NOC Marine Systems Modelling
Lead Research Organisation:
NATIONAL OCEANOGRAPHY CENTRE
Department Name: UNLISTED
Abstract
Abstracts are not currently available in GtR for all funded research. This is normally because the abstract was not required at the time of proposal submission, but may be because it included sensitive information such as personal details.
Organisations
- NATIONAL OCEANOGRAPHY CENTRE (Lead Research Organisation)
- National Center for Scientific Research (Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique CNRS) (Collaboration)
- Meteorological Office UK (Collaboration)
- Mercator Océan (Collaboration)
- Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC) (Collaboration)
People |
ORCID iD |
| Jason Holt (Principal Investigator) |
Publications
Drenkard E
(2021)
Next-generation regional ocean projections for living marine resource management in a changing climate
in ICES Journal of Marine Science
De Melo Viríssimo F
(2020)
Nonlinear stability of two-layer shallow water flows with a free surface.
in Proceedings. Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences
Danabasoglu G
(2014)
North Atlantic simulations in Coordinated Ocean-ice Reference Experiments phase II (CORE-II). Part I: Mean states
in Ocean Modelling
Danabasoglu G
(2016)
North Atlantic simulations in Coordinated Ocean-ice Reference Experiments phase II (CORE-II). Part II: Inter-annual to decadal variability
in Ocean Modelling
Sinha B
(2014)
North Atlantic SST Anomalies and the Cold North European Weather Events of Winter 2009/10 and December 2010
in Monthly Weather Review
Schrum C
(2016)
North Sea Region Climate Change Ass
Matsoukis C
(2022)
Numerical Investigation of River Discharge and Tidal Variation Impact on Salinity Intrusion in a Generic River Delta Through Idealized Modelling
in Estuaries and Coasts
Benoit M
(2012)
Numerical Wave Modeling in Conditions with Strong Currents: Dissipation, Refraction, and Relative Wind
in Journal of Physical Oceanography
Barnier B
(2013)
Observation-Based Estimates of Surface Cooling Inhibition by Heavy Rainfall under Tropical Cyclones
in Journal of Physical Oceanography
Silvester J
(2014)
Observations of a diapycnal shortcut to adiabatic upwelling of Antarctic Circumpolar Deep Water
in Geophysical Research Letters
Brodeau L
(2013)
Observed and Modeled Global Ocean Turbulence Regimes as Deduced from Surface Trajectory Data
in Journal of Physical Oceanography
Grist J
(2023)
Observed and Projected Changes in North Atlantic Seasonal Temperature Reduction and Their Drivers
in Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans
Barton B
(2018)
Observed Atlantification of the Barents Sea Causes the Polar Front to Limit the Expansion of Winter Sea Ice
in Journal of Physical Oceanography
Ghosh R
(2024)
Observed winter Barents Kara Sea ice variations induce prominent sub-decadal variability and a multi-decadal trend in the Warm Arctic Cold Eurasia pattern
in Environmental Research Letters
Yamazaki K
(2013)
Obtaining diverse behaviors in a climate model without the use of flux adjustments
in Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
Katavouta A
(2021)
Ocean carbon cycle feedbacks in CMIP6 models: contributions from different basins
in Biogeosciences
Mayor DJ
(2020)
Ocean carbon sequestration: Particle fragmentation by copepods as a significant unrecognised factor?: Explicitly representing the role of copepods in biogeochemical models may fundamentally improve understanding of future ocean carbon storage.
in BioEssays : news and reviews in molecular, cellular and developmental biology
Josey S
(2013)
Ocean Circulation and Climate - A 21st Century Perspective
Jourdain N
(2017)
Ocean circulation and sea-ice thinning induced by melting ice shelves in the A mundsen S ea
in Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans
Brito M
(2013)
Ocean coverage management process for gliders operations
Boland E
(2023)
Ocean Heat Content Responses to Changing Anthropogenic Aerosol Forcing Strength: Regional and Multi-Decadal Variability
in Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans
Moat B
(2024)
Ocean Heat Convergence and North Atlantic multidecadal heat content variability
in Journal of Climate
Mecking J
(2021)
Ocean Heat Transport’s Response to Future Climate Projections
McCarthy GD
(2015)
Ocean impact on decadal Atlantic climate variability revealed by sea-level observations.
in Nature
Hallam S
(2019)
Ocean precursors to the extreme Atlantic 2017 hurricane season.
in Nature communications
Huthnance J
(2022)
Ocean shelf exchange, NW European shelf seas: Measurements, estimates and comparisons
in Progress in Oceanography
Henry LA
(2018)
Ocean sprawl facilitates dispersal and connectivity of protected species.
in Scientific reports
Deshayes J
(2013)
Oceanic hindcast simulations at high resolution suggest that the Atlantic MOC is bistable
in Geophysical Research Letters
Sánchez-Arcilla A
(2014)
Oceanography at coastal scales: Introduction to the special issue on results from the EU FP7 FIELD_AC project
in Continental Shelf Research
Anderson TR
(2017)
On belief and reason: why we should trust the projections of global warming by climate models
in Ocean Challenge
Webb DJ
(2014)
On the adjoint of Laplace's tidal equations
Yan F
(2024)
On the Choice of Training Data for Machine Learning of Geostrophic Mesoscale Turbulence
in Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
De Lavergne C
(2016)
On the Consumption of Antarctic Bottom Water in the Abyssal Ocean
in Journal of Physical Oceanography
Magalhaes J
(2013)
On the detectability of internal waves by an imaging lidar
in Geophysical Research Letters
Mignot J
(2013)
On the evolution of the oceanic component of the IPSL climate models from CMIP3 to CMIP5: A mean state comparison
in Ocean Modelling
Aksenov Y
(2017)
On the future navigability of Arctic sea routes: High-resolution projections of the Arctic Ocean and sea ice
in Marine Policy
Webb D
(2021)
On the low western Pacific sea levels observed prior to strong East Pacific El Niños
in Ocean Science
Sévellec F
(2013)
On the Near-Inertial Resonance of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation
in Journal of Physical Oceanography
Kelly S
(2019)
On the Origin of Water Masses in the Beaufort Gyre
in Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans
Hill J
(2012)
On the performance of a generic length scale turbulence model within an adaptive finite element ocean model
in Ocean Modelling
Behr L
(2022)
On the Representation of Mediterranean Overflow Waters in Global Climate Models
in Journal of Physical Oceanography
Lathuilière C
(2010)
On the role of the mesoscale circulation on an idealized coastal upwelling ecosystem
in Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans
Webb D
(2018)
On the role of the North Equatorial Counter Current during a strong El Niño
in Ocean Science
| Description | The mission of the Marine Systems Modelling group is to advance our understanding of the marine environment and improve our ability to predict the Earth System on timescales of days to centuries. We work at national, regional and global scales from the coasts to the open ocean and specifically consider the dynamic links between these scales. We achieve this mission through the development, application, assessment and analysis of world-leading ocean models. We aim to exploit this understanding and capability to address societally relevant issues and deliver clear and traceable impacts. |
| Exploitation Route | a wide range of scientific, innovation and policy relevant application involving ocean models. |
| Sectors | Aerospace Defence and Marine Agriculture Food and Drink Digital/Communication/Information Technologies (including Software) Environment Leisure Activities including Sports Recreation and Tourism Transport |
| URL | http://noc.ac.uk/science/research-areas/marine-systems-modelling |
| Description | The findings of this award have been used as follows:- • Climate change impacts Man-made climate change has been estimated to cost the UK economy 5-20% of Gross Domestic Product (GDP)1 amounting to £80-320 billion for 2011 GDP2. The National Oceanography Centre (NOC) is providing impartial, independent, world-leading expertise in developing the international scientific consensus that informs the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) series of Assessment Reports3. NOC provides authoritative oceanographic scientific evidence to underpin the assessments, necessary as climate change has enormous economic and societal implications. NOC research is a significant contributor to the international delivery of evidence on ocean circulation, global temperature, sea level and climate. In response to research evidence presented by the IPCC the UK parliament passed the world's first long-term legally binding framework to tackle the dangers of climate change (The Climate Change Act 20086). The act requires Government to set carbon budgets, which are limits on greenhouse gas emissions in the UK for consecutive five-year periods. In addition to IPCC assessments, NOC data and expertise, including sea-level from PSMSL (Permanent Service for Mean Sea Level), inform studies of impacts of climate change on both national and international levels [e.g. UK Marine Climate Change Impacts Partnership (MCCIP), UK Climate Impacts Programme (UKCIP), UK Foresight Flood and Coastal Defence Review, Charting Progress and Charting Progress 2 • Sustainability and health of UK National seas NOC was pivotal in providing advice and evidence feeding into UK assessments on "clean, healthy, safe, productive and biologically diverse oceans and seas". These underpin legislation aimed at achieving this vision, specifically the EU Marine Strategy Framework Directive. In the UK this took the form of the report: "Charting Progress 2 (CP2): The State of UK Seas", and the on-going Evidence Groups. Alongside this, the Marine Climate Change Impacts Partnership (MCCIP) and UKCP09 (UK Climate Projections 09) provide assessments of potential future conditions and substantially contributing to the on-going UKCP18 assessment. NOC is the leading UK organisation for providing this evidence, advice, information and future projections for physical oceanography. Its scientists were lead / co-authors for CP2 "Ocean Processes" chapter, most MCCIP science reviews, and the UKCP09 Marine Section. • Improved seasonal forecasting Improved seasonal forecasting of UK winter weather conditions months in advance is key to our ability to manage our environment and resources responsibly, and to be resilient to hazards. For instance, environmental change will affect our infrastructure (through storms, flooding and coastal erosion - particularly damaging for the South-west coastline and the Somerset levels during the winter of 2013/14), food, water and energy resources (changes to rainfall and wind) and the health of our population (the incidence of influenza is related to winter temperatures). Improved seasonal forecasting is therefore of immense societal importance for the UK population, and to our Government for planning and policy development. Many sectors of the UK economy (transport, agriculture, health, etc) need accurate forecasts of weather conditions many months in advance (seasonal forecasts) for planning purposes. These forecasts are provided to UK Government by operational systems run at the Met Office. Through a major strategic partnership, the Joint Weather and Climate Research Programme, a coordinated programme of effort has been established between NOC and the Met Office to provide the best possible ocean models to Met Office forecasting systems. New higher resolution ocean models have in this way been included in the latest seasonal forecasting systems and have led to a dramatic improvement in the skill of winter forecasts for the UK, with widespread benefits to the UK. NOC also works with Met Office in the UK Environmental Prediction Project to develop a national scale land-sea-wave-atmosphere couple system with the aim of improving forecasting of environmental hazards such as coastal flooding and extreme rain fall events. NOC plays a pivotal role in the development and assessment of marine forecasts and reanalysing products delivered by the Copernicus Marine Environmental Monitoring Service. These provide key environmental information for a range of downstream industrial, operational and policy stakeholders. |
| Sector | Aerospace, Defence and Marine,Agriculture, Food and Drink,Energy,Environment,Healthcare,Leisure Activities, including Sports, Recreation and Tourism,Government, Democracy and Justice,Transport |
| Impact Types | Societal Economic Policy & public services |
| Description | Climate Change Impacts |
| Geographic Reach | National |
| Policy Influence Type | Citation in other policy documents |
| Impact | Man-made climate change has been estimated to cost the UK economy 5-20% of Gross Domestic Product (GDP)1 amounting to £80-320 billion for 2011 GDP2. The National Oceanography Centre (NOC) is providing impartial, independent, world-leading expertise in developing the international scientific consensus that informs the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) series of Assessment Reports3. NOC provides authoritative oceanographic scientific evidence to underpin the assessments, necessary as climate change has enormous economic and societal implications. NOC research is a significant contributor to the international delivery of evidence on ocean circulation, global temperature, sea level and climate. In response to research evidence presented by the IPCC the UK parliament passed the world's first long-term legally binding framework to tackle the dangers of climate change (The Climate Change Act 20086). The act requires Government to set carbon budgets, which are limits on greenhouse gas emissions in the UK for consecutive five-year periods. In addition to IPCC assessments, NOC data and expertise, including sea-level from PSMSL (Permanent Service for Mean Sea Level), inform studies of impacts of climate change on both national and international levels [e.g. UK Marine Climate Change Impacts Partnership (MCCIP), UK Climate Impacts Programme (UKCIP), UK Foresight Flood and Coastal Defence Review, Charting Progress and Charting Progress 2. |
| Description | Improved Seasonal Forecasting |
| Geographic Reach | Europe |
| Policy Influence Type | Participation in a guidance/advisory committee |
| Impact | Improved seasonal forecasting of UK winter weather conditions months in advance is key to our ability to manage our environment and resources responsibly, and to be resilient to hazards. For instance, environmental change will affect our infrastructure (through storms, flooding and coastal erosion - particularly damaging for the South-west coastline and the Somerset levels during the winter of 2013/14), food, water and energy resources (changes to rainfall and wind) and the health of our population (the incidence of influenza is related to winter temperatures). Improved seasonal forecasting is therefore of immense societal importance for the UK population, and to our Government for planning and policy development. Many sectors of the UK economy (transport, agriculture, health, etc) need accurate forecasts of weather conditions many months in advance (seasonal forecasts) for planning purposes. These forecasts are provided to UK Government by operational systems run at the Met Office. Through a major strategic partnership, the Joint Weather and Climate Research Programme, a coordinated programme of effort has been established between NOC and the Met Office to provide the best possible ocean models to Met Office forecasting systems. New higher resolution ocean models have in this way been included in the latest seasonal forecasting systems and have led to a dramatic improvement in the skill of winter forecasts for the UK, with widespread benefits to the UK. |
| Description | Sustainability and health of UK national seas |
| Geographic Reach | Asia |
| Policy Influence Type | Citation in other policy documents |
| Impact | NOC was pivotal in providing advice and evidence feeding into UK assessments on "clean, healthy, safe, productive and biologically diverse oceans and seas". These underpin legislation aimed at achieving this vision, specifically the EU Marine Strategy Framework Directive. In the UK this took the form of the report: "Charting Progress 2 (CP2): The State of UK Seas", and the on-going Evidence Groups. Alongside this, the Marine Climate Change Impacts Partnership (MCCIP) and UKCP09 (UK Climate Projections 09) provide assessments of potential future conditions. NOC is the leading UK organisation for providing this evidence, advice, information and future projections for physical oceanography. Its scientists were lead / co-authors for CP2 "Ocean Processes" chapter, most MCCIP science reviews, and the UKCP09 Marine Section. |
| Description | Sources, impacts and solutions for plastics in South East Asia coastal environments |
| Amount | £53,772 (GBP) |
| Funding ID | NE/V009591/1 |
| Organisation | Natural Environment Research Council |
| Sector | Public |
| Country | United Kingdom |
| Start | 11/2020 |
| End | 11/2024 |
| Description | NEMO Consortium |
| Organisation | Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change (CMCC) |
| Country | Italy |
| Sector | Charity/Non Profit |
| PI Contribution | The NEMO consortium mainains and developes the NEMO (Nucleus for European Modelling of the Ocean) ocean model. This is a state-of-the-art modelling framework for research activities and forecasting services in ocean and climate sciences, developed in a sustainable way by a European consortium. |
| Collaborator Contribution | The NEMO consortium mainains and developes the NEMO (Nucleus for European Modelling of the Ocean) ocean model. This is a state-of-the-art modelling framework for research activities and forecasting services in ocean and climate sciences, developed in a sustainable way by a European consortium. |
| Impact | The consortium provides regular model code updates (currently V4). These form the basis for most model based operational, climate and research oceanography in Europe, including the UK, Frence and italian contributions the CMIP process informing the IPCC Assessment and Special Reports, and also the Copernicus Marine Environmental Monitoring Service. |
| Start Year | 2008 |
| Description | NEMO Consortium |
| Organisation | Mercator Océan |
| Country | France |
| Sector | Private |
| PI Contribution | The NEMO consortium mainains and developes the NEMO (Nucleus for European Modelling of the Ocean) ocean model. This is a state-of-the-art modelling framework for research activities and forecasting services in ocean and climate sciences, developed in a sustainable way by a European consortium. |
| Collaborator Contribution | The NEMO consortium mainains and developes the NEMO (Nucleus for European Modelling of the Ocean) ocean model. This is a state-of-the-art modelling framework for research activities and forecasting services in ocean and climate sciences, developed in a sustainable way by a European consortium. |
| Impact | The consortium provides regular model code updates (currently V4). These form the basis for most model based operational, climate and research oceanography in Europe, including the UK, Frence and italian contributions the CMIP process informing the IPCC Assessment and Special Reports, and also the Copernicus Marine Environmental Monitoring Service. |
| Start Year | 2008 |
| Description | NEMO Consortium |
| Organisation | Meteorological Office UK |
| Country | United Kingdom |
| Sector | Academic/University |
| PI Contribution | The NEMO consortium mainains and developes the NEMO (Nucleus for European Modelling of the Ocean) ocean model. This is a state-of-the-art modelling framework for research activities and forecasting services in ocean and climate sciences, developed in a sustainable way by a European consortium. |
| Collaborator Contribution | The NEMO consortium mainains and developes the NEMO (Nucleus for European Modelling of the Ocean) ocean model. This is a state-of-the-art modelling framework for research activities and forecasting services in ocean and climate sciences, developed in a sustainable way by a European consortium. |
| Impact | The consortium provides regular model code updates (currently V4). These form the basis for most model based operational, climate and research oceanography in Europe, including the UK, Frence and italian contributions the CMIP process informing the IPCC Assessment and Special Reports, and also the Copernicus Marine Environmental Monitoring Service. |
| Start Year | 2008 |
| Description | NEMO Consortium |
| Organisation | National Center for Scientific Research (Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique CNRS) |
| Country | France |
| Sector | Academic/University |
| PI Contribution | The NEMO consortium mainains and developes the NEMO (Nucleus for European Modelling of the Ocean) ocean model. This is a state-of-the-art modelling framework for research activities and forecasting services in ocean and climate sciences, developed in a sustainable way by a European consortium. |
| Collaborator Contribution | The NEMO consortium mainains and developes the NEMO (Nucleus for European Modelling of the Ocean) ocean model. This is a state-of-the-art modelling framework for research activities and forecasting services in ocean and climate sciences, developed in a sustainable way by a European consortium. |
| Impact | The consortium provides regular model code updates (currently V4). These form the basis for most model based operational, climate and research oceanography in Europe, including the UK, Frence and italian contributions the CMIP process informing the IPCC Assessment and Special Reports, and also the Copernicus Marine Environmental Monitoring Service. |
| Start Year | 2008 |
| Description | NOC and Met Office Collaboration |
| Organisation | Meteorological Office UK |
| Country | United Kingdom |
| Sector | Academic/University |
| PI Contribution | Under the Joint Weather and Climate Research Programme (JWCRP) between NERC and the Met Office, we have forged a strong strategic partnership with the Met Office. This takes the form of the Joint Marine Modelling Project (JMMP; formerly JOMP; the Joint Ocean Modelling Programme and JCOMP; the Joint Coastal Ocean Modelling Programme). JMMP comprises staff from both NOC (from the Marine Systems Modelling group) and the Met Office and enables the best possible versions of the NEMO global and coastal-ocean models to be taken up into predictive systems at the Met Office (for ocean forecasting, coupled weather forecasting, seasonal prediction, decadal prediction, and climate and earth system modelling). Successive versions of NEMO are developed internationally on a regular cycle and have a number of new options. The benefit of these options are assessed both individually and in various combinations through undertaking decadal timescale simulations on MONSooN, a supercomputer facility shared between NERC and the Met Office, and identical in architecture to the main Met Office supercomputer. Once the optimal combination of options has been ascertained, the NEMO model can then be rapidly and easily taken up into the predictive systems at the Met Office. The cycle is repeated approximately every 1-2 years. The shelf seas activities, specifically support the models run operationally in the shelf sea forecasting and reanalysis system at the Met Office and delivered by the European Copernicus Marine Environmental Monitoring Service. Alongside JMMP, the National Partnership for Ocean Prediction (formally known as the National Centre for Ocean Forecasting) aims to develop and promote the application of world-leading marine products and services to stakeholders, with a focus on national and public benefit. This is achieved firstly through the integration of models, observations and scientific understanding to produce the best information and advice about the marine environment, with rigorous quality assurance and traceability; and secondly through engaging with stakeholders to understand their requirements and to maximise the beneficial use of marine products and services. |
| Collaborator Contribution | Under the Joint Weather and Climate Research Programme (JWCRP) between NERC and the Met Office, we have forged a strong strategic partnership with the Met Office. This takes the form of the Joint Marine Modelling Project (JMMP; formerly JOMP; the Joint Ocean Modelling Programme and JCOMP; the Joint Coastal Ocean Modelling Programme). JMMP comprises staff from both NOC (from the Marine Systems Modelling group) and the Met Office and enables the best possible versions of the NEMO global and coastal-ocean models to be taken up into predictive systems at the Met Office (for ocean forecasting, coupled weather forecasting, seasonal prediction, decadal prediction, and climate and earth system modelling). Successive versions of NEMO are developed internationally on a regular cycle and have a number of new options. The benefit of these options are assessed both individually and in various combinations through undertaking decadal timescale simulations on MONSooN, a supercomputer facility shared between NERC and the Met Office, and identical in architecture to the main Met Office supercomputer. Once the optimal combination of options has been ascertained, the NEMO model can then be rapidly and easily taken up into the predictive systems at the Met Office. The cycle is repeated approximately every 1-2 years. The shelf seas activities, specifically support the models run operationally in the shelf sea forecasting and reanalysis system at the Met Office and delivered by the European Copernicus Marine Environmental Monitoring Service. Alongside JMMP, the National Partnership for Ocean Prediction (formally known as the National Centre for Ocean Forecasting) aims to develop and promote the application of world-leading marine products and services to stakeholders, with a focus on national and public benefit. This is achieved firstly through the integration of models, observations and scientific understanding to produce the best information and advice about the marine environment, with rigorous quality assurance and traceability; and secondly through engaging with stakeholders to understand their requirements and to maximise the beneficial use of marine products and services. |
| Impact | NEMO model configurations. NW European Shelf Operational Copernicus service. |
| Start Year | 2008 |
| Title | The Marine Model Optimization Testbed (MarMOT) 1.1 software http://noc.ac.uk/project/marmot/marmot-11-software |
| Description | Overview document available at: http://nora.nerc.ac.uk/504004/ Types of beneficiary include: Research Council/Institute;Public Research Organisation |
| Type Of Technology | Software |
| URL | http://noc.ac.uk/project/marmot/marmot-11-software |
| Title | Vertical Discretization In NEMO |
| Description | |
| Type Of Technology | Software |