperial College London
Department Name: UNLISTED

Abstract

Abstracts are not currently available in GtR for all funded research. This is normally because the abstract was not required at the time of proposal submission, but may be because it included sensitive information such as personal details.

Technical Summary

This award is being made in recognition that key Centre staff have been redeployed from their usual work, and Centre resources utilised, to contribute to the first phase of a rapid research response to the COVID-19 pandemic. The MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, is at the forefront of delivering timely analysis to inform policy responses to emerging infectious disease threats, and was rapidly awarded an additional £0.5m to support their real-time analysis and modelling of the SARS-CoV2 pandemic and the impact of COVID-19.

Organisations

Publications

10 25 50

 
Description Adoption and Impact of Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions for COVID-19 (03-03-2020). Considered at SAGE 12 on 3 March 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/891850/S0035_SAGE12_Current_Data_on_COVID-19_Interventions_Annex_1_to_Potential_impact_of_behavioural_and_social_interventions_on_an_epidemic_of_Covid19_in_the_UK.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/8918...
 
Description Advice given to UK government on Brazil variant (Nuno Faria)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Implementation circular/rapid advice/letter to e.g. Ministry of Health
Impact Advice given to UK govt on potential for increased transmissibility and/or immune escape of Brazil variant. Advice given led to ban on all flights from South America and Portugal and led to the introduction of mandatory hotel quarantine upon arrival in the UK. Widely discussed in media - policy change had a considerable impact on the UK aerospace industry and has been an effective measure to control the spread of COVID-19 in the UK.
 
Description Advice given to WHO and Public Health England on P1 variant lineage (Nuno Faria)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Implementation circular/rapid advice/letter to e.g. Ministry of Health
Impact Presented evidence to WHO and advice given to Public Health England on P1 variant and how guidelines should be amended to adapt COVID-19 response to changing variants. Advice given and awareness raised will lead to a decrease in COVID-19 transmission globally and will contribute to decreasing case and death rates, and increased control measures within the UK to ensure the success of COVID-19 restrictions
 
Description Advisory research support to the Center for Global Development on the Return on Investment of Pandemic Preparedness
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact a report was prepared for the G20 panel, see https://pandemic-financing.org/report/foreword/
URL https://pandemic-financing.org/wp-content/uploads/2021/07/G20-HLIP-Report.pdf
 
Description Analysis of Transmissibility Based on Genomics (15-12-2020). Considered at SAGE 74 on 22 December 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/954930/s0996-analysis-of-transmissibility-genomics.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9549...
 
Description Areas of Intervention ('Local Lockdown') Measures to Control Outbreaks of COVID during the National Release Phase (30-07-2020). Considered at SAGE 49 on 30 July 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/909388/s0660-spi-b-areas-of-intervention-measures-outbreaks-300720-sage-49.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9093...
 
Description Autumn and Winter 2021 to 2022 - Potential COVID-19 Epidemic Trajectories - PART 1 (13-10-2021). Considered at SAGE 96 on 14 October 2021; 2021:1-22.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1027920/S1386_SPI-M_potential_winter_trajectories_Imperial_College.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1027...
 
Description Autumn and Winter 2021 to 2022 - Potential COVID-19 Epidemic Trajectories - PART 2 (13-10-2021). Considered at SAGE 96 on 14 October 2021; 2021:1-22.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1029646/S1391_Imperial_College_London_autumn_and_winter_2021_to_2022___potential_COVID-19_epidemic_trajectories___Part_2.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1029...
 
Description Chair of the COVID-19 modelling guidance group for the Global Fund (Tim Hallett)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Membership of a guideline committee
Impact Led analytical work of the Global Fund to quantify the impact that COVID-19 has had on the portfolio of countries in 2020 and the following 2 years Analytical work has contributed to acute awareness of potential impact of COVID-19 on other disease (HIV, TB, Malaria) and a recognition of how the impact would extend to post pandemic years.
 
Description Citation in SAGE document (NERVTAG) 27 Jan 2021
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Citation in other policy documents
Impact There is currently insufficient evidence to assess whether variant P.1 is associated with any change in disease severity, but the information provided in this document has been used to guide policy and decision-making for international leaders.
URL https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-55655388
 
Description Citation in WHO Policy Document - COVID-19 variants
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Citation in other policy documents
URL https://www.who.int/publications/m/item/weekly-epidemiological-update-on-covid-19---23-march-2021
 
Description Citation in WHO report: Genomic sequencing of SARS-CoV-2 (Erik Volz)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Citation in other policy documents
Impact Has impacted the ways in which nations are responding to COVID-19 (setting up of surveillance systems)
URL https://apps.who.int/iris/bitstream/handle/10665/338480/9789240018440-eng.pdf
 
Description Citation in multiple government documents across Europe to inform COVID-19 responses
Geographic Reach Europe 
Policy Influence Type Citation in other policy documents
Impact Papers published were used to support evidence based decision making for COVID-19 mitigation policies by multiple European countries
 
Description Citation in recommendations to African Union Member States on the epidemic modelling of the COVID-19 pandemic
Geographic Reach Africa 
Policy Influence Type Citation in other policy documents
URL https://africacdc.org/download/statement-of-guidance-and-recommendations-to-african-union-member-sta...
 
Description Citation of and use of R Package EpiEstim by multiple governments to support tracking of COVID-19 pandemic and support decision making
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Citation in other policy documents
Impact Improved hospital management during COVID-19 pandemic (assisted in management of human resources)
 
Description Confidential report to Ministry of Health Singapore regarding number if imported cases from China
Geographic Reach Asia 
Policy Influence Type Implementation circular/rapid advice/letter to e.g. Ministry of Health
Impact Estimates produced were used to support COVID-19 response in Singapore and used to evaluate the decision to impose travel restrictions in Singapore.
 
Description Confidential reports to Ministry of Health and National Institutes of Health Italy
Geographic Reach Europe 
Policy Influence Type Implementation circular/rapid advice/letter to e.g. Ministry of Health
Impact Confidential advice given to Italian Ministry of Health and Italian National Institute of Health which has led to implementation of non-pharmaceutical interventions and closure of schools and businesses
 
Description Confidential reports to support COVID-19 response in Philippines
Geographic Reach Asia 
Policy Influence Type Implementation circular/rapid advice/letter to e.g. Ministry of Health
Impact Contribution to tracking of reproductive number of COVID-19 in the Philippines
 
Description Consensus Statement on COVID-19 (02-06-2021). Considered at SAGE 91 on 3 June 2021; 2021:1-12.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/993321/S1267_SPI-M-O_Consensus_Statement.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9933...
 
Description Consensus Statement on COVID-19 (03-02-2021). Considered at SAGE 79 on 4 February 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/962824/s1073-spi-m-o-consensus-statement-030221.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9628...
 
Description Consensus Statement on COVID-19 (03-06-2020). Considered at SAGE 40 on 4 June 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/897526/S0471_SAGE_40_200603_SPI-M-O_Consensus_Statement.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/8975...
 
Description Consensus Statement on COVID-19 (08-09-2021). Considered at SAGE 95 on 9 September 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1017129/S1376_SPI-M-O_Consensus_Statement.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1017...
 
Description Consensus Statement on COVID-19 (10-02-2021). Considered at SAGE 80 on 4 February 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/963368/S1096_SPI-M-O_Consensus_Statement_on_COVID-19.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9633...
 
Description Consensus Statement on COVID-19 (19-05-2021). Considered by CSA and DCMO on 20 May 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/993315/S1248_SPI-M-O_Consensus_Statement.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9933...
 
Description Consensus Statement on COVID-19 (21-04-2021). Considered at SAGE 87 on 22 April 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/984091/S1205_SPI-M-O_Consensus_Statement.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9840...
 
Description Consensus Statement on COVID-19 (22-12-2021). Considered at SAGE 101 on 23 December 2021; 2021:1-8.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1053755/SAGE101_S1460_SPI-M_O_consensus_statement.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1053...
 
Description Consensus Statement on COVID-19 (24-03-2021). Considered at SAGE 84 on 25 March 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/976328/S1164_SPI-M-O_Consensus_Statement.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9763...
 
Description Consensus Statement on COVID-19 (30-06-2021). Considered by CSA and CMO on 1 July 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1000410/S1298_SPI-M-O_Consensus_Statement.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1000...
 
Description Consensus Statment - Housing, Household Transmission and Ethnicity: For SAGE Meeting (26-11-2020). Considered at SAGE 70 on 26 November 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/943178/S0923_housing_household_transmission_and_ethnicity.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9431...
 
Description Consensus View on COVID-19 (25-03-2020). Considered at SAGE 19 on 26 March 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/887470/26-spi-m-o-working-group-scenario-planning-consensus-view-25032020.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/8874...
 
Description Consensus View on Potential Relaxing of Social Distancing Measures (04-05-2020). Considered at SAGE 33 on 5 May 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/888759/S0313_SAGE33_Consensus_for_SPI-M_on_transition_strategies.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/8887...
 
Description Consensus View on the Potential Relaxing of Social Distancing Measures (04-05-2020). Considered at SAGE 33 on 5 May 2020; 2020:1-4.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/888759/S0313_SAGE33_Consensus_for_SPI-M_on_transition_strategies.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/8887...
 
Description Consensus View: 13th April Review of Social Distancing Measures (01-04-2020). Considered at SAGE 22 on 2 April 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/888761/S0406_SAGE22_200401_SPI-M_consensus_view_on_social_distancing_options_for_SAGE.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/8887...
 
Description Considerations for Potential Impact of Plan B Measures (13-10-2021). Considered at SAGE 96 on 14 October 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1027586/S1393_SPI-B_SPI-M_EMG_Considerations_for_potential_impact_of_Plan_B_measures_13_October_2021.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1027...
 
Description Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID19) Intervention Strategies (16-03-2020). Considered at SAGE 16 on 16 March 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/893632/S0103_SAGE22_20200401_Imperial_Effect_of_Relaxing_Current_Measures.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/8936...
 
Description Delta (B.1.617.2) Transmission in England - Risk Factors and Transmission Advantage (01-06-2021). Considered at SAGE 91 on 3 June 2021; 2021:1-14.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/993159/S1270_IMPERIAL_B.1.617.2.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9931...
 
Description Effect of Relaxing Current Measures (02-04-2020). Considered at SAGE 22 on 2 April 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/893632/S0103_SAGE22_20200401_Imperial_Effect_of_Relaxing_Current_Measures.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/8936...
 
Description Epidemiology Modelling Review Group: Consensus Statement on COVID-19 (01-09-2021). Considered at SAGE 95 on 9 September 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1017244/S1361_EMRG_Consensus_Statement.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1017...
 
Description Evaluating England's Roadmap out of Lockdown (18-02-2021). Considered at SAGE 81 on 18 February 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/963440/S1129__Unlocking__Roadmap_Scenarios_for_England_.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9634...
 
Description Evaluating England's Roadmap out of Lockdown (30-03-2021). Considered at SAGE 85 on 31 March 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1000511/S1183_SPI-M_Imperial.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1000...
 
Description Evaluating the Roadmap out of Lockdown - Modelling Step 4 of the Roadmap in the Context of B.1.617.2 (Delta) (09-06-2021). Considered at SAGE 92 on 9 June 2021; 2021:1-41.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/993427/S1289_Imperial_Roadmap_Step_4.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9934...
 
Description Evaluating the Roadmap out of Lockdown for England: Modelling the Delayed Step 4 of the Roadmap in the Context of the Delta Variant (07-07-2021). Considered at SAGE 93 on 7 July 2021; 2021:1-33.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1001177/S1303_Imperial_College_London_Evaluating_the_Roadmap_out_of_Lockdown_for_England_modelling_the_delayed_step_4.2_of_the_roadmap_in_the_context_of_the_Delta_variant__7_July_2021__1_.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1001...
 
Description Evaluating the Roadmap out of Lockdown: Step 3 (05-05-2021). Considered at SAGE 88 on 5 May 2021; 2021:1-27.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/984688/S1228_Imperial_Evaluating_the_Roadmap_out_of_Lockdown_Step_3.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9846...
 
Description Evidence to UK government to support Covid-19 response (epidemiology and modelling): UK response December 2020 - Phylodynamic analysis of new variants
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Citation in other policy documents
Impact Towards the end of 2020 rapid research was undertaken to evaluate the significance of a new variant of SARS-Cov-2 that had emerged in the UK, with phylodynamic analysis coupled with epidemiological analysis demonstrating significantly increased transmissibility of the new variant of concern. Submitted for publication: Volz et al. (2021) Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 Lineage B.1.1.7 in England: Insights from linking epidemiological and genetic data. medRxiv https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.12.30.20249034. In December 2020, phylodynamic analysis provided the first estimates of increased transmissibility of the new Variant of Concern 202012/01 (VOC) of up to 70%, the figure cited by the Prime Minister in his statement on 19th December that led to the decision to put more regions of the UK into Tier 4 restriction and eventually the 3rd UK national lockdown in January 2021.
URL https://www.gov.uk/government/speeches/prime-ministers-statement-on-coronavirus-covid-19-19-december...
 
Description How Do Contact Patterns Affect VOC Transmission Advantage? (14-01-2021). Available at SAGE 76 on 14 January 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1067152/S1036_Imperial_-_B117_-_NPIs_and_transmission_advantage__1_.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1067...
 
Description Impact of Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions (NPIs) to Reduce COVID-19 Mortality and Healthcare Demand (03-03-2020). Considered at SAGE 12 on 3 March 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/891862/S0057_SAGE16_Imperial_Impact_of_NPIs_to_reduce_Mortality_and_Healthcare_Demand.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/8918...
 
Description Impact of Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions (NPIs) to Reduce COVID-19 Mortality and Healthcare Demand (16-03-2020). Considered at SAGE 16 on 16 March 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/891862/S0057_SAGE16_Imperial_Impact_of_NPIs_to_reduce_Mortality_and_Healthcare_Demand.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/8918...
 
Description Insights from Early Vaccination Modelling (09-12-2020). Considered at SAGE 72 on 10 December 2020; 2020:1-8.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/954908/s0959-spi-m-o-early-insights-vaccines.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9549...
 
Description International response: Vaccine modelling
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Citation in other policy documents
Impact The team has developed models to explore the impact of vaccination in the UK and globally, demonstrating that even partially effective vaccines can have a significant public health impact and that global allocation of limited vaccine supply according to population size is near-optimal to equitably reduce the impact of the pandemic. Research has contributed to the WHO SAGE Roadmap for Prioritizing Uses of COVID-19 vaccines in the context of limited supply. Submitted for publication: Hogan et al. (2020) Report 33 - Modelling the allocation and impact of a COVID-19 vaccine. doi: https://doi.org/10.25561/82822 [https://www.imperial.ac.uk/mrc-global-infectious-disease-analysis/covid-19/report-33-vaccine/].
URL https://www.imperial.ac.uk/mrc-global-infectious-disease-analysis/covid-19/report-33-vaccine/
 
Description Intervention Options and Testing Needs for Long-Term Suppression of COVID-19 Transmission (28-04-2020).
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1067140/S0249_Imperial_Exit_strategies_incl_age.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1067...
 
Description Investigation of Novel SARS-COV-2 Variant Variant of Concern 202012/01. Available at SAGE 74 on 22 December 2020; 2020:1-11.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/959438/Technical_Briefing_VOC_SH_NJL2_SH2.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9594...
 
Description Local Interventions and Spatial Scales. Considered at SAGE 50 on 6 August 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/926927/S0677_SPI-M-O_Local_interventions_and_spatial_scales.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9269...
 
Description Long Term Winter Scenarios Preparatory Working Analysis (31-10-2020). Available to CSA on 31 October 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/938967/201031_SPI-M_preparatory_analysis_long_term_scenarios.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9389...
 
Description Low Critical Care Capacity and High Severity of COVID-19 Mean There Is Little Functional Difference between Successful "Flattening the Curve" and Ongoing Containment (16-03-2020). Considered at SAGE 16 on 16 March 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/891912/S0054_SAGE16_Imperial_Mitigation_Strategies.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/8919...
 
Description MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analsysis. Age Dependence in Infection and Fatality Risk (11-02-2020). Available at SAGE 6 on 11 February 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1067136/S0177.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1067...
 
Description Medium-Term Projections (01-09-2021). Considered by CSA and CMO on 2 September 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1016438/S1358_SPI-M-O_MediumTermProjections.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1016...
 
Description Medium-Term Projections (01-12-2021). Considered by dCSA on 2 December 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1039426/S1428_SPI-M-O_Medium_Term_Projections_1_.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1039...
 
Description Medium-Term Projections (02-06-2021). Considered at SAGE 91 on 3 June 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/994670/S1268_SPI-M-O_MediumTermProjections.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9946...
 
Description Medium-Term Projections (03-03-2021). Considered by CSA and CMO on 4 March 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/970807/S1140_SPI-M-O_MediumTermProjections.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9708...
 
Description Medium-Term Projections (04-08-2021). Considered by CSA and CMO on 5 August 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1010616/S1352_SPI-M-O_MediumTermProjections.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1010...
 
Description Medium-Term Projections (05-05-2021). Considered at SAGE 88 on 5 May 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/988229/S1225_SPI-M-O_MediumTermProjections__1_.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9882...
 
Description Medium-Term Projections (07-04-2021). Considered at SAGE 86 on 8 April 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/979869/S1188_SPI-M-O_MediumTermProjections.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9798...
 
Description Medium-Term Projections (08-09-2021). Considered at SAGE 95 on 9 September 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1017130/S1377_SPI-M-O_MediumTermProjections.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1017...
 
Description Medium-Term Projections (09-03-2022). Considered by dCSA on 10 March 2022; 2022.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1064591/SAGE105e_9_March_2022_SPI-M-O_MediumTermProjections.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1064...
 
Description Medium-Term Projections (11-08-2021). Considered by CSA and CMO on 12 August 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1012425/S1353_SPI-M-O_MediumTermProjections.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1012...
 
Description Medium-Term Projections (12-05-2021). Considered at SAGE 89 on 13 May 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/989812/S1238_SPI-M-O_MediumTermProjections.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9898...
 
Description Medium-Term Projections (14-04-2021). Considered by CSA and CMO on 15 April 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/982495/S1203_SPI-M-O_MediumTermProjections.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9824...
 
Description Medium-Term Projections (14-07-2021). Considered by CSA and CMO on 15 July 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1005158/S1320_SPI-M-O_MediumTermProjections.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1005...
 
Description Medium-Term Projections (15-09-2021). Considered by CSA and CMO on 16 September 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1022466/SAGE95b_SPI-M-O_MediumTermProjections.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1022...
 
Description Medium-Term Projections (17-03-2021). Considered by CSA and CMO on 18 March 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/977250/S1178_SPI-M-O_MediumTermProjections.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9772...
 
Description Medium-Term Projections (17-11-2021). Considered by dCSA and CMO on 18 November 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact ttps://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1035667/S1421_SPI-M-O_MediumTermProjections_SAGE.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1035...
 
Description Medium-Term Projections (19-05-2021). Considered by CSA and CMO on 20 May 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/991211/S1249_SPI-M-O_MediumTermProjections.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9912...
 
Description Medium-Term Projections (21-04-2021). Considered at SAGE 87 on 22 April 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/984019/S1206_SPI-M-O_MediumTermProjections.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9840...
 
Description Medium-Term Projections (22-09-2021). Considered by CSA and CMO on 23 September 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1022230/SAGE95c_SPI-M-O_MediumTermProjections.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1022...
 
Description Medium-Term Projections (23-02-2022). Considered by dCSA on 25 February 2022; 2022.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1064588/SAGE105c_23_Feb_2022_SPI-M-O_MediumTermProjections.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1064...
 
Description Medium-Term Projections (23-06-2021). Considered by CSA and CMO on 23 June 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1000611/S1297_SPI-M-O_MediumTermProjections.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1000...
 
Description Medium-Term Projections (24-03-2021). Considered at SAGE 84 on 25 March 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/976329/S1165_SPI-M-O_MediumTermProjections.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9763...
 
Description Medium-Term Projections (24-11-2021). Considered by dCSA on 25 November 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1038077/S1426_SPI-M-O_MediumTermProjections.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1038...
 
Description Medium-Term Projections (25-08-2021). Considered by CSA and CMO on 26 August 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1016434/S1357_SAGE94f_SPI-M-O_MediumTermProjections__1_.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1016...
 
Description Medium-Term Projections (26-05-2021). Considered at SAGE 90 on 27 May 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/992320/S1252_SPI-M-O_MediumTermProjections.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9923...
 
Description Medium-Term Projections (28-07-2021). Considered by CSA and CMO on 29 July 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1010603/S1346_SPI-M-O_MediumTermProjections.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1010...
 
Description Medium-Term Projections (29-09-2021). Considered by CSA and CMO on 30 September 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1025239/SAGE95d_SPI-M-O_MediumTermProjections.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1025...
 
Description Medium-Term Projections (30-06-2021). Considered by CSA and CMO on 1 July 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1000488/S1299_SPI-M-O_MediumTermProjections.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1000...
 
Description Medium-Term Projections and Model Descriptions (31-10-2020). Available evidence to SAGE; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/938965/201031_SPI-M-O_medium_term_projections_explainer.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9389...
 
Description Member of WHO Strategic and Technical Advisory Group for Tuberculosis
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Membership of a guideline committee
Impact Membership of guidance committee - have contributed mathematical modelling expertise Recommendations have informed WHO policy on mitigating COVID disruptions on TB and on strategies for 'building back stronger'.
URL https://www.who.int/publications/m/item/report-of-the-20th-meetingwho-strategic-and-technical-adviso...
 
Description Member of WHO-SAGE COVID-19 vaccines working group
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Membership of a guideline committee
Impact Professor Nick Grassly is a member of the WHO SAGE COVID-19 vaccine working group. The group approves and make recommendations for COVID-19 vaccines. These recommendations are used by countries to support their immunisation policies
 
Description Membership of Data Debrief Group (JBC)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Membership of a guideline committee
Impact Improved situational awareness for secretary of state and prime minister to assist in evidence based decision making during COVID-19 peaks.
 
Description Membership of Pandemic Preparedness Committee of the National Science Foundation USA - Professor Sir Roy Anderson
Geographic Reach North America 
Policy Influence Type Membership of a guideline committee
Impact Membership of committee which advises USA government on pandemic preparedness and lessons learnt from COVID-19. Advise given in confidence
 
Description Membership of SET-C committee - guidance to Chief Scientist Officer (Professor Sir Roy Anderson)
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Membership of a guideline committee
Impact Membership of Royal Society SET-C committee which provides advice in confidence to the Chief Scientists Office continuously throughout the COVID-19 pandemic. Professor Anderson has contributed extensively to multiple reports and has been lead author on multiple papers: 14 December 2020: SARS-CoV-2: Where do people acquire infection and 'who infects whom'? (PDF) - 30 November 2020: Appendix (PDF) 24 August 2020: Reproduction number (R) and growth rate (r) of the COVID-19 epidemic in the UK (PDF)
URL https://royalsociety.org/topics-policy/projects/set-c-science-in-emergencies-tasking-covid/
 
Description Modélisations de l'évolution de la COVID-19 au Québec which direcly informed public health response- several reports have been published and picked up by the press
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Citation in other policy documents
Impact Estimates published weekly used by local health agency to support COVID-19 response
URL https://www.inspq.qc.ca/covid-19/donnees/projections
 
Description Modelling Proposed GB Exit Strategies (05-05-2020). Available at SAGE 33 on 5 May 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1067184/S0323_SPI-M-UK_Exit_strategies.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1067...
 
Description Modelling for estimating global burden of TB
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Contribution to new or Improved professional practice
Impact This exercise represents the first time that model based approaches have been used by WHO for estimating global TB burden. The advantage of using model based approaches is that WHO can systematically take account of evidence for the degree to which TB services have been disrupted by COVID. After the first year, WHO is now arranging for this approach to become established as a formal part of their methodology.
 
Description Modelling impact of COVID disruptions on TB
Geographic Reach Asia 
Policy Influence Type Citation in other policy documents
Impact Modelling paper was used to influence in country discussions regarding domestic financing for TB control. Contribution was especially important in the Phillipines where public finances were under severe strain and in Tajekistan where modelling shaped strategy for international donors (USAID).
 
Description NERVTAG Paper on COVID-19 Variant of Concern B.1.1.7 (21-01-2021). Considered at SAGE 77 on 21 January 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/961037/NERVTAG_note_on_B.1.1.7_severity_for_SAGE_77__1_.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9610...
 
Description NERVTAG Update Note on B.1.1.7 Severity (11-02-2021). Considered at SAGE 80 on 11 February 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/982640/Feb_NERVTAG_update_note_on_B.1.1.7_severity.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9826...
 
Description Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions (NPIs) Table (17-09-2020). Considered at SAGE 58 on 21 September 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/925856/S0770_NPIs_table__pivot_.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9258...
 
Description Omicron Severity and Vaccine Effectiveness (05-01-2022). Considered at SAGE 102 on 7 January 2022; 2022.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1046479/S1479_Imperial_Severity.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1046...
 
Description Planning Assumptions for the UK Reasonable Worst Case Scenario (25-03-2020). Considered at SAGE 19 on 26 March 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/904543/S0083_Planning_assumptions_for_the_UK_RWC_scenario.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9045...
 
Description Planning Scenarios for the next 6 Months (25-03-2020). Considered at SAGE 19 on 26 March 2020; 2020:1-6.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/893527/S0084_SAGE19_20200325_MRC_Imperial_COVID-19_Response_Team_Planning_Scenarios.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/8935...
 
Description Planning and Reasonable Worst-Case Scenarios (20-05-2020). Considered at SAGE 38 on 21 May 202; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/926903/S0414_SPI-M-O_Planning_and_reasonable_worst-case_scenarios.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9269...
 
Description Population wide mass testing campaign conducted in Vo, Italy
Geographic Reach Europe 
Policy Influence Type Implementation circular/rapid advice/letter to e.g. Ministry of Health
Impact Support to population testing campaign in Vo, Italy in early stages of COVID-19 pandemic led to increased testing in the region. Early testing identified asymptomatic infection and led to a lower number of cases in the region compared to other regions in Italy.
 
Description Potential Effect of Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions on a COVID-19 Epidemic (25-02-2020). Considered at SAGE 10 on 25 February 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/891785/S0025_SAGE10_Effect_of_NPIs.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/8917...
 
Description Potential Effect of School Closure on a UK COVID-19 Epidemic: Annex to SPI-M-O Consensus View (20-02-2020). Considered at SAGE 9 on 20 February 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/891780/S0019_SAGE9_Effect_of_School_Closure_Annex_to_SPIMO_Consensus_view_on_the_impact_of_mass_school_closures.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/8917...
 
Description Potential Impact of Face Covering on the Transmissibility of SARS-CoV-2 in the UK (20-04-2020). Considered at SAGE 27 on 21 April 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/893648/S0207_Imperial_face_covering_plausible.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/8936...
 
Description Potential Profile of the COVID-19 Epidemic in the UK under Different Vaccination Roll out Strategies (14-01-2021). Considered at SAGE 76 on 14 January 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/958913/S1024_SPI-M_vaccination_ask_Imperial_College.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9589...
 
Description Production of estimates of travel data to/from China globally for Office for National Statistics and Department for International Development
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Implementation circular/rapid advice/letter to e.g. Ministry of Health
 
Description Publication 'Evolution and epidemic spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Brazil' - Citation in three WHO Policy Documents, and by The Inter-American Development Bank.
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Citation in other policy documents
URL https://science.altmetric.com/details/86328003/policy-documents
 
Description Reasonable Worst-Case Planning Scenario (29-03-2020). Considered at SAGE 21 on 31 March 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/897509/S0089_Reasonable_Worst-Case_Planning_Scenario_-_29.03.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/8975...
 
Description Report 1: Estimating the Potential Total Number of Novel Coronavirus Cases in Wuhan City, China. Available evidence to SAGE; 2020:1-5.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact Imai N, Dorigatti I, Cori A, Riley S, Ferguson N. Report 1: Estimating the Potential Total Number of Novel Coronavirus Cases in Wuhan City, China. Available evidence to SAGE; 2020:1-5. doi:10.25561/77149
 
Description Report 2: Estimating the Potential Total Number of Novel Coronavirus s (2019-NCoV) Cases in Wuhan City, China. Available evidence to SAGE; 2020:1-7.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact Imai N, Dorigatti I, Cori A, Donnelly C, Riley S, Ferguson N. Report 2: Estimating the Potential Total Number of Novel Coronavirus s (2019-NCoV) Cases in Wuhan City, China. Available evidence to SAGE; 2020:1-7. doi:10.25561/77150
 
Description Report 3: Transmissibility of 2019-NCoV. Available evidence to SAGE; 2020:1-6.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact Imai N, Cori A, Dorigatti I, et al. Report 3: Transmissibility of 2019-NCoV. Available evidence to SAGE; 2020:1-6. doi:10.25561/77148
 
Description Report 4: Severity of 2019-Novel Coronavirus (NCoV). Available evidence to SAGE; 2020:1-14.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact Dorigatti I, Okell L, Cori A, et al. Report 4: Severity of 2019-Novel Coronavirus (NCoV). Available evidence to SAGE; 2020:1-14. doi:10.25561/77154
 
Description Report 5: Phylogenetic Analysis of SARS-CoV-2. Available evidence to SAGE; 2020:1-8.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact Volz E, Baguelin M, Bhatia S, et al. Report 5: Phylogenetic Analysis of SARS-CoV-2. Available evidence to SAGE; 2020:1-8. doi:10.25561/77169
 
Description Report 6: Relative Sensitivity of International Surveillance. Available evidence to SAGE; 2020:1-6.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact Bhatia S, Imai N, Cuomo-Dannenburg G, et al. Report 6: Relative Sensitivity of International Surveillance. Available evidence to SAGE; 2020:1-6. doi:10.25561/77168
 
Description Report 7: Estimating Infection Prevalence in Wuhan City from Repatriation Flights. Available evidence to SAGE; 2020:1-9.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact doi:10.25561/77295
 
Description Report 8: Symptom Progression of COVID-19. Available evidence to SAGE; 2020:1-11.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact doi:
 
Description Report 9: Impact of Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions (NPIs) to Reduce COVID19 Mortality and Healthcare Demand. Available evidence to SAGE; 2020:1-20.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact doi:
 
Description Response to COVID-19 in South Korea and Implications for UK Exit Strategies (03-05-2020). Available at SAGE 33 on 5 May 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1067172/S0322_south_korea_short_report_2020_05_03.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1067...
 
Description SPI-M-O. Consensus Statement on COVID-19 (01-10-2020).
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/spi-m-o-consensus-statement-on-covid-19-1-october-2020
URL https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/spi-m-o-consensus-statement-on-covid-19-1-october-2020
 
Description SPI-M-O. Consensus Statement on COVID-19 (10-09-2020).
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/spi-m-o-consensus-statement-on-covid-19-10-september-2020
URL https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/spi-m-o-consensus-statement-on-covid-19-10-september-2020
 
Description SPI-M-O. Consensus View on the Impact of Mass School Closures (17-03-2020). Considered at SAGE 17 on 18 March 2020; 2020:1-4.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/888390/s0063-spi-m-o-consensus-view-school-closures-170320-sage17.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/8883...
 
Description SPI-M-O. Consensus View on the Impact of Mass School Closures on 2019 Novel Coronavirus (2019-NCoV) (10-02-2020). Considered at SAGE 6 on 11 February 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/888389/s0010-spi-m-o-consensus-view-school-closures-100220-sage6.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/8883...
 
Description SPI-M-O. Medium-Term Projections (19-01-2022). Considered by dCSA on 28 January 2022; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1052427/S1499_220119_SPI-M-O_MediumTermProjections.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1052...
 
Description SPI-M-O. Medium-Term Projections (27-10-2021). Considered by dCSA on 28 October 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1031219/SPI-M-O_MediumTermProjections.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1031...
 
Description Seconded to the UK Health Security Agency as Director General for Data, Analytics and Surveillance
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact I have directly informed a numebr of government policies, including the respoinse to Omicron, living with COVID and others.
 
Description Sensitivity of Proposed UK Sentinel GP COVID-19 Surveillance (25-02-2020). Considered at SAGE 10 on 25 February 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/891888/S0024_SAGE10_Sensitivity_of_GP_Surveillance.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/8918...
 
Description Sensitivity of Proposed UK Sentinel ICU Pneumonia Surveillance (25-02-2020). Considered at SAGE 10 on 25th February 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/891878/S0023_SAGE10_Sensitivity_of_ICU_Surveillance.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/8918...
 
Description Short-Term Forecasting: Academic Summary Positions (02-04-2020). Considered at SAGE 22 on 2 April 2020; 2020:1.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/917022/SAGE22_20200401_Summary_of_Warwick__Imperial__LSHTM_and_PHE_Forecasting_Models_S0106.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9170...
 
Description Short-Term Forecasting: Proposed Process for Discussion (02-04-2020). Considered at SAGE 22 on 2 April 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/916915/SAGE22_20200401_SAGE_Short-term_forecasting_-_proposed_process_for_discussion_S0104_for_release_v2.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9169...
 
Description Short-Term Forecasting: Proposed Process for Discussion (06-04-2020). Considered at SAGE 23 on 7 April 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/916917/SAGE23_20200406_SPI-M_Short-Term_Forecasting_S0110_for_release_v2.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9169...
 
Description Short-Term Forecasts from SPI-M-O (07-07-2020). Considered at SAGE 46 on 9 July 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/917069/SAGE46_20200708_forecasts_equal_weight_for_SAGE_S0598_for_release_v2.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9170...
 
Description Short-Term Forecasts from SPI-M-O (08-06-2020). Considered at SAGE 41 on 11 June 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/917043/SAGE41_2b._20200609_forecasts_equal_weight_SAGE_S0516_for_release_v2.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9170...
 
Description Short-Term Forecasts from SPI-M-O (10-05-2020). Considered at SAGE 35 on 12 May 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/spi-m-o-covid-19-short-term-forecasts-10-may-2020
URL https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/spi-m-o-covid-19-short-term-forecasts-10-may-2020
 
Description Short-Term Forecasts from SPI-M-O (11-08-2020). Considered at SAGE 51 on 13 August 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/917253/SAGE51_20200811_forecast_equal_weight_for_SAGE_S0694_for_release.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9172...
 
Description Short-Term Forecasts from SPI-M-O (16-06-2020). Considered at SAGE 42 on 18 June 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/917045/SAGE42_2b._20200616_forecasts_equal_weight_for_SAGE_S0542_for_release_v2.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9170...
 
Description Short-Term Forecasts from SPI-M-O (17-05-2020). Considered at SAGE 37 on 19 May 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/917036/SAGE37_2a._20200518_forecasts_equal_weight_SAGE_S0408_for_release_v2.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9170...
 
Description Short-Term Forecasts from SPI-M-O (21-07-2020). Considered at SAGE 48 on 23 July 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/917048/SAGE48_20200721_forecasts_equal_weight_for_SAGE_S0645_for_release.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9170...
 
Description Short-Term Forecasts from SPI-M-O (24-06-2020). Considered at SAGE 44 on 25 June 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/917046/SAGE44_20200623_forecasts_equal_weight_for_SAGE_S0563_for_release_v2.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9170...
 
Description Short-Term Forecasts from SPI-M-O (25-05-2020). Considered at SAGE 39 on 28 May 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/917040/SAGE39_2a._SPI-M_Short-term_Forecasts_20200526_S0443_for_release_v2.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9170...
 
Description Short-Term Forecasts from SPI-M-O (30-06-2020). Considered at SAGE 45 on 2 July 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/917066/SAGE45_20200630_forecasts_equal_weight_for_SAGE_S0576_for_release_v2.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9170...
 
Description Short-Term Forecasts from SPI-M-O - PILOT (03-05-2020). Considered at SAGE 33 on 5 May 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/917031/SAGE33_2b._20200504_forecasts_SAGE_S0311_for_release_v2.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9170...
 
Description Short-Term Forecasts from SPI-M-O - PILOT (07-04-2020). Considered at SAGE 24 on 9 April 2020; 2020. h
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/917244/SAGE24_SPI-M_20200407_forecasts_S0119_for_release.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9172...
 
Description Short-Term Forecasts from SPI-M-O - PILOT (12-04-2020). Considered at SAGE 25 on 14 April 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/917245/SAGE25_20200412_forecasts_S0125_for_release.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9172...
 
Description Strategies for Gradually Lifting NPIs in Parallel to COVID-19 Vaccine Roll-out in the UK (03-02-2021). Considered at SAGE 79 on 4 February 2021; 2021:1-17.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/963364/S1078_SPI-M_vaccination_ask_Imperial_College_.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9633...
 
Description Strategies for Long-Term Management of COVID-19 Transmission (21-04-2020). Considered at SAGE 27 on 21 April 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/943099/S0211_Imperial_Strategies_for_long-term_management_of_COVID-19_transmission.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9430...
 
Description Summary Indicative Effects of Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions (NPIs) to Reduce COVID-19 Transmission & Mortality (02-03-2020). Considered at SAGE 12 on 3 March 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/891845/S0029_NPIs_summary_Imperial_Annex_3_to_Potential_impact_of_behavioural_and_social_interventions_on_an_epidemic_of_Covid19_in_the_UK.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/8918...
 
Description Summary of Further Modelling of Easing Restrictions - Roadmap Step 2 (31-03-2021). Considered at SAGE 85 on 31 March 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/975909/S1182_SPI-M-O_Summary_of_modelling_of_easing_roadmap_step_2_restrictions.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9759...
 
Description Summary of Further Modelling of Easing Restrictions - Roadmap Step 3 (05-05-2021). Considered at SAGE 88 on 5 May 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/984521/S1227_SPI-M-O_Summary_of_further_modelling_of_easing_restrictions_Roadmap_Step_3__2_.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9845...
 
Description Summary of Further Modelling of Easing Restrictions - Roadmap Step 4 (07-07-2021). Considered at SAGE 93 on 7 July 2021; 2021:1-17.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1075065/S1301_SPI-M-O_Summary_Roadmap_second_Step_4.2_1_.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1075...
 
Description Summary of Further Modelling of Easing Restrictions - Roadmap Step 4 (09-06-2020). Considered at SAGE 92 on 9 June 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/spi-m-o-summary-of-further-modelling-of-easing-restrictions-roadmap-step-4-9-june-2021/spi-m-o-summary-of-further-modelling-of-easing-restrictions-roadmap-step-4
URL https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/spi-m-o-summary-of-further-modelling-of-easing-restrictio...
 
Description Summary of Modelling Considerations for the Reimposition of Measures (13-10-2021). Considered at SAGE 96 on 14 October 2021; 2021:1-4.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1029670/S1389_SPI-M-O_Summary_reimposition.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1029...
 
Description Summary of Modelling for Scenarios for COVID-19 Autumn and Winter 2021 to 2022 (13-10-2021). Considered at SAGE 96 on 14 October 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1027851/S1383_SPI-M-O_Summary_autumn_winter_scenarios.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1027...
 
Description Summary of Modelling on Easing Restrictions (03-02-2021). Considered at SAGE 79 4 February 2021; 2021:1-5.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/963504/S1075_SPI-M-O_summary_of_modelling_on_easing_restrictions__1_.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9635...
 
Description Summary of Modelling on Roadmap Scenarios (17-02-2021). Considered at SAGE 81 on 18 February 2021; 2021:1-13.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1075032/S1130_SPI-M-O_Summary_of_further_modelling_of_easing_restrictions__1_.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1075...
 
Description Summary of Modelling on Scenarios for Easing Restrictions (07-02-2021). Considered at SAGE 80 on 11 February 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/spi-m-o-summary-of-modelling-on-scenario-for-easing-restrictions-6-february-2021/spi-m-o-summary-of-modelling-on-scenario-for-easing-restrictions-7-february-2021
URL https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/spi-m-o-summary-of-modelling-on-scenario-for-easing-restr...
 
Description Technical assistance to inform the COVID-19 policy response (Sri Lanka)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Implementation circular/rapid advice/letter to e.g. Ministry of Health
Impact The findings contributed to Sri Lanka's decision to extend the lockdown by two further weeks
 
Description Technical assistance to inform the second SARS-CoV-2 booster vaccination (Indonesia)
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Implementation circular/rapid advice/letter to e.g. Ministry of Health
Impact Informing the Ministry of Health on the value of a second booster
 
Description The Role of Children in Transmission (16-04-2020). Considered at SAGE 26 on 16 April 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/894616/s0141-sage-sub-group-role-children-transmission-160420-sage26.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/8946...
 
Description Timing & Local Triggering of Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions (NPIs) to Reduce COVID-19 Mortality and Healthcare Demands (05-03-2020). Considered at SAGE 12 on 3 March 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/891855/S0039_SAGE13_MRC_Imperial_Timing_and_Triggering_of_NPIs.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/8918...
 
Description Timing of the Introduction of School Closure for COVID-19 Epidemic Suppression (18-03-2020). Considered at SAGE 17 on 18 March 2020; 2020.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/893515/S0067_SAGE17_20200318_Imperial_School_Closure_Timing.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/8935...
 
Description UKHSA Variant Technical Group
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact Advice provided by the VTG influences policy decisions regarding health provisions and non-pharmaceutical interventions for SARS-CoV-2.
URL https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/investigation-of-sars-cov-2-variants-technical-briefings
 
Description US National Academy of Science committee on pandemic preparedness
Geographic Reach North America 
Policy Influence Type Membership of a guideline committee
Impact Decisions made regarding future pandemic responses (metrics to consider).
 
Description Unlocking Roadmap Scenarios for England (05-02-2021). Considered at SAGE 80 on 11 February 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/963445/S1117_Unlocking_roadmap_scenarios_for_England.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9634...
 
Description Unlocking Roadmap Scenarios for England v2 (18-02-2021). Considered at SAGE 81 on 18 February 2021; 2021.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/963440/S1129__Unlocking__Roadmap_Scenarios_for_England_.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/9634...
 
Description Update from Regional Variation Group (02-06-2021). Available at SAGE 91 on 3 June 2021; 2021:1-4.
Geographic Reach National 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1067099/S1277_Local_Variation_Space_SPI-M_subgroup.pdf
URL https://assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/1067...
 
Description WHO TAG-VE
Geographic Reach Multiple continents/international 
Policy Influence Type Participation in a guidance/advisory committee
Impact Advice provided by TAG-VE influences policy decisions regarding health provisions and non-pharmaceutical interventions for SARS-CoV-2.
URL https://www.who.int/publications/m/item/terms-of-reference-for-the-technical-advisory-group-on-sars-...
 
Description COVID-19 Vaccine Evidence Assessment
Amount £18,681 (GBP)
Funding ID APW PO# 202830303 
Organisation World Health Organization (WHO) 
Sector Public
Country Global
Start 03/2022 
End 08/2022
 
Description COVID-19: Modeling sensitivity, time to result in prevalence context
Amount $71,644 (USD)
Funding ID INV-023013 
Organisation Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation 
Sector Charity/Non Profit
Country United States
Start 09/2020 
End 07/2021
 
Description COVID-19: Surveillance using environmental samples in Bangladesh
Amount £39,995 (GBP)
Funding ID GF14319.PO 2287477 
Organisation University of Virginia (UVa) 
Sector Academic/University
Country United States
Start 08/2020 
End 12/2022
 
Description Funding for epidemiological analysis to inform HMGs COVID-19 response
Amount £65,804 (GBP)
Funding ID COV-EPI-01 
Organisation Department of Health (DH) 
Sector Public
Country United Kingdom
Start 03/2020 
End 03/2021
 
Description IImpact of COVID 19 on sexual risk behavior for HIV infection in SSA
Amount £1,117,944 (GBP)
Funding ID INV-023210 
Organisation Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation 
Sector Charity/Non Profit
Country United States
Start 09/2020 
End 10/2023
 
Description ISSF Global Health Clinical Research Training Fellowship
Amount £87,059 (GBP)
Funding ID PSM287_WPIA 
Organisation Wellcome Trust 
Sector Charity/Non Profit
Country United Kingdom
Start 09/2021 
End 03/2023
 
Description Institutional Strategic Support Fund
Amount £3,000,000 (GBP)
Funding ID 204834/Z/16/Z 
Organisation Wellcome Trust 
Sector Charity/Non Profit
Country United Kingdom
Start 06/2017 
End 03/2023
 
Title COVID-19 Austria 
Description This site gives estimates of the reproduction number of COVID-19 and projections of cases for districts in Austria based on testing data and mortality data. 
Type Of Material Computer model/algorithm 
Year Produced 2020 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact No impacts yet 
URL https://www.covid19model.at/
 
Title COVID-19 Hotspot map Austria (estimates of R and cases). Published January 4, 2021. 
Description Valka F, Mishra S, Scott J, Flaxman S, Bhatt S, Gandy A. COVID-19 Hotspot map Austria (estimates of R and cases). Published January 4, 2021. 
Type Of Material Computer model/algorithm 
Year Produced 2021 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact https://www.covid19model.at/ 
URL https://www.covid19model.at/
 
Title COVID-19 LMIC Reports (Future scenarios of the healthcare burden of COVID-19 in Low- or Middle-Income Countries). Published May 8, 2020. 
Description The LMIC reports are generated using an age-structured SEIR model. The developed model is an extension of the model used in our previous report (see Report 12) and the source code for the model can be found at https://github.com/mrc-ide/squire. In this model, the infectious class is divided into different stages reflecting progression through different disease severity pathways. Ghani A, Watson O. COVID-19 LMIC Reports (Future scenarios of the healthcare burden of COVID-19 in Low- or Middle-Income Countries). Published May 8, 2020. https://mrc-ide.github.io/global-lmic-reports/ 
Type Of Material Computer model/algorithm 
Year Produced 2020 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact The global fits from this model were used to directly inform WHO estimates of global financial need. The team also directly supported control efforts in 10 countries (Columbia, India, Indonesia, Italy, Malawi, Nigeria, Senegal, Sudan, the United States and Zimbabwe) providing local model reports through academic and public health partners to support government responses. Ongoing. Example: Announcement by New York Governor's Office of Research Partnership with Imperial College London https://www.governor.ny.gov/news/amid-ongoing-covid-19-pandemic-governor-cuomo-announces-state-bringing-international-experts 
URL http://mrc-ide.github.io/global-lmic-reports/
 
Title COVID-19 NAT-RDT (identify optimal diagnostic testing strategy). 
Description Ricks S, Kendall EA, Dowdy DW, Sacks JA, Schumacher SG, Arinaminpathy N. COVID-19 NAT-RDT (identify optimal diagnostic testing strategy). Published January 15, 2021. 
Type Of Material Computer model/algorithm 
Year Produced 2021 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact https://covid-ag-rdt.shinyapps.io/model/ 
URL https://covid-ag-rdt.shinyapps.io/model/
 
Title COVID-19 Orphanhood Trends (webtool to estimate numbers of children affected by COVID-19 and excess deaths during the pandemic). Published July 20, 2021. 
Description Hillis S, Unwin J, Cluver L, et al. COVID-19 Orphanhood Trends (webtool to estimate numbers of children affected by COVID-19 and excess deaths during the pandemic). Published July 20, 2021. 
Type Of Material Computer model/algorithm 
Year Produced 2021 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact https://imperialcollegelondon.github.io/orphanhood_trends/ 
URL https://imperialcollegelondon.github.io/orphanhood_trends/
 
Title COVID-19 Orphanhood calculator (realtime minimum estimates for the number of children affected by COVID-19 and excess deaths). Published July 20, 2021. 
Description Hillis S, Unwin J, Cluver L, et al. COVID-19 Orphanhood calculator (realtime minimum estimates for the number of children affected by COVID-19 and excess deaths). Published July 20, 2021. 
Type Of Material Computer model/algorithm 
Year Produced 2021 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact https://imperialcollegelondon.github.io/orphanhood_calculator 
URL https://imperialcollegelondon.github.io/orphanhood_calculator
 
Title COVID/TB disruption model 
Description Model developed to simulate the adverse impact of COVID related disruptions on TB control in different countries 
Type Of Material Computer model/algorithm 
Year Produced 2020 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact Model was used by WHO South East Asia region to inform regional TB strategies at country level Publication in E Clinical Medicine 
URL https://beta.avstaging.org/tbcovidapp/
 
Title Covid 19 elective care scheduling: 
Description Covid 19 elective care scheduling: this tool models optimal weekly scheduling of patient admissions to all hosptials across england Moret S. COVID-19 elective care optimal scheduling tool. Published online July 5, 2021. 
Type Of Material Database/Collection of data 
Year Produced 2021 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact No impacts recognised yet 
URL http://github.com/ImperialCollegeLondon/OptimalScheduling4COVID
 
Title Global COVID-19 LMIC reports 
Description COVID-19 has caused large-scale outbreaks in many countries, particularly in Europe and Asia where many countries have experienced a level of healthcare demand that have placed health systems under strain. Many countries, particularly Low- or Middle Income countries (LMICs) (shown below), are at an earlier stage of the epidemic. 26 countries have reported fewer than 100 COVID-19 deaths. However, following the implementation of widespread suppression measures around the world, COVID-19 burden is increasingly becoming concentrated in LMICs. Here we aim to provide each country with an indication of where they are in their epidemic and scenarios of how healthcare demand is likely to vary over the next 28 days. Changes in transmission from today will also shape the next 28 days so these estimates should not be viewed as predictions but scenarios to help countries understand how strategies today are likely to shape the next phase of the epidemic. Specifically, these reports will aim to help countries understand: 1. The total number of COVID-19 infections 2. The expected number of deaths within the next 28 days 3. The number of individuals requiring oxygen or mechanical ventilation in the next 28 days 4. The impact of changing their current intervention policy 
Type Of Material Database/Collection of data 
Year Produced 2020 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact Database has been used widely by individual country programmes to inform their COVID response and the database has led to the development of WHO software. The outputs were directly included in the WHO Essential Supplies Forecasting Tool. They were also used to support work we undertook for Gavi in estimating the public health impact of COVID-19 vaccines and COVAX. 
URL https://mrc-ide.github.io/global-lmic-reports/
 
Title MRIIDS (Mapping the Risk of International Infectious Disease Spread - forecasts case numbers and estimates risk). Published May 12, 2022. 
Description Bhatia S, Cori A, Wardle J, et al. MRIIDS (Mapping the Risk of International Infectious Disease Spread - forecasts case numbers and estimates risk). Published May 12, 2022. 
Type Of Material Computer model/algorithm 
Year Produced 2022 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact https://mriids.org/ 
URL https://mriids.org/
 
Title Mishra S, Scott J, Zhu H, et al. COVID-19 Hotspot map UK (estimates of R and cases). 
Description Mishra S, Scott J, Zhu H, et al. COVID-19 Hotspot map UK (estimates of R and cases). doi:10.5281/zenodo.4330647 
Type Of Material Computer model/algorithm 
Year Produced 2020 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact doi:10.5281/zenodo.4330647 
 
Title Model of COVID transmission in Zimbabwe 
Description Mathematical model projecting likely trends in COVID infections and mortality and impact of alternative interventions in Zimbabwe 
Type Of Material Computer model/algorithm 
Year Produced 2020 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact Results from mathematical modelling used by the Chief coordinator of the national COVID response in the Presidents office in Zimbabwe 
 
Title Model to estimate the impact of test and trace programme in UK 
Description Mathematical model developed and available on github to estimate the impact of different COVID testing strategies 
Type Of Material Computer model/algorithm 
Year Produced 2020 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact Model used in guidance to UK govt COVID-SAGE group to inform response to COVID-19 pandemic response 
 
Title ONS Excessive Deaths from non COVID-19 
Description ONS excess deaths: This tool provides weekly updates of deaths in England and Wales using publicly available data on the provisional number of deaths registered in the past week from the ONS 
Type Of Material Database/Collection of data 
Year Produced 2020 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact Tool has been used by advisors to UK cabinet office to understand and report on excess deaths 
URL http://j-idea.github.io/ONSdeaths/
 
Title Pandemic Hospital planning tool 
Description Hospital planning tool: this tool calculates how much capacity in terms of beds, staff and ventilators is obtained by implementing healthcare provision interventions affecting the management of patient care in hospitals Christen P, D'Aeth J, Lochen A, et al. Hospital Pandemic Planner. Published online April 23, 2020. http://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/mrc-gida/2020-04-17-COVID19-Report-15-hospital-planner.xlsm 
Type Of Material Database/Collection of data 
Year Produced 2020 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact This tool has been developed to assist hospitals in dealing with surges in demands due to the COVID pandemic and to understand which interventions can increase capacity most effectively. This tool has been used by hospitals globally to support treatment of patients during the pandemic. 
URL https://view.officeapps.live.com/op/view.aspx?src=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.imperial.ac.uk%2Fmedia%2Fimperia...
 
Title Re-parameterisedindividual-based simulation model developed for influenza pandemic planning 
Description To support the UK response to the pandemic, an individual-based simulation model developed for influenza pandemic planning was re-parameterised to enable specific policy scenarios to be explored, including home isolation of suspect cases, home quarantine of household members, social distancing and school closures. Working closely with the NHS executive, the model parameter assumptions were aligned with emerging UK data to explicitly output demand on hospital beds and intensive care facilities in the UK. The outputs from this work - summarised in "Report 9" - demonstrated that under even the most stringent mitigation scenarios (whereby transmission is reduced but not interrupted), the UK health service would quickly become overwhelmed. In contrast, suppression strategies, whilst enabling the epidemic to be brought quickly under control, would need to be intermittently sustained until other therapeutic options became available. 
Type Of Material Computer model/algorithm 
Year Produced 2020 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact Ongoing. Ferguson NM, Cummings DAT, Fraser C, Cajka JC, Cooley PC, Burke DS (2006) Strategies for mitigating an influenza pandemic. Nature 442(7101):448-452. doi:10.1038/nature04795 Ferguson NM et al. (2020) Report 9 - Impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) to reduce COVID-19 mortality and healthcare demand. https://doi.org/10.25561/77482 
 
Title SARS Coronavirus 2 Phylodynamics 
Description Our mission is to advance epidemiological surveillance of COVID19 by studying the evolution of SARS Coronavirus 2. By using publicly available virus genomic data, phylogenetic analysis and advanced population genetic modeling, we aim to shed light on Growth and decline of COVID19 in various populations Epidemic origins The impact of public health interventions Future epidemic trends 
Type Of Material Computer model/algorithm 
Year Produced 2020 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact Not yet recognised 
URL http://sarscov2phylodynamics.org/
 
Title SEIR stochastic compartmental model 
Description Developed to enable real-time estimates of the state of the epidemic to be evaluated and to provide short-term projections of hospital care demand. This has been fitted to sub-national data from the UK epidemic with updates provided at least weekly to the SPI-M modelling subgroup, SAGE and other government departments. These include estimate of the reproduction number and epidemic growth rate, and medium-term projections number of infections, cases, hospitalisations and deaths in different sub-populations, including care homes. Model-based analyses have also been performed in support of the test- and trace strategy, quantifying the impact of PCR-testing of symptomatic cases (and self-isolation of positive cases), weekly screening of health-care workers and contact tracing on the rate of transmission. 
Type Of Material Computer model/algorithm 
Year Produced 2020 
Provided To Others? No  
Impact Ongoing. 
 
Title Survey on the effects of COVID on HIV risk behaviours and use of HIV prevention methods in Zimbabwe 
Description Data on the effects of COVID on HIV risk behaviours and use of HIV prevention methods in Zimbabwe. 2022 - Additional data on HIV risk behaviour as the covid situation eased. 
Type Of Material Database/Collection of data 
Year Produced 2021 
Provided To Others? No  
Impact Data was used by Zimbabwean government in the application for funds from the Global Fund for their national COVID control programme 
URL http://www.manicalandhivproject.org/resources.html
 
Title TB burden estimation model 
Description Model to estimate TB burden in different countries, based on their case reporting data. 
Type Of Material Computer model/algorithm 
Year Produced 2021 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact Model now used by WHO to estimate global TB burden in the wake of COVID disruptions. 
 
Title TB service disruption simulator. Published January 14, 2021. 
Description WHO SEARO, Arinaminpathy N. TB service disruption simulator. Published January 14, 2021. 
Type Of Material Computer model/algorithm 
Year Produced 2021 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact https://beta.avstaging.org/tbcovidapp/ 
URL https://beta.avstaging.org/tbcovidapp/
 
Title Weekly short term forecasts of COVID-19 deaths in multiple countries. Published April 15, 2020. 
Description This weekly report presents forecasts of the reported number of deaths in the week ahead and analysis of case reporting trends (case ascertainment) for countries with active transmission. Bhatia S, Wardle J, Nash R, et al. Weekly short term forecasts of COVID-19 deaths in multiple countries. Published April 15, 2020. https://mrc-ide.github.io/covid19-short-term-forecasts 
Type Of Material Computer model/algorithm 
Year Produced 2020 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact No impacts yet 
URL http://mrc-ide.github.io/covid19-short-term-forecasts/index.html#content
 
Title covid19 forecasts orderly 
Description Bhatia S, Wardle J, Nash R, et al. covid19 forecasts orderly. Published online May 10, 2021. https://github.com/mrc-ide/covid19-forecasts-orderly 
Type Of Material Computer model/algorithm 
Year Produced 2021 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact https://github.com/mrc-ide/covid19-forecasts-orderly 
URL https://github.com/mrc-ide/covid19-forecasts-orderly
 
Title covid19model Europe 
Description covid19model Europe 
Type Of Material Computer model/algorithm 
Year Produced 2020 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact No impacts yet 
 
Title covid19model USA 
Description covid19model USA 
Type Of Material Computer model/algorithm 
Year Produced 2020 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact No impacts yet 
 
Title https://github.com/j-idea/DAEDALUS-an-integrated-epidemiological-economic-model 
Description Doohan P, Hauck K. DAEDALUS (an integrated-epidemiological economic model). Published online November 16, 2020. 
Type Of Material Computer model/algorithm 
Year Produced 2020 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact An integrated economic-epidemiological model to project closure strategies differentiated by economic sector for maximizing economic production in the presence of SARS-CoV-2 
URL https://github.com/j-idea/DAEDALUS-an-integrated-epidemiological-economic-model
 
Title react - Real-time Assessment of Community Transmission (REACT) Study 
Description react gives the number of positive COVID-19 samples and total number of samples by region and age group for each of 13 rounds of the survey 
Type Of Material Database/Collection of data 
Year Produced 2021 
Provided To Others? Yes  
Impact Data has been used by other research groups, including analyses that has been provided to SAGE to inform government response to COVID-19 pandemic 
URL https://github.com/mrc-ide/reactidd/tree/master/inst/extdata/region_age_week_aggregated
 
Description Access to COVID-19 tools accelerator 
Organisation Foundation for Innovative New Diagnostics (FIND)
Country Switzerland 
Sector Charity/Non Profit 
PI Contribution Informing the investment case for diagnostics for COVID-19 in LMICs Mathematical modelling
Collaborator Contribution Result dissemination
Impact Not yet recognised
Start Year 2020
 
Description Access to COVID-19 tools accelerator 
Organisation Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria
Country Switzerland 
Sector Charity/Non Profit 
PI Contribution Informing the investment case for diagnostics for COVID-19 in LMICs Mathematical modelling
Collaborator Contribution Result dissemination
Impact Not yet recognised
Start Year 2020
 
Description Analysing nosocomial COVID-19 outbreaks in Switzerland 
Organisation University of Geneva
Country Switzerland 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Design of methodology Statistical support
Collaborator Contribution Providing data Contextual knowledge
Impact Papers published - Explosive nosocomial outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 in a rehabilitation clinic: the limits of genomics for outbreak reconstruction Journal of Hospital Infection Occupational versus community risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection among employees of a long-term care facility: an observational study Antimicrobial resistance and infection control Reconstruction of transmission chains of SARS-CoV-2 amidst multiple outbreaks in a geriatric acute-care hospital: a combined retrospective epidemiological and genomic study life + Papers in preparation
Start Year 2020
 
Description Analysis of SARS-COV2 data 
Organisation New York University
Country United States 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Phylogenetic analysis
Collaborator Contribution Data provision Writing of manuscript Dissemination of results
Impact Publication in Genome Research Publication under review
Start Year 2020
 
Description Analysis of the ChadOx1 COVID vaccine clinical trial data 
Organisation University of Oxford
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Novel analysis methods to correct for statistical bias
Collaborator Contribution Provision of clinical trial data
Impact Paper published in Clinical Infectious Diseases
Start Year 2021
 
Description Anticipating impact of COVID disruptions on TB burden 
Organisation Stop TB Partnership
Country Switzerland 
Sector Charity/Non Profit 
PI Contribution Modelling of potential impact of COVID disruptions on TB burden in 3 high burden countries (India, Kenya and Ukraine) and subsequently worked with individual countries to help them estimate likely impact on their TB epidemics. Those countries were Phillippines, Tajekistan and Indonesia.
Collaborator Contribution Provision of data for modelling and validation Coordination of country engagement
Impact Publication in 2020 - E-Clinical medicine and contributed to paper published in Lancet Global Health Country reports produced for the National TB Programmes - these reports were used in their applications for Global Funds, funding Report on disruption to TB programmes was widely circulated and brought attention to the impacts of COVID-19 on other infectious disease control programmes
Start Year 2020
 
Description Assessing the potential impact of disruptions due to COVID-19 on HIV among key and lower-risk populations in the largest cities of Cameroon and Benin 
Organisation Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center (FHCRC)
Country United States 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Conception Data analysis Mathematical modelling expertise Writing of paper
Collaborator Contribution Writing of paper Interpretation of results and implication
Impact Paper has been accepted for publication in Journal of AIDS
Start Year 2020
 
Description Assessing the potential impact of disruptions due to COVID-19 on HIV among key and lower-risk populations in the largest cities of Cameroon and Benin 
Organisation National Institutes of Health (NIH)
Department HIV Prevention Trials Network HPTN
Country United States 
Sector Charity/Non Profit 
PI Contribution Conception Data analysis Mathematical modelling expertise Writing of paper
Collaborator Contribution Writing of paper Interpretation of results and implication
Impact Paper has been accepted for publication in Journal of AIDS
Start Year 2020
 
Description Bounds on epidemic control 
Organisation Lund University
Country Sweden 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Designed models and defined the project and its outputs. Wrote initial position paper and preparing joint paper with collaborator that extends this paper.
Collaborator Contribution Developed control theoretic techniques for epidemic models. This is a multidisciplinary partnership between the engineering department (Lund) and school of public health (Imperial).
Impact Paper in preparation following a research visit to Lund. This builds on the paper in the URL.
Start Year 2020
 
Description Building phylodynamic capacity in Botswana 
Organisation Botswana Harvard AIDS Institute Partnership
Country Botswana 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution - Manon Ragonnet spent 3 months at BHP in early 2020, teaching courses in R, phylogenetics and statistics; and organising a multi-day course on Next Generation Sequencing - Manon is supervising two students based in Botswana and has been able to purchase laptops for them through a Research England GCRF grant - One additional student from Botswana has applied for funding from PANGEA (pangea-hiv.org) to spend 12 months at Imperial working with Manon - We have submitted two papers with 3/4 more in preparation
Collaborator Contribution - BHP hosted Manon for 3 months at the lab in Botswana
Impact - NGS course organised (https://www.santheafrica.org/sites/default/files/course-files/course_flyer_ngs_v5.pdf) - One paper submitted to The Journal of Infectious Diseases in January 2021 (published) - One paper summitted to ARHR in Nov 2021 (in review) - 2 asbtracts submitted (to HIV Dynamics + AIDS) - funding received for MSc student to do project supervised by Manon Ragonnet + Erik Volz for one year (through Oxford/PANGEA)
Start Year 2019
 
Description Building phylodynamic capacity in Botswana 
Organisation University of Oxford
Department Big Data Institute
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution - Manon Ragonnet spent 3 months at BHP in early 2020, teaching courses in R, phylogenetics and statistics; and organising a multi-day course on Next Generation Sequencing - Manon is supervising two students based in Botswana and has been able to purchase laptops for them through a Research England GCRF grant - One additional student from Botswana has applied for funding from PANGEA (pangea-hiv.org) to spend 12 months at Imperial working with Manon - We have submitted two papers with 3/4 more in preparation
Collaborator Contribution - BHP hosted Manon for 3 months at the lab in Botswana
Impact - NGS course organised (https://www.santheafrica.org/sites/default/files/course-files/course_flyer_ngs_v5.pdf) - One paper submitted to The Journal of Infectious Diseases in January 2021 (published) - One paper summitted to ARHR in Nov 2021 (in review) - 2 asbtracts submitted (to HIV Dynamics + AIDS) - funding received for MSc student to do project supervised by Manon Ragonnet + Erik Volz for one year (through Oxford/PANGEA)
Start Year 2019
 
Description COVID 19 and HIV risk behaviour 
Organisation Biomedical Research and Training Institute (BRTI)
Country Zimbabwe 
Sector Charity/Non Profit 
PI Contribution Secured the funding. Developed the study design protocol and tools/questionnaire. Conducted preliminary data analysis.
Collaborator Contribution BRTI - conducted the data collection. University of Copenhagen - designed qualitative studies. MoH Zimbabwe - advised on the study design. Assisted with interpretation and dissemination of results.
Impact Results being presentation at national and international conferences - Canada, Zimbabwe, South Africa.
Start Year 2020
 
Description COVID 19 and HIV risk behaviour 
Organisation Ministry of Health and Child Welfare of the Republic of Zimbabwe
Country Zimbabwe 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution Secured the funding. Developed the study design protocol and tools/questionnaire. Conducted preliminary data analysis.
Collaborator Contribution BRTI - conducted the data collection. University of Copenhagen - designed qualitative studies. MoH Zimbabwe - advised on the study design. Assisted with interpretation and dissemination of results.
Impact Results being presentation at national and international conferences - Canada, Zimbabwe, South Africa.
Start Year 2020
 
Description COVID 19 and HIV risk behaviour 
Organisation University of Copenhagen
Country Denmark 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Secured the funding. Developed the study design protocol and tools/questionnaire. Conducted preliminary data analysis.
Collaborator Contribution BRTI - conducted the data collection. University of Copenhagen - designed qualitative studies. MoH Zimbabwe - advised on the study design. Assisted with interpretation and dissemination of results.
Impact Results being presentation at national and international conferences - Canada, Zimbabwe, South Africa.
Start Year 2020
 
Description COVID-19 genomics consortium 
Organisation Government of the UK
Department Department of Health and Social Care
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution Analysis of data collected from the consortium Mathematical modelling expertise
Collaborator Contribution Data provision Dissemination of results Public engagement
Impact Report to SAGE Publication in Cell Report 42 and paper under review Reports to NERVTAG in December 2020 regarding Kent variant - input to policy decisions
Start Year 2020
 
Description COVID-19 genomics consortium 
Organisation Public Health England
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution Analysis of data collected from the consortium Mathematical modelling expertise
Collaborator Contribution Data provision Dissemination of results Public engagement
Impact Report to SAGE Publication in Cell Report 42 and paper under review Reports to NERVTAG in December 2020 regarding Kent variant - input to policy decisions
Start Year 2020
 
Description COVID-19 genomics consortium 
Organisation The Wellcome Trust Sanger Institute
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Charity/Non Profit 
PI Contribution Analysis of data collected from the consortium Mathematical modelling expertise
Collaborator Contribution Data provision Dissemination of results Public engagement
Impact Report to SAGE Publication in Cell Report 42 and paper under review Reports to NERVTAG in December 2020 regarding Kent variant - input to policy decisions
Start Year 2020
 
Description COVID-19 genomics consortium 
Organisation University of Cambridge
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Analysis of data collected from the consortium Mathematical modelling expertise
Collaborator Contribution Data provision Dissemination of results Public engagement
Impact Report to SAGE Publication in Cell Report 42 and paper under review Reports to NERVTAG in December 2020 regarding Kent variant - input to policy decisions
Start Year 2020
 
Description Collaboration agreement with National Institute of Health, Italy 
Organisation National Institute of Health
Country Italy 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution Writings of confidential reports Epidemiological modelling expertise
Collaborator Contribution Expert advice on local situation in Italy Advice on policy options under consideration
Impact Confidential reports to support COVID-19 response in Italy
Start Year 2020
 
Description Collaboration on integrated economic-epidemiological modelling (Mexico) 
Organisation The National Institute of Public Health of Mexico (INSP)
Country Mexico 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Modelling of the hypothetical impact of policies to reduce body mass index on COVID-19 infection fatality rates in Mexico
Collaborator Contribution The INSP contributed modelling of the impact of policies on body mass index in Mexico, further the partners contributed data
Impact the project is multidisciplinary, involving disciplines of economics and epidemiology; draft report under preparation; early findings have been presented at an internal seminar at WHO HQ in February 2023
Start Year 2022
 
Description Collaborations with WHO Global Hepatitis Unit on viral hepatitis elimination strategies 
Organisation World Health Organization (WHO)
Country Global 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution We have been collaborating with the WHO, both at headquarter level and at regional WPRO level on viral hepatitis strategies. Our primary work has focus on the use of applied modelling in guiding public health policy, modelling global targets for elimination, country level work in China and elimination of mother-to-child transmission of HBV.
Collaborator Contribution The WHO provided the contacts and the context of the priority policy questions to be addressed.
Impact Our work has been referenced in the Global Health Sector Strategy on Viral Hepatitis and other policy documents (see other sections of form for further details). We have been invited to national consultations in China and Malaysia on the elimination of mother to child transmission of HBV. Participants of this consultative process included academics, representatives of the health ministries and other key policy makers.
Start Year 2014
 
Description Coronab 
Organisation Karolinska Institute
Country Sweden 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Mathematical modelling Modelling NPIs and anti-virals
Collaborator Contribution Grant applications Networking and collaborations
Impact Publication in Cell Software outputs: https://github.com/robj411/sequencing_coverage https://github.com/robj411/lineageApp
Start Year 2020
 
Description Covid 19 mathematical modelling Zimbabwe 
Organisation Medical Research Council of Zimbabwe
Country Zimbabwe 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution Made the Imperial College London SEIR model available for use in Zimbabwe. Provided a research associate, Mike Pickles, to apply the model to Zimbabwe.
Collaborator Contribution Made data available for application of model. Presented model results to key national policy makers on Covid response.
Impact This collaboration has led to establish an infectious disease consortium in Zimbabwe. This collaboration contributed to policy development in the Covid response in Zimbabwe.
Start Year 2020
 
Description Covid 19 mathematical modelling Zimbabwe 
Organisation National Blood Service Zimbabwe
Country Zimbabwe 
Sector Charity/Non Profit 
PI Contribution Made the Imperial College London SEIR model available for use in Zimbabwe. Provided a research associate, Mike Pickles, to apply the model to Zimbabwe.
Collaborator Contribution Made data available for application of model. Presented model results to key national policy makers on Covid response.
Impact This collaboration has led to establish an infectious disease consortium in Zimbabwe. This collaboration contributed to policy development in the Covid response in Zimbabwe.
Start Year 2020
 
Description Covid 19 mathematical modelling Zimbabwe 
Organisation National Institute of Health Research
Country Zimbabwe 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution Made the Imperial College London SEIR model available for use in Zimbabwe. Provided a research associate, Mike Pickles, to apply the model to Zimbabwe.
Collaborator Contribution Made data available for application of model. Presented model results to key national policy makers on Covid response.
Impact This collaboration has led to establish an infectious disease consortium in Zimbabwe. This collaboration contributed to policy development in the Covid response in Zimbabwe.
Start Year 2020
 
Description DAEDALUS project: : integrated economic-epidemiological model for COVID-19 
Organisation Imperial College London
Department Imperial College Business School
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Project lead and management Integration of epidemiological and economic modelling
Collaborator Contribution Economic modelling
Impact MRC-GIDA report 35
Start Year 2020
 
Description DAEDALUS project: : integrated economic-epidemiological model for COVID-19 
Organisation Umea University
Department Umea School of Business, Economics and Statistics (USBE)
Country Sweden 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Project lead and management Integration of epidemiological and economic modelling
Collaborator Contribution Economic modelling
Impact MRC-GIDA report 35
Start Year 2020
 
Description Detection of SARS-COV2 in sewage (Dhaka, Bangladesh) 
Organisation International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh (icddr,b)
Country Bangladesh 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution Statistical analysis and Mathematical analysis of epidemiological and sewage data
Collaborator Contribution Data provision
Impact Not yet
Start Year 2020
 
Description Detection of SARS-COV2 in sewage (Dhaka, Bangladesh) 
Organisation University of Virginia (UVa)
Country United States 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Statistical analysis and Mathematical analysis of epidemiological and sewage data
Collaborator Contribution Data provision
Impact Not yet
Start Year 2020
 
Description Developing models to determine the impact of specific non-pharmaceutical interventions 
Organisation Imperial College London
Department Department of Mathematics
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Developing models to determine the impact of specific non-pharmaceutical interventions, A collaboration between the School of Public Health and the Department of Mathematicsm Imperial College London.
Collaborator Contribution Developing models to determine the impact of specific non-pharmaceutical interventions, A collaboration between the School of Public Health and the Department of Mathematicsm Imperial College London.
Impact This was used to evaluate the effectiveness of NPIs in Europe [Flaxman S, Mishra S, Gandy A et al. (2020) Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe: Flaxman S, Mishra S, Gandy A et al. (2020) Estimating the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 in Europe. Nature 584 257-261 doi: 10.1038/s41586-020-2405-7 And the US: Unwin HJT, Mishra S, Bradley VC et al. (2020) State-level tracking of COVID-19 in the United States. Nature Comms 11:6189 doi:10.1038/s41467-020-19652-6] With outputs provided on open-access dashboards.
Start Year 2020
 
Description EDCTP South Africa Grant 
Organisation University of the Western Cape
Country South Africa 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Contributed phylogenetic analysis and mathematical modelling expertise
Collaborator Contribution Contributed phylogenetic analysis and mathematical modelling expertise Data provision
Impact Not yet recognised
Start Year 2020
 
Description Early warning indicators for resurgence or elimination 
Organisation University of Hong Kong
Country Hong Kong 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Developed methodology for providing advanced warnings of resurgence or elimination of an epidemic. Part of EpiFilter package (see software tools section).
Collaborator Contribution Provided data for analysis and verified simulation results.
Impact Paper with analyses of multiple waves of COVID-19 in different countries and regions: https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsif.2021.0569 Paper on the limits of resurgence detection: https://journals.plos.org/ploscompbiol/article?id=10.1371/journal.pcbi.1010004 Contribution to projects in Hong Kong university on the influence of super-spreading. Method already being used by different researchers to aid COVID-19 situational awareness. Potential buy-in from collaborators for future studies.
Start Year 2020
 
Description Entomological Adaptive Sampling Advisory Group (EASAG) 
Organisation University of California, San Francisco
Country United States 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution EASAG is a newly formed group led by the University of California, San Francisco's (UCSF) Malaria Elimination Initiative (MEI), working in collaboration with the University of Notre Dame, Lancaster University, and the National Malaria Programs and Partners from Mozambique and Nigeria aiming to develop, pilot, and evaluate a spatiotemporal model-based entomological adaptive sampling framework (EASF). The project is funded by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, and will run for the period of July 2021-March 2024. I have been invited as an advisory member to help provide technical expertise on the statistical modelling and protocol, brainstorm adaptive sampling and link findings to other platforms which could include the MINT webtool designed as part of the deliverables of the UKRI FLF award. I look forward to the first virtual meeting to be held in April.
Collaborator Contribution The group has identified that using adaptive surveillance sampling methods could produce better data for decision making. The key question asks whether the EASF's sampling strategies can improve the accuracy and efficiently of surveillance efforts to capture spatial and temporal changes in vector species compositions, behavior and insecticide resistance relative to current approaches over two transmission seasons in Mozambique and Nigeria. This has potential to better protect communities within countries suffering high burdens of malaria parasite infections, illness and deaths by optimising surveillance data methods for decision makers.
Impact The project has just begun.
Start Year 2021
 
Description Estimating the potential impact of COVID-19-related disruptions on HIV incidence and mortality among men who have sex with men in the United States: a modelling study 
Organisation Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center (FHCRC)
Country United States 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Writing of paper for publication Conception Data analysis Mathematical modelling expertise
Collaborator Contribution Writing of paper for publication Interpretation of results
Impact Paper submitted for publication in Lancet:HIV
Start Year 2020
 
Description FACEBOOK - TO BE COMPLETED 
Organisation Facebook
Country United States 
Sector Private 
PI Contribution Data Analysis Mathematical Modelling Expertise Data Processing
Collaborator Contribution Provision of mobility data
Impact Provision of data has allowed Imperial College researchers to develop high end models showing patterns of movement and social contacts. Research has been published in reports which have been used to inform national lockdown and restriction strategies.
Start Year 2020
 
Description Forming of exceptional think tank to inform COVID-19 response in Malawi 
Organisation Government of Malawi
Country Malawi 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution Analytics investigation to help inform policy choices in response to COVID-19 for the government of Malawi Mathematical modelling Data analysis Data processing
Collaborator Contribution Collaborative work Data provision
Impact Papers published: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.10.06.20207878v1 Informed the policy choices for the government of Malawi in response to COVID-19 pandemic
Start Year 2020
 
Description Forming of exceptional think tank to inform COVID-19 response in Malawi 
Organisation Ministry of Health Malawi
Country Malawi 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution Analytics investigation to help inform policy choices in response to COVID-19 for the government of Malawi Mathematical modelling Data analysis Data processing
Collaborator Contribution Collaborative work Data provision
Impact Papers published: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.10.06.20207878v1 Informed the policy choices for the government of Malawi in response to COVID-19 pandemic
Start Year 2020
 
Description Forming of exceptional think tank to inform COVID-19 response in Malawi 
Organisation University of Malawi
Country Malawi 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Analytics investigation to help inform policy choices in response to COVID-19 for the government of Malawi Mathematical modelling Data analysis Data processing
Collaborator Contribution Collaborative work Data provision
Impact Papers published: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.10.06.20207878v1 Informed the policy choices for the government of Malawi in response to COVID-19 pandemic
Start Year 2020
 
Description Forming of exceptional think tank to inform COVID-19 response in Malawi 
Organisation University of York
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Analytics investigation to help inform policy choices in response to COVID-19 for the government of Malawi Mathematical modelling Data analysis Data processing
Collaborator Contribution Collaborative work Data provision
Impact Papers published: https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.10.06.20207878v1 Informed the policy choices for the government of Malawi in response to COVID-19 pandemic
Start Year 2020
 
Description Genomic characterisation of an emergent SARS-CoV-2 lineage in Manaus: preliminary findings 
Organisation Fundação Pró-Sangue Hemocentro de São Paulo
Country Brazil 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution Project management Coordination of teams Genomic analysis Viral genomic expertise Data analysis Data processing Data interpretation Writing of paper Coordination of media response
Collaborator Contribution Viral genomic expertise Data analysis Provision of data Data processing Data interpretation Writing of paper
Impact Report published in Virological 85k views on Virological Widely cited on social media - 393k impressions on Twitter
Start Year 2020
 
Description Genomic characterisation of an emergent SARS-CoV-2 lineage in Manaus: preliminary findings 
Organisation Harvard University
Department Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health
Country United States 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Project management Coordination of teams Genomic analysis Viral genomic expertise Data analysis Data processing Data interpretation Writing of paper Coordination of media response
Collaborator Contribution Viral genomic expertise Data analysis Provision of data Data processing Data interpretation Writing of paper
Impact Report published in Virological 85k views on Virological Widely cited on social media - 393k impressions on Twitter
Start Year 2020
 
Description Genomic characterisation of an emergent SARS-CoV-2 lineage in Manaus: preliminary findings 
Organisation Oswaldo Cruz Foundation (Fiocruz)
Country Brazil 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution Project management Coordination of teams Genomic analysis Viral genomic expertise Data analysis Data processing Data interpretation Writing of paper Coordination of media response
Collaborator Contribution Viral genomic expertise Data analysis Provision of data Data processing Data interpretation Writing of paper
Impact Report published in Virological 85k views on Virological Widely cited on social media - 393k impressions on Twitter
Start Year 2020
 
Description Genomic characterisation of an emergent SARS-CoV-2 lineage in Manaus: preliminary findings 
Organisation Universidade de São Paulo
Country Brazil 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Project management Coordination of teams Genomic analysis Viral genomic expertise Data analysis Data processing Data interpretation Writing of paper Coordination of media response
Collaborator Contribution Viral genomic expertise Data analysis Provision of data Data processing Data interpretation Writing of paper
Impact Report published in Virological 85k views on Virological Widely cited on social media - 393k impressions on Twitter
Start Year 2020
 
Description Genomic characterisation of an emergent SARS-CoV-2 lineage in Manaus: preliminary findings 
Organisation University of California, San Francisco
Country United States 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Project management Coordination of teams Genomic analysis Viral genomic expertise Data analysis Data processing Data interpretation Writing of paper Coordination of media response
Collaborator Contribution Viral genomic expertise Data analysis Provision of data Data processing Data interpretation Writing of paper
Impact Report published in Virological 85k views on Virological Widely cited on social media - 393k impressions on Twitter
Start Year 2020
 
Description Genomic characterisation of an emergent SARS-CoV-2 lineage in Manaus: preliminary findings 
Organisation University of Edinburgh
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Project management Coordination of teams Genomic analysis Viral genomic expertise Data analysis Data processing Data interpretation Writing of paper Coordination of media response
Collaborator Contribution Viral genomic expertise Data analysis Provision of data Data processing Data interpretation Writing of paper
Impact Report published in Virological 85k views on Virological Widely cited on social media - 393k impressions on Twitter
Start Year 2020
 
Description Genomic characterisation of an emergent SARS-CoV-2 lineage in Manaus: preliminary findings 
Organisation University of Oxford
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Project management Coordination of teams Genomic analysis Viral genomic expertise Data analysis Data processing Data interpretation Writing of paper Coordination of media response
Collaborator Contribution Viral genomic expertise Data analysis Provision of data Data processing Data interpretation Writing of paper
Impact Report published in Virological 85k views on Virological Widely cited on social media - 393k impressions on Twitter
Start Year 2020
 
Description Google - Covid-19 mobility data research program - Data Access Agreement 
Organisation Google
Department Research at Google
Country United States 
Sector Private 
PI Contribution COVID-19 Data analysis
Collaborator Contribution COVID-19 Data provision via Data Access Agreement
Impact Ongoing
Start Year 2020
 
Description Government of the UK 
Organisation Government of the UK
Department Department of Health and Social Care
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution Mathematical modelling Data processing Data analysis
Collaborator Contribution Data Provision
Impact Confidential
Start Year 2020
 
Description Group testing for COVID-19 
Organisation Simon Fraser University
Country Canada 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Conceptualisation of the project Analysis of group testing strategies Laboratory based implementation of strategies Preparation of manuscripts
Collaborator Contribution Implementation of the project Analysis of group testing strategies Preparation of manuscripts
Impact Manuscript under preparation
Start Year 2020
 
Description Herbert Smith Freehills LLP - Consultancy Agreement (COVID-19) 
Organisation Herbert Smith Freehills
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Private 
PI Contribution Provision of Expert Witness Consultancy Services (COVID-19)
Collaborator Contribution Request to team (COVID-19)
Impact No outputs yet.
Start Year 2020
 
Description Impact of COVID-19 on malaria control programmes (National malaria elimination programme Nigeria) 
Organisation National Malaria Control Programme
Country Swaziland 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution Justification of continuing to support malaria during COVID Mathematical modelling expertise Writing up of scientific paper
Collaborator Contribution Writing up of scientific paper Data provision - district level estimates
Impact Modelling highlighted the need to continue national elimination programmes. Supported the justification of continued distribution of 22 million bed nets that otherwise would not have been distributed due to COVID-19
Start Year 2020
 
Description Impact of therapeutics and vaccines on COVID-19 
Organisation Medical Research Council (MRC)
Department MRC Clinical Trials Unit
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Modelling expertise Data Analysis
Collaborator Contribution Design of clinical trial Management of clinical trials Clinical expertise
Impact Multiple grant applications generated to support clinical trials Paper under preparation
Start Year 2020
 
Description Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust Collaboration - patient- level data analysis 
Organisation Imperial College Healthcare NHS Trust
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Hospitals 
PI Contribution Analysis of patient-level data on the COVID-19 hospitalisations workstream led by Katharina Hauck
Collaborator Contribution Provision of patient-level data
Impact Clinical papers. Ongoing. Update 2022 - papers published: http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12913-021-07008-9 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s43588-021-00111-1 http://dx.doi.org/10.1097/MLR.0000000000001502 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-81930-0 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/jmv.26594 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jinf.2020.06.049
Start Year 2020
 
Description Improving phylodynamic models by integrating epidemiological and genetic data 
Organisation University of Oxford
Department Oxford Martin School
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Guided model development and provided input into design choices. Aided verification of its outputs. Supervised project outputs.
Collaborator Contribution Collaborators led the project, developed the central model and accompanying software and benchmarking tests.
Impact Paper in PLOS Computational Biology (which I jointly supervised) on the benefits of integrative approaches. New work ongoing into how this can improve reproduction number estimates from genomic data.
Start Year 2020
 
Description Integrated economic epidemiological modelling (Katharina) 
Organisation World Health Organization (WHO)
Country Global 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution Data analytics and modelling projections
Collaborator Contribution Project management and liaison with policy makers
Impact Modelling projections on the economic and health impact of alternative pandemic mitigation strategies (confidential)
Start Year 2021
 
Description International Severe Acute Respiratory and emerging Infection Consortium 
Organisation The Global Health Network
Department International Severe Acute Respiratory Infection Consortium (ISARIC)
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Charity/Non Profit 
PI Contribution Method and analysis of clinical data collected internationally on hospitalised COVID-19 patients
Collaborator Contribution Collection of and curation of data Medical interpretation of results
Impact Publications in ERJ Open Research and E-Life
Start Year 2020
 
Description LSHTM collaboration on forecasting 
Organisation London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine (LSHTM)
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution We have provided feedback and guidance on the design of an R package developed by LSHTM colleagues to evaluate and compare epidemic forecasts. I am a co-supervisor of a PhD student and we have multiple papers submitted or accepted together.
Collaborator Contribution They led the development and implementation of models and packages.
Impact One paper published, two papers submitted, one R package developed
Start Year 2020
 
Description Mapping the risk of international infectious disease spread 
Organisation HealthMap
Sector Charity/Non Profit 
PI Contribution Developing a mathematical model of spatial spread of infectious diseases
Collaborator Contribution Providing data on Ebola UPDATE 2022 - Design and maintenance of website and input on methods
Impact Talks at several conferences - Epidemics 8th edition - https://www.elsevier.com/events/conferences/international-conference-on-infectious-disease-dynamics Papers in preparation - https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.11.26.21266899v1 UPDATE 2022 - papers published: Data Journalism and the COVID-19 Pandemic - Challenges and Opportunities The Lancet Digital Health Using digital surveillance tools for near real-time mapping of the risk of international infectious disease spread: Ebola as a case study, NPJ Digital Medicine 4, 73
Start Year 2016
 
Description Mapping the risk of international infectious disease spread 
Organisation Healthsites.io
Country France 
Sector Private 
PI Contribution Developing a mathematical model of spatial spread of infectious diseases
Collaborator Contribution Providing data on Ebola UPDATE 2022 - Design and maintenance of website and input on methods
Impact Talks at several conferences - Epidemics 8th edition - https://www.elsevier.com/events/conferences/international-conference-on-infectious-disease-dynamics Papers in preparation - https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.11.26.21266899v1 UPDATE 2022 - papers published: Data Journalism and the COVID-19 Pandemic - Challenges and Opportunities The Lancet Digital Health Using digital surveillance tools for near real-time mapping of the risk of international infectious disease spread: Ebola as a case study, NPJ Digital Medicine 4, 73
Start Year 2016
 
Description Mapping the risk of international infectious disease spread 
Organisation International Society for Infectious Diseases (ISID)
Department Program for Monitoring Emerging Diseases
Country United States 
Sector Charity/Non Profit 
PI Contribution Developing a mathematical model of spatial spread of infectious diseases
Collaborator Contribution Providing data on Ebola UPDATE 2022 - Design and maintenance of website and input on methods
Impact Talks at several conferences - Epidemics 8th edition - https://www.elsevier.com/events/conferences/international-conference-on-infectious-disease-dynamics Papers in preparation - https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.11.26.21266899v1 UPDATE 2022 - papers published: Data Journalism and the COVID-19 Pandemic - Challenges and Opportunities The Lancet Digital Health Using digital surveillance tools for near real-time mapping of the risk of international infectious disease spread: Ebola as a case study, NPJ Digital Medicine 4, 73
Start Year 2016
 
Description Mapping the risk of international infectious disease spread 
Organisation University of Oxford
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Developing a mathematical model of spatial spread of infectious diseases
Collaborator Contribution Providing data on Ebola UPDATE 2022 - Design and maintenance of website and input on methods
Impact Talks at several conferences - Epidemics 8th edition - https://www.elsevier.com/events/conferences/international-conference-on-infectious-disease-dynamics Papers in preparation - https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.11.26.21266899v1 UPDATE 2022 - papers published: Data Journalism and the COVID-19 Pandemic - Challenges and Opportunities The Lancet Digital Health Using digital surveillance tools for near real-time mapping of the risk of international infectious disease spread: Ebola as a case study, NPJ Digital Medicine 4, 73
Start Year 2016
 
Description Mapping the risk of international infectious disease spread 
Organisation University of Sussex
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Developing a mathematical model of spatial spread of infectious diseases
Collaborator Contribution Providing data on Ebola UPDATE 2022 - Design and maintenance of website and input on methods
Impact Talks at several conferences - Epidemics 8th edition - https://www.elsevier.com/events/conferences/international-conference-on-infectious-disease-dynamics Papers in preparation - https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.11.26.21266899v1 UPDATE 2022 - papers published: Data Journalism and the COVID-19 Pandemic - Challenges and Opportunities The Lancet Digital Health Using digital surveillance tools for near real-time mapping of the risk of international infectious disease spread: Ebola as a case study, NPJ Digital Medicine 4, 73
Start Year 2016
 
Description Modelling of COVID-19 pandemic in India 
Organisation Christian Medical College, Vellore
Country India 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Development of model of SARS-COV2 transmission to forecast hospital bed needs and to estimate the proportion of population infected
Collaborator Contribution Coordination of results and analysis with Indian government and sharing of data
Impact Confidential Paper written (pre-print) UPDATE 2022: Paper accepted in EID Impact - work was used by the chief scientific advisor to the Indian govt
Start Year 2020
 
Description Modelling optimal COVID-19 response in India 
Organisation Indian Council of Medical Research (ICMR)
Country India 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution Developed mathematical model of impact of COVID-19 vaccination in India Examined impact of different strategies for prioritisation of clinical risk groups
Collaborator Contribution Provided guidance on potential policy options Validated mathematical model
Impact Series of manuscripts now published as a result of this collaboration: https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/11/7/e048874 https://www.thelancet.com/journals/langlo/article/PIIS2214-109X(21)00284-9/fulltext https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/34519335/ https://gh.bmj.com/content/bmjgh/7/5/e008710.full.pdf Co-authors include Director General and Deputy Director General of ICMR - informed Indian Government planning for vaccine rollout
Start Year 2020
 
Description Modelling public/private mix strategies in TB, following COVID disruptions 
Organisation World Health Organization (WHO)
Country Global 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution WHO has developed an active workstream in how COVID disruptions have affected the private sector in TB control. The IC research team developed modelling analyses in support of this workstream, to address the implications of private sector disruption in high burden countries. The work was presented to the WHO global PPM working group and is now being prepared for publication.
Collaborator Contribution Provision of data for analysis and validation
Impact The work was presented to the WHO global PPM working group and is now being prepared for publication.
Start Year 2021
 
Description MozCOVID 
Organisation Centro de Investigação em Saúde de Manhiça
Country Mozambique 
Sector Charity/Non Profit 
PI Contribution Analytical and modelling support
Collaborator Contribution Conducting PCR and sero-prevalence data Community based mortality data
Impact Not yet recognised
Start Year 2020
 
Description Multi Province modelling on COVID-19: impact of heterogeneity and intervention 
Organisation McGill University
Country Canada 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Modelling analysis for vaccination
Collaborator Contribution Data analysis Modelling on non-pharmaceutical interventions Group discussions
Impact Not yet recgonised
Start Year 2020
 
Description Multi Province modelling on COVID-19: impact of heterogeneity and intervention 
Organisation Simon Fraser University
Country Canada 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Modelling analysis for vaccination
Collaborator Contribution Data analysis Modelling on non-pharmaceutical interventions Group discussions
Impact Not yet recgonised
Start Year 2020
 
Description Multi Province modelling on COVID-19: impact of heterogeneity and intervention 
Organisation University of Toronto
Country Canada 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Modelling analysis for vaccination
Collaborator Contribution Data analysis Modelling on non-pharmaceutical interventions Group discussions
Impact Not yet recgonised
Start Year 2020
 
Description NPI effectiveness 
Organisation University of Oxford
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Senior author on project Supervision of modelling efforts and data analysis Contribution to writing and editing manuscript
Collaborator Contribution Mathematical modelling expertise Data collection, provision and analysis Contribution to writing and editing of manuscript
Impact Paper published in Science '
Start Year 2020
 
Description New York State - Non Disclosure Agreement (COVID-19) 
Organisation State of New York
Department New York State Department of Health
Country United States 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution Data analysis and reporting. To help the Chamber better understand the possible impavts of the COVID_19 emergency disaster on New York State ("State") ("the Permitted Purpose").
Collaborator Contribution Request to team (COVID-19)
Impact Confidential
Start Year 2020
 
Description Official WHO COVID-19 modelling collaborating centre: Global estimates of the potential scale of the epidemic across all countries - Report 12 (International response) 
Organisation World Health Organization (WHO)
Country Global 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution During the early phase of the pandemic, the Imperial College team worked closely with WHO as an official modelling collaborating centre, providing estimates of the transmissibility and severity of SARS-CoV-2 during January and February.
Collaborator Contribution Official WHO COVID-19 modelling collaborating centre
Impact In March, in response to a direct request, we developed global estimates of the potential scale of the epidemic across all countries ("Report 12" {https://www.imperial.ac.uk/mrc-global-infectious-disease-analysis/covid-19/report-12-global-impact-covid-19/} subsequently published in Walker PGT, Whittaker C, Watson OJ et al. (2020) The impact of COVID-19 and strategies for mitigation and suppression in low- and middle-income countries. Science. 369(6502):413-422. doi: 10.1126/science.abc0035]; shared across several UN organisations, the World Bank, the International Monetary Fund to inform early resource planning.
Start Year 2020
 
Description Official WHO COVID-19 modelling collaborating centre: WHO Global Costing (International response) 
Organisation World Health Organization (WHO)
Country Global 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution WHO Global Costing: Building on early research estimating the transmissibility and severity of SARS-CoV-2, we fitted models to the state of the epidemic across all Low- and Middle-income countries.
Collaborator Contribution Official WHO COVID-19 modelling collaborating centre
Impact Regular updates on the epidemic state have been provided via an open-access dashboard (https://mrc-ide.github.io/global-lmic-reports/ ) that has been accessed over xxx times as of 1st January 2021 and a user interface to the model software (www.covidsim.org). The global fits from this model were used to directly inform WHO estimates of global financial need (co-authored as a paper).
Start Year 2020
 
Description Omicron severity 
Organisation The Statens Serum Institute (SSI)
Country Denmark 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution Evaluation of data relating to Omicron severity
Collaborator Contribution Provision of data
Impact Paper under review in Lancet Infectious Disease
Start Year 2021
 
Description Optimal national prioritization policies for hospital care during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic (Katharina) 
Organisation The Health Foundation
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Charity/Non Profit 
PI Contribution Data analysis
Collaborator Contribution Data analysis Contribution of hospital episode statistics
Impact Publication in Nature Computational Science
Start Year 2020
 
Description Production of Short Films: Burnt Orange Theatre Company 
Organisation Burnt Orange Theatre Company
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution Imperial College London partnered with the Burnt OrangeTheatre Company to engage 20 young creatives between the ages of 14-20 in COVID-19 research. ICL provided the reports on which the films were centered.
Collaborator Contribution Each group of young people created a short film which incorporated some of their personal experiences during the pandemic, and elements of the COVID-19 research report their group was assigned. The project was initiated and managed by Fola Afolabi; the creative aspects were facilitated by the Burnt Orange Theatre Company. The NIHR Applied Research Collaboration Northwest London funded the project. https://www.facebook.com/burntorangetheatre/
Impact Production of short films for Report 1, 6, 10, 22 and 24. Episode 1, Report 1 https://youtu.be/H6Zifam_wng Episode 2, Report 10 https://youtu.be/vfzBgYnZg2o Episode 3, Report 13 https://youtu.be/xjKQt6Qc6d0 Episode 4, Report 22 https://youtu.be/5A22gWcL98Y Episode 5, Report 24 https://youtu.be/UB3zpV5T67I
Start Year 2020
 
Description Quantifying the potential value of antigen-detection rapid diagnostic tests for COVID-19: a modelling analysis 
Organisation Foundation for Innovative New Diagnostics (FIND)
Country Switzerland 
Sector Charity/Non Profit 
PI Contribution Development and implementation of modelling Contributed to development of user friendly web tool
Collaborator Contribution JHU colleagues helped develop the model and led on the development of the web tool FIND colleagues provided data and validated the study
Impact Published in BMC Medicine: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33685466/
Start Year 2020
 
Description Quantifying the potential value of antigen-detection rapid diagnostic tests for COVID-19: a modelling analysis 
Organisation Johns Hopkins University
Country United States 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Development and implementation of modelling Contributed to development of user friendly web tool
Collaborator Contribution JHU colleagues helped develop the model and led on the development of the web tool FIND colleagues provided data and validated the study
Impact Published in BMC Medicine: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33685466/
Start Year 2020
 
Description REACT Programme 
Organisation Department of Health (DH)
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution I co-led REACT-1 with Paul Ellitt
Collaborator Contribution DHSC provided funding. IPSOS provided logistical support.
Impact Many publications and media engagements.
Start Year 2020
 
Description Real Time estimation of transmission intensity of SARS-COV2 
Organisation University of the Philippines
Country Philippines 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Production of estimates of R numbers by region
Collaborator Contribution Data provision
Impact Poster presentation at EPIDEMICS conference
Start Year 2020
 
Description Resurgence of COVID-19 in Manaus, Brazil, despite high seroprevalence 
Organisation Fundação Pró-Sangue Hemocentro de São Paulo
Country Brazil 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution Project management Project co-ordination Writing of manuscript Conceptualisation
Collaborator Contribution Project management Project co-ordination Writing of manuscript
Impact Paper published in The Lancet - widely discussed across different media CITATIONS12 Citation Indexes12 CrossRef12 Scopus1 CAPTURES125 Readers125 Mendeley125 MENTIONS215 News Mentions204 News204 Blog Mentions11 Blog11 SOCIAL MEDIA14,735 Shares, Likes & Comments8,384 Facebook8,384 Tweets6,351 Twitter6,351
Start Year 2021
 
Description Resurgence of COVID-19 in Manaus, Brazil, despite high seroprevalence 
Organisation Harvard University
Department Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health
Country United States 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Project management Project co-ordination Writing of manuscript Conceptualisation
Collaborator Contribution Project management Project co-ordination Writing of manuscript
Impact Paper published in The Lancet - widely discussed across different media CITATIONS12 Citation Indexes12 CrossRef12 Scopus1 CAPTURES125 Readers125 Mendeley125 MENTIONS215 News Mentions204 News204 Blog Mentions11 Blog11 SOCIAL MEDIA14,735 Shares, Likes & Comments8,384 Facebook8,384 Tweets6,351 Twitter6,351
Start Year 2021
 
Description Resurgence of COVID-19 in Manaus, Brazil, despite high seroprevalence 
Organisation London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine (LSHTM)
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Project management Project co-ordination Writing of manuscript Conceptualisation
Collaborator Contribution Project management Project co-ordination Writing of manuscript
Impact Paper published in The Lancet - widely discussed across different media CITATIONS12 Citation Indexes12 CrossRef12 Scopus1 CAPTURES125 Readers125 Mendeley125 MENTIONS215 News Mentions204 News204 Blog Mentions11 Blog11 SOCIAL MEDIA14,735 Shares, Likes & Comments8,384 Facebook8,384 Tweets6,351 Twitter6,351
Start Year 2021
 
Description Resurgence of COVID-19 in Manaus, Brazil, despite high seroprevalence 
Organisation Oswaldo Cruz Foundation (Fiocruz)
Country Brazil 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution Project management Project co-ordination Writing of manuscript Conceptualisation
Collaborator Contribution Project management Project co-ordination Writing of manuscript
Impact Paper published in The Lancet - widely discussed across different media CITATIONS12 Citation Indexes12 CrossRef12 Scopus1 CAPTURES125 Readers125 Mendeley125 MENTIONS215 News Mentions204 News204 Blog Mentions11 Blog11 SOCIAL MEDIA14,735 Shares, Likes & Comments8,384 Facebook8,384 Tweets6,351 Twitter6,351
Start Year 2021
 
Description Resurgence of COVID-19 in Manaus, Brazil, despite high seroprevalence 
Organisation Universidade de São Paulo
Country Brazil 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Project management Project co-ordination Writing of manuscript Conceptualisation
Collaborator Contribution Project management Project co-ordination Writing of manuscript
Impact Paper published in The Lancet - widely discussed across different media CITATIONS12 Citation Indexes12 CrossRef12 Scopus1 CAPTURES125 Readers125 Mendeley125 MENTIONS215 News Mentions204 News204 Blog Mentions11 Blog11 SOCIAL MEDIA14,735 Shares, Likes & Comments8,384 Facebook8,384 Tweets6,351 Twitter6,351
Start Year 2021
 
Description Resurgence of COVID-19 in Manaus, Brazil, despite high seroprevalence 
Organisation University of California, San Francisco
Country United States 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Project management Project co-ordination Writing of manuscript Conceptualisation
Collaborator Contribution Project management Project co-ordination Writing of manuscript
Impact Paper published in The Lancet - widely discussed across different media CITATIONS12 Citation Indexes12 CrossRef12 Scopus1 CAPTURES125 Readers125 Mendeley125 MENTIONS215 News Mentions204 News204 Blog Mentions11 Blog11 SOCIAL MEDIA14,735 Shares, Likes & Comments8,384 Facebook8,384 Tweets6,351 Twitter6,351
Start Year 2021
 
Description Resurgence of COVID-19 in Manaus, Brazil, despite high seroprevalence 
Organisation University of Oxford
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Project management Project co-ordination Writing of manuscript Conceptualisation
Collaborator Contribution Project management Project co-ordination Writing of manuscript
Impact Paper published in The Lancet - widely discussed across different media CITATIONS12 Citation Indexes12 CrossRef12 Scopus1 CAPTURES125 Readers125 Mendeley125 MENTIONS215 News Mentions204 News204 Blog Mentions11 Blog11 SOCIAL MEDIA14,735 Shares, Likes & Comments8,384 Facebook8,384 Tweets6,351 Twitter6,351
Start Year 2021
 
Description SARS-CoV-2 tranmission heterogeneity in the UK Alpha wave estimated through phylodynamic modeling 
Organisation Utrecht University
Country Netherlands 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Supervisio of project by Erik Volz + Manon Ragonnet
Collaborator Contribution Project is being carried by medical student based at Utrecht
Impact not yet, abstract to be submitted shortly
Start Year 2021
 
Description Scientific Pandemic Influenza - Modelling - Operational Committee 
Organisation Government of the UK
Department Department of Health and Social Care
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution We provided analysis and advice.
Collaborator Contribution SPI-M-O provided data and questions.
Impact Many peer-reviewed papers and government advice notes.
Start Year 2020
 
Description Secretary of State for Defence (Defence Science and Technology Laboratory) (DTSL) - Non-Disclosure and Data Protection Agreement (COVID-19) 
Organisation Defence Science & Technology Laboratory (DSTL)
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution Imperial College London possesses valuable technical and commercial information relating to epidemiological modelling. ICL desires to evaluate the data with a view to model the COVID pandemic, including generating now casts and forecasts and provide advice to government, and especially advice to the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies ("SAGE") ("the Purpose").
Collaborator Contribution Dstl has access to NHS sensitive information relating to data collected by the NHS (the "Data Owner") relating to the COVID-19 pandemic ("COVID Data"). This may include anonymised patient data or supply chain hospital data. Dstl has permission from the NHS to disclose the COVID Data to members of the Scientific Pandemic Influenza Group on Modelling (SPI-M). In order for ICL to carry out said evaluation it is necessary for Dstl to provide the COVID Data for evaluation and analysis.
Impact No outputs yet.
Start Year 2020
 
Description Serological surveillance of SARS-COV-2 in Manaus and Sao Paulo 
Organisation Fundação Pró-Sangue Hemocentro de São Paulo
Country Brazil 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution Project lead Coordination of research teams Provided methodological input Writing of paper Epidemiological expertise Conception Data Analysis
Collaborator Contribution Provision of data Analysis of data Interpretation of data Contribution to writing of paper
Impact Paper submitted and accepted in Science. Picked up by 295 news outlets Blogged by 18 Tweeted by 5480 On 8 Facebook pages Referenced in 2 Wikipedia pages Reddited by 6 On 1 videos 160 readers on Mendeley
Start Year 2020
 
Description Serological surveillance of SARS-COV-2 in Manaus and Sao Paulo 
Organisation Harvard University
Department Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health
Country United States 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Project lead Coordination of research teams Provided methodological input Writing of paper Epidemiological expertise Conception Data Analysis
Collaborator Contribution Provision of data Analysis of data Interpretation of data Contribution to writing of paper
Impact Paper submitted and accepted in Science. Picked up by 295 news outlets Blogged by 18 Tweeted by 5480 On 8 Facebook pages Referenced in 2 Wikipedia pages Reddited by 6 On 1 videos 160 readers on Mendeley
Start Year 2020
 
Description Serological surveillance of SARS-COV-2 in Manaus and Sao Paulo 
Organisation Oswaldo Cruz Foundation (Fiocruz)
Country Brazil 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution Project lead Coordination of research teams Provided methodological input Writing of paper Epidemiological expertise Conception Data Analysis
Collaborator Contribution Provision of data Analysis of data Interpretation of data Contribution to writing of paper
Impact Paper submitted and accepted in Science. Picked up by 295 news outlets Blogged by 18 Tweeted by 5480 On 8 Facebook pages Referenced in 2 Wikipedia pages Reddited by 6 On 1 videos 160 readers on Mendeley
Start Year 2020
 
Description Serological surveillance of SARS-COV-2 in Manaus and Sao Paulo 
Organisation Universidade de São Paulo
Country Brazil 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Project lead Coordination of research teams Provided methodological input Writing of paper Epidemiological expertise Conception Data Analysis
Collaborator Contribution Provision of data Analysis of data Interpretation of data Contribution to writing of paper
Impact Paper submitted and accepted in Science. Picked up by 295 news outlets Blogged by 18 Tweeted by 5480 On 8 Facebook pages Referenced in 2 Wikipedia pages Reddited by 6 On 1 videos 160 readers on Mendeley
Start Year 2020
 
Description Serological surveillance of SARS-COV-2 in Manaus and Sao Paulo 
Organisation University of California, San Francisco
Country United States 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Project lead Coordination of research teams Provided methodological input Writing of paper Epidemiological expertise Conception Data Analysis
Collaborator Contribution Provision of data Analysis of data Interpretation of data Contribution to writing of paper
Impact Paper submitted and accepted in Science. Picked up by 295 news outlets Blogged by 18 Tweeted by 5480 On 8 Facebook pages Referenced in 2 Wikipedia pages Reddited by 6 On 1 videos 160 readers on Mendeley
Start Year 2020
 
Description Serological surveillance of SARS-COV-2 in Manaus and Sao Paulo 
Organisation University of Oxford
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Project lead Coordination of research teams Provided methodological input Writing of paper Epidemiological expertise Conception Data Analysis
Collaborator Contribution Provision of data Analysis of data Interpretation of data Contribution to writing of paper
Impact Paper submitted and accepted in Science. Picked up by 295 news outlets Blogged by 18 Tweeted by 5480 On 8 Facebook pages Referenced in 2 Wikipedia pages Reddited by 6 On 1 videos 160 readers on Mendeley
Start Year 2020
 
Description Strengthening hospitals capacities to deal with COVID-19 pandemic 
Organisation Imperial College London
Department Imperial College Business School
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Modelling expertise Data Analysis Data Processing Contribution to report writing Lead on development of planning tools - COVID-19 elective care scheduling and Hospital Planning Tool
Collaborator Contribution Contribution to report writing Health system analysis Operations research expertise
Impact MRC-GIDA Report 40 MRC-GIDA Report 36 MRC-GIDA Report 29 MRC-GIDA Report 27 MRC-GIDA Report 15
Start Year 2020
 
Description Support to COVID-19 response - Zimbabwe 
Organisation Medical Research Council of Zimbabwe
Country Zimbabwe 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution Mathematical modelling support to guide decisions regarding the COVID-19 response Technical support on COVID surveillance Questionnaire design for national SARS-Cov 2 seroprevalence survey Grant applications to Foreign Commonwealth and Development Office
Collaborator Contribution Data collection and provision Secretariat support and project management Dissemination of results
Impact Policy decisions made on national lockdowns and COVID control measures
Start Year 2020
 
Description Support to COVID-19 response - Zimbabwe 
Organisation Ministry of Health and Child Welfare of the Republic of Zimbabwe
Country Zimbabwe 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution Mathematical modelling support to guide decisions regarding the COVID-19 response Technical support on COVID surveillance Questionnaire design for national SARS-Cov 2 seroprevalence survey Grant applications to Foreign Commonwealth and Development Office
Collaborator Contribution Data collection and provision Secretariat support and project management Dissemination of results
Impact Policy decisions made on national lockdowns and COVID control measures
Start Year 2020
 
Description Support to COVID-19 response - Zimbabwe 
Organisation National Institute of Health Research
Country Zimbabwe 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution Mathematical modelling support to guide decisions regarding the COVID-19 response Technical support on COVID surveillance Questionnaire design for national SARS-Cov 2 seroprevalence survey Grant applications to Foreign Commonwealth and Development Office
Collaborator Contribution Data collection and provision Secretariat support and project management Dissemination of results
Impact Policy decisions made on national lockdowns and COVID control measures
Start Year 2020
 
Description Support to COVID-19 response in Quebec 
Organisation University of Bristol
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Interpretation of results and implications Critique of results
Collaborator Contribution Data analysis Writing of report Dissemination of results
Impact Online reports published
Start Year 2020
 
Description Support to COVID-19 response in Quebec 
Organisation World Health Organization (WHO)
Country Global 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution Interpretation of results and implications Critique of results
Collaborator Contribution Data analysis Writing of report Dissemination of results
Impact Online reports published
Start Year 2020
 
Description Support to WHO COVID-19 modelling network 
Organisation World Health Organization (WHO)
Country Global 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution Modelling and epidemiology expertise, contribution to writing and analysis of group paper,
Collaborator Contribution Coordination of international modelling groups.
Impact Early Insights from Statistical and Mathematical Modeling of Key Epidemiologic Parameters of COVID-19.; https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/26/11/20-1074_article
Start Year 2020
 
Description Supporting WHO COVID-19 pandemic response 
Organisation World Health Organization (WHO)
Country Global 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution Secondment of MRC Centre staff to WHO headquarters, continued remotely
Collaborator Contribution Data collection, data provision, data analysis, local expertise
Impact Daily WHO sitreps
Start Year 2020
 
Description Swab and serological testing in Vo, Italy 
Organisation University of Padova
Country Italy 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Modelling expertise Data analysis Assistance with study design
Collaborator Contribution Data collection Data provision Data analysis
Impact Increased testing programme in Vo and Veneto region. Publications: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-2488-1 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-24622-7 https://doi.org/10.1186/s13073-022-01066-2 https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-33460-0 https://doi.org/10.3390/v14020399
Start Year 2020
 
Description Teralytics - Joint Marketing Agreement (COVID-19) 
Organisation Teralytics
Country Switzerland 
Sector Private 
PI Contribution Build the forecast models on pandemic intervention effectiveness as an input, open-source it on GitHub, and provide the outcome to the general public. COVID-19.
Collaborator Contribution Provide aggregate level mobility data (the "Data Product") to be licensed to Client under the Agreement as "Licensed Data". COVID-19.
Impact No outputs yet.
Start Year 2020
 
Description The Department for Education (DfE) - Data Sharing Service Level Agreement (COVID-19) 
Organisation Department for Education
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution COVID-19 Data analysis and reporting
Collaborator Contribution COVID-19 Data provision via Data Sharing Service Level Agreement
Impact No outputs yet.
Start Year 2020
 
Description The Global Reference Group on Children Affected by COVID-19 
Organisation Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)
Country United States 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution The Global Reference Group on Children Affected by COVID-19 was established in July 2021, to produce global estimates for the numbers of children facing pandemic-associated deaths of their parents and caregivers, as well as to develop a unified strategy for evidence-based action. Our contribution was to develop methodology and estimates for the numbers of affected children
Collaborator Contribution Our collaborators main contribution is to support and advocate for the integration of 'care for children' affected by second order impacts of COVID-19 into mainstream COVID-19 Emergency Response planning and action. The focus is on children experiencing pandemic-associated deaths of their parents and caregivers, along with associated poverty, violence and other social vulnerabilities.
Impact 4 papers in The Lancet (https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(21)01253-8), Pediatrics (https://doi.org/10.1542/peds.2021-053760), The Lancet Child and Adolescent Health (https://doi.org/10.1016/S2352-4642(22)00005-0) and JAMA Peds (https://doi.org/10.1001/jamapediatrics.2022.3157).
Start Year 2021
 
Description The Global Reference Group on Children Affected by COVID-19 
Organisation Harvard University
Department Harvard Medical School
Country United States 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution The Global Reference Group on Children Affected by COVID-19 was established in July 2021, to produce global estimates for the numbers of children facing pandemic-associated deaths of their parents and caregivers, as well as to develop a unified strategy for evidence-based action. Our contribution was to develop methodology and estimates for the numbers of affected children
Collaborator Contribution Our collaborators main contribution is to support and advocate for the integration of 'care for children' affected by second order impacts of COVID-19 into mainstream COVID-19 Emergency Response planning and action. The focus is on children experiencing pandemic-associated deaths of their parents and caregivers, along with associated poverty, violence and other social vulnerabilities.
Impact 4 papers in The Lancet (https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(21)01253-8), Pediatrics (https://doi.org/10.1542/peds.2021-053760), The Lancet Child and Adolescent Health (https://doi.org/10.1016/S2352-4642(22)00005-0) and JAMA Peds (https://doi.org/10.1001/jamapediatrics.2022.3157).
Start Year 2021
 
Description The Global Reference Group on Children Affected by COVID-19 
Organisation Maestral International
Country United States 
Sector Private 
PI Contribution The Global Reference Group on Children Affected by COVID-19 was established in July 2021, to produce global estimates for the numbers of children facing pandemic-associated deaths of their parents and caregivers, as well as to develop a unified strategy for evidence-based action. Our contribution was to develop methodology and estimates for the numbers of affected children
Collaborator Contribution Our collaborators main contribution is to support and advocate for the integration of 'care for children' affected by second order impacts of COVID-19 into mainstream COVID-19 Emergency Response planning and action. The focus is on children experiencing pandemic-associated deaths of their parents and caregivers, along with associated poverty, violence and other social vulnerabilities.
Impact 4 papers in The Lancet (https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(21)01253-8), Pediatrics (https://doi.org/10.1542/peds.2021-053760), The Lancet Child and Adolescent Health (https://doi.org/10.1016/S2352-4642(22)00005-0) and JAMA Peds (https://doi.org/10.1001/jamapediatrics.2022.3157).
Start Year 2021
 
Description The Global Reference Group on Children Affected by COVID-19 
Organisation United States Agency for International Development
Country United States 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution The Global Reference Group on Children Affected by COVID-19 was established in July 2021, to produce global estimates for the numbers of children facing pandemic-associated deaths of their parents and caregivers, as well as to develop a unified strategy for evidence-based action. Our contribution was to develop methodology and estimates for the numbers of affected children
Collaborator Contribution Our collaborators main contribution is to support and advocate for the integration of 'care for children' affected by second order impacts of COVID-19 into mainstream COVID-19 Emergency Response planning and action. The focus is on children experiencing pandemic-associated deaths of their parents and caregivers, along with associated poverty, violence and other social vulnerabilities.
Impact 4 papers in The Lancet (https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(21)01253-8), Pediatrics (https://doi.org/10.1542/peds.2021-053760), The Lancet Child and Adolescent Health (https://doi.org/10.1016/S2352-4642(22)00005-0) and JAMA Peds (https://doi.org/10.1001/jamapediatrics.2022.3157).
Start Year 2021
 
Description The Global Reference Group on Children Affected by COVID-19 
Organisation University College London
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution The Global Reference Group on Children Affected by COVID-19 was established in July 2021, to produce global estimates for the numbers of children facing pandemic-associated deaths of their parents and caregivers, as well as to develop a unified strategy for evidence-based action. Our contribution was to develop methodology and estimates for the numbers of affected children
Collaborator Contribution Our collaborators main contribution is to support and advocate for the integration of 'care for children' affected by second order impacts of COVID-19 into mainstream COVID-19 Emergency Response planning and action. The focus is on children experiencing pandemic-associated deaths of their parents and caregivers, along with associated poverty, violence and other social vulnerabilities.
Impact 4 papers in The Lancet (https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(21)01253-8), Pediatrics (https://doi.org/10.1542/peds.2021-053760), The Lancet Child and Adolescent Health (https://doi.org/10.1016/S2352-4642(22)00005-0) and JAMA Peds (https://doi.org/10.1001/jamapediatrics.2022.3157).
Start Year 2021
 
Description The Global Reference Group on Children Affected by COVID-19 
Organisation University of KwaZulu-Natal
Country South Africa 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution The Global Reference Group on Children Affected by COVID-19 was established in July 2021, to produce global estimates for the numbers of children facing pandemic-associated deaths of their parents and caregivers, as well as to develop a unified strategy for evidence-based action. Our contribution was to develop methodology and estimates for the numbers of affected children
Collaborator Contribution Our collaborators main contribution is to support and advocate for the integration of 'care for children' affected by second order impacts of COVID-19 into mainstream COVID-19 Emergency Response planning and action. The focus is on children experiencing pandemic-associated deaths of their parents and caregivers, along with associated poverty, violence and other social vulnerabilities.
Impact 4 papers in The Lancet (https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(21)01253-8), Pediatrics (https://doi.org/10.1542/peds.2021-053760), The Lancet Child and Adolescent Health (https://doi.org/10.1016/S2352-4642(22)00005-0) and JAMA Peds (https://doi.org/10.1001/jamapediatrics.2022.3157).
Start Year 2021
 
Description The Global Reference Group on Children Affected by COVID-19 
Organisation University of Oxford
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution The Global Reference Group on Children Affected by COVID-19 was established in July 2021, to produce global estimates for the numbers of children facing pandemic-associated deaths of their parents and caregivers, as well as to develop a unified strategy for evidence-based action. Our contribution was to develop methodology and estimates for the numbers of affected children
Collaborator Contribution Our collaborators main contribution is to support and advocate for the integration of 'care for children' affected by second order impacts of COVID-19 into mainstream COVID-19 Emergency Response planning and action. The focus is on children experiencing pandemic-associated deaths of their parents and caregivers, along with associated poverty, violence and other social vulnerabilities.
Impact 4 papers in The Lancet (https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(21)01253-8), Pediatrics (https://doi.org/10.1542/peds.2021-053760), The Lancet Child and Adolescent Health (https://doi.org/10.1016/S2352-4642(22)00005-0) and JAMA Peds (https://doi.org/10.1001/jamapediatrics.2022.3157).
Start Year 2021
 
Description The Global Reference Group on Children Affected by COVID-19 
Organisation World Bank Group
Country United States 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution The Global Reference Group on Children Affected by COVID-19 was established in July 2021, to produce global estimates for the numbers of children facing pandemic-associated deaths of their parents and caregivers, as well as to develop a unified strategy for evidence-based action. Our contribution was to develop methodology and estimates for the numbers of affected children
Collaborator Contribution Our collaborators main contribution is to support and advocate for the integration of 'care for children' affected by second order impacts of COVID-19 into mainstream COVID-19 Emergency Response planning and action. The focus is on children experiencing pandemic-associated deaths of their parents and caregivers, along with associated poverty, violence and other social vulnerabilities.
Impact 4 papers in The Lancet (https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(21)01253-8), Pediatrics (https://doi.org/10.1542/peds.2021-053760), The Lancet Child and Adolescent Health (https://doi.org/10.1016/S2352-4642(22)00005-0) and JAMA Peds (https://doi.org/10.1001/jamapediatrics.2022.3157).
Start Year 2021
 
Description The Global Reference Group on Children Affected by COVID-19 
Organisation World Health Organization (WHO)
Country Global 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution The Global Reference Group on Children Affected by COVID-19 was established in July 2021, to produce global estimates for the numbers of children facing pandemic-associated deaths of their parents and caregivers, as well as to develop a unified strategy for evidence-based action. Our contribution was to develop methodology and estimates for the numbers of affected children
Collaborator Contribution Our collaborators main contribution is to support and advocate for the integration of 'care for children' affected by second order impacts of COVID-19 into mainstream COVID-19 Emergency Response planning and action. The focus is on children experiencing pandemic-associated deaths of their parents and caregivers, along with associated poverty, violence and other social vulnerabilities.
Impact 4 papers in The Lancet (https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(21)01253-8), Pediatrics (https://doi.org/10.1542/peds.2021-053760), The Lancet Child and Adolescent Health (https://doi.org/10.1016/S2352-4642(22)00005-0) and JAMA Peds (https://doi.org/10.1001/jamapediatrics.2022.3157).
Start Year 2021
 
Description The Global Reference Group on Children Affected by COVID-19 
Organisation World Without Orphans
Country United States 
Sector Charity/Non Profit 
PI Contribution The Global Reference Group on Children Affected by COVID-19 was established in July 2021, to produce global estimates for the numbers of children facing pandemic-associated deaths of their parents and caregivers, as well as to develop a unified strategy for evidence-based action. Our contribution was to develop methodology and estimates for the numbers of affected children
Collaborator Contribution Our collaborators main contribution is to support and advocate for the integration of 'care for children' affected by second order impacts of COVID-19 into mainstream COVID-19 Emergency Response planning and action. The focus is on children experiencing pandemic-associated deaths of their parents and caregivers, along with associated poverty, violence and other social vulnerabilities.
Impact 4 papers in The Lancet (https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(21)01253-8), Pediatrics (https://doi.org/10.1542/peds.2021-053760), The Lancet Child and Adolescent Health (https://doi.org/10.1016/S2352-4642(22)00005-0) and JAMA Peds (https://doi.org/10.1001/jamapediatrics.2022.3157).
Start Year 2021
 
Description Typhoid Environmental Surveillance in Nigeria 
Organisation University of Ibadan
Country Nigeria 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Assistance with procurement Project Management Liaising with funders GIS data expertise Data analysis
Collaborator Contribution Fieldwork activities GIS data expertise Provision of data
Impact No outputs yet
Start Year 2022
 
Description Understanding clinical pathways for COVID-19 hospitalised patients 
Organisation Imperial College School of Medicine
Country United Kingdom 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Statistical modelling Clinical expertise Leadership of project
Collaborator Contribution Statistical modelling Data collection
Impact Reports 17 Report 29
Start Year 2020
 
Description Use of NIRS in ivermectin clinical trial 
Organisation Colorado State University
Country United States 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution We have been evaluating the ability of spectroscopy to detech changes in the avaerage age of the mosquito population using data collected as part of a cluster-randomised control trial of repeat ivermectin mass drug administrations for control of malaria (RIMDAMAL).
Collaborator Contribution Spectroscopy data from wild caught mosquitoes
Impact Analyses of data collected by medical entomologists to help explain the epidemiological impact of the intervention.
Start Year 2020
 
Description WHO Berlin hub collaboration on pandemic preparedness and epidemic response 
Organisation World Health Organization (WHO)
Country Global 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution Literature review on epidemic models and parameters for priority pathogens Co-organising of a workshop on how modelling informed policy during the pandemic - leading from the modelling side
Collaborator Contribution Bringing together experts to expand the literature review on models and parameters, and collaboratively think about how to turn this into a dynamic database which can be useful in practice in future epidemics Co-organising of a workshop on how modelling informed policy during the pandemic - leading from the policy side
Impact No concrete outputs yet
Start Year 2022
 
Description WHO COVID LENS Working Group 
Organisation World Health Organization (WHO)
Country Global 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution Conducting systematic reviews and meta-analyses on the role of children in the COVID-19 pandemic as part of the WHO COVID LENS Working Group.
Collaborator Contribution Hosted working group on neonatal, child and maternal health implications of COVID-19
Impact Journal article: Global research priorities on COVID-19 for maternal, newborn, child and adolescent health Web of Science Ahmed ASMNU, Maamri A, Falade AG, Ayede AI, Bhutta A, Gambhir A, Tagarro A, Abdelmegeid A, Ahmadi AR, Barros AJD et al. JOURNAL OF GLOBAL HEALTH 11:12 pages Article number ARTN 04071 01 Jan 2021
Start Year 2019
 
Description WHO COVID-19 analytics team (Thibaut Jombart) 
Organisation World Health Organization (WHO)
Country Global 
Sector Public 
PI Contribution Senior data scientist - advise on methodology and data pipeline infrastructure
Collaborator Contribution Project management Data provision Dissemination of results
Impact Not yet recognised
Start Year 2021
 
Description Zambia Pertussis RSV Infant Mortality Estimation study (which was expanded to include covid-specific mortuary-based surveillance in all ages) 
Organisation University of Zambia
Country Zambia 
Sector Academic/University 
PI Contribution Mathematical modelling and analytic expertise
Collaborator Contribution Provision of data on prevalence of COVID positive samples collected from post-mortem samples within the main morgue of Lusaka, Zambia
Impact Not yet recognised
Start Year 2020
 
Title universal antenatal hepatitis B screening 
Description To advocate for universal antenatal HBV screening to become part of national policy. Data collection completed. Current data analysis 
Type Management of Diseases and Conditions
Current Stage Of Development Initial development
Year Development Stage Completed 2021
Development Status Under active development/distribution
Impact None yet 
 
Title COVID infection fatality rate estimation 
Description R package to estimate COVID fatality rates by age from seroprevalence data. 
Type Of Technology Software 
Year Produced 2021 
Open Source License? Yes  
Impact Publication 
URL https://www.nature.com/articles/s43856-022-00106-7
 
Title COVID-19 NAT-RDT 
Description Background Although nucleic acid tests (NAT) have been widely used in testing for COVID-19, they are not always readily available. NAT tests usually require laboratory capacity, as well as trained personnel, and can also be prohibitively costly when conducting large numbers of tests, e.g. when testing for COVID-19 in the community. Recently emerging, antigen-detection rapid diagnostic tests (Ag-RDTs) could help to address these challenges, by offering cheap, easy-to-use tools that could be deployed at the point of care. However, they typically have lower performance than NAT. To decide testing strategy In any local setting, it is important to properly weigh the pros and cons of both NAT and Ag-RDTs, in order to identify optimal diagnostic strategies. This webtool offers a resource to aid in these evaluations. Comparing different testing strategies An 'Ag-RDT-led' strategy is one in which Ag-RDT is used as the first test, but could be followed by NAT for confirmation. There are three such strategies: confirming Ag-RDT-positive results with NAT; confirming Ag-RDT-negative results with NAT; and using an Ag-RDT alone, i.e. without need for NAT confirmation. A 'NAT-based' strategy uses NAT wherever it is available to provide results in time for clinical decisions; otherwise, it is assumed that a patient would be managed through clinical judgement on whether a patient has COVID-19. This webtool compares these two strategies, to identify when an Ag-RDT-led strategy would be preferred over a NAT-based one. The approach is to assume fixed characteristics for an Ag-RDT (sensitivity, specificity and cost), and to examine a wide range of values for other parameters, for example the availability of NAT, and the performance of clinical judgement in the absence of NAT. Under this wide range of scenarios, this webtool examines the probability that an Ag-RDT-led strategy would be simultaneously more impactful, and more cost-effective, than a NAT-based strategy. Please click on the 'Run Model' heading, where you can interact with the webtool. 
Type Of Technology Webtool/Application 
Year Produced 2020 
Open Source License? Yes  
Impact No impacts yet 
URL https://covid-ag-rdt.shinyapps.io/model/
 
Title COVID-19 Scenario Analysis Tool (covidsim) 
Description The COVID-19 Scenario Analysis Tool enables users quickly and easily to generate calibrated forward scenarios of the COVID-19 epidemic in low- and middle-income countries in order to facilitate health planning. The latest release allows the user to explore the introduction of vaccination and how this can be used to help relax other non-pharmaceutical interventions. This tool allows the user to make projections of the prevalence of infections each day and the expected number of people requiring hospitalisation and critical care facilities. The relative benefits of different scenarios can be compared with metrics including health system capacity (maximum number of beds and critical care beds needed compared to those available), the peak of the epidemic, and the total projected deaths up to 1st February 2021. The model is automatically re-calibrated weekly to the cumulative COVID-19 deaths reported, obtained from the COVID-19 Data Repository by the Center for Systems Science and Engineering (CSSE) at Johns Hopkins University. For countries not included in that data repository we use data from Worldometers. 
Type Of Technology Webtool/Application 
Year Produced 2020 
Open Source License? Yes  
Impact Open to the public to view projections of infections. Approximately 100 visitors per day globally 
URL https://covidsim.org/v4.20210216/?place=gb
 
Title COVID-19 Scenario Analysis Tool covidsim.org (user-friendly interface to a COVID-19 transmission model incorporating the impact of vaccines). Published May 21, 2020. 
Description Ghani A, Hogan A, FitzJohn R, et al. COVID-19 Scenario Analysis Tool covidsim.org (user-friendly interface to a COVID-19 transmission model incorporating the impact of vaccines). Published May 21, 2020. 
Type Of Technology Webtool/Application 
Year Produced 2020 
Impact https://www.covidsim.org/ 
URL https://www.covidsim.org/
 
Title COVID-19 UK 
Description This site gives estimates of the reproduction number of COVID-19 and projections of cases by Local Authority in the UK based on testing data and mortality data. In addition the tool provides a map of hotspots for England, wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland. 
Type Of Technology Webtool/Application 
Year Produced 2020 
Open Source License? Yes  
Impact Ongoing 
URL https://imperialcollegelondon.github.io/covid19local/#details
 
Title COVID-HIV study portal 
Description Portal to provide information for the survey management as access to real time results from the survey 
Type Of Technology Webtool/Application 
Year Produced 2021 
Open Source License? Yes  
Impact Enabled research team to provide monthly reports on COVID and how COVID was preventing HIV risks and preventions to the Government of Zimbabwe on a real time basis 
URL http://www.manicalandhivproject.org/resources.html
 
Title CovidSim 
Description Laydon D, Ferguson N, Nedjati-Gilani G, Hinsley W. CovidSim. Published online April 22, 2020. This is the COVID-19 CovidSim microsimulation model developed by the MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis hosted at Imperial College, London. 
Type Of Technology Webtool/Application 
Year Produced 2020 
Open Source License? Yes  
Impact CovidSim models the transmission dynamics and severity of COVID-19 infections throughout a spatially and socially structured population over time. It enables modelling of how intervention policies and healthcare provision affect the spread of COVID-19. It is used to inform health policy by making quantitative forecasts of (for example) cases, deaths and hospitalisations, and how these will vary depending on which specific interventions, such as social distancing, are enacted. With parameter changes, it can be used to model other respiratory viruses, such as influenza. 
URL https://github.com/mrc-ide/covid-sim
 
Title DAEDALUS software on GitHub 
Description Software allows for estimation of model to determine both the health and economic impacts of COVID-19 pandemic and optimise closure of the economy by different economic sectors 
Type Of Technology Software 
Year Produced 2020 
Open Source License? Yes  
Impact Software has been used to inform COVID response in countries, and optimal pandemic mitigation strategies, and return on investment for pandemic preparedness Software has been used to support work for WHO - work is ongoing 
 
Title DAEDALUS: A model to optimize social and economic activity while containing SARS-CoV-2 transmission 
Description Optimizing social and economic activity while containing SARS-CoV-2 transmission 
Type Of Technology Software 
Year Produced 2022 
Open Source License? Yes  
Impact Advancing the science of integrated economic-epidemiological modeling 
URL https://www.nature.com/articles/s43588-022-00233-0#citeas
 
Title Dashboard for COVID-19 in Dhaka sewage and clinical data 
Description Dashboard to visualise spatial and temporal COVID-19 clinical and sewage data for public health institutes 
Type Of Technology Webtool/Application 
Year Produced 2020 
Open Source License? Yes  
Impact No impacts yet 
 
Title EpiEstim 
Description Package for the R statistical software to estimate reproduction number during an epidemic. We created an updated version of a software we initially developed in 2013, with more flexibility in the method and a user friendly interface 
Type Of Technology Software 
Year Produced 2021 
Open Source License? Yes  
Impact Two papers published (Cori et al. AJE 2013, Thompson et al. Epidemics 2019). The method gained tremendous attention during the covid-19 pandemic, as it was found to be the most accurate in a review of methods to estimate Rt (Gostik et al., PLoS Comp Biol 2020). EpiEstim is being used routinely by the following national or local governmental and public health agencies worldwide to monitor their Covid-19 epidemics, who publish estimates of Rt obtained using EpiEstim on their websites on a daily or weekly basis: • National Institute of Health in France • Federal Public Service for Public Health, Food Chain Safety and Environment of Belgium • Swiss national COVID-19 Science Task force • National center for epidemiology in Spain • Austrian Agency for Health and Food Safety • Quebec's national institute for public health • Public Health Ontario • Ottawa public health • Department of health of the state of New Jersey • City of St Louis, USA • Ministry of health of Bermuda • Ministry of Health of Brazil The Welsh government has estimated the impact of the firebreaker introduced in Wales in October 2020 using EpiEstim . WHO PAHO (Pan American Health Organization) has developed an interface to help country estimate the rate of transmission of COVID-19 using EpiEstim, and has included EpiEstim training as part of their early response to COVID-19 in Argentina and Barbados. EpiEstim also appears as the recommended software to estimate the reproduction number in documents produced by the World Health Organisation (WHO) • on criteria to adjust public health and social measures in the context of COVID-19 • on equitable allocation of COVID-19 health products UPDATE 2022: In 2021 EpiEstim was extended to track the transmissibility of novel variants in real time. Was used to characterise the transmissibility of Delta and Omicron variants. Paper under review - A generic method and software to estimate the transmission advantage of pathogen variants in real-time : SARS-CoV-2 as a case-study https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2021.11.26.21266899v1 
URL https://github.com/jstockwin/EpiEstimApp
 
Title Epistem 
Description A tool to estimate time varying instantaneous reproduction number during epidemics 
Type Of Technology Webtool/Application 
Year Produced 2020 
Open Source License? Yes  
Impact No impacts yet 
URL https://github.com/mrc-ide/EpiEstim
 
Title Estimating excess non-COVID deaths in England & Wales from ONS data (Katharina Hauck) 
Description Weekly updates of deaths in England and Wales using publicly available data on the provisional number of deaths registered in the past week from the Office of National Statistics (see Data). We show the number of registered all-cause deaths, and the deaths registered as COVID-19 deaths as provided by the ONS for every week beginning in March 2020. We compare the all-cause deaths with the number of deaths we would have expected to see being registered in this week had there been no pandemic, based on numbers of deaths in corresponding weeks of previous years, and determine the number of excess deaths as the difference. We then compare the excess deaths with the recorded COVID-19 deaths, which gives an estimate of excess deaths that were not associated with COVID-19 according to official registers. These estimates of excess non-COVID-19 deaths inform whether the pandemic led to unexpected deaths that were higher (or lower) than what we would have expected in that week. It is possible that all or almost all excess deaths comprise of registered COVID-19 deaths, in that situation there are no excess non-COVID-19 deaths. It is also possible that excess non-COVID-19 deaths are actually lower than expected deaths, once registered COVID-19 deaths are subtracted from excess deaths. We also present total cumulative deaths across all categories. This is the sum of registered all-cause deaths, COVID-19 deaths, expected deaths and excess non-COVID-19 deaths from the week ending 6 March 2020 to 05 November 2021 Hauck K, Ferguson N. ONS excess deaths (Weekly estimates of expected deaths and excess non-COVID-19 deaths during the pandemic in England and Wales). Published August 6, 2020. https://j-idea.github.io/ONSdeaths/ 
Type Of Technology Software 
Year Produced 2020 
Open Source License? Yes  
Impact Informed policy relating to COVID-19 mitigation strategies Paper in preparation 
 
Title Modelling ICU capacity under different epidemiological scenarios of the COVID-19 pandemic in three western European countries. 
Description Software developed to assist in modelling ICU capacity under different epidemiological scenarios in 3 western European countries. 
Type Of Technology Software 
Year Produced 2021 
Open Source License? Yes  
Impact Publication of report Data for MRC/J-IDEA COVID-19 Report 36: Modelling ICU capacity under different epidemiological scenarios of the COVID-19 pandemic in three western European countries. [16:21] Hauck, Katharina D McCabe R, Kont M, Schmit N, Whittaker C, Lochen A, Baguelin M, Knock E, Whittles L, Lees J, Brazeau N, Walker P, Ghani A, Ferguson N, White P, Donnelly C, Hauck K, Watson Oet al., 2021, Modelling ICU capacity under different epidemiological scenarios of the COVID-19 pandemic in three western European countries, International Journal of Epidemiology, Vol: 50, Pages: 753-767, ISSN: 0300-5771 Publications - Professor Katharina Hauck 
 
Title Modelling the relationship between mobility and COVID-19 transmissibility 
Description Code to carry out analyses modelling the link between human mobility and COVID-19 transmission 
Type Of Technology Software 
Year Produced 2021 
Open Source License? Yes  
Impact Paper published - Reduction in mobility and COVID-19 transmission | Nature Communications 
 
Title Online mitigation calculator 
Description Calculator to estimate the effectiveness of NPIs against COVID-19 
Type Of Technology Webtool/Application 
Year Produced 2020 
Open Source License? Yes  
Impact Utilised several times by researchers globally to support COVID-19 research and response 
URL http://epidemicforecasting.org/calc
 
Title R Package - mlesky : Maximum likelihood inference of effective population size through time using GMRF-skygrid approach 
Description This package is related to previous Bayesian implementations of the Bayesian skygrid model with the following notable differences: The GMRF process takes place on the 2nd-order difference of log(Ne), which is more similar to the skygrowth model of Volz & Didelot When computing the GMRF likelihood, the smoothing parameter (ie the precision of random walk) is fixed We use a novel cross-validation approach for selecting the smoothing parameter 
Type Of Technology Software 
Year Produced 2020 
Open Source License? Yes  
Impact Has been used to support research - has led to papers under development 
 
Title R package "Markovid" for estimating COVID-19 within-hospital progression parameters 
Description As part of our continual analysis of COVID-19 data on patients in hospital we required estimates of progression paramaters such as the probability of requiring ICU treatment. Although the datasets themselves were higly sensitive and could not be publicly released, we opted to make the analysis software itself open source. The Markovid package also includes simulation functions for checking the workings of the algorithms on dummy data. The released software will aid in the transparency of our wor 
Type Of Technology Software 
Year Produced 2020 
Open Source License? Yes  
Impact So far this software has only been used directly by members of our own group, although this may be due in part to the fact that the associated publication is still in review and so it is only advertised via the preprint. Variations of the same estimation methods continue to be developed and applied to other COVID-19 datasets from international collaborators. 
 
Title eigen1 
Description Fitsjohn R. eigen1. Published online February 12, 2021. https://github.com/mrc-ide/eigen1 
Type Of Technology Webtool/Application 
Year Produced 2021 
Open Source License? Yes  
Impact Fitsjohn R. eigen1. Published online February 12, 2021. https://github.com/mrc-ide/eigen1 
 
Title epidemia 
Description Flexibly specify and fit Bayesian, regression-oriented models for infectious diseases. The implemented models define a likelihood for all observed data while also explicitly modeling transmission dynamics: an approach often termed as semi-mechanistic. Multiple regions can be modeled simultaneously with multilevel models. Key epidemiological quantities, including reproduction numbers and latent infections, may be estimated within the framework. The models may be used to evaluate the determinants of changes in transmission rates, including the effects of control measures. Epidemic dynamics may be simulated either from a fitted model or a "prior" model; allowing for prior/posterior predictive checks, experimentation, and forecasting. 
Type Of Technology Software 
Year Produced 2021 
Open Source License? Yes  
Impact Has been utilised by the Scottish government to inform their COVID-19 response, and by SPI-M to support evidence based decision making in regards to the COVID-19 response 
 
Title epidemia 
Description Software developed by Sam Bhatt and research team for COVID modelling. Scott J, Gandy A, Mishra S, Unwin J, Flaxman S, Bhatt S. epidemia. Published online July 16, 2020. 
Type Of Technology Software 
Year Produced 2020 
Open Source License? Yes  
Impact Software has been used extensively by Scottish government to model COVID-19 transmission as well as, many researchers. Modelling has been used to inform decisions regarding national lockdowns and restrictions 
URL https://github.com/ImperialCollegeLondon/epidemia
 
Title mandrake 
Description Visualisation for microbial population structure 
Type Of Technology Software 
Year Produced 2022 
Open Source License? Yes  
Impact Used in other software packages Used to make outreach videos 
URL https://mandrake.readthedocs.io/en/latest/
 
Title mlesky 
Description This is software for maximum likelihood inference of an epidemic history from pathogen sequence data. 
Type Of Technology Software 
Year Produced 2022 
Open Source License? Yes  
Impact This software has facilitated evaluation of SAR-CoV-2 variants (BA.4/BA.5 and XBB 1.5) in situations where standard surveillance data is sparse or missing. 
 
Title nimue 
Description Nimue is built on the shoulders of squire and sircovid. The squire website is the best initial reference to refer to for base model structure and parameterisation details. Winskill P, Watson O, Barnsley G, FitzJohn R, Whittaker C. nimue. Published online October 1, 2020. 
Type Of Technology Webtool/Application 
Year Produced 2020 
Open Source License? Yes  
Impact No impacts yet 
URL https://github.com/mrc-ide/nimue
 
Title orderly 
Description Lightweight Reproducible Reporting for R Fitzjohn R, Ashton R, Hill A, et al. orderly. Published online December 20, 2020. 
Type Of Technology Webtool/Application 
Year Produced 2021 
Open Source License? Yes  
Impact No Impacts yet 
URL https://github.com/vimc/orderly
 
Title reactidd - R Package 
Description R Package for REACT study 
Type Of Technology Webtool/Application 
Year Produced 2020 
Open Source License? Yes  
Impact Provides code and data at same time REACT studies are published 
 
Title safir 
Description Simulation of COVID-19 vaccine impact 
Type Of Technology Software 
Year Produced 2021 
Open Source License? Yes  
Impact Has been used to generate results presented at WHO-SAGE meetings directly informing a change to guidance on vaccine delivery in 2021 and 2022. 
 
Title scott 
Description This is software for the simulation of transmission chains conditional on an epidemic history and sampling regime. 
Type Of Technology Software 
Year Produced 2022 
Open Source License? Yes  
Impact This software is being used by partner at UCSD to investigate the expected frequency of genetic clustering of HIV-1 given prevailing sampling patterns and current incidence of infection. 
 
Title sircovid 
Description Dynamic transmission model of COVID-19 in the UK FitzJohn R, Jomaba M, Knock E. sircovid2. Published online September 25, 2020. 
Type Of Technology Software 
Year Produced 2020 
Open Source License? Yes  
Impact We have used sircovid every week since April 2020 to provide forecasts of future COVID-19 cases, hospitalisations and deaths in the UK to SPI-M. These have been used to inform SAGE, and in turn presented as evidence to the UK government. 
URL https://mrc-ide.github.io/sircovid
 
Title sircovid, odin, dust, mcstate, 
Description Dynamic transmission model of COVID-19 in the UK 
Type Of Technology Software 
Year Produced 2020 
Open Source License? Yes  
Impact We have used sircovid every week since April 2020 to provide forecasts of future COVID-19 cases, hospitalisations and deaths in the UK to SPI-M. These have been used to inform SAGE, and in turn presented as evidence to the UK government. Papers published which describe the software development, and real world applications: Reproducible parallel inference and simulation of stochastic state space models using odin, dust, and mcstate [version 2; peer review: 1 approved, 1 approved with reservations] Wellcome Open Research, 5:288 The 2020 SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in England: key epidemiological drivers and impact of interventions, Science Translational Medicine 13(602) Non-pharmaceutical interventions, vaccination and the Delta variant: epidemiological insights from modelling England's COVID-19 roadmap out of lockdown - a mathematical modelling study The Lancet 398(10313): 1825-35 https://github.com/mrc-ide/odin https://github.com/mrc-ide/dust https://github.com/mrc-ide/mcstate 
URL https://mrc-ide.github.io/sircovid
 
Title squire 
Description SEIR transmission model of COVID-19 
Type Of Technology Webtool/Application 
Year Produced 2020 
Open Source License? Yes  
Impact No impacts yet 
URL https://github.com/mrc-ide/squire
 
Title tfpscanner 
Description This is software for the automation of scanning large sequence databases for variants showing unusual growth patterns or unusual evolutionary rates. 
Type Of Technology Software 
Year Produced 2022 
Open Source License? Yes  
Impact This software is currently used by UKHSA and WHO to facilitate variant surveillance of SARS-CoV-2. 
 
Description Andrew Marr Show (Neil Ferguson, 18-Jul-21) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Andrew Marr Show (Neil Ferguson, 18-Jul-21)
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2021
URL https://www.bbc.co.uk/iplayer/episodes/b0080bbs/the-andrew-marr-show
 
Description Appearance on BBC 2 documentary on COVID-19 (Thibaut Jombart) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Media (as a channel to the public)
Results and Impact Appearance in BBC 2 documentary - Was the scientific advice for lockdown flawed?
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2020
URL https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-54976192
 
Description Article in science journal for teens 
Form Of Engagement Activity A magazine, newsletter or online publication
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Schools
Results and Impact We published a children-friendly version of a recent paper using mathematical modelling to understand the impact of delaying the second COVID-19 vaccine dose in England
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2023
URL https://www.sciencejournalforkids.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/02/delay_article.pdf
 
Description Article within the Guardian - With 21 million still unvaccinated, Britain is not out of the woods yet 
Form Of Engagement Activity A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Media (as a channel to the public)
Results and Impact Professor Azra Ghani and Dr OJ Watson wrote an article for 'The Guardian' to discuss the impact of a large number of the population remaining unvaccinated (increase in deaths, hospitalisations, pressures on health systems). This was well received and discussed on social media regarding vaccine effectiveness, hesitancy and the UK COVID-19 response.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2021
URL https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2021/jun/25/unvaccinated-britain-vaccination-covid-hospita...
 
Description BBC Horizons COVID-19 special series (Kris Murray) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Media (as a channel to the public)
Results and Impact Interview with Dr Kris Murray for BBC Horizons COVID-19 series to raise awareness of current progress in reducing transmission of COVID-19 and pandemic origins.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2020
URL https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m000jbhj
 
Description BBC Horizons programme on COVID-19 - part 3 - vaccinations and post-pandemic future 
Form Of Engagement Activity A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Media (as a channel to the public)
Results and Impact Interview given to BBC Horizons programme. Sparked debates and questions on social media
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2020,2021
 
Description BBC Interview COVID-19 - (Katharina Hauck) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press)
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Media (as a channel to the public)
Results and Impact Media interview on hospital capacity by Dr Katharina Hauck - COVID-19
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2021
 
Description BBC More or Less - Delta Variant 
Form Of Engagement Activity A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press)
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Media (as a channel to the public)
Results and Impact Professor Azra Ghani spoke on BBC More or Less regarding the spread of the Delta Variant.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2021
URL https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/w3ct2dk8
 
Description BBC Podcast: Newscast Baselines & Basslines (Marc Baguelin) (23-Feb-21) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press)
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact BBC Podcast: Newscast Baselines & Basslines (Marc Baguelin) (23-02-2021)
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2021
URL https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/p097vglg
 
Description BBC Radio 4 - The Life Scientific (22-Sep-22) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press)
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact BBC Radio 4 - The Life Scientific
Neil Ferguson on modelling Covid-19
22-Sep-20
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2020
URL https://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/m000mt0h
 
Description BBC Radio 4 - the Today show (Samir Bhatt) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press)
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Media (as a channel to the public)
Results and Impact Interview on BBC Radio 4 Today show regarding results published in Report 13 - Europe in Lockdown
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2020
 
Description Big Questions podcast - Covid 19 (Christl Donnelly) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press)
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach National
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact Guest on Big Questions podcast episode 'What does my family want to know about coronavirus?'
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2020
URL https://www.oxfordsparks.ox.ac.uk/content/what-does-my-family-want-know-about-coronavirus
 
Description Business Insider - Comment in news article and interview regarding human-animal transmission of COVID-19 (Kris Murray) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Media (as a channel to the public)
Results and Impact Comment in article - Bats are still on the menu and for sale at markets in Indonesia, despite their link to COVID-19.
Sparked discussion on human-animal transmission and origins of viruses with pandemic potential

https://www.youtube.com/watch?app=desktop&v=IZpiUSU4VOI&t=175s
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2020
URL https://www.businessinsider.com/bat-meat-food-market-indonesia-2020-12?r=US&IR=T
 
Description CNN - At this hour media interview - Dr Sam Bhatt 
Form Of Engagement Activity A broadcast e.g. TV/radio/film/podcast (other than news/press)
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Media (as a channel to the public)
Results and Impact Invited guest on At this hour - Kate Bolduan to discuss Report 13 - Europe in lockdown
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2020
 
Description COVID-19 science in context web-series - Dr Anne Cori 
Form Of Engagement Activity Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Media (as a channel to the public)
Results and Impact Dr Anne Cori participated in the MRC-GIDA COVID-19 science in context web-series. These have been well received on social media and have sparked requests fo further information from media, members of the public and others. These web series have been an invaluable tool for public engagement. Dr Cori participated in the following episodes of the webseries:

Episode 17 26-08-21 Anne Cori Impact of schools and waning immunity

Episode 13 11-06-21 Anne Cori Delta variant and third wave

Episode 10 30-04-21 Anne Cori UK third wave

Episode 6 02-04-21 Anne Cori Impact 1st step roadmap out of lockdown

Episode 2 04-03-21 Anne Cori Brazil variant (P.1) in UK, modelling variants
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2021
URL https://www.imperial.ac.uk/mrc-global-infectious-disease-analysis/covid-19/covid-19-public-resources...
 
Description COVID19 Updates Episode 10: COVID19 - Health Systems and Economics with Prof Katharina Hauck (26-06-2020).; 2020. 
Form Of Engagement Activity Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact COVID19 Updates Episode 10: COVID19 - Health Systems and Economics with Prof Katharina Hauck (26-06-2020).; 2020.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2020
URL https://youtu.be/bm6sxDC7qvo
 
Description COVID19 Updates Episode 11: COVID-19 - Emergency Preparedness with Ms Janetta Skarp (29-06-2020).; 2020. 
Form Of Engagement Activity Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact COVID19 Updates Episode 11: COVID-19 - Emergency Preparedness with Ms Janetta Skarp (29-06-2020).; 2020.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2020
URL https://youtu.be/XfJ8cjC5LFY
 
Description COVID19 Updates Episode 12: COVID-19 - Financing Epidemic Responses with Adrian Gheorghe (01-07-2020).; 2020. 
Form Of Engagement Activity Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact https://youtu.be/GOt30diV9Yw
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2020
URL https://youtu.be/GOt30diV9Yw
 
Description COVID19 Updates Episode 13: COVID-19 -Governments Response to Pandemics with Prof Tony Travers (06-07-2020).; 2020. 
Form Of Engagement Activity Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact https://youtu.be/PhynEUyyVIg
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2020
URL https://youtu.be/PhynEUyyVIg
 
Description COVID19 Updates Episode 14: COVID-19 - Indirect Impacts with Prof Timothy Hallett (13-07-2020).; 2020. 
Form Of Engagement Activity Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact https://youtu.be/xNBEcPdxTJA
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2020
URL https://youtu.be/xNBEcPdxTJA
 
Description COVID19 Updates Episode 15: INSIGHTS in COVID-19 and Community Engagement with Professor Helen Ward (27-07-2020).; 2020. 
Form Of Engagement Activity Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact https://youtu.be/HawQvcBk5nY
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2020
URL https://youtu.be/HawQvcBk5nY
 
Description COVID19 Updates Episode 16: INSIGHTS in COVID-19 Mis-Information with Professor Helen Ward (27-07-2020).; 2020. 
Form Of Engagement Activity Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact https://youtu.be/l8-OCDx0-20
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2020
URL https://youtu.be/l8-OCDx0-20
 
Description COVID19 Updates Episode 17: COVID-19 - Community Transmission with Prof Steven Riley & Prof Graham Cooke (25-08-2020).; 2020. 
Form Of Engagement Activity Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact https://youtu.be/lXquvsJ09nY
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2020
URL https://youtu.be/lXquvsJ09nY
 
Description COVID19 Updates Episode 1: Professor Neil Ferguson on the Current 2019-NCoV Coronavirus Outbreak (05-02-2020).; 2020. 
Form Of Engagement Activity Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact COVID19 Updates Episode 1: Professor Neil Ferguson on the Current 2019-NCoV Coronavirus Outbreak (05-02-2020).; 2020.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2020
URL https://youtu.be/ALQTdCYGISw
 
Description COVID19 Updates Episode 2: INSIGHTS Mathematical Modelling COVID19 Response Prof Nim Pathy & Prof Steven Riley (10-02-2020).; 2020. 
Form Of Engagement Activity Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact COVID19 Updates Episode 2: INSIGHTS Mathematical Modelling COVID19 Response Prof Nim Pathy & Prof Steven Riley (10-02-2020).; 2020.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2020
URL https://youtu.be/gYpoyb1W2OQ
 
Description COVID19 Updates Episode 3: Update COVID-19 Outbreak with Prof Neil Ferguson, Dr Ilaria Dorigatti & Dr Lucy Okell (15-02-2020).; 2020. 
Form Of Engagement Activity Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact COVID19 Updates Episode 3: Update COVID-19 Outbreak with Prof Neil Ferguson, Dr Ilaria Dorigatti & Dr Lucy Okell (15-02-2020).; 2020.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2020
URL https://youtu.be/ZKMdX1SPiFk
 
Description COVID19 Updates Episode 4: Update on COVID-19 Outbreak with Professor Neil Ferguson and Dr Erik Volz (20-02-2020).; 2020. 
Form Of Engagement Activity Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact COVID19 Updates Episode 4: Update on COVID-19 Outbreak with Professor Neil Ferguson and Dr Erik Volz (20-02-2020).; 2020.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2020
URL https://youtu.be/UgK3Wz0iVRI
 
Description COVID19 Updates Episode 5: Update on COVID-19 Outbreak with Professor Neil Ferguson and Professor Christl Donnelly (28-02-2020).; 2020. 
Form Of Engagement Activity Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact COVID19 Updates Episode 5: Update on COVID-19 Outbreak with Professor Neil Ferguson and Professor Christl Donnelly (28-02-2020).; 2020.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2020
URL https://youtu.be/4g7Qpvhh5m4
 
Description COVID19 Updates Episode 6: Update on COVID-19 Outbreak with Professor Neil Ferguson (11-03-2020).; 2020. 
Form Of Engagement Activity Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact COVID19 Updates Episode 6: Update on COVID-19 Outbreak with Professor Neil Ferguson (11-03-2020).; 2020.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2020
URL https://youtu.be/0PbRV2Md8Ew
 
Description COVID19 Updates Episode 7?: Update on COVID-19 with Professor Steven Riley (24-03-2020).; 2020. 
Form Of Engagement Activity Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact COVID19 Updates Episode 7 : Update on COVID-19 with Professor Steven Riley (24-03-2020).; 2020.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2020
URL https://youtu.be/87PaliteOJw
 
Description COVID19 Updates Episode 8: UPDATE on COVID 19 with Prof Samir Bhatt (06-04-2020).; 2020. 
Form Of Engagement Activity Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact COVID19 Updates Episode 8: UPDATE on COVID 19 with Prof Samir Bhatt (06-04-2020).; 2020.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2020
URL https://youtu.be/Xc_udVeLHjQ
 
Description COVID19 Updates Episode 9: UPDATE on COVID 19 with Professor Steven Riley (08-04-2020). 
Form Of Engagement Activity Engagement focused website, blog or social media channel
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Public/other audiences
Results and Impact COVID19 Updates Episode 9: UPDATE on COVID 19 with Professor Steven Riley (08-04-2020).
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2020
URL https://youtu.be/GsRTDUxfwqk
 
Description Comment for Financial Times - The next pandemic: where is it coming from and how do we stop it? (Kris Murray) 
Form Of Engagement Activity A press release, press conference or response to a media enquiry/interview
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Media (as a channel to the public)
Results and Impact Comment for financial times articles highlighting the impact of zoonotic transmission on human health.
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2020
URL https://www.ft.com/content/2a80e4a2-7fb9-4e2c-9769-bc0d98382a5c
 
Description Coursera: Science Matters: Let's Talk About COVID-19. 
Form Of Engagement Activity A talk or presentation
Part Of Official Scheme? No
Geographic Reach International
Primary Audience Postgraduate students
Results and Impact Science Matters: Let's Talk About COVID-19.
Welcome to 'Science Matters: Let's Talk about COVID-19', from the Abdul Latif Jameel Institute for Disease and Emergency Analytics (J-IDEA) at Imperial College London. This was the most popular course launched on Coursera in 2020 during Europe's first lockdown.

The outbreak of the Novel Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) is the most significant public health emergency of the 21st century so far. As the epidemic spreads, people around the world want to understand the science behind the most pressing questions: how many people have been infected?
Year(s) Of Engagement Activity 2020,2021
URL https://www.coursera.org/learn/covid-19
 
Description Dedicated COVID-19 page hosted on Imperial College Website